Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

Music City Bowl 2013 Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech

Bowl History: The Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl  …. the NCAA certified this Bowl in 1998 and the game has been played annually since that time! This Bowl has had a variety of sponsors: American General Life & Accident (1998), homepoint.com (1999), Bridgestone (2003-2007) Gaylord Hotels (2002-2009) & Franklin American Mortgage (2010-present).   The first game in this bowl series took place on December, 29, 1998 … Virginia Tech beat Alabama, 38-7 while last years game featured, Vanderbilt and NC State, a game won by the Commordes (Vandy), 38-24! The conference tie-ins are ACC /SEC & the Bowl Pay out is $3,500,000.00!

Teams: Ole Miss Conference Affiliation: SEC; Overall Record 7-5, Conference Record 3-5, Divisional Record 2-4 (SEC’s West Division) vs Georgia Tech: Conference  Affiliation: ACC; Overall Record 7-5, Conference Record: 5-3, Divisional Record 4-3 (ACC’s Coastal Division) 

Bowl Location:  Nashville, Tennessee … played @ LP Field, the seating capacity @ the facility is 69,143. Last year’s game which featured Vandy and NC State, was attended by 55,801, an increase 0f 593 form last year’s game.

Day, Date & Time: Monday, 12/30/2013 @ 2:15 p.m. CST

Best Win(s): Ole Miss: beat LSU, 27-24; G-Tech:beat Duke, 38-14!

Worst Losses: Ole Miss: Mississippi State, 17-10;  Georgia Tech: Clemson 55-31.

Common Opponents: None

Las Vegas Hotsheet Favorite: Ole Miss -3

Offensive Team Data:Georgia Tech ; Total Yards,  434 YPG; Passing Yards,  131 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  304 YPG; Scoring Average,  36 PPG, Turnovers,  1.92 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 53.3%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 90% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 81%

Offensive Team Data: Ole Miss; Total Yards,  464 YPG; Passing Yards, 275 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 189 YPG; Scoring Average 30 PPG, Turnovers,  1.62 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 52.5%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 76% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 54%

Defensive Team Data: Georgia Tech; Total Yards,  351 YPG; Passing Yards,  237 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  114 YPG; Scoring Average,  23 PPG, Turnovers,  1.38 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 43.4%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 76% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 65%

Defensive Team Data: Ole Miss ; Total Yards,  375 YPG; Passing Yards,  216YPG;  Rushing Yards,  159 YPG; Scoring Average,  24 PPG, Turnovers,  1.62 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 42.6%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 85 % & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 65%

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take ole Miss’s total yards on offense, add it to what Tech gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Georgia Tech’s total offense, add it to what Ole Miss gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards:  Advantage, Ole Miss…. 408 to 405

Passing Yards: Advantage, Ole Miss…. 256 t0 174

Rushing Yards: Advantage,G-Tech …. 232 to 152

Scoring: Advantage, G-Tech…. 30 to 27

Turnovers: Advantage, Ole Miss … 1.5 to 1.77

3rd Down Conversions: G-Tech & Ole Miss Advantage, … 47.95% to 47.95%

Red Zone All Scores: Advantage, G-Tech88% to 76%

Red Zone TD’s Only: Advantage, G-Tech… 73% to 60%

Individuals to Watch: Georgia Tech: QB Vad lee, 1414 passing yards, 10 TD’s & 9 INT, Ole Miss: QB Bo Wallace, 3090 passing yards, 17 TD’s & 9 INT’s

Sully’s CFP Says: Ole Miss wins & covers!

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