The Pinstripe Bowl is a National Collegiate Athletic Association Division I Football Bowl Subdivision college football bowl game that is held at Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York City.
Teams: Michigan State (B-10) 6-6 / Wake Forest (ACC) 8-4
Bowl Location: New York, NY / Yankee Stadium
Day, Date & Time: Friday, December, 27, 2019, 2:20 CST
Best Win(s): MSU: beat Indiana (8-4) 40-31, WF: beat FSU (6-6) 22-20!
Worst Loss(es): MSU: lost to Wisconsin (10-3), 38-0; WF: lost to Clemson (13-0), 52-3!
Common Opponents: None
Vegas Hot$heets Favorite: MSU -4.5 (Current Line)
Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is, say Notre Dame is playing Wisconsin … we take ND’s total yards on offense, add it to the number the Badgers give up on defense, we get a total and then divide the total by 2 to get an average. We then invert the process, we now take Wisconsin’s total offense, add it to what the Irish give up on defense, get a 2nd total, and then divide that number by 2, to get the second average! The greater number (with the exception of Turnovers, lower # wins) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed: 1) Total Yards, 2) Rushing, 3) Passing, 4) Scoring, 5) 3rd Down (Conversions /Stops), 6) Turnovers, 7) Red Zone Scores (TD’s & FG), & 8) Red Zone TD’s (only TD’s)! That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:
|Michigan State | Spartans||Wake Forest | Demon Deacons|
|Offense VS Defense||391.5||399.5||+1|
|Passing Off VS Def||248.5||258||+1|
|Rushing Off VS Def||143||+1||142|
|Scoring Off VS Def||25.5||28||+1|
|Turnovers Off VS Def||1.875||1.54||+1|
|3rd Conv Off VS Def||34||40||+1|
|Red Zone Scores||86.5||+1||83.5|
|Red Zone TD’s||61.5||+1||52.5|
Wake Forest WINS
1st Meeting between these schools!
The Spartans lost to the ‘other powers’ in the B-10, Wisconsin, Michigan, PSU, & Ohio State by an average margin of 29.25 points. An unusual year @ 6-6 for MSU, a team that won at least 10 games a year from 2010 through 2017.
The Demon Deacons had a very good year in 2019 (8-4) and it could have been a whole lot better, loosing 3 of their last 4 games.
WF is a plus 7 (23/16) in Turnover Margin while MSU is -1 (21/22), On 3rd down Conversions Wake is 2 47.2 %, MSU is 99th in the country @ 36.5 %, while on 3rd down stops the Spartans are 23 in the country @ 33.5, that said, advantage WF as the Deacons are 15th in the nation @ 31.5%. Wake rushes the ball for 175 YPG to MSU 123 YPG. while the Spartans defend the run more effectively, allowing 108 YPG to Wake 162.6 YPG.
Sully’s Says: You can not trust the Spartan offense, take WF and the 4.5 points.