The Camellia Bowl is an annual National Collegiate Athletic Association sanctioned FBS college football bowl game played in Montgomery, Alabama, at the Cramton Bowl. The game features teams from the Sun Belt Conference and the Mid-American Conference.
Teams: FIU (C-USA) 6-6 / Arkansas State (SBC) 7-5
Bowl Location: Montgomery, AL
Day, Date & Time: Saturday, December, 21, 2019, 5:30 EST
Network: ESPN
Best Win(s): FIU: beat Miami FL (6-6) 30-24, in a shocker; Arkansas State: beat Georgia Southern (7-5), 38-35
Worst Loss(es): FIU lost to Middle Tennessee (4-8), 50-17 ; ASU lost to South Alabama (2-10) 34-30!
Common Opponents: None
Vegas Hot$heets Favorite: ASU -3 (All lines are opening lines & all recommend picks are based on opening lines)
Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is, say Notre Dame is playing Wisconsin … we take ND’s total yards on offense, add it to the number the Badgers give up on defense, we get a total and then divide the total by 2 to get an average. We then invert the process, we now take Wisconsin’s total offense, add it to what the Irish give up on defense, get a 2nd total, and then divide that number by 2, to get the second average! The greater number (with the exception of Turnovers, lower # wins) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed: 1) Total Yards, 2) Rushing, 3) Passing, 4) Scoring, 5) 3rd Down (Conversions /Stops), 6) Turnovers, 7) Red Zone Scores (TD’s & FG), & 8) Red Zone TD’s (only TD’s)! That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:
| Arkansas State | Red Wolves | Florida International | Golden Panthers | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense VS Defense | 411.5 | 420 | +1 | |
| Passing Off VS Def | 245 | +1 | 227 | |
| Rushing Off VS Def | 166.5 | 193 | +1 | |
| Scoring Off VS Def | 30.5 | 31 | +1 | |
| Turnovers Off VS Def | 1.46 | 1.25 | +1 | |
| 3rd Conv Off VS Def | 37.1 | 37.75 | +1 | |
| Red Zone Scores | 88.5 | +1 | 76.5 | |
| Red Zone TD’s | 59.5 | +1 | 54.5 | |
| Totals | 3 | 5 | ||
Florida International WINS 
These teams have played 4 times since 2009: Arkansas State won in 09, 27-10, in 2011, 34-16, and again in 2012, 34-16. FIU’s lone win came in 2010, 3-24!
The Game Simulator favors FIU in this ball game. The numbers say the FIU Golden Panthers will run the ball better, win on 3rd down, and out-perform the Red Wolves in the Take-A-way battle.
Sully Says: take the Golden Panthers and the 3 points in this one!
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