Today’s Games Friday December 30, 2016

 

• For more detailed info see the Bowl write up on the Blog 
• 5 Games today!
• GS (Game Simulator) currently 18-6-1, 72% vs the Spread
• Sully is 11-14-2, 41% vs the Spread, I may start calling the Simulator the Terminator, given the tail whippin’ I’m getting!

Autozone Liberty Bowl

Result: TBD, Georgia 7-5 vs TCU 6-6

Opening Line: TCU -1.5

GS Says: TCU wins 28-26, and covers the 1.5

Sully Says: Take Georgia and the points

Hyundai Sun Bowl

Result: TBD, Stanford 9-3 vs North Carolina 8-4

Opening Line: UNC -1

GS Says: Stanford wins & covers this game, 31-23

Sully Says: Stanford wins and covers

Nova Homes Loans Arizona Bowl

Result: TBD, South Alabama 6-6 vs Air Force 9-3

Opening Line: Air Force -15

GS Says: AF wins 30-27, but does not cover, Take USA and the points

Sully Says: Air Force wins but does not cover the 15!

Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl

Result: TBD, Nebraska 9-3 Tennessee 8-4

Opening Line: Tennessee -3

GS Says: Tennessee wins 30-28, does not cover the 3 points, its Nebraska

Sully Says: Tennessee wins and covers

Capital One Orange Bowl

Result: TBD, Michigan 10-2 Florida State 9-3

Opening Line: Michigan -6.5

GS Says: UM wins 33-24 and covers the 6.5

Sully Says: Michigan wins and covers

For more details, please go to the Bowl Game Review on the Blog!

Enjoy the Games!

The Game Simulator went 2-0 & a Draw vs the spread on the 29th, while Sully went 1-2 vs “the Wise Guys”! Current Standings: The Machine is 18-6-1 with 2 game being called draws, while Sully is 11-14-2

Here is what happened yesterday!

December 29, 2016

 

Birmingham Bowl

Result: South Florida 46 South Carolina 39

Opening Line: South Florida -11

Game Simulator (GS) Says: USF wins but does not cover the 11 Winner; 17-6-1

Sully Says: Take South Carolina and the 11 points Winner; 11-12-2

Belk Bowl

Result: Virginia Tech 35-24

Opening Line: Va Tech -6

Game Simulator (GS) Says: V-Tech wins outright, 33-27, the 6 points it is giving Arkansas result in a a 33-33 tie, Draw 17-6-1

Sully Says: Take Arkansas and the 6 points, Loser 11-13-2

ValeroAloma Bowl

Result: Oklahoma State 38 Colorado 8

Opening Line: Colorado -2

Game Simulator (GS) Says: Take OSU and the 2 points, Wimmer 18-6-1

Sully Says: Take Colorado and give Oklahoma State the 2, Loser,11-14-2

I am getting hammered by my own creation, the Game Simulator is predicting game outcomes, factoring in the spread, with 70% accuracy; while Sully is stumbling along at 42%. This gives new meaning to the ” Rise of the Machine(s)”!! The worst part about this, is in looking back at results & rethinking (if U can call it thinking) …. I would, given the available info, likely do the same thing. In other wards, I had no Ah-ha moment! The picks were based on solid data that is on SCFP and some of these outcomes are puzzling, to say the least! Please review and let me know your thoughts!

