Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

Makers Wanted Bahamas Bowl

Bowl History:

The 2019 Bahamas Bowl is a college Football Game that will be played on December 20, 2019, with kickoff scheduled for 2:00 p.m. EST on ESPN. It will be the 6th edition of the Bahamas, and is the first Bowl of the 2019-20 bowl concluding the 2019 FBS Season. Sponsored by the Chicago suburb of Elk Grove, IL, the game will be officially known as the Makers Wanted Bahamas Bowl.

Teams:  Buffalo Bulls (MAC) 7-5 / UNC Charlotte (C-USA) 7-5 

Bowl Location: Nassau, Bahamas

Day, Date & Time: Friday, December, 20, 2019, 2:00 EST

Network: ESPN

Best Win(s): Buffalo: beat Temple (8-4) 38-22; Charlotte: beat Marshall (8-4), 24-13

Worst Losses: Buffalo lost @ Kent State (6-6) 30-27; Charlotte lost @ FIU (6-6) 48-23

Common Opponents: None

Vegas Hot$heets Favorite: Buffalo -4.5 (All lines are opening lines)

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take one team’s total yards on offense, add it to the number the other team gives up on defense, we get a total and then divide that number by 2 to get an average. We then invert the process by taking the 2nd team’s total offense, add it to what the 1st team gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second average! The greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed: 1) Total Yards, 2) Rushing, 3) Passing, 4) Scoring, 5) 3rd Down (Conversions /Stops), 6) Turnovers, 7) Red Zone Scores (TD’s & FG), & 8) Red Zone TD’s (only TD’s)!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Buffalo | Bulls UNC Charlotte | 49ers
Offense VS Defense 386.5 +1 368.5
Passing Off VS Def 162.5 212.5 +1
Rushing Off VS Def 224 +1 156.5
Scoring Off VS Def 32.5 +1 27
Turnovers Off VS Def 1.125 +1 1.545
3rd Conv/Stops Off VS Def 42.9 +1 37.15
Red Zone Scores 84.5% +1 78.5%
Red Zone TD’s 70% +1 65%
Totals 7 1

Buffalo WINS Trophy

Historic Football Matchups

 

Sully Says: Buffalo wins on the game simulator 7-1 on the 8 categories assessed (see above or go to the Game Simulator for more info), the only statistical area where Charlotte has an edge is in passing, 213 yards for the 49’s to 163 yards for the Bulls. Buffalo will run the ball better, win on 3rd down, and out perform the 49’s in the Red Zone! Take the Bulls and give the points.

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