Heart of Dallas Bowl

Bowl History: The Heart of Dallas Bowl was formally known as the Ticket City Bowl. The game was first played on January 1, 2011, Texas Tech survived Northwestern, 45-38, while last year’s game (2012 …sounds strange … does it not) pitted Houston against Penn State, Cougars beat the Lions, 30-14! Conference tie-ins Big Ten / Big 12 …. & …. in 2013 …. Big Ten / C-USA! The Bowl payout is $1,200,000.00

Teams: Oklahoma State: Conference Affiliation: Big 12; Overall Record 7-5, Conference Record 5-4, vs Purdue: Conference Affiliation: Big Ten; Overall Record 6-6, Conference Record: 3-5, Divisional Record 2-3 (Big Ten’s Leaders Division)

Bowl Location: Dallas, Texas … played @ the Cotton Bowl, the seating capacity @ the facility is 92,100. Last year’s game which featured Houston and Penn State, was attended by 46,817 or 50.83% of the Cotton Bowl’s capacity.

Day, Date, & Time: Tuesday, 1/1/13 @ 11:00 a.m. CST

Network: ESPNU

Best Wins: OSU: beat West Virginia, 55-34, Texas Tech, 59-21, ISU, 31-10 & TCU, 36-14; Purdue: did not beat a team that had a winning record in 2012!

Worst Losses: OSU: lost to Oklahoma 51-48 in OT, & Arizona 59-38; Purdue: lost to # 1 ND, 20-17 & undefeated Ohio State in OT, 29-22!

Common Opponents: None

Las Vegas Hotsheet: The game opened @ Oklahoma State -14.4 and has moved to OSU -17

Offensive Team Data: Oklahoma State: Total Yards, 549 YPG; Passing Yards, 333 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 216 YPG; Scoring Average 45 PPG, Turnovers, 1.83 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 47.1%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 92% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 67%

Offensive Team Data: Purdue: Total Yards, 406 YPG; Passing Yards, 241 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 165 YPG; Scoring Average 30 PPG, Turnovers, 1.83 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 40.2%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 79% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 64%

Defensive Team Data:Oklahoma State: Total Yards, 426 YPG; Passing Yards, 286 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 141 YPG; Scoring Average 29 PPG, Turnovers, 1.42 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 36.5%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 78% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 57%

Defensive Team Data: Purdue: Total Yards, 407 YPG; Passing Yards, 228 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 179 YPG; Scoring Average 29 PPG, Turnovers, 2.08 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 41.5%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 87% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 63%

Sully’s Game Simulator: is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will perform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take OSU’s total yards on offense, add it to what Purdue gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Purdue’s total offense, add it to what OSU gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards:  Advantage  OSU 478 to 416

Passing Yards: Advantage OSU 281 to 264

Rushing Yards: Advantage OSU 198 to 153

Scoring: Advantage OSU 37 to 30

Turnovers: Advantage Purdue 1.63 to 1.96

3rd Down Conversions: Advantage OSU 44.3% to 38.4%

Red Zone All Scores: Advantage OSU 90% to 79%

Red Zone TD’s Only: Advantage OSU 65% to 61%

Individuals to Watch: Oklahoma State: WR, Josh Stewart, 1,154 yards, 8 TD’s, and an average of 11.0 yards per catch; QBs J.W. Walsh & Clint Shelf have passed for a combined 2800 plus yards & 23 TD’s to 9 INT’s. Shelf will start against Purdue! Purdue: QBs, Caleb TerBush & Robert Marve have passed for 2600 plus yards and 25 TD’s to 11 INT’s!

Sully Says: Purdue Coach Danny Hope (22-27 in his 4 seasons) was fired at the completion of the 2012 season …. rarely a good thing for bowl preparation; and on the negative side for Oklahoma State, they lost their last two regular season games (Oklahoma & Baylor). So neither team is high stepping into this game! The Game Simulator is all over Oklahoma State … favoring them in seven of the eight categories! Sully’s CFP says …. Ok State wins this game … the 17 points is the question …. given the fact that Purdue played Ohio State & ND to the wire suggest that 17 is to many for the Cowboys to be giving … while having new leadership on the sideline says 17 is not enough … Sully Says … Oklahoma State wins but does not cover!