December 17, 2016

Gildan New Mexico Bowl

Result: New Mexico 23 UTSA 20

Opening Line: New Mexico -7

Game Simulator (GS) Says: NM wins but does not cover; Winner; 1-0

Sully Says: NM wins and covers, Lobos won but did not cover, Loser; 0-1

Las Vegas Bowl Presented by Geico

Result: San Diego State 34 Houston 10

Opening Line: Houston -5

GS Says: Houston 30 San Diego State 29, Take SDSU and the 5 points, Winner; 2-0

Sully Says: Take Houston and give the 5 points to SDSU, Loser; 0-2

Raycom Media Comellia Bowl

Result: Appalachian State 31 Toledo 28

Opening Line: Appalachian State -1

GS Says: Toledo wins 28-27, take Toledo and the point; Loser; 2-1

Sully Says: Take Toledo and the point; Loser; 0-3

AutoNation Cure Bowl

Result: Arkansas State 31 (UCF) Central Florida 13

Opening Line: UCF -6.5

GS Says: UCF wins 26 to 25.5, take the points and Arkansas State, Winner; 3-1

Sully Says: Take UCF and give the 6.5, Loser; 0-4

R & L Carriers New Orleans Bowl

Result: Southern Miss 28 Louisiana Lafeyette 21

Opening Line: Southern Miss -6.5

GS Says: S. Miss wins but does not cover, Take Louisiana and the points, Loser; 3-2

