Bowl History: The Foster Farms Bowl is a post-season college football game certified by the NCAA that has been played annually since 2002. The game is currently sponsored by the Foster Farms poultry company. It was previously known as the Fight Hunger Bowl in 2013, the Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl from 2010 to 2012 due to its sponsorship by Kraft Foods, as the Emerald Bowl from 2004 to 2009, and as the Diamond Walnut San Francisco Bowl, from 2002 to 2003, in recognition of the corporate title sponsor, Diamond Foods. From 2002 to 2013, the annual game was played at 40,800-seat AT&T Park, home of the SF Giants, in San Francisco, California. Starting in 2014, it has been played at Levi’s Stadium home of the SF 49er’s, in Santa Clara, California.
Teams: Indiana 6-6 (B-10) Utah 8-4 (P-12)
Bowl Location: Levi Stadium, Santa Clara, California
Day, Date & Time: Wednesday, December 28, 2016, 7:30 p.m. CST
Network: Fox Sports
Best Win(s): Utah beat USC (9-3) 31-27 & BYU 20-19; Indiana beat Maryland (6-6), 42-36
Worst Losses: Utah lost to Oregon (4-8) 30-28; Indiana OSU (11-1) 38-17
Common Opponents: None
Vegas Hotsheets Favorite: Utah -7.5
Offensive Team Data: Indiana ; Total Yards, 436 YPG; Passing Yards, 253 YPG; Rushing Yards, 183 YPG; Scoring Average, 26 PPG, Turnovers, 2.17 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 39.6%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 71% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 49%
Offensive Team Data: Utah ; Total Yards, 427 YPG; Passing Yards, 217 YPG; Rushing Yards, 211 YPG; Scoring Average 30 PPG, Turnovers, 1.75 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 37.6%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 76% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 50%
Defensive Team Data: Indiana ; Total Yards, 372 YPG; Passing Yards, 220 YPG; Rushing Yards, 152 YPG; Scoring Average, 27 PPG, Turnovers, 1.67 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 32.8%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 88% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 56%
Defensive Team Data: Utah ; Total Yards, 390 YPG; Passing Yards, 259 YPG; Rushing Yards, 130 YPG; Scoring Average, 24 PPG, Turnovers, 2.33 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 38.5%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 100% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 57%
Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Arizona’s total yards on offense, add it to what Nevada gives up on defense, … get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Nevada’s total offense, add it to what Arizona gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2 to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed! That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:
Total Yards Advantage: Indiana 413 to 399.5
Passing Yards Advantage: Indiana 256 to 218.5
Rushing Yard Advantage: Utah 181.5 to 156.5
Scoring Advantage: Utah 28.5 to 25
Turnovers Advantage: Utah 1.71 to 2.25
3rd Down Conversions Advantage: Indiana 39.05 to 35.2
Red Zone All Scores Advantage: Indiana 85.5 to 82
Red Zone TD’s Only Advantage: TIE Indiana 53, Utah 53
The Game Simulator Says: In the number world, Indiana 5, Utah 4, Utah is giving Indaian 7.5 points GS thinks that is too many, Take Indiana and the points
Individuals to Watch: IU’s QB, Richard Lagow, 18/16 ratio, 264.5 YPG, Utah QB, Troy Williams, 15/7 214.9 YPG!
Sully Says: Take Indiana and the 7.5 as Utah wins but does not cover