Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

Ten Best Games of Week 7

10.  South Carolina 4-2 @ Tennessee 3-2: The visitor is 2-8 in the last 10, Tennessee won at South Carolina, 45-42, in 2015, and the Gamecocks returned the favor in 2016 beating the Volunteers, 27-24! To date, SC’s best win was their season opener against NC State, 35-28, in Charlotte and while the Vols best was beating Georgia Tech, 42-41 in OT @ the Georgia Dome. Vegas Hot$heets like the Volunteers -2.5  while the SCFP Game Simulator says Carolina 5-3 in the 8 categories assessed! (TV” 11:00 A.M. ESPN Network)

9. Michigan State 4-1 @ Minnesota 3-2: The Spartans have beaten the Gophers 4 straight times, their last meeting was in Spartan Stadium, a MSU victory, 14-3, in 2013! State is coming off their biggest win of the year, a 14-10 win over Michigan! While Minnesota is limping around after taking a, 31-17, pounding at Purdue. The Golden Gophers started the season 3-0 but have lost 1st two conference games. Vegas Hot$heets like MSU -4.5, while SCFP Game Simulator thinks, by the numbers , Flip a coin, it’s a 4 to 4 statistical Tie!  (TV” 7:00 P.M. B-10 Network)

8. Boise State 3-2 @ San Diego State 6-0: These teams last met in 2014, a game won by Boise State, 38-29, that game was played at Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho! The Aztecs come into the game on a roll, having beat two PAC 12 teams, ASU, 30-20 and Stanford, 20-17. They also have one of the top 5 RBs in the country, Rashaad Penny. The Broncos are having a down year by their standards at 3-2, however, they are coming off a big win against one of their biggest rivals, BYU, 24-7!  Vegas Hot$heets like SDSU -7, while SCFP Game Simulator thinks, by the numbers , SDSU 7-1!  (TV” 9:30 P.M. BCSSN)

7. Texas A&M 4-2 @ Florida 3-2: Loser go Home! Both teams are coming off home field loses, A&M to Alabama, 27-19 & Florida to LSU, 17-16 and the way Georgia & Bama are playing, a second loss and your divisional title hopes are all but gone. Especially for the Aggies as they would need the Tide to lose twice in any head to head tie breaker! The Gators are 2-1 all-time vs the Aggies and the last time A&M was @ Ben Hill Griffin Stadium was in 1962, Florida won, 40-6, that game was the first meeting between the clubs. Last time these teams played was in 2012, Florida also won that one, 20-17!  Vegas Hot$heets like A&M  -4.5, while SCFP Game Simulator thinks, by the numbers, A&M 6-2!  (TV” 6:00 P.M. ESPN 2)

6.  West Virginia 3-2 @ Texas Tech 4-1: Kliff Kingsbury will your defense tackle someone this week? Your squad has given up 45 to Arizona State & 41 to Oklahoma State. True your Red Raiders are 4-1, but they had to score 51 vs ASU to be at that 4-1 mark. Will Grier and that WV offense have put up 56, 59, & 56 in the weeks prior to the game last week vs TCU, 31-24 loss. In fact, the Mountaineers lost to Virginia Tech by an identical, 31-24 score. Both the Horned Frogs & the Hokie defenses are outstanding, as is that WV offense. Best wishes if your plan is simply out score them! Vegas Hot$heets like WV  -7.5, while SCFP Game Simulator thinks, by the numbers , A toss up, 4 to 4 statistical Tie!   (TV” 11:00 A.M. ESPN U)

5. Navy 5-0 @ Memphis 4-1: Last time Navy was in Memphis, the Tigers were 8-0 and ranked 15th in the country. The teams played to a 17-17 half time tie and then. the Midshipmen put the pedal to the metal pulling away to 45-20 win. Last year Navy won an offensive dominated game, 42-28. With 3 minutes and some change left in the 4th quarter, the Tigers trailed by 7, 35-28, were driving for the tying score, but fumbled on Navy’s 43 yard line. The USNA then scored to put the game out of reach! Vegas Hot$heets like Memphis  -3, while SCFP Game Simulator thinks, by the numbers , it’s Navy, 5 to 3 statistical Victory!   (TV” 2:45 P.M. ESPN U)

4. Oklahoma 4-1 vs Texas 3-2: The Red River Shoot out has evolved into the Red River Rivalry in 2005 and then, changed again, in 2014, to the AT&T  Red River Showdown! These teams have been playing since 1900, this being the 112 meeting with Texas leading the series, 61-45-5. Oklahoma won last year in an actual “shoot out” 45-40, that score being somewhat unusual, as 12 of the last 19 games have been double digit wins! Bob Stoops was 11-7 in this game (Most OU wins vs Texas) while the Lincoln Riley & Tom Herman face off for the first time! Vegas Hot$heets like Oklahoma  -8.5, while SCFP Game Simulator thinks, by the numbers , it’s OU in a 6 to 2 statistical Victory!   (TV” 2:30 P.M. ESPN)

3. Georgia Tech 3-1 @ Miami 4-0: Last time the Rambling Wreck were in Miami, they took their opening possession into the End Zone for a 7-0 lead. Miami scored the next 31 points and went on to win 38-21. Last year, the game was tied at 7 and then Miami put up 21 straight on their way to a 35-21 victory. The Canes are 7 and 1 in the last 8 games vs Tech, but were just 2-6 in the previous 8! Vegas Hot$heets like Miami -10.5, (The opening line has changed to -5.5) while SCFP Game Simulator thinks, by the numbers , it’s the U in a 5 to 3 statistical Victory!   (TV” 2:30 P.M. ESPN)

2. Auburn 5-1 @ LSU 4-2: This game is an absolute must win for LSU if they are to have any hope to stay alive in the West Division. Their win last week over and at Florida, 17-16, was impressive, given that they lost to Troy the previous week, 24-21! A second loss to a West Division opponent and its Good Night Irene for the Tigers! A win here by LSU and the possibilities seem endless! Meanwhile, Auburn has only one loss this season, 14-6 to Clemson! The Tigers (The Auburn Tigers) are 3-0 in the SEC, with wins over Missouri 51-14, Ole Miss 49-10, & Mississippi State 44-28! Vegas Hot$heets like Auburn -5.0, while SCFP Game Simulator thinks, by the numbers , it’s Auburn, 7 to 1 statistical Victory!   (TV” 2:30 P.M. CBS)

1. Utah 4-1 @ USC 5-1:  The SC loss to Washington State, 20-17, hurt but was not a death knell from winning the P-12 and even getting into the play-offs. A loss this week to Utah and a P-12 South Championship is in serious doubt or a loss next week, in South Bend, would do the same to their play-off hopes in 2017! Put simply, the Trojans must win the next 2 games to  get the poll position back in the P-12 South Division! The Utes come in off a tough loss to Stanford, 23-20 and cannot absorb a second conference lost to a team they may very well need to have the tie-breaker against! Vegas Hot$heets like USC -13.0, while SCFP Game Simulator thinks, by the numbers , it’s USC, 5 to 3 statistical Victory!   (TV” 7:00 P.M. ABC)

 

 

 

 

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