Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

How To Use The Site

Tutorial 101 for how to navigate Sully’s CFP!

I have been working on Sully’s CFP for the past 6 years and have logged well over 7,000 hours, for an average of about 3.19 hours per day. Needless to say, I have a passion for college football and have tried to present a comprehensive product that encompasses both the FBS (128 teams) and the FCS (124 teams). Please keep in mind that I am a staff of one and welcome any and all suggestions as to how to improve our site.  sullyscollegefootballpage.com

The Blog:

Commentary on any and all things related to college football. The focus of a Sully’s CFP Blog is always threefold; 1) Entertainment, 2) Informational and 3) Educational. We welcome thoughtful comments and witty retorts to all blogs. Please keep in mind that youngsters use this site and our expectation is that all language be age appropriate. That said … Fire Away!

Conferences:

This page is intended to provide the viewer with a single click to get an overview of what is happening in the league that they are interested in reviewing. I have often been frustrated when a site has a menu that only has team page options/access. Given my memory, I often forget who Bama played in their non-conference or conference crossover games when I go the LSU page. I would then have to go back to the “Tide” page and then return to the “Tiger” page… not so with this set up. The entire conference schedule and results are provided with a single click and scroll! Please note: this data goes back through the 2009 season.

Another very important and informational component of the Conference Page are the colored dots located on the left side of each scheduled game. The intent here is to give the reader a snap shot understanding of the strength of schedule of a specific team or conference. The yellow dot indicates a non-conference opponent from a former BCS or today referred to as a Power conference. A green dot signifies that the opponent is an 85 scholarship program, but not from a former BCS conference or Power Conference. The blue dot indicates that the opponent is a FCS or 63 scholarship program. The red dot represents a conference game. When visiting a FCS conference page, you will see black dots that reflect that the opponent is a Division II, NAIA, Division III, USCAA or even a Junior College affliate.

Finally, at the top of the page you will see a list of the entire conference with a myriad of information about each university:

  1. Mascot
  2. Stadium name and FBS/FCS capacity rank
  3. Season overall record
  4. Conference record
  5. Division record (if applicable)

Teams:

On the team page, we begin by providing 6 data points at the top of the page. They include the following:

  • a) University Location
  • b) Spirit Name
  • c) Mascot
  • d) Stadium Name
  • e) Stadium Capacity
  • f) Playing Surface

The University Snapshot is where we review the teams’ annual record, as well as, the coaches record established @ that specific school (not Coach’s overall record). The team’s all-time win/loss record and the school’s winning percentage & FBS/FCS rank for most wins are presented in the 6th column. The last three columns focus on returning lettermen, starters, and attendance.

The third focus on this page is: View Conference Standings. The data is broken into three elements: conference record, division standing  (where applicable) & overall record. again, the data is available back to and including the 2009 season.

The fourth component deals with schedules (review the dot scale) and team individual game stats that provide insights as to how the game was decided. The game is broken down into the following elements: 1) Penalties, 2) Rushing Yards, 3) Passing Yards, 4) Turnovers, 5) 3rd Down Attempts, & 6) Third Down Conversions.

The last piece of informational criteria is presented as a team’s statistical total in each of the following categories for the season: a) Total Yards, b) Passing Offense, c) Rushing Offense, d) Scoring Offense, e) Offensive Turnovers, f) Third Down Conversion, & g) Red Zone Offense (All scores FG’s and TD’s & then just TD’s). The data then flips to the other side of the ball and defensive stats are calculated. All information is updated on game day.

Game List:

The information on this page is provided in two different venues.

First on the Team side, the data is organized to display every game that the selected team has played in since the 2009 season. One simply has to scroll down until the wanted team is highlighted and then click on the search button.

Please note: The team’s score is listed in the same order that the team’s name is listed. For instance, on 9/26/09 Purdue played Notre Dame, the score is shown as 21-24.

The second game on the 26th has Wisconsin playing Michigan State. The score is listed in this order; 38-30, on so …

The other way Game List data is presented is to select a date in September, October, or November (for best results a select a Saturday) and then Sully’s CFP will bring up every game played on that date.

If you elect to have both a team and a date, the site will give you that specific team and who they played on the date selected and only that one game will be shown.