Sully Says: Take Southern Miss and give the 6.5, Winner; 1-4

December 19, 2016

Miami Beash Bowl

Result: Tulas 55 Central Michigan 10

Opening Line: Tulsa 12.5

GS Says: Tulsa wins 35-30, Take CM and the points; Loser; 3-3

Sully Says: Take Tulsa, Give CM the 12.5 points, Winner; 2-4

December 20, 2016

Boca Raton Bowl

Result: Western Kentucky 51 Memphis 31

Opening Line: Western Kentucky -5

GS Says: WK beats Memphis 36-32, Take Memphis & the 5 points, Loser; 3-4

Sully Says: Take Memphis and the 5 Points, Loser; 2-5

December 21, 2016

San Diego County Credit Union, Poinsettia Bowl

Result: BYU 24 Wyoming 21

Opening Line: BYU -10

GS Says: BYU wins 33-28, Take Wyoming and the points, Winner, 4-4

Sullys Says: Take Wyoming and the 10, Winner; 3-5

December 22, 2016

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

Result: Idaho 61 Colorado State 50

Opening Line: Colorado State -13.5

GS Says: Colorado State wins 32-28, Take Idaho and the 13.5, Winner; 5-4 

SullySays: Take Colrado State and give Idaho  the 13.5, Loser; 3-6

December 23, 2016

Popeyes Bahamas Bowl

Result: Ols Dominion 24 Eastern Michigan 20

Opening Line: Ols Dominion -4

GS Says: Old Dominion wins 32-29; Take EM and the 4 points, Winner 6-4

Sully Says: Take OD and give EM the 4 points, Push; 3-6-1

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl

Result: Louisiana Teach 48 Navy 45

Opening Line: Navy -5

GS Says: LT wins 37-35, Take La Tech and give the Navy the 5 points Winner; 7-4

Sully Says: Take La Tech and give Navy the 5 points, Winner; 4-6-1

General Dollar Bowl

Result: Troy 28-Ohio 23

Opening Line: Troy -5

GS Says: Troy wins 28-25, Take Ohio and the 5 points, Push 7-4-1

Sully Says: Take Troy and give Ohio the 5 points, Push 4-6-2

December 24, 2016

Hawaii Bowl

Result: Hawaii 52 Middle Tennessee 35

Opening Line: Middle Tennessee -4.5

GS Says: MT wins 39-30, Take MT and give Hawaii the 4.5 points, Loser; 7-5-1

Sully Says: take MT and give Hawaii the 4.5 points, Loser, 4-7-2

December 26,2016

St. Petersburg Bowl

Result: Mississppi Syaye 17 Miami OH 16

Opening Line: Mississippi State 11.5

GS Says: Take Miami and the 11 Points! Winner, 8-5-1

Sully Says, Take Mississippi and give the 11 points! Loser, 4-8-2

Quick Lane Bowl

Result: BC 36 Maryland 30

Opening Line: BC -1

GS Says: Take Maryland and the point! Winner, 9-5-1

Sully Says: Take Maryland and the point! Winner, 5-8-2

Camping World Independance Bowl

Result: NC State 41 Vanberbilt 17

Opening Line: NC State -3.5

GS Says: Take Vandy and the points, Loser 9-6-1

Sully Says: NC State wins and covers! Winner, 6-8-2

December 27, 2016

Zaxby’s Heart of Dallas Bowl

Result: Army 38 North Texas 31 OT

Opening Line: Army -9

GS Says: Predicted an Army victory, 31-22, plus the 9; Draw, 9-6-1

Sully Says: Take North Texas and the points, Winner 7-8-2

Military Bowl Presented Northrop Grumman

Result: Wake Forest 34 Temple 26

Opening Line: Temple -13

GS Says: Take Wake and the points, Winner, 10-6-1

Sully Says: Take WF and the points! Winner 8-8-2

National Funding Holiday Bowl

Result: Minnesota 17 Washington State 12

Opening Line: Wasnington State -5.5

GS Says: Take Minnesota and the points, Winner 11-6-1

Sully Says: Taks the Gophers and the 10, Winner 9-8-2

Motel 6 Cactus Bowl

Result: Baylor 31 Boise State 12

Opening Line: Boise State -10

GS Says: Take Baylor & the 10 points, Winner, 12-6-1

Sully Says: Take Boise State and give the 10 points, Loser, 9-9-2

December 28, 2016

New Era Pinstripe Bowl

Result: Northwestern 31 Pitt 24

Opening Line: Pitt -3.5

GS Says: Take the points & Northwestern, Winner, 13-6-1

Sully Says: Pitt wins & covers, Loser, 9-10-2

Russell Athletic Bowl

Result: Miami Fl 31 West Virginia 14

Opening Line: Miami -1

GS Says: Take the point and Miami, Winner 14-6-1

Sully Says: Take West Virginia and the point, Loser 9-11-2

Foster Farms Bowl

Result: Utah 26 Indiana 24

Opening Line: Utah -6.5

GS Says: Talke the Hoosiers amd the points, Winner 15-6-1

Sully Says: Its Indiana and the points, Winner 10-11-2

AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl

Results: Kansas State 33 Texas A& M 28

Opening Line: Texas A&M -2.5

GS Says: A&M wins 28.5 to 28, take Kansas State and the points, Winner 16-6-1

Sully Says: It’s A&M and give K-State the 2.5 points! Loser 10-12-2

Game Simulator is picking winners vs the spread, 70% (16/23) of the time, while Sully is limping around the field with a 42% (10/24) winning percentage!

I knew I should not have given up Jameson for Lent last year, clearly it threw me off! I am going to Jamie on the Rocks on Christmas Day, and then, I know, I’ll do better when the bowls start back up on the 26th! Stay Tuned!!

Sadly, the Jameson has been of no help. I will redouble my efforts in that realm!

Please note:The GS predicted a tie in the Army game at 31 and that is exactly what happened, a 31-31 tie at the end of regulation! As a result, the GS’s numbers are one off of Sullys 23 to 24 games. Finally, please review actual bowl games if you have doubts about what I am saying regarding GS’s numbers! To the best of my knowledge they are accurate!

 

Enjoy the games!

Sully ♥

 

Here are how the Conferences records in the second season, through December, 28, 2016! Order based on winning percentage!

1. Independents: 2-0
2. Atlantic Coastal Conference: 4-1
3. Sun Belt Conference: 4-1
4. Big-12: 2-1
5. Conference USA: 4-3
6. Mountain West Conference: 3-3
7. Big Ten: 2-2
8. Pacific Athletic Conference 12: 1-1
9. Southeastern Conference: 1-2
10. American Athletic Conference: 1-5
11. Mid-American Conference: o-4

Today’s Games 12/29/16:

• South Florida 10-2 (AAC) vs South Carolina 6-6 (SEC)
• Arkansas 7-5 (SEC) vs Virginia Tech 9-4 (ACC)
• Oklahoma State 9-3 (B-12) vs Colorado 10-3

How we got here!

