Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

Camping World Bowl

The 2019 Camping World Bowl is a college football bowl game that will be played on December 28, 2019, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 p.m. EST on ABC. It will be the 30th edition of the Camping World Bowl, and will be one of the 2019–20 bowl games concluding the 2019 FBS football season.

Teams:  Notre Dame (IND) 10-2 / Iowa State (P-12) 7-5

Bowl Location: Camping World Stadium, Orlando, Fl 

Day, Date & Time: Saturday, December, 28, 2019, 11:00 CST

Network: ABC

Best Win(s): ND: beat Virginia (9-5) 35-20, ISU: beat Texas (7-5) 23-21!

Worst Loss(es): AF: lost to Michigan (9-3), 45-14; ISU: lost to OSU (8-4) 34-27! 

Common Opponents: None

Vegas Hot$heets Favorite: ND -3.5 (Opening Line)

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is, say Notre Dame is playing Wisconsin … we take ND’s total yards on offense, add it to the number the Badgers give up on defense, we get a total and then divide the total by 2 to get an average. We then invert the process, we now take Wisconsin’s total offense, add it to what the Irish give up on defense, get a 2nd total, and then divide that number by 2, to get the second average! The greater number (with the exception of Turnovers, lower # wins) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed: 1) Total Yards, 2) Rushing, 3) Passing, 4) Scoring, 5) 3rd Down (Conversions /Stops), 6) Turnovers, 7) Red Zone Scores (TD’s & FG), & 8) Red Zone TD’s (only TD’s)!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Notre Dame | Fighting Irish Iowa State | Cyclones
Offense VS Defense 395.5 +1 391.5
Passing Off VS Def 240 241 +1
Rushing Off VS Def 156 +1 150.5
Scoring Off VS Def 31 +1 26.5
Turnovers Off VS Def 1 +1 1.67
3rd Conv Off VS Def 41.95 +1 35.25
Red Zone Scores 90 95 +1
Red Zone TD’s 68 +1 67
Totals 6 2

Notre Dame WINS Trophy

Historic Football Matchups

1st Meeting between these Programs

ISU QB, Brock Purdy completed 66.3% of his passes (295/445) a 27/9 ratio, TD to INT, while passing for 3,760 yards. The Irish will counter with Ian Book, who passed for 2,787 Yards, a 36/6 ratio, & completing 59.1% of his passes (220/371).

The Irish convert on 3rd down and stop their opponent on the money down more effectively than the Cyclones (Conversions: ND: 41.9% to ISU’s 35.2% / Stops: ND 67.8% to ISU’s 57.4%). This translates to the Irish getting their offense back on the field about 70% of the time to the Cyclones 60%.

ND has turned their opponents over 15 times more than they have given the ball up (26 gained to 11 lost), while ISU Turnover Margin is negative 1 (13 Gained to 14 lost)

In the run game, ND rushes the ball more efficiently 177 to 140, while ISU stops the run more effectively, 135 YPG to ND’s 161 YPG.

In the RZ; ISU has 51 penetrations & 48 scores to the Irish’s 51/47, however, ND has scored more TD’s, 40 to the Cyclones 37. On RZ Defense, ND is one of the worst team’s in the country statistically, when defending the short field. They are ranked 129/130 (28 penetration 27 scores, 10/27 scores were FGs) ISU is ranked @ 104/130 (33 penetrations 29 scores, 10 of the 29 scores were FGs)

Sully Says: Take the Irish and give ISU the 3.5!

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