Please make sure if you are working on the date side of the page, that the team scroll bar   (Located under Team Heading) is all the way to the top of the team list or you will not get any information after initiating your search. Again, if nothing comes up on the date requested, it is probable that the scroll bar is between the top of the first team listed and the very top of the page. There are several blank slots between the first team listed and the top of the scroll bar range, please make sure the bar is all the way up to the top blank space. Finally, make sure you have a working date, meaning, a date when games are being played.

Bowl Games:

The data here is self-explanatory, such things as Game Time, Venue, Date, Day, & Network are easily understood.

The score is listed in the same order as the teams so if Air Force is listed 1st … so is their score …. Air Force vs Alabama 15 to 45 ….. AF has 15 Bama has 45

Also, the payouts noted are for each team…. not split between them. In other words, the Allstate Sugar Bowl pays each team $17,000,000.00.

If you take a minute and look at the dollars that the bowl games generate, you will quickly realize why the University Presidents have proceeded with economic caution as they traverse the waters of change. The Bowl dollars are vast.

Head to Head:

This page may not be and probably is not what you think head to head implies in the general sense. We do not look at how many times these teams may have played say in the past five years. We present a completely different track on what you should infer from the term head to head.

As you move through the site, you will notice we provide data for our readers in seven different categories: 1) Total Offensive Yards, 2) Offensive Passing Yards, 3) Offensive Rushing Yards, 4) Scoring Offense, 5) Offensive Turnovers, 6) 3rd Down Conversions, & 7) Red Zone Scoring Offense.

We then do the exact same thing on the defensive side of the ball; 1) Total Defense, 2) Pass Defense, etc..

This is how Head to Head works on Sully’s CFP:

First let us be clear, this is a statistical analysis and the formula does not concern itself with strength of schedule, whether a team is an 85 or 63 scholarship program, or where the game is being played (even though we identify one team as the home and the other team as the away team, it would / will make no difference if the teams are switched)

Please Note… Sully’s Head to Head page is a statistical analysis of game data for entertainment purposes only!

Let’s see what happens statistically if Wisconsin played Illinois in cyber space. We would look at the data in 8 (we look at Red Zome Scoring in two ways …all scores and then TD’s only… so 8 data points not 7 as mentioned above) different venues to try to determine who would prevail based on the numbers.

The first stat we analyze is Total Offense ( all statistics used here are based on 2011 data… we will transition to the 2012 season numbers early in the 2012 season).

The formula takes Wisconsin’s total offensive average, 470 yards Per Game (YPG) and adds it to Illinois defensive average of 281 YPG. This equals 751 total yards earned by the Badgers and given up by the Illini. We then divide this number (751) by 2 and we get a mean of 378 ypg. We now flip roles and look at Illinois’ Offense, 354 YPG and add it to the Badgers total defense, 316 YPG.  The math done here equals 670 total yards. We now divide by 2 and get a mean 335 ypg. The numbers show that Wisconsin would gain 378 yards against the Fighting Illini’s D (about 100 yards less than their average), while Illinois would gain 335 yards against the Badgers defense (about 19 yards less than their average). Since the numbers say the Badgers would win the statistical total yards battle 378 to 335 they are awarded the point on the Head to Head match-up results..

We then repeat this process with 2) Passing, 3) Rushing, 4) Scoring, 5) Turnovers, 6) 3rd Down Conversions, 7) Red Zone scoring (FG & TD), & 8) Red Zone scoring (TD’s only).

The greater number is awarded the point, except in the Turnover category, where the lower number prevails. The formula calculation is always a two-step process, first team A’s offense to team B defense and then team B offense to team A defense.

Our intent was/is to make this page on the site interactive with the data that is entered on each of the 246 teams that are tracked on Sully’s CFP. We call it Head to Head because the mean number that is used to award the point is determined by comparing the statistical data generated by each team’s performance on the field. Thus, the number that determines who gets the point is decided by a Head to Head evaluation.

Sully’s Top 25

You will notice we have Sully’s Top 25 and Sully’s Best 25 and may wonder what is the difference between the two lists? The Top 25 is where we believe teams will end up based on their relative schedules. For instance, Georgia is ranked 4th on Sully’s Best and 3rd on Sully’s Top 25. The thought here is LSU and Bama play and the loss will knock one of them below Georgia in the rankings. We do not believe that Georgia is a better team than LSU or Alabama, but because of their schedule, the Dwags have a good chance to be ranked higher in the polls. Please review the lists and let us know your thoughts.

Hope this helps you navigate & enjoy Sully’s CFP!

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