Bowl History: The bowl was established in 1986 as the Hall of Fame Bowl (1986-94) renamed in 1995 …. through 2013 to the Outback Bowl. The first game was played on December 23,1986, Boston College beat Georgia, 27-24. Last year’s game featured Michigan & South Carolina, a game won by the Gamecocks, 33-28! The Bowl conference tie-ins are the SEC & the Big Ten … the bowl payout is $7,200,000.00!
Teams: Iowa: Conference Affiliation: Big 10; Overall Record 8-4, Conference Record 5-3, Divisional Record 4-1 (Big Ten’s Legends Division) vs LSU: Conference Affiliation: SEC; Overall Record 9-3, Conference Record: 5-3, Divisional Record 4-2 (SEC’s West Division)
Bowl Location: Tampa, Florida … played @ the Raymond James Stadium, the seating capacity @ the facility is 65,908. Last year’s game which featured Michigan and South Carolina, was attended by 54,527.
Day, Date & Time: Wednesday, 1/1/2014 @ 12:00 p.m.
Network: ESPN
Best Win(s): Iowa: Beat Michigan, 24-21, Minnesota, 23-7 & Nebraska 38-17; LSU: Beat Auburn, 35-21 & Texas A&M 34-10
Worst Losses: Iowa; Wisconsin 28-9 (lost to 3 12-1 teams); LSU: Ole Miss 27-24
Common Opponents: None
Las Vegas Hotsheet Favorite: LSU -7
Offensive Team Data: LSU ; Total Yards, 466 YPG; Passing Yards, 265 YPG; Rushing Yards, 201 YPG; Scoring Average, 37 PPG, Turnovers, 1.5 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 58.6%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 90 % & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 73%
Offensive Team Data: Iowa ; Total Yards, 390 YPG; Passing Yards, 200 YPG; Rushing Yards, 190 YPG; Scoring Average 27 PPG, Turnovers, 1.58 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 45.1%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 68% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 48%
Defensive Team Data: LSU ; Total Yards, 350 YPG; Passing Yards, 201 YPG; Rushing Yards, 149 YPG; Scoring Average, 23 PPG, Turnovers, 1.33 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 39.1%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 85% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 49%
Defensive Team Data: ; Total Yards, 302 YPG; Passing Yards, 182 YPG; Rushing Yards, 121 YPG; Scoring Average, 19 PPG, Turnovers, 1.42 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 34.3%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 85% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 50%
Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Iowa’s total yards on offense, add it to what LSU gives up on defense, … get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking LSU’s total offense, add it to what Iowa gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2 to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed! That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:
Total Yards: Advantage, LSU …. 385 to 370
Passing Yards: Advantage, LSU …. 224 to 201
Rushing Yards: Advantage, Iowa …. 170 to 161
Scoring: Advantage, LSU …. 28 to 25
Turnovers: Advantage, Iowa … 1.45 to 1.46
3rd Down Conversions: Advantage, LSU … 46.5 to 42.1
Red Zone All Scores: Advantage, LSU … 88% to 77%
Red Zone TD’s Only: Advantage, LSU… 62% to 49%
Individuals to Watch: LSU: QB Zach Mettenberger is out for the Outback Bowl Game … Anthony Jennings will start @ QB … he will be a key player in LSU success or failure in this game! RB Jeremy Hill Attempts 175, 1185 rushing yards, & 14 TD’s, and WR Jarvis Landry 75 receptions, 1172 receiving yards, & 10 TD’s; Iowa: QB Jake Rudock 2281 passing yards, 18 TD’s & 12 INT’s & RB Mark Weisman 209 carries, 938 rushing yards, & 7 TD’s!
Sully Says: Iowa lost 4 games this year … 3 of them to teams who were 12-1 on the season (OSU 12-1, MSU 12-1, & NIU 21-1) their other loss was to Wisconsin 9-3. Pretty impressive! The last time these teams met … Iowa won on a Hail Mary! If Z. Mittenberger were playing this game would not be close … but he is not … LSU survives but does not cover!
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