Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

Sully vs Game Simulator vs Point Spread

I am getting hammered by my own creation, the Game Simulator is predicting game outcomes, factoring in the spread, with 70% accuracy; while Sully is stumbling along at 42%. This gives new meaning to the ” Rise of the Machine(s)”!! The worst part about this, is in looking back at results & rethinking (if U can call it thinking) …. I would, given the available info, likely do the same thing. In other wards, I had no Ah-ha moment! The picks were based on solid data that is on SCFP and some of these outcomes are puzzling, to say the least! Please review and let me know your thoughts!

December 17, 2016

Gildan New Mexico Bowl

Result: New Mexico 23 UTSA 20

Opening Line: New Mexico -7

Game Simulator (GS) Says: NM wins but does not cover; Winner; 1-0

Sully Says: NM wins and covers, Lobos won but did not cover, Loser; 0-1

Las Vegas Bowl Presented by Geico

Result: San Diego State 34 Houston 10

Opening Line: Houston -5

GS Says: Houston 30 San Diego State 29, Take SDSU and the 5 points, Winner; 2-0

Sully Says: Take Houston and give the 5 points to SDSU, Loser; 0-2

Raycom Media Comellia Bowl

Result: Appalachian State 31 Toledo 28

Opening Line: Appalachian State -1

GS Says: Toledo wins 28-27, take Toledo and the point; Loser; 2-1

Sully Says: Take Toledo and the point; Loser; 0-3

AutoNation Cure Bowl

Result: Arkansas State 31 (UCF) Central Florida 13

Opening Line: UCF -6.5

GS Says: UCF wins 26 to 25.5, take the points and Arkansas State, Winner; 3-1

Sully Says: Take UCF and give the 6.5, Loser; 0-4

R & L Carriers New Orleans Bowl

Result: Southern Miss 28 Louisiana Lafeyette 21

Opening Line: Southern Miss -6.5

GS Says: S. Miss wins but does not cover, Take Louisiana and the points, Loser; 3-2

