Bowl History: The Sugar Bowl was established in 1935 and along with the Orange & Sun, is the second oldest bowl behind only the Rose! The first game in this series featured Tulane and Temple, played on January 1,1935. The inaugural game was won by Tulane, 20-14! Last year’s event, the 79th Sugar Bowl, had Louisville outlasting Florida, 33-23. The Conference tie-ins are the SEC (unless the SEC Champion is in the BCS National Championship Game) and an at large selection! The payout for the Sugar Bowl is $17,000,000.00
Teams: Alabama: Conference Affiliation: SEC; Overall Record 11-1, Conference Record 7-1, Divisional Record 5-1 (SEC’s West Division) vs Oklahoma: Conference Affiliation: Big 12; Overall Record 10-2, Conference Record: 7-2!
Bowl Location: New Orleans, Louisiana … played @ the Mercedes-Benz Superdome, the seating capacity @ the facility is 73,208. Last year’s game which featured Florida and Louisville, was attended by 54,178. the lowest attandance @ the Sugar Bowl since 1939!
Day, Date & Time: Thursday, 1/2/2014 @7:30 p.m. CST
Network: ESPN
Best Win(s): Alabama: beat LSU 38-17; Oklahoma: beat Oklahoma State 33-24
Worst Losses: Alabama: lost to Auburn, 34-28; Oklahoma, lost to Texas 38-20!
Common Opponents: None
Las Vegas Hotsheet Favorite: Alabama -17
Offensive Team Data: Alabama; Total Yards, 447 YPG; Passing Yards, 237 YPG; Rushing Yards, 210 YPG; Scoring Average, 39 PPG, Turnovers, 1 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 47.4%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 82% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 68%
Offensive Team Data: Oklahoma ; Total Yards, 423 YPG; Passing Yards, 187 YPG; Rushing Yards, 236 YPG; Scoring Average 32 PPG, Turnovers, 1.25 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 39.1%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 87% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 50%
Defensive Team Data: ; Total Yards, 274 YPG; Passing Yards, 166 YPG; Rushing Yards, 108 YPG; Scoring Average, 11 PPG, Turnovers, 1.5 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 33.5%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 64% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 50%
Defensive Team Data: Oklahoma; Total Yards, 336 YPG; Passing Yards, 198 YPG; Rushing Yards, 138 YPG; Scoring Average, 21 PPG, Turnovers, 1.67 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 32.5%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 90% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 61%
Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Alabama’s total yards on offense, add it to what Oklahoma gives up on defense, … get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Oklahoma’s total offense, add it to what Alabama gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2 to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed! That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:
Total Yards: Advantage, Alabama…. 388 to 349
Passing Yards: Advantage, Alabama…. 212 to 175
Rushing Yards: Advantage, Alabama…. 176 to 174
Scoring: Advantage, .Alabama… 30 to 22
Turnovers: Advantage, Alabama… 1.31 to 1.35
3rd Down Conversions: Advantage, Alabama… 47% to 42%
Red Zone All Scores: Advantage, Alabama… 86% to 76%
Red Zone TD’s Only: Advantage, Alabama… 65% to 50%
Individuals to Watch: Alabama: QB AJ McCarron. 2676 passing yards, 26 TD’s & 5 INT’s, RB TJ Yeldon, 190 attempts, 1163 rushing yards, & 13 TD’s, & WR Amari Copper, 36 receptions, 615 receiving yards, & 4 TD’s; Oklahoma: QB Blake Bell, 1648 passing yards, 12 TD’s & 5 INT’s, RB Brennan Clay, 158 attempts, 913 rushing yards, & 6 TD’s & RB Jalen Saunders, 56 receptions, 654 receiving yards, & 6 TD’s!
Sully Says: Alabama wins and covers the 17 points!
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