Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

Academy Sports + Outdoor Texas Bowl

The Texas Bowl is a post-season NCAA sanctioned Division I FBS College football Bowl game first held in 2006 in Houston, TX. The bowl replaced the defunct Houston Bowl, which played annually from 2000 to 2005, and before that the Bluebonnet Bowl, the first bowl game in Houston, played from 1959 through 1987.

Since 2017, the game has been sponsored by Academy Sports + Outdoor Bowl and officially known as the Academy Sports + Outdoors Texas Bowl. The game was previous the AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl from 2014 to 2016, with AdvoCare as the title sponsor. From 2011 to 2012, the game was sponsored by Meineke Car Care and officially known as the Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas.

Teams:  Oklahoma State (B-12) 8-4 / Texas A&M (SEC) 7-5

Bowl Location: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX 

Day, Date & Time: Friday, December, 27, 2019, 5:45 CST

Network: ESPN

Best Win(s): OSU: beat Kansas State (8-4) 26-13, A&M: beat Miss. State (6-6) 49-30!

Worst Loss(es): MSU: lost to Texas Tech (5-7), 45-35; A&M: lost to LSU (13-0), 50-7! 

Common Opponents: None

Vegas Hot$heets Favorite: A&M -4.5 (Opening Line)

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is, say Notre Dame is playing Wisconsin … we take ND’s total yards on offense, add it to the number the Badgers give up on defense, we get a total and then divide the total by 2 to get an average. We then invert the process, we now take Wisconsin’s total offense, add it to what the Irish give up on defense, get a 2nd total, and then divide that number by 2, to get the second average! The greater number (with the exception of Turnovers, lower # wins) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed: 1) Total Yards, 2) Rushing, 3) Passing, 4) Scoring, 5) 3rd Down (Conversions /Stops), 6) Turnovers, 7) Red Zone Scores (TD’s & FG), & 8) Red Zone TD’s (only TD’s)!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Oklahoma State | Cowboys Texas A&M | Aggies
Offense VS Defense 399.5 410.5 +1
Passing Off VS Def 217.5 259 +1
Rushing Off VS Def 182 +1 152
Scoring Off VS Def 28 28.5 +1
Turnovers Off VS Def 1.46 1.42 +1
3rd Conv Off VS Def 36 38.95 +1
Red Zone Scores 87 88.5 +1
Red Zone TDs 56 61 +1
Totals 1 7

Texas A&M WINS Trophy

Historic Football Matchups

Since 2009 these teams have met 3 times, OSU has won all 3 Games; 2009, 36-31, 2010, 38-35, & in 2011, 30-29. These games were played when A&M was a member of the B-12! Over all this is the 28th meeting with the Aggies holding a 17 to 10 edge in the series.

All 5 of A&M losses were against teams ranked in the top 8, @ the time they played, (Georgia, Bama, Auburn, Clemson & LSU).

OSU has the nations leading rusher, Chuba Hubbard (1936 yards on 309 Carries for 6.8 YPC). Hubbard has scored 21 TD’s while A&M has allowed only 12 rushing TD all Season. Another factor to be considered is that Cowboy QB, Spencer Sanders, who was injured in the Kansas game (Nov. 16 will not play)

A&M QB, Kellen Mond, 2802 passing yards, 19 TD’s, & a 61.3 completion percentage give the Aggies a significant edge @ the signal caller position!

A&M allows only 129.1 YPG rushing (nations 30th best rush D), providing an answer to OSU, Chuba Hubbard

In Turnover Margin, neither team functioned at a high lever, OSU was -0.25 while A&M was at -0.31

A&M is better on 3rd down stops, getting off the field 68% of the time, while OSU is @ 61% on the time getting the ball back to their offense!

Sully Says: Take the Might SEC, A&M, & give the Cowboys the 4.5!

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