Bowl History: This Bowl was first played in 1935 and has been held annually since the bowl’s inaugural game! The initial game was played on January 1, 1935, when Bucknell beat Miami of Florida, 26-0! The Orange Bowl celebrated its 75th anniversary in the 2009 rendition of the game, Virginia Tech beat Cincinnati, 20-7 and last year’s game had Clemson pounding Oklahoma 37- to 17! The Conference tie-ins are the ACC and Orange Bowl Committee Selection Team! The payout is $17,000,000.00 per team!
Teams: Michigan 10-2 (B-10) Florida State 9-3 (ACC)
Bowl Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
Day, Date & Time: Friday, December 30, 2016, 7:00 p.m CST
Network: ESPN
Best Win(s): Michigan beat Penn State (10-2), 49-10; Florida State beat Florida (8-4), 31-13
Worst Losses: Michigan lost Ohio State (11-1), 30-27 OT, Florida State lost to Louisville (9-3) 63-20
Common Opponents: None
Vegas Hotsheets Favorite: Michigan -6
Offensive Team Data: Michigan ; Total Yards, 439 YPG; Passing Yards, 216 YPG; Rushing Yards, 223 YPG; Scoring Average, 41 PPG, Turnovers, 0.92 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 44.2%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 91% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 67%
Offensive Team Data: Florida State ; Total Yards, 426 YPG; Passing Yards, 233 YPG; Rushing Yards, 193 YPG; Scoring Average 35 PPG, Turnovers, 1.42 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 44.6%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 96% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 76%
Defensive Team Data: Michigan ; Total Yards, 253 YPG; Passing Yards, 136 YPG; Rushing Yards, 117 YPG; Scoring Average, 13 PPG, Turnovers, 1.42 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 20.7%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 65% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 41%
Defensive Team Data: Florida State ; Total Yards, 325 YPG; Passing Yards, 200 YPG; Rushing Yards, 126 YPG; Scoring Average, 24 PPG, Turnovers, 1.33 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 33.6%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 83% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 83%
Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Arizona’s total yards on offense, add it to what Nevada gives up on defense, … get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Nevada’s total offense, add it to what Arizona gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2 to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed! That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:
Total Yards Advantage: Michigan 382 to 339.5
Passing Yards Advantage: Michigan 208 to 184.5
Rushing Yard Advantage: Michigan 174.5 to 155
Scoring Advantage: Michigan 32.5 to 24
Turnovers Advantage: Michigan 1.125 to 1.42
3rd Down Conversions Advantage: Michigan 38.9 to 32.65
Red Zone All Scores Advantage: Michigan 87 to 80.5
Red Zone TD’s Only Advantage: Michigan 75 to 58.5
The Game Simulator Says: Statistically, Michigan 8 Florida State 0: GS; Michigan wins 33-24 and covers the 6 points
Individuals to Watch: Michigan’s all everything, Jabrill Peppers & FSU All-American RB, Dalvin Cook
Sully Says: Michigan wins and covers!
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