Bowl History: This Bowl was first played in 2002, the NCAA certified the Bowl as the Queen City Bowl …. even though it has never been called that …. it remains the Official Name of the bowl! The Queen City Bowl has been known as the Continental Tire Bowl …2002 through 2004 … Meineke Care Car Bowl …. 2004 – 2010 …. and when Belk took over sponsorship in 2011 …. the Belk Bowl. The Bowl tie-ins are ACC vs Big East! On December 28, 2002, the inaugural game was played between Virginia & West Virginia …. won by Virginia, 48-22! Last year’s game (2012) featured Cincinnati against Duke… Cincy prevailed, 48-34! The Belk Bowl payout is 1.7 million per team!
Teams: UNC: Conference Affiliation: ACC; Overall Record 6-6, Conference Record 4-4 Division Record 2-4 (Coastal Division) vs Cincinnati: Conference Affiliation: AAC; Overall Record 9-3; Conference Record 6-2!
Bowl Location: Charlotte, North Carolina …. Game played at Bank of America Stadium. Stadium Capacity is 73,778 leaving the 2012 attendance of 48,128 a decrease from last year’s crowd by 10.299!
Day, Date & Time: Saturday, 12/28/2013 @ 2:30 p.m. CST
Network: ESPN
Best Win(s): Cincinnati: Houston 24-17; UNC: Boston College34-10
Worst Losses: Cincinnati: Illinois 45-17; UNC: East Carolina 55-31
Common Opponents: None
Las Vegas Hotsheet Favorite: UNC -2.5
Offensive Team Data: UNC ; Total Yards, 433 YPG; Passing Yards, 282 YPG; Rushing Yards, 150 YPG; Scoring Average, 33 PPG, Turnovers, 1.46 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 41.6%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 93% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 64%
Offensive Team Data: Cincinnati ; Total Yards, 479 YPG; Passing Yards, 308YPG; Rushing Yards, 171 YPG; Scoring Average 34 PPG, Turnovers, 2.23 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 49.7%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 77% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 68%
Defensive Team Data: UNC ; Total Yards, 410 YPG; Passing Yards, 225 YPG; Rushing Yards, 185 YPG; Scoring Average, 26 PPG, Turnovers, 2.26 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 41.3%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 88% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 57%
Defensive Team Data: Cincinnati; Total Yards, 323 YPG; Passing Yards, 216 YPG; Rushing Yards, 106 YPG; Scoring Average, 21 PPG, Turnovers, 1.69 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 36.3%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 74% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 48%
Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take UNC’s total yards on offense, add it to what Cincy gives up on defense, … get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Cincinnati’s total offense, add it to what North Carolina gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2 to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed! That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:
Total Yards: Advantage, Cincy …. 445 to 378
Rushing Yards: Advantage, Cincy …. 267 to 249
Rushing: Advantage, Cincy …. 178 to 128
Scoring: Advantage, Cincy … 30 t0 27
3rd Down Conversions: Advantage, Cincy … 45.5% to 38.95%
Red Zone All Scores: Advantage, UNC … 84% to 83%
Red Zone TD’s Only: Advantage, Cincy… 63% to 56%
Individuals to Watch: UNC has played the better schedule … Cincy did not play a bowl eligible team until 11/23/13
Sully Says: #’s Do Lie UNC wins and Covers!
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