Valero Alamo Bowl

Bowl History: The Valero Alamo Bowl  …. the NCAA certified the Bowl in 1993 and the game has been played annually since that time! The first game in this bowl series took place on December, 31, 1993 … California beat Iowa, 37-3 while last years game featured, Baylor and Washington, a game won by the Bears (Baylor), 67-56! This 2011 game, as you may suspect, broke the all time record for total points scored in Alamo Bowl History, 123. The Alamo Bowl has a great TV following …..  as it has produced 8 of ESPN’s top 20 most watched Bowl Games! Further, the Alamo Bowl has sold out 7 times in its 16 year history … Impressive …. given overall Bowl Attendance the past few years! Finally, the conference tie-ins are Big 12 /PAC 12 & the Bowl Pay out is $3,000,000.00!

Teams: Oregon State: Conference Affiliation: PAC 12; Overall Record 9-3, Conference Record 6-3, Divisional Record 2-3 (PAC 12’s North Division) vs …. Texas: Conference Affiliation: Big 12; Overall Record 8-4, Conference Record: 5-4!

Bowl Location: San Antonio, Texas @ the Alamodome, the seating capacity @ the facility is 65,438. Last year’s game which featured Baylor and Washington, was attended by 65,256 or 100.39% of the Alamodome’s capacity.

Day, Date, & Time: Saturday, 12/29/2012 @ 5:45 p.m. CST

Network: ESPN

Best Wins: Oregon State: beat UCLA 27-20, Arizona, 38-35, BYU 42-24, & Arizona State 36-26; Texas: stopped Ole Miss 66-31, Oklahoma State 41-36, Baylor 56-50, Texas Tech 31-22, & Iowa State 33-7! All Nine of these teams that, OSU & Texas, defeated …. are bowl eligible!

Worst Losses: Oregon State: Oregon 48-24 Texas: Oklahoma 63-21

Common Opponents: None

Las Vegas Hotsheet: Game opened @ Oregon State -1.5 has moved to Oregon State -3.5

Offensive Team Data: Oregon State: Total Yards, 444 YPG; Passing Yards, 314 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 130 YPG; Scoring Average 33 PPG, Turnovers, 1.58 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 35.2%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 91% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 72%

Offensive Team Data: Texas: Total Yards, 441 YPG; Passing Yards, 262 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 179 YPG; Scoring Average 36 PPG, Turnovers, 1.25 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 50.3%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 85% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 70%

Defensive Team Data: Oregon State: Total Yards, 358 YPG; Passing Yards, 220 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 138 YPG; Scoring Average 20 PPG, Turnovers, 2.5 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 32.5%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 84% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 63%

Defensive Team Data: Texas: Total Yards, 412 YPG; Passing Yards, 214 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 199 YPG; Scoring Average 29 PPG, Turnovers, 1.5 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 37.5%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 92% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 60%

Sully’s Game Simulator:  is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will perform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take OSU’s total yards on offense, add it to what Texas gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Texas’s total offense, add it to what Oregon State gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards:  Advantage OSU 428 to 400

Passing Yards: Advantage OSU 264 to 241

Rushing Yards: Advantage  OSU 165 to 159

Scoring: Advantage OSU 31 to 28

Turnovers: Advantage OSU 1.54 to 1.88

3rd Down Conversions: Advantage Texas 41.4% to 36.4%

Red Zone All Scores: Advantage OSU 92% to 85%

Red Zone TD’s Only: Advantage Texas 67% to 66%

Individuals to Watch: OSU: QB, Sean Mannion has passed for 2,446 yards, 15 TD’s, 13 INT’s and completed 65% of his attempts! WRs Marcus Wheaton & Brandin Cooks have both surpassed the 1000 yard make in receiving yards. Wheaton has scored 11 TD’s while Cooks is averaging 17. 5 yards per reception! Texas: let’s start with who you will not be able to watch LB, Jordan Hicks & QB, Case McCoy have been sent home for violating team rules … more to follow on this … but not today! QB, Davis Ash, has passed for 2,456 yards, 17 TD’s, 7 INT’s and a completion percentage of 68! OSU & Texas have met twice before with Texas winning both times, the most recent being 1987 …. a 61 to 16 spanking! Texas won its last appearance in the Alamo Bowl beating Iowa in 2006, Horns 26 to Hawks 24! 

Sully Says:From Coach Brown … “Thanks Jordan & Kyle” … this is just what Mack was hoping for … a public mess the day before the game …. that will probably go legal shortly. I believe the ESPN “Talking Heads” are wrong about the PAC 12 being better then the Big 12 (9 of the Big 12’s 10 teams are in bowls) @ least that is what some of them have said PAC 12 is the second best conference behind the SEC …. Sully’s CFP Says … Take Texas and the 3.5 points  …and hope the rest of the team overcomes the behavior of those two dopes … I think they will!