Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

Orange Bowl 2013: OSU vs Clemson

Bowl History: This Bowl was first played in 1935 and has been held annually since the bowl’s inaugural game!  The initial game was played on January 1, 1935, when Bucknell beat Miami of Florida, 26-0! The Orange Bowl celebrated its 75th anniversary in the 2009 rendition of the game, Virginia Tech beat Cincinnati, 20-7 and last year’s game had FSU pounding NIU 31- to 10! The Conference tie-ins are the ACC and Orange Bowl Committee Selection Team! The payout is $17,000,000.00 per team!

Teams: ClemsonConference Affiliation: ACC; Overall Record 10-2, Conference Record 7-1, Divisional Record 5-1 (ACC’s Atlantic Division) vs OSU:  Conference Affiliation: Big Ten; Overall Record 12-1, Conference Record: 8-1, Divisional Record 5-0 (Big Ten’s Leaders Division Winner)

Bowl Location: Miami Gardens, Florida … played @ the Sun Life Stadium, the seating capacity @ the facility is 75,540. Last year’s game which featured FSU and NIU, was attended by 72,073.

Day, Date & Time: Friday, 1/3/2014 @ 7;30 CST

Network: ESPN

Best Win(s): Ohio State: Wisconsin 31-24; Clemson; Georgia 38-35

Worst Losses: OSU: MSU 34-24 (only loss); Clemson: FSU 51-14 @ home!

Common Opponents: None!

Las Vegas Hotsheet Favorite: OSU -2.5

Offensive Team Data: Clemson ; Total Yards,  502 YPG; Passing Yards,  329 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  173 YPG; Scoring Average,  40 PPG, Turnovers,  1.83 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 44%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 86% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 68%

Offensive Team Data: OSU ; Total Yards,  518 YPG; Passing Yards, 201 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 318 YPG; Scoring Average  46 PPG, Turnovers,  1.15 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 49.9%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 95% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 83%

Defensive Team Data: Clemson ; Total Yards,  350 YPG; Passing Yards,  198 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  153 YPG; Scoring Average,  21 PPG, Turnovers,  2.17 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 31.8%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 80% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 60%

Defensive Team Data: ; Total Yards,  362 YPG; Passing Yards,  260 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  103 YPG; Scoring Average,  21 PPG, Turnovers,  1.69 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 34.4%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 79% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 67%

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take OSU’s total yards on offense, add it to what Clemson gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Clemson’s total offense, add it to what Ohio State gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards:  Advantage, OSU…. 434 to 432

Passing Yards: Advantage, Clemson …. 295 to 200

Rushing Yards: AdvantageOSU  …. 236 to 138

Scoring: Advantage, OSU …. 34 to 31

Turnovers: AdvantageOSU … 1.66 to 1.76

3rd Down Conversions: AdvantageOSU … 40.6% to 39.2%

Red Zone All Scores: AdvantageOSU … 87.5& to 82.5%

Red Zone TD’s Only: AdvantageOSU … 72% to 68%

Individuals to Watch: Clemson: Tajh Boyd 3473 passing yards, 29 TD’s, & 9 INT’s, RB Roderick McDowell 177 carries, 956 rushing yards, & 5 TD’s, & WR Sammy Watkins 85 receptions 1237 passing yards, and 10 TD’s. Ohio State: Braxton Miller QB 1860 yards passing, 22 TD’s & 5 INT’s and RB Carlos Hyde, 183 carries, 1408 yards rushing, & 14 TD’s, WR

Sully Says: Ohio State wins & covers!

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