Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

Cheez-It Bowl

The Cheez-It Bowl is an NCAA FBS college football bowl game that has been played in the state of Arizona since 1989

Teams:  Air Force (MWC) 10-2 / Washington State (P-12) 6-6

Bowl Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ 

Day, Date & Time: Friday, December, 27, 2019, 9:15 CST

Network: ESPN

Best Win(s): AF: beat Hawaii (10-5) 56-26, WSU: beat Minnesota (10-2) 23-19!

Worst Loss(es): AF: lost to Navy (10-2), 34-25; WSU: lost to UCLA  (4-8), 67-65! 

Common Opponents: Colorado: AF beat Colorado, 30-23; WSU beat Buffs, 41-10!

Vegas Hot$heets Favorite: AF -3 (Opening Line)

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is, say Notre Dame is playing Wisconsin … we take ND’s total yards on offense, add it to the number the Badgers give up on defense, we get a total and then divide the total by 2 to get an average. We then invert the process, we now take Wisconsin’s total offense, add it to what the Irish give up on defense, get a 2nd total, and then divide that number by 2, to get the second average! The greater number (with the exception of Turnovers, lower # wins) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed: 1) Total Yards, 2) Rushing, 3) Passing, 4) Scoring, 5) 3rd Down (Conversions /Stops), 6) Turnovers, 7) Red Zone Scores (TD’s & FG), & 8) Red Zone TD’s (only TD’s)!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Washington State | Cougars Air Force | Falcons
Offense VS Defense 416.5 441 +1
Passing Off VS Def 326 +1 208.5
Rushing Off VS Def 90.5 232.5 +1
Scoring Off VS Def 29.5 32.5 +1
Turnovers Off VS Def 1.625 1.46 +1
3rd Conv Off VS Def 42.05 49.3 +1
Red Zone Scores 80 86 +1
Red Zone TD’s 59.5 69 +1
Totals 1 7

Air Force WINS Trophy

Historic Football Matchups

1st meeting between these Universities!

Under current AF Coach, Troy Calhoun, the Falcons are 2-7 vs Power 5 Opponents. However, one of those wins came early this season, a 30-23 win over Colorado.

AF is 2nd in the Nation on 3rd Down conversions @ 54.8% coupled with WSU being 98th on 3rd down stops 42.4%. A good indicator that AF’s offense will be able to maintain drives.

Neither team was very effective in TO Margin; AF was a -2, while Washington State turned the ball over 24 times to forcing 18 Turnovers for a negative 6!

AF averages 2 sacks per game (24), while WSU give up 170 rushing yards per game

The Key to this game for AF will be their ability to control the Cougars explosive plays, not only with their defense, but with time of possession on offense!

WSU QB, Anthony Gordon led the nation in passing yards (5,228) was 2nd in TD’s 45 (only LSU’s Burrow threw more, 48)

Sully Says: Take the Cougars and the 3!

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