American Athletic Conference (AAC) 1-5: Houston lost to San Diego State (MWC) 34-10; Central Florida lost to Arkansas State (SBC), 31-13; Tulsa blasted Central Michigan (MAC), 55-10; Memphis was kicked around by Western Kentucky, (C-USA), 51-31; Navy fell to Louisisana Tech (C-USA) 48-45; Temple lost to Wake Forest (ACC), 34-26!

Atlantic Coastal Conference (ACC) 4-1: Boston College beat Maryland (B-10), 36-30; NC State popped Vanderbelt (SEC), 41-17; Wake Forest beat Temple (AAC), 34-26; Pitt lost to Northwestern (B-10) 31-24; Miami beat West Virginia, 31-14

Big-12 (B-12) 2-1: Baylor slapped Boise State (MWC) around the field, 31-12; West Virginia lost to Miami, 31-14; Kansas State beat Texas A&M, 33-28;

Big Ten (B-10) 2-2: Maryland lost to Boston College (ACC), 36-30; Minnesota beat Washington State (P-12), 17-12; Northwestern beat Pitt (ACC), 31-24; Indiana lost to Utah, 26-24

Conference USA (C-USA) 4-3: University of Texas San Antonio (UTSA) lost to New Mexico (MWC), 23-20; Southern Miss beat Louisiana Lafayette (SBC), 28-21; Western Kentucky busted up Memphis (AAC), 51-31; Old Dominion stopped Eastern Michigan, (MAC); 24-20; Louisiana Tech out-lasted Navy (AAC), 48-45; Middle Tennessee lost to Hawaii (MWC), 52-35; North Texas lost to Army (IND), 38-31

Independents (IND) 2-0: BYU held off Wyoming (MWC), 24-21; Army beat North Texas (C-USA), 38-31;

Mid-American Conference (MAC) 0-4: Toledo lost to Appalachian State, 31-28, Central Michigan was destroyed by Tulsa (AAC), 55-10; Eastern Michigan lost to Old Dominion (C-USA), 24-20; Miami OH fell short to Mississippi State (SEC), 17-16

Mountain West Conference (MWC) 3-3: New Mexico beat UTSA (C-USA), 23-20, San Diego State hammered Houston (AAC), 34-10, Wyoming fell to BYU (IND), 24-21; Colorado State lost to Idaho (SBC), 61-50; Hawaii held off Middle Tennessee (C-USA), 52-35; Boise State lost to Baylor (B-12), 31-12

Pacific Athletic Conference 12 (PAC-12) 1-1: Washington State lost to Minnesota (B-10), 17-12; Utah beat Indiana, 26-24

Sun Belt Conference (SBC) 4-1: Appalachian State survived Toledo (MAC), 31-28; Arkansas State whipped Central Florida (AAC), 31-13, Louisiana Lafayette lost to Southern Southern Miss (C-USA), 28-21; Idaho outscored Colorado State (MWC), 61-50; Troy beat Ohio (MAC), 28-23

Southeastern Conference (SEC) 1-2: Vanderbilt was thumped by NC State (ACC), 41-17; Mississippi State escaped Miami OH (MAC), 17-16; Texas A&M lost to Kansas State, 33-28

Bowl History: This Bowl was first played in 1935 and has been held annually since the bowl’s inaugural game!  The initial game was played on January 1, 1935, when Bucknell beat Miami of Florida, 26-0! The Orange Bowl celebrated its 75th anniversary in the 2009 rendition of the game, Virginia Tech beat Cincinnati, 20-7 and last year’s game had Clemson pounding Oklahoma 37- to 17! The Conference tie-ins are the ACC and Orange Bowl Committee Selection Team! The payout is $17,000,000.00 per team!

