Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

Five Best Games of Week 6

You know these are different times, Covid-19 aside, when you are trying to determine the week’s 5 best games and you don’t use Oklahoma vs Texas or Florida State @ Notre Dame!

OU is 1-2, having lost in consecutive weeks ( Kansas State 38-35 & Iowa State, 37-30) for the 1st time since 1999. That was Stoops 1st year, he lost back to back games to ND & Texas. The Sooners then began a 40 game streak of winning the next game after a loss. This was the longest streak of its kind in the nation, followed by none other than, Alabama, who have not lost consecutive games since 2007!

Meanwhile, Texas is 2-1, losing to TCU, 33-31, last week. This should have been their 2nd loss in as many weeks. The Longhorns’ were down to Texas Tech, 56-41, in the 4th with less then 4 minutes to play. Enter Texas QB, Sam Ehlinger, who quickly changed in a phone booth, put on a cape, and saved what may be left of the ‘Horns’ CFP chances. He hit two TD passes and then converted a 2 point conversion to force OT. Oops, did I mention the Horns’ also recovered an onside kick! UT then scored first and then forced a Red Raider turnover to win in overtime 63-56! Somebody in Texas is living right!

Florida State is 1-2, losing to Georgia Tech, 16-13 and getting slobbered-knocked by Miami, 52-10. The Noles only win this season is against an FCS program, Jacksonville State, 41-24. Notre Dame is 2-0, the Irish opened & struggled with Duke (0-4) in the 1st half, before winning 27-13. They then pounded South Florida, 52-0. USF is 1-2, with their only win coming vs The Citadel, 27-6! ND’s opponents are 1-6 in 2020, so we really don’t know how good the Irish are in 2020!

That said, here are the 5 best games of week 6 according to Sully’s College Football Page!

5. Coastal Carolina 3-0 vs Louisiana 3-0: Before you try to have me committed, check this out! Louisiana, the Ragin Cajuns, beat Iowa State, 31-13 and as you know, ISU beat Oklahoma, 38-31! CCU, the Chanticleers, beat Kansas, 38-23, ok I get it, Kansas, after-all, is Kansas. However, the Chanticleers also beat Arkansas State badly, 52-23, ok, you’re thinking, still not the 5th best game. Alright, now factor this in, Arkansas State beat Kansas State, 35-31 and again, as you are aware, KSU beat OU, 38-35!

This is the 5th best game, 2 unbeaten group of 5 teams, from the Sun Belt Conference. Both of these teams have taken on the Big Boys and are still standing! Check out what the SCFP Game Simulator (head to Head) says: http://sullyscollegefootballpage.com/Football_Stats/Matchup.cfm

When you get to the Game Simulator page, you will see Wisconsin vs Iowa, simply click on the drop box and it will up a menu of over 400 teams. In this case, go to Louisiana on one side & Coastal Carolina on the other and the site will give a side by side comparison of the teams and will pick a statistical winner! Check it out!

Breaking News: this game has been moved Wednesday, do to Hurricane Delta!

The game is at 11:00/ESPN, Vegas Hot$heets say the pick is Louisiana -7!

4. Virginia Tech 2-0 ! North Carolina 2-0: This year the ACC is playing without divisions (Coastal & Atlantic are not factors) In other words, 2 teams from the Atlantic Division, say Clemson and NC State, could play for the ACC Championship, where in a typical year, this would not be possible; as the winner of each division gets an automatic berth into the championship game! Even if the 2nd place team in the Atlantic Division had a better record and even beat the Coastal Division champ!

While most think Clemson is a foregone conclusion to make the Championship and they are … on paper … but that’s why we play the games. UNC does not play Clemson in the regular season ( a big advantage) and has ND @ Home (another advantage), on 11/27 & then UNC travels to Miami the following week, 12/5. UNC really win needs this game @ home!

For VT, a road win vs the Tar Heels would loom large, as VT plays Miami 11/14, & Clemson 12/5 at home. The Hookies travel to Pitt on Nov 21 & do not play Notre Dame!

