AutoZone Liberty Bowl

Bowl History: The AutoZone Liberty Bowl was established in 1959 and the game has been played annually since that time! The first game in this bowl series took place on December, 19, 1959, Penn State beat Alabama, 7-0 while last year’s game (2015) featured, Texas A&M and West Virginia, a game won by the Aggies (A&M), 45-37! . Finally, the conference tie-ins are SEC & Big 12 & the Bowl Pay out is $2,400,000.00

Teams: Georgia 7-5 & TCU 6-6

Bowl Location: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, Tennessee

Day, Date & Time: Friday, December 30, 2016, 11:00 p.m. CST

Network: ESPN

Best Win(s): Georgia beat Auburn (8-4), 13-7; TCU beat Baylor, 62-22

Worst Losses: Georgia lost to Ole Miss (5-7) 45-14; TCU lost to Kansas State (8-4), 30-6

Common Opponents: None

Vegas Hotsheets Favorite: Georgia -1.5

Offensive Team Data: Georgia ; Total Yards,  369 YPG; Passing Yards,  193 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  176 YPG; Scoring Average,  24 PPG, Turnovers,  1.33 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 40%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 83% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 54%

Offensive Team Data: TCU ; Total Yards,  475 YPG; Passing Yards, 278 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 197 YPG; Scoring Average  32 PPG, Turnovers,  1.5 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 40.2%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 83% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 58%

Defensive Team Data: Georgia ; Total Yards,  342 YPG; Passing Yards,  190 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  152 YPG; Scoring Average,  24 PPG, Turnovers,  2 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 37.3%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 93% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 64%

Defensive Team Data: TCU ; Total Yards,  428 YPG; Passing Yards,  245 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  183 YPG; Scoring Average,  28 PPG, Turnovers,  1.08 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 43.1%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 94% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 50%

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Arizona’s total yards on offense, add it to what Nevada gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Nevada’s total offense, add it to what Arizona gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards Advantage: TCU 408.5 to 398.5

Passing Yards Advantage: TCU 234 to 219

Rushing Yard Advantage: Georgia 179.5 to 174.5

Scoring Advantage: TCU 28 to 26

Turnovers Advantage: Georgia 1.205 to 1.75

3rd Down Conversions Advantage: Georgia 41.55 to 38.75

Red Zone All Scores Advantage: Georgia 88.5 to 88

Red Zone TD’s Only Advantage: TCU 61 to 52

The Game Simulator Says: TIE Georgia 4, TCU 4; GS TCU wins & Covers

Individuals to Watch: 

Sully Says: Take Georgia and the points