Teams: Michigan 10-2 (B-10) Florida State 9-3 (ACC)

Bowl Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida

Day, Date & Time: Friday, December 30, 2016, 7:00 p.m CST

Network: ESPN

Best Win(s): Michigan beat Penn State (10-2), 49-10; Florida State beat Florida (8-4), 31-13

Worst Losses: Michigan lost Ohio State (11-1), 30-27 OT, Florida State lost to Louisville (9-3) 63-20

Common Opponents: None

Vegas Hotsheets Favorite: Michigan -6

Offensive Team Data: Michigan ; Total Yards,  439 YPG; Passing Yards,  216 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  223 YPG; Scoring Average,  41 PPG, Turnovers,  0.92 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 44.2%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 91% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 67%

Offensive Team Data: Florida State ; Total Yards,  426 YPG; Passing Yards, 233 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 193 YPG; Scoring Average  35 PPG, Turnovers,  1.42 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 44.6%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 96% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 76%

Defensive Team Data: Michigan ; Total Yards,  253 YPG; Passing Yards,  136 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  117 YPG; Scoring Average,  13 PPG, Turnovers,  1.42 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 20.7%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 65% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 41%

Defensive Team Data: Florida State ; Total Yards,  325 YPG; Passing Yards,  200 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  126 YPG; Scoring Average,  24 PPG, Turnovers,  1.33 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 33.6%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 83% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 83%

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Arizona’s total yards on offense, add it to what Nevada gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Nevada’s total offense, add it to what Arizona gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards Advantage: Michigan 382 to 339.5

Passing Yards Advantage: Michigan 208 to 184.5

Rushing Yard Advantage: Michigan 174.5 to 155

Scoring Advantage: Michigan 32.5 to 24

Turnovers Advantage: Michigan 1.125 to 1.42

3rd Down Conversions Advantage: Michigan 38.9 to 32.65

Red Zone All Scores Advantage: Michigan 87 to 80.5

Red Zone TD’s Only Advantage: Michigan 75 to 58.5

The Game Simulator Says: Statistically, Michigan 8 Florida State 0: GS; Michigan wins 33-24 and covers the 6 points

Individuals to Watch: Michigan’s all everything, Jabrill Peppers & FSU All-American RB, Dalvin Cook

Sully Says: Michigan wins and covers!

Bowl History: The Arizona Bowl, officially the Nova Home Loans Arizona Bowl for sponsorship purposes, is a post-season college football bowl game certified by the NCAAthat began play in the 2015 season. The game, which is held at Arizona Stadium in Tucson, is played between bowl-eligible teams from the MWC and SBC. The inaugural game was held on December 29, 2015, between the Nevada and the Colorado State. It was to be played between teams from C-USA and the Mountain West, with the Sun Belt as a secondary tie-in. However, due to a lack of bowl-eligible Conference USA and Sun Belt teams to meet the tie-in, the game was ultimately played between Mountain West teams, marking the first time since 1979 that two teams from the same conference appeared in a non-championship bowl.

Teams: South Alabama 6-6 (SBC) Air Force 9-3 (MWC)

Bowl Location: Arizona Stadium, Tucson, Arizona

Day, Date & Time: Friday, December 30, 2016, 4:30 p.m. CST

Network: Campus Insiders

Best Win(s): South Alabama Mississippi State (5-7) 21-20; Air Force beat Boise State (10-2) 27-20

Worst Losses: South Alabama Louisisana Monroe(4-8), 42-35; Air Force Hawaii (6-7), 34-27 in OT

Common Opponents: None

Vegas Hotsheets Favorite: Air Force -15

Offensive Team Data: South Alabama ; Total Yards,  383 YPG; Passing Yards,  236 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  146 YPG; Scoring Average,  26 PPG, Turnovers,  1.83 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 38%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 81% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 60%

Offensive Team Data: Air Force ; Total Yards,  452 YPG; Passing Yards, 129 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 323 YPG; Scoring Average  34 PPG, Turnovers,  1.42 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 51.4%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 87% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 61%

Defensive Team Data: South Alabama ; Total Yards,  396 YPG; Passing Yards,  179 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  217 YPG; Scoring Average,  26 PPG, Turnovers,  1.58 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 34.7%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 76% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 47%

