Capital One Bowl 2013 South Carolina vs Wisconsin

Bowl History:  The Capital Bowl has been around since 1947, known as the Tangerine Bowl (1947 to 1982), the Florida Citrus Bowl (1983 to 2002) and the Capital One Bowl 2003 to present! The first game was played on January 1, 1947… in which Catawba beat Maryville, 31-0! Last year’s game was won by Georgia over Nebraska, 45-31! The Conference tie-ins are the SEC & the Big Ten and the Bowl payout is $4,550,000.00!

Teams: Wisconsin: Conference Affiliation: Big 10; Overall Record 9-3, Conference Record 6-2, Divisional Record 3-2 (Big Ten’s Leaders Division) vs South Carolina Conference Affiliation: SEC; Overall Record 10-2, Conference Record: 6-2, Divisional Record 4-2 (SEC’s East Division)

Bowl Location: Orlando, Florida … played @ the Citrus Bowl, the seating capacity @ the facility is 65,538. Last year’s game which featured Nebraska and Georgia, was attended by 59,712.

Day, Date & Time: Wednesday, 1/1/ 2014 @ 12:00p.m.

Network: ESPN

Best Win(s): Wisconsin: Iowa 28-9 & BYU 27-17; South Carolina: UCF 28-25, Missouri 27-24 in OT, & Clemson 31-17.

Worst Losses: Penn State 31-24; South Carolina: Tennessee 23-21!

Common Opponents: None!

Las Vegas Hotsheet Favorite: Wisconsin -1

Offensive Team Data: South Carolina; Total Yards,  454 YPG; Passing Yards,  249 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  205 YPG; Scoring Average,  34 PPG, Turnovers,  1.25 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 42.7%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 81% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 69%

Offensive Team Data: Wisconsin; Total Yards,  487 YPG; Passing Yards, 204 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 283 YPG; Scoring Average  36 PPG, Turnovers,  1.25 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 41.7%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 81% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 71%

Defensive Team Data: South Carolina; Total Yards,  345 YPG; Passing Yards,  203 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  142 YPG; Scoring Average,  20 PPG, Turnovers,  2.17 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 37.2%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 83% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 61%

Defensive Team Data: ; Total Yards,  293 YPG; Passing Yards,  191 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  101 YPG; Scoring Average,  15 PPG, Turnovers,  1.5 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 30.6%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 73% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 37%

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take USC’s total yards on offense, add it to what Wisconsin gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Wisconsin’s total offense, add it to what South Carolina gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards:  Advantage, Wisconsin …. 416 to 374

Passing Yards: Advantage, South Carolina …. 221 to 204

Rushing Yards: Advantage, Wisconsin …. 213 to 153

Scoring: Advantage, Wisconsin…. 28 to 25

Turnovers: Advantage, South Carolina … 1.38 to 1.71

3rd Down Conversions: Advantage, Wisconsin… 39.45 to 36.65

Red Zone All Scores: Advantage, Wisconsin … 82% to 77%

Red Zone TD’s Only: Advantage,  Wisconsin … 66% to 53%

Individuals to Watch: South Carolina: QB Connor Shaw 2135 Passing Yards, 21 TD’s & 1 INT & RB Mike Davis Rushing Yards 1134 & 11 TD’s; Wisconsin: QB Joel Stave 2414 passing yards, 20 TD’s & 12 INT’s, WR Jared Abdrederis 73 receptions, 1051 receiving yards, and 7 TD’s & RB Melvin Gordam 1466 rushing yards & 12 TD’s

Sully Says: #’s do lie … South Carolina by more than a TD .. but less than 10!