Sully Says: Take Southern Miss and give the 6.5, Winner; 1-4

December 19, 2016

Miami Beash Bowl

Result: Tulas 55 Central Michigan 10

Opening Line: Tulsa 12.5

GS Says: Tulsa wins 35-30, Take CM and the points; Loser; 3-3

Sully Says: Take Tulsa, Give CM the 12.5 points, Winner; 2-4

December 20, 2016

Boca Raton Bowl

Result: Western Kentucky 51 Memphis 31

Opening Line: Western Kentucky -5

GS Says: WK beats Memphis 36-32, Take Memphis & the 5 points, Loser; 3-4

Sully Says: Take Memphis and the 5 Points, Loser; 2-5

December 21, 2016

San Diego County Credit Union, Poinsettia Bowl

Result: BYU 24 Wyoming 21

Opening Line: BYU -10

GS Says: BYU wins 33-28, Take Wyoming and the points, Winner, 4-4

Sullys Says: Take Wyoming and the 10, Winner; 3-5

December 22, 2016

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

Result: Idaho 61 Colorado State 50

Opening Line: Colorado State -13.5

GS Says: Colorado State wins 32-28, Take Idaho and the 13.5, Winner; 5-4 

SullySays: Take Colrado State and give Idaho  the 13.5, Loser; 3-6

December 23, 2016

Popeyes Bahamas Bowl

Result: Ols Dominion 24 Eastern Michigan 20

Opening Line: Ols Dominion -4

GS Says: Old Dominion wins 32-29; Take EM and the 4 points, Winner 6-4

Sully Says: Take OD and give EM the 4 points, Push; 3-6-1

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl

Result: Louisiana Teach 48 Navy 45

Opening Line: Navy -5

GS Says: LT wins 37-35, Take La Tech and give the Navy the 5 points Winner; 7-4

Sully Says: Take La Tech and give Navy the 5 points, Winner; 4-6-1

General Dollar Bowl

Result: Troy 28-Ohio 23

Opening Line: Troy -5

GS Says: Troy wins 28-25, Take Ohio and the 5 points, Push 7-4-1

Sully Says: Take Troy and give Ohio the 5 points, Push 4-6-2

December 24, 2016

Hawaii Bowl

Result: Hawaii 52 Middle Tennessee 35

Opening Line: Middle Tennessee -4.5

GS Says: MT wins 39-30, Take MT and give Hawaii the 4.5 points, Loser; 7-5-1

Sully Says: take MT and give Hawaii the 4.5 points, Loser, 4-7-2

December 26,2016

St. Petersburg Bowl

Result: Mississppi Syaye 17 Miami OH 16

Opening Line: Mississippi State 11.5

GS Says: Take Miami and the 11 Points! Winner, 8-5-1

Sully Says, Take Mississippi and give the 11 points! Loser, 4-8-2

Quick Lane Bowl

Result: BC 36 Maryland 30

Opening Line: BC -1

GS Says: Take Maryland and the point! Winner, 9-5-1

Sully Says: Take Maryland and the point! Winner, 5-8-2

Camping World Independance Bowl

Result: NC State 41 Vanberbilt 17

Opening Line: NC State -3.5

GS Says: Take Vandy and the points, Loser 9-6-1

Sully Says: NC State wins and covers! Winner, 6-8-2

December 27, 2016

Zaxby’s Heart of Dallas Bowl

Result: Army 38 North Texas 31 OT

Opening Line: Army -9

GS Says: Predicted an Army victory, 31-22, plus the 9; Draw, 9-6-1

Sully Says: Take North Texas and the points, Winner 7-8-2

Military Bowl Presented Northrop Grumman

Result: Wake Forest 34 Temple 26

Opening Line: Temple -13

GS Says: Take Wake and the points, Winner, 10-6-1

Sully Says: Take WF and the points! Winner 8-8-2

National Funding Holiday Bowl

Result: Minnesota 17 Washington State 12

Opening Line: Wasnington State -5.5

GS Says: Take Minnesota and the points, Winner 11-6-1

Sully Says: Taks the Gophers and the 10, Winner 9-8-2

Motel 6 Cactus Bowl

Result: Baylor 31 Boise State 12

Opening Line: Boise State -10

GS Says: Take Baylor & the 10 points, Winner, 12-6-1

Sully Says: Take Boise State and give the 10 points, Loser, 9-9-2

December 28, 2016

New Era Pinstripe Bowl

Result: Northwestern 31 Pitt 24

Opening Line: Pitt -3.5

GS Says: Take the points & Northwestern, Winner, 13-6-1

Sully Says: Pitt wins & covers, Loser, 9-10-2

Russell Athletic Bowl

Result: Miami Fl 31 West Virginia 14

Opening Line: Miami -1

GS Says: Take the point and Miami, Winner 14-6-1

Sully Says: Take West Virginia and the point, Loser 9-11-2

Foster Farms Bowl

Result: Utah 26 Indiana 24

Opening Line: Utah -6.5

GS Says: Talke the Hoosiers amd the points, Winner 15-6-1

Sully Says: Its Indiana and the points, Winner 10-11-2

AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl

Results: Kansas State 33 Texas A& M 28

Opening Line: Texas A&M -2.5

GS Says: A&M wins 28.5 to 28, take Kansas State and the points, Winner 16-6-1

Sully Says: It’s A&M and give K-State the 2.5 points! Loser 10-12-2

Game Simulator is picking winners vs the spread, 70% (16/23) of the time, while Sully is limping around the field with a 42% (10/24) winning percentage!

I knew I should not have given up Jameson for Lent last year, clearly it threw me off! I am going to Jamie on the Rocks on Christmas Day, and then, I know, I’ll do better when the bowls start back up on the 26th! Stay Tuned!!

Sadly, the Jameson has been of no help. I will redouble my efforts in that realm!

Please note:The GS predicted a tie in the Army game at 31 and that is exactly what happened, a 31-31 tie at the end of regulation! As a result, the GS’s numbers are one off of Sullys 23 to 24 games. Finally, please review actual bowl games if you have doubts about what I am saying regarding GS’s numbers! To the best of my knowledge they are accurate!

 

Enjoy the games!

Sully ♥

 

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