Defensive Team Data: Air Force ; Total Yards,  370 YPG; Passing Yards,  252 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  118 YPG; Scoring Average,  27 PPG, Turnovers,  1.58 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 43.8%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 71% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 43%

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Arizona’s total yards on offense, add it to what Nevada gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Nevada’s total offense, add it to what Arizona gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards Advantage: Air Force 424 to 376.5

Passing Yards Advantage: South Alabama 244 to 154

Rushing Yard Advantage: Air Force 270 to 132

Scoring Advantage: Air Force 30 to 26.5

Turnovers Advantage: Air Force 1.5 to 1.705

3rd Down Conversions Advantage: Air Force 43.05 to 40.9

Red Zone All Scores Advantage: Air Force 81.5 to 76

Red Zone TD’s Only Advantage: Air Force 54 to 51.5

The Game Simulator Says: Air Force 7,  South Alabama 1, GS thinks AF wins (30-27) but does not cover the 15

Individuals to Watch: 

Sully Says: AF wins but does not cover!

Bowl History: The Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl the NCAA certified this Bowl in 1998 and the game has been played annually since that time! This Bowl has had a variety of sponsors: American General Life & Accident (1998), homepoint.com (1999), Bridgestone (2003-2007) Gaylord Hotels (2002-2009) & Franklin American Mortgage (2010-present).   The first game in this bowl series took place on December, 29, 1998 … Virginia Tech beat Alabama, 38-7 while last years game featured, Louisville and Texas A&M, a game won by the Cardinals  (LU), 27-21! The conference tie-ins are ACC /SEC & the Bowl Pay out is $3,500,000.00

Teams: Nebraska 9-3 (B-10) Tennessee 8-4 (SEC)

Bowl Location: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee

Day, Date & Time: Friday, December 30, 2016, 2:30 p.m. CST

Network: ESPN

Best Win(s): Tennessee beat Va Tech (9-4) 45-24, Nebraska beat Minnesota (8-4), 24-17

Worst Losses: Tennessee lost to Alabama (13-0) 49-10; Nebraska lost to OSU 62-3

Common Opponents: None

Vegas Hotsheets Favorite: Tennessee -3

Offensive Team Data: Nebraska ; Total Yards,  386 0YPG; Passing Yards,  208 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  178 YPG; Scoring Average,  27 PPG, Turnovers,  1.08 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 45%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 81% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 60%

Offensive Team Data: Tennessee ; Total Yards,  437 YPG; Passing Yards, 234 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 203 YPG; Scoring Average  36 PPG, Turnovers,  1.92 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 41%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 89% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 73%

Defensive Team Data: Nebraska ; Total Yards,  351 YPG; Passing Yards,  210 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  141 YPG; Scoring Average,  23 PPG, Turnovers,  1.5 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 37%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 81% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 58%

Defensive Team Data: Tennessee ; Total Yards,  460 YPG; Passing Yards,  226 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  234 YPG; Scoring Average,  29 PPG, Turnovers,  1.83 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 38.4%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 92% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 62%

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Arizona’s total yards on offense, add it to what Nevada gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Nevada’s total offense, add it to what Arizona gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards Advantage: Nebraska 423 to 394

Passing Yards Advantage: Tennessee 222 to 217

Rushing Yard Advantage: Nebraska 206 to 172

Scoring Advantage: Tennessee 29.5 to 28

Turnovers Advantage: Nebraska 1.455 to 1.71

3rd Down Conversions Advantage: Nebraska 41.7 to 39

Red Zone All Scores Advantage: Nebraska 86.5 to 85

Red Zone TD’s Only Advantage: Tennessee 65.5 to 61

The Game Simulator Says: Nebraska 5, Tennessee 3; GS Tennessee wins 30-28, but does not cover the 3 points

Individuals to Watch: 

