Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl

Bowl History: The Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl the NCAA certified this Bowl in 1998 and the game has been played annually since that time! This Bowl has had a variety of sponsors: American General Life & Accident (1998), homepoint.com (1999), Bridgestone (2003-2007) Gaylord Hotels (2002-2009) & Franklin American Mortgage (2010-present).   The first game in this bowl series took place on December, 29, 1998 … Virginia Tech beat Alabama, 38-7 while last years game featured, Louisville and Texas A&M, a game won by the Cardinals  (LU), 27-21! The conference tie-ins are ACC /SEC & the Bowl Pay out is $3,500,000.00

Teams: Nebraska 9-3 (B-10) Tennessee 8-4 (SEC)

Bowl Location: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee

Day, Date & Time: Friday, December 30, 2016, 2:30 p.m. CST

Network: ESPN

Best Win(s): Tennessee beat Va Tech (9-4) 45-24, Nebraska beat Minnesota (8-4), 24-17

Worst Losses: Tennessee lost to Alabama (13-0) 49-10; Nebraska lost to OSU 62-3

Common Opponents: None

Vegas Hotsheets Favorite: Tennessee -3

Offensive Team Data: Nebraska ; Total Yards,  386 0YPG; Passing Yards,  208 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  178 YPG; Scoring Average,  27 PPG, Turnovers,  1.08 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 45%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 81% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 60%

Offensive Team Data: Tennessee ; Total Yards,  437 YPG; Passing Yards, 234 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 203 YPG; Scoring Average  36 PPG, Turnovers,  1.92 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 41%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 89% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 73%

Defensive Team Data: Nebraska ; Total Yards,  351 YPG; Passing Yards,  210 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  141 YPG; Scoring Average,  23 PPG, Turnovers,  1.5 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 37%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 81% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 58%

Defensive Team Data: Tennessee ; Total Yards,  460 YPG; Passing Yards,  226 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  234 YPG; Scoring Average,  29 PPG, Turnovers,  1.83 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 38.4%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 92% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 62%

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Arizona’s total yards on offense, add it to what Nevada gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Nevada’s total offense, add it to what Arizona gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards Advantage: Nebraska 423 to 394

Passing Yards Advantage: Tennessee 222 to 217

Rushing Yard Advantage: Nebraska 206 to 172

Scoring Advantage: Tennessee 29.5 to 28

Turnovers Advantage: Nebraska 1.455 to 1.71

3rd Down Conversions Advantage: Nebraska 41.7 to 39

Red Zone All Scores Advantage: Nebraska 86.5 to 85

Red Zone TD’s Only Advantage: Tennessee 65.5 to 61

The Game Simulator Says: Nebraska 5, Tennessee 3; GS Tennessee wins 30-28, but does not cover the 3 points

Individuals to Watch: 

Sully Says: Tennessee wins and covers