Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

Quick Lane Bowl

The Quick Lane Bowl is a post-season college football bowl game certified by the NCAA that began play in the 2014 season.

Teams:  Pitt (ACC) 7-5 / Eastern Michigan (MAC) 6-6

Bowl Location: Detroit, MI

Day, Date & Time: Thursday, December, 26, 2019, 6:00 EST

Network: ESPN

Best Win(s): Pitt: beat Central Florida (9-3) 35-34, EMU: beat Illinois (6-6) 34-31!

Worst Loss(es): Pitt lost to Virginia (9-4), 30-14; EMU lost to Buffalo (8-5), 43-14! 

Common Opponents: None

Vegas Hot$heets Favorite: Pitt-11.5 (Current Line)

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is, say Notre Dame is playing Wisconsin … we take ND’s total yards on offense, add it to the number the Badgers give up on defense, we get a total and then divide the total by 2 to get an average. We then invert the process, we now take Wisconsin’s total offense, add it to what the Irish give up on defense, get a 2nd total, and then divide that number by 2, to get the second average! The greater number (with the exception of Turnovers, lower # wins) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed: 1) Total Yards, 2) Rushing, 3) Passing, 4) Scoring, 5) 3rd Down (Conversions /Stops), 6) Turnovers, 7) Red Zone Scores (TD’s & FG), & 8) Red Zone TD’s (only TD’s)!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Pittsburgh | Panthers Eastern Michigan | Eagles
Offense VS Defense 401 +1 354
Passing Off VS Def 239.5 +1 238
Rushing Off VS Def 161.5 +1 116
Scoring Off VS Def 25 25.5 +1
Turnovers Off VS Def 1.71 1.205 +1
3rd Conv Off VS Def 42.3 +1 35.2
Red Zone Scores 81 +1 79.5
Red Zone TDs 58.5 +1 52.5
Totals 6 2

Pittsburgh WINS Trophy

This will mark the 3rd meeting all-time between these programs, more of which were played since 2009! 

Neither coach has won an FBS Bowl game. 

Pitt is -8 in Turnover Margin while Eastern Michigan Michigan is plus 4. Pitt is slightly better on 3rd Down Conversions, 39.6% to 38.7%, However, Pitt has a significant advantage on 3rd Down stops; the Panthers is stopping opponents 68.3% of the time on the money down (31.7% Conversion Rate) while EMU stops are @ 55.0% on 3rd Down (45.0% Conversion Rate). 

Neither one of these teams runs the ball effectively, EMU is 119th in the country @ 121.9 YPG while Pitt is 121st  @ 120.7 YPG! However, EMU led the MAC in passing yards & TD’s (280.8 YPG & 25 TD’s) while Pitt was @ 243.4 YPG & 14 TD’s! Finally, Pitt largest margin of victory this season was 10 points, twice, Ohio 20-10 & G-Tech, 20-10! 

Sully Says: Take EMU & the 11.5!

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