Sully Says: Tennessee wins and covers

Bowl History:  The Hyundai Sun Bowl was first played in 1935 (second oldest bowl, along with Orange & Sugar Bowls behind only the Rose Bowl which was first played in 1902 and continuously since 1916) and the game has been played annually since that 1935 game! This Bowl has had a variety of names: the Sun Bowl (1935 to 1985), John Hancock Sun Bowl (1986-1998), Wells Fargo (1999-2003) Helen of Troy Limited (2004-2009) & Hyundai (2010-present). The first game in this bowl series took place on January 1, 1935, the El Paso All stars beat the Texas Rangers, 25-21, while last year’s game featured, Washing State and Miami, a game won by WSU , 20-14! The conference tie-ins are PAC 12 /ACC & the Bowl Pay out is a total of $4,100,000.00 split between the respective teams / conferences

Teams: Stanford 9-3 (P-12) UNC 8-4(ACC)

Bowl Location: Sun Bowl, El Paso, Texas

Day, Date & Time: Friday, Decemner 30, 2016, 1:00 p.m. CST

Network: CBS Sports

Best Win(s): Stanford beat USC (9-3), 27-10;UNC beat FSU (9-3), 37-35

Worst Losses: Stanford lost to Washington State (8-4), 42-16 & Washington (12-1), 44-6, UNC lost to Va Tech, (9-4), 34-3

Common Opponents: None

Vegas Hotsheets Favorite: UNC -1

Offensive Team Data: Stanford ; Total Yards,  374 YPG; Passing Yards,  159 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  216 YPG; Scoring Average,  27 PPG, Turnovers,  1.5 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 42.9%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 85% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 56%

Offensive Team Data: UNC ; Total Yards,  368 YPG; Passing Yards, 192 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 176 YPG; Scoring Average  25 PPG, Turnovers,  1.25 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 32.1%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, % & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, %

Defensive Team Data: Stanford ; Total Yards,  366 YPG; Passing Yards,  219 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  147 YPG; Scoring Average,  20 PPG, Turnovers,  1.42 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 37.1%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 78% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 33%

Defensive Team Data: UNC ; Total Yards,  453 YPG; Passing Yards,  310 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  143 YPG; Scoring Average,  35 PPG, Turnovers,  1.92 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 42.1%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 100% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 75%

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Arizona’s total yards on offense, add it to what Nevada gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Nevada’s total offense, add it to what Arizona gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards Advantage: Stanford 413.5 to 367

Passing Yards Advantage: Stanford 234.5 to 205.5

Rushing Yard Advantage: Stanford 179.5 to 161.5

Scoring Advantage: Stanford 31 to 22.5

Turnovers Advantage: UNC 1.335 to 1.71

3rd Down Conversions Advantage: Stanford 42.5 to 34.6

Red Zone All Scores Advantage:

Red Zone TD’s Only Advantage:

The Game Simulator Says: Stanford 5, UNC 1, GS Stanford wins and covers

Individuals to Watch: 

Sully Says: Stanford wins and covers the 1 point

Bowl History: The AutoZone Liberty Bowl was established in 1959 and the game has been played annually since that time! The first game in this bowl series took place on December, 19, 1959, Penn State beat Alabama, 7-0 while last year’s game (2015) featured, Texas A&M and West Virginia, a game won by the Aggies (A&M), 45-37! . Finally, the conference tie-ins are SEC & Big 12 & the Bowl Pay out is $2,400,000.00

Teams: Georgia 7-5 & TCU 6-6

Bowl Location: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, Tennessee

Day, Date & Time: Friday, December 30, 2016, 11:00 p.m. CST

Network: ESPN

Best Win(s): Georgia beat Auburn (8-4), 13-7; TCU beat Baylor, 62-22

Worst Losses: Georgia lost to Ole Miss (5-7) 45-14; TCU lost to Kansas State (8-4), 30-6

Common Opponents: None

Vegas Hotsheets Favorite: Georgia -1.5

Offensive Team Data: Georgia ; Total Yards,  369 YPG; Passing Yards,  193 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  176 YPG; Scoring Average,  24 PPG, Turnovers,  1.33 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 40%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 83% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 54%

