Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl

The Las Vegas Bowl is an NCAA-sanctioned Division I FBS post-season college football bowl game. It has been played annually at the 40,000-seat Sam Boyd Stadium in Whitney, Nevada, every December since 1992. The bowl is owned and operated by ESPN Events.

Teams:  Boise State (MWC) 12-1 / Washington (P-12) 7-5

Bowl Location: Las Vegas, NV

Day, Date & Time: Saturday, December, 21, 2019, 7:30 EST

Network: ABC

Best Win(s): BSU: beat FSU (6-6) 37-31 & AF (10-2), ; Washington: beat USC (8-4), 28-14 & BYU 45-19

Worst Loss(es): Boise lost only to BYU (7-5), 28-25 ; UW lost to Colorado (5-7) 20-14 & Stanford (4-8), 23-13! 

Common Opponents: Hawaii: Washington beat Hawaii, 52-20  Boise beat the Rainbow Warriors, 31-10 & BYU: Washington beat the Cougars, 45-19 while BSU lost to BYU, 28-25!

Vegas Hot$heets Favorite: Washington -3 (All lines are opening lines & all recommend picks are based on opening lines)

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is, say Notre Dame is playing Wisconsin … we take ND’s total yards on offense, add it to the number the Badgers give up on defense, we get a total and then divide the total by 2 to get an average. We then invert the process, we now take Wisconsin’s total offense, add it to what the Irish give up on defense, get a 2nd total, and then divide that number by 2, to get the second average! The greater number (with the exception of Turnovers, lower # wins) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed: 1) Total Yards, 2) Rushing, 3) Passing, 4) Scoring, 5) 3rd Down (Conversions /Stops), 6) Turnovers, 7) Red Zone Scores (TD’s & FG), & 8) Red Zone TD’s (only TD’s)!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Washington | Huskies Boise State | Broncos
Offense VS Defense 371 399.5 +1
Passing Off VS Def 239.5 246 +1
Rushing Off VS Def 131 153 +1
Scoring Off VS Def 26.5 28.5 +1
Turnovers Off VS Def 1.315 +1 1.405
3rd Conv Off VS Def 36.2 43.3 +1
Red Zone Scores 84 84.5 +1
Red Zone TDs 57.5 59 +1
Totals 1 7

Boise State WINS Trophy

Historic Football Matchups

These teams have played 3 times since 2009, Boise has won 2, 2012, 28-26 & again in 2015, 16-13. UW has won one of the three games, 2013, 38-6!

The Game Simulator likes Boise to dominate in this game (always be mindful of who the numbers are earned against, Boise plays in the MWC / while UW battles in the P-12), 7 to 1! The Huskies will outperform the Broncos in only the Take-A-Way category according to the Simulator. Boise will run the ball better, win in the 3rd Down realm, and be more productive in the RZ.

Sully Says: What a great game for Chris Peterson (current Washington and former Boise Head Coach) to end his career, the 2 programs that he has given so much to over the years!

Boise is 6-1 in their last 7 vs P-12 (only loss was a 47-44, in 2017, to WSU) and will find a in this game. Take Boise & the 3 points!

 

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