Bowl History: The Valero Alamo Bowl was certified by the NCAA in 1993 and the game has been played annually since that time! The first game in this bowl series took place on December, 31, 1993, California beat Iowa, 37-3 while last years game featured, TCU and Oregon, a game won by the Frogs (TCU), 47-41, in 3 OT’s! The Alamo Bowl has a great TV following as it has produced 8 of ESPN’s top 20 most watched Bowl Games! Further, the Alamo Bowl has sold out 7 times in its 16 year history, Impressive given overall decline in Bowl Attendance the past few years! Finally, the conference tie-ins are Big 12 /PAC 12 & the Bowl Pay out is $3,825,000.00!
Teams: Oklahoma State 9-3 (B-12) Colorado 9-4 (P-12)
Bowl Location: Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas
Day, Date & Time: Thursday, December 29.2016, 8:00 p.m. CST
Network: ESPN
Best Win(s): Oklahoma State Beat West Virginia (9-3), 34-10; Colorado beat Stanford (9-3) 10-5
Worst Losses: Oklahoma State lost to Central Michigan, 30-27; Colorado lost to Washington (12-1) 41-10
Common Opponents: None
Vegas Hotsheets Favorite: Colorado -2
Offensive Team Data: Oklahoma State ; Total Yards, 491 YPG; Passing Yards, 321 YPG; Rushing Yards, 170 YPG; Scoring Average, 39 PPG, Turnovers, 1.17 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 42.4%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 88% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 63%
Offensive Team Data: Colorado ; Total Yards, 419 YPG; Passing Yards, 235 YPG; Rushing Yards, 184 YPG; Scoring Average 33 PPG, Turnovers, 1.62 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 41.9%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 89% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 65%
Defensive Team Data: Oklahoma State ; Total Yards, 453 YPG; Passing Yards, 251 YPG; Rushing Yards, 202 YPG; Scoring Average, 28 PPG, Turnovers, 2 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 39.4%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 75% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 63%
Defensive Team Data: Colorado ; Total Yards, 356 YPG; Passing Yards, 202 YPG; Rushing Yards, 153 YPG; Scoring Average, 20 PPG, Turnovers, 1.85 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 87.1%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 69% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 47%
Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Arizona’s total yards on offense, add it to what Nevada gives up on defense, … get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Nevada’s total offense, add it to what Arizona gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2 to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed! That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:
Total Yards Advantage: Colorado 436 to 423.5
Passing Yards Advantage: Oklahoma State 261.5 to 243
Rushing Yard Advantage: Colorado 193 to 161.5
Scoring Advantage: Colorado 30.5 to 29.5
Turnovers Advantage: Oklahoma State 1.51 to 1.81
3rd Down Conversions Advantage: Oklahoma State 64.75 to 40.65
Red Zone All Scores Advantage: Colorado 82 to 78.5
Red Zone TD’s Only Advantage: Colorado 64 to 55
The Game Simulator Says: Colorado 5, Oklahoma State 3; GS thinks Colorado win the game, 31-30,but does not cover the 2 points. take OSU and the 2 points
Individuals to Watch: OSU QB Mason Rudolph 25/4 Ratio, Colorado Sefo Liufau 11/6 Ratio
Sully Says: Colorado wins ands covers
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