Western Kentucky 1-1 @ Kentucky 1-1: Sully’s CFP has picked Kentucky in each of the past two weeks…. and with 1-1 results… We like them again… an SEC team giving a Sun Belt team only 7 points… That said… Louisiana Monroe (Sun Belt) did beat Arkansas (SEC) a week ago … If anything…. that should help the Wildcats focus on the task at hand. Kentucky handled Kent State this past week-end 47-14 while the Hilltoppers were taking one on the chin from Bama, 35-0. In this in-state battle the Wildcats have had their way with WKU, 41-7 in 08, 63-28 in 2010 and 14-3 last year. Take Kentucky to win and cover!
Boston College 1-1 @ Northwestern 2-0: The Wildcats are giving BC 4 points and are coming off an impressive win against Vanderbilt 23-13… This is the same Vandy Team that took South Carolina to task …. before falling short 17-13. BC scored 32 on a weak Miami of Florida before losing 41-32 and then hammered an FCS opponent, Maine, 34-3. Northwestern is taking on three BCS opponents (Syracuse, Vanderbilt & now… BC) to start the season. NU beat a good Syracuse (based on how the Orange played USC 29-42 ) 42-41, as mentioned… they beat the Commodores and will handle BC. Take Northwestern win and cover.
Northern Illinois 1-1 @ Army 0-1: NIU is giving Army 2.5 to 3 points in a game being played on Army’s home turf … Michie Stadium. Last year the Huskies beat the Black Knights 49-24 in DeKalb out gaining the Cadets 509 to 409… NIU also was an amazing 11 of 13 on 3rd down conversions.This year Army returns 15 starters… 7 on offense and 8 on defense .. including their QB. Northern returns only 12 starters… 4 on offense and 8 on defense… but not the QB. This year Army was hammered by San Diego State 42-7… while NIU has played well ….. losing to Iowa 18-17 and then stomping a FCS team …. Tennessee Martin 35-7 … NIU will win and cover!
Western Michigan 1-1 @ Minnesota 2-0: These teams have met 3 times… with the Golden Gophers winning all three… two were shutouts…. the last meeting …. however…. was in 1977… Minnesota’s Coach Jerry Kill is 2-2 against Western in his recent time spent coaching Southern & Northern Illinois… winning the last two games. He is at home with at least…. arguably…… better talent in a Big Ten school. Minnesota survived in Las Vegas against a weak UNLV team…. 30-27 in OT and then hammered New Hampshire, an FCS team, 44-7, The Leathernecks were pounded by the Illini 24-7 in Urbana-Champaign and then hammered a Eastern Illinois, an FCS team 52-21. Take the Gophers @ home and give the 2.5 to 3 points.
Navy 0-1 @ Penn State 0-2: The Nittany Lions are at home against a weak Navy team (50-10 loss to the Irish in Ireland) and giving 5.5 to 6 points… How the mighty have fallen! This is the 38th meeting between these programs… but they have not played since 1974. PSU has won 25 straight non conference games against non BCS opponents … by an average score of 41-9! PSU was a missed field goal at the end of regulation (in fact … they missed four) of beating Virginia last week …. a 17-16 loss. Look for a massively supportive crowd at Beaver Stadium (in excess of 100,000) and the lions to get their 1st win under Bill O’Brien. Penn State wins and covers!
Kansas @ TCU: This will mark TCU’s first game back in the big time (from a conference perspective…pretty sure the Rose Bowl counts as the big time)…. for the first time…since its Southwest Conference days! The folks in Fort Worth have wanted a shot @ the big boys … on a week-in … week-out basis…… for a long time and it begins on Saturday. The Kansas Jayhawks come-a-calling and they do so…. without a defense to speak of…. No D Charlie is at it again… In their two games against South Dakota State (31-17 win) and Rice (25-24 loss) “The Birds” surrendered over 400 yards of total offense in both games. SDS ran for over 200 yards and Rice rushed for 167…. think about the physical play of TCU compared to Rice and South Dakota State. TCU is giving 20.5 to 21 points… a lot of points to be sure… but given the nature & significance of the game for TCU …… coupled with Kansas’ Defense… Take TCU to win and cover!
Heading into week three….. Sully’s CFP has picked 11 games…. correct in 7 of the predictions while faltering in 4 of the assessments.
Please note: these picks are intended as a test of Sully’s CFP insight…. for entertainment purposes only!
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