VT has beaten UNC 8 of the last 11.

This is an 11:00 o’clock kick-off on ABC, Hotsheets like UNC -6. The link below will tell you what the Game Simulator calculates on Sully’s College Football Page (SCFP). Follow the directions given above substituting North Carolina & Virginia Tech for the UW & Iowa!

http://sullyscollegefootballpage.com/Football_Stats/Matchup.cfm

3. Florida 2-0 @ Texas A&M 1-1: Florida needs to win this game, on the road, vs Texas A&M, to keep pace with Georgia, who has already beat Auburn, 24-6, in Athens! The Gators have LSU at home, while the Dawgs have to travel to Tuscaloosa to take on the Tide!

Both UGA and UF play Arkansas. Florida played Ole Miss, a 51-35 win while Georgia plays Mississippi State (11/21). The cross divisional games can determine who wins the other division.

That said, head to head remains the critical determinate. UGA & UF play at a neutral site, Jacksonville, FL on 10/31!

Texas A&M was set to challenge for the West Division in 2020, yet struggled with Vanderbilt, in their opener, winning 17-12 and then were busted up by Alabama, 52-24!

Time to put up or shut up! The Aggies need this game in the worst way, a 2nd loss, coupled with Bama having the tie breaker (winning the head to head meeting), would mean Alabama would have to lose three games for A&M to win the division! Desperation time for the Aggies come Saturday!

The Gators & Aggies have only met twice since A&M joined the SEC (2012), Florida won the 1st meeting, in 2012, 20-17 & Texas A&M won the the 2nd, 19-17, in 2017!

VegasHot$heets have established Florida -5 as the betting line!

See what the site says about the game. http://sullyscollegefootballpage.com/Football_Stats/Matchup.cfm

2. Tennessee 2-0 @ Georgia 2-0: For the day’s 2nd best game, we stay in the SEC! An East Division showdown between the upstart Tennessee Volunteers and the division’s top gun, the Georgia Bulldogs!

UGA has won 8 of the last 11 vs Tennessee, including three in a row, 48-0 in 2017, 38-12 in 2018, & 43-14 in 2019.

Coming into Saturday’s game the Volunteers have beaten, South Carolina, 31-25 & Missouri, 35-12. UGA has stopped Arkansas, 37-12 & Auburn, 24-6.

Vegas has set the line with Georgia -14

Sully’s College Football Page Game Simulator says: http://sullyscollegefootballpage.com/Football_Stats/Matchup.cfm

1 Miami 3-0 @ Clemson 3-0: This is the day’s best game! Most people who study college football believe the ACC championship will be a battle between Clemson’s talent & Clemson’s focus. In other words, if Clemson stays focused, Clemson wins the ACC is the prevailing thought. Yet, this is not the dominant thought of the folks residing in Coral Gables, Florida!

Well Canes, here is your chance! A prime time college football Saturday evening, 6:30 on CBS, with essentially the entire football world having access to the game. Your coming out party is being played in the new college football, Cradle of Civilization, Clemson, SC (forget Mesopotamia, they think football is soccer) a perfect setting to change ACC history, at least recent history!

The Tigers & Canes have played 4 times since 2009! Clemson won in 2009, 40-37, the Hurricanes got it done in 2010, 30-21, in 2015, Clemson blasted the U, 58-0, and bounced Miami again, in 2017, 38-3!

Clemson awaits the coming of the Hurricane(s) in Death Valley. The Tigers have pushed aside Wake Forest, 37-13, The Citadel, 49-0, & Virginia, 41-23. While the Hurricanes were marking a path of destruction through Alabama (UAB, 31-14) moving north to Kentucky (Louisville, 47-34), doubling back south to Florida (FSU, 52-10) and now turning north toward South Carolina, taking dead aim at Death Valley!

Vegas Hot$heets have set the line at Clemson -15.5

While Sully’s Game Simulator says: http://sullyscollegefootballpage.com/Football_Stats/Matchup.cfm

Enjoy the Games!

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