Bowl History: The Heart of Dallas Bowl was formally known as the Ticket City Bowl. The game was first played on January 1, 2011, Texas Tech survived Northwestern, 45-38, while the 2012 game pitted Houston against Penn State, Cougars beat the Lions, 30-14! Conference tie-ins Big Ten / Big 12 & in 2013 Big Ten / C-USA! The Bowl payout is $1,200,000.00. The bowl’s full name is the Zaxby’s Heart of Dallas Bowl. Zaxby’s took over as title sponsor after Plains Capital Bank withdrew after the 2013 season event; Zaxby’s became the primary sponsor in time for the 2014–15 and has continued in that role to the present!
Teams: Army 7-5 (IND) vs North Texas 5-7 (C-USA)
Bowl Location: Cotton Bowl, Dallas, Texas
Day, Date & Time: Tuesday, December 27, 2016, 11:00 a.m. CST
Network: ESPN
Best Win(s): Army beat Navy (9-4) 21-17, Wafe Forest (6-6), 21-13; North Texas Beat Southern Miss (7-6), 29-23
Worst Losses: Buffalo (2-10) 23-20, Duke (4-8) 13-6,
Common Opponents: These teams played one another, North Texas won 35-18, Rice: Army won,. 31-14 & NT won 42-35, UTEP: Army won 66-14 while North Texas lost 52-24
Vegas Hotsheets Favorite: Army -9
Offensive Team Data: Army ; Total Yards, 404 YPG; Passing Yards, 84 YPG; Rushing Yards, 320 YPG; Scoring Average, 29 PPG, Turnovers, 2 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 46.2%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 80% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 70%
Offensive Team Data: N Texas ; Total Yards, 336 YPG; Passing Yards, 200 YPG; Rushing Yards, 137 YPG; Scoring Average 24 PPG, Turnovers, 1.75 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 34.3%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 81% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 68%
Defensive Team Data: Army ; Total Yards, 283 YPG; Passing Yards, 150 YPG; Rushing Yards, 133 YPG; Scoring Average, 19 PPG, Turnovers, 1.67 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 37.7%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 90% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 62%
Defensive Team Data: N Texas ; Total Yards, 436 YPG; Passing Yards, 217 YPG; Rushing Yards, 220 YPG; Scoring Average, 32 PPG, Turnovers, 1.75 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 46%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 85% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 62%
Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Arizona’s total yards on offense, add it to what Nevada gives up on defense, … get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Nevada’s total offense, add it to what Arizona gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2 to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed! That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:
Total Yards Advantage: Army 420 to 309.5
Passing Yards Advantage: N Texas 175 to 150.5
Rushing Yard Advantage: Army 270 to 135
Scoring Advantage: Army 30.5 to 21.5
Turnovers Advantage: N Texas 1.71 to 1.875
3rd Down Conversions Advantage: Army 46.1 to 36
Red Zone All Scores Advantage: N Texas 85.5 to 82.5
Red Zone TD’s Only Advantage: Army 66 to 65
The Game Simulator Says: A statistical win for Army 5 to 3! Site thinks Army 31 North Teaxas 22, interestingly Vegas agrees making a Army a 9 point favorite. Not sure way, N. Texas won the regular season game, 35-18! The Site says this game is a draw!
Individuals to Watch: NT QB Mason Fine 6/5 ratio and 1572 passing yards, RB Andy Davidson, 905 Rushing Yards & 11 TD’s
Sully Says: Army has the nations second best rushing attack and N. Texas has the 105th worst run defense. Army wims but does not cover the 9 points!
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