Offensive Team Data: TCU ; Total Yards,  475 YPG; Passing Yards, 278 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 197 YPG; Scoring Average  32 PPG, Turnovers,  1.5 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 40.2%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 83% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 58%

Defensive Team Data: Georgia ; Total Yards,  342 YPG; Passing Yards,  190 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  152 YPG; Scoring Average,  24 PPG, Turnovers,  2 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 37.3%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 93% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 64%

Defensive Team Data: TCU ; Total Yards,  428 YPG; Passing Yards,  245 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  183 YPG; Scoring Average,  28 PPG, Turnovers,  1.08 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 43.1%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 94% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 50%

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Arizona’s total yards on offense, add it to what Nevada gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Nevada’s total offense, add it to what Arizona gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards Advantage: TCU 408.5 to 398.5

Passing Yards Advantage: TCU 234 to 219

Rushing Yard Advantage: Georgia 179.5 to 174.5

Scoring Advantage: TCU 28 to 26

Turnovers Advantage: Georgia 1.205 to 1.75

3rd Down Conversions Advantage: Georgia 41.55 to 38.75

Red Zone All Scores Advantage: Georgia 88.5 to 88

Red Zone TD’s Only Advantage: TCU 61 to 52

The Game Simulator Says: TIE Georgia 4, TCU 4; GS TCU wins & Covers

Individuals to Watch: 

Sully Says: Take Georgia and the points

Bowl History: The Valero Alamo Bowl was certified by the NCAA in 1993 and the game has been played annually since that time! The first game in this bowl series took place on December, 31, 1993, California beat Iowa, 37-3 while last years game featured, TCU and Oregon, a game won by the Frogs (TCU), 47-41, in 3 OT’s! The Alamo Bowl has a great TV following as it has produced 8 of ESPN’s top 20 most watched Bowl Games! Further, the Alamo Bowl has sold out 7 times in its 16 year history, Impressive given overall decline in Bowl Attendance the past few years! Finally, the conference tie-ins are Big 12 /PAC 12 & the Bowl Pay out is $3,825,000.00!

Teams: Oklahoma State 9-3 (B-12) Colorado 9-4 (P-12)

Bowl Location: Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas

Day, Date & Time: Thursday, December 29.2016, 8:00 p.m. CST

Network: ESPN

Best Win(s): Oklahoma State Beat West Virginia (9-3), 34-10; Colorado beat Stanford (9-3) 10-5

Worst Losses: Oklahoma State lost to Central Michigan, 30-27; Colorado lost to Washington (12-1) 41-10

Common Opponents: None

Vegas Hotsheets Favorite: Colorado -2

Offensive Team Data: Oklahoma State ; Total Yards,  491 YPG; Passing Yards,  321 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  170 YPG; Scoring Average,  39 PPG, Turnovers,  1.17 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 42.4%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 88% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 63%

Offensive Team Data: Colorado ; Total Yards,  419 YPG; Passing Yards, 235 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 184 YPG; Scoring Average  33 PPG, Turnovers,  1.62 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 41.9%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 89% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 65%

Defensive Team Data: Oklahoma State ; Total Yards,  453 YPG; Passing Yards,  251 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  202 YPG; Scoring Average,  28 PPG, Turnovers,  2 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 39.4%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 75% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 63%

Defensive Team Data: Colorado ; Total Yards,  356 YPG; Passing Yards,  202 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  153 YPG; Scoring Average,  20 PPG, Turnovers,  1.85 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 87.1%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 69% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 47%

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Arizona’s total yards on offense, add it to what Nevada gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Nevada’s total offense, add it to what Arizona gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards Advantage: Colorado 436 to 423.5

Passing Yards Advantage: Oklahoma State 261.5 to 243

Rushing Yard Advantage: Colorado 193 to 161.5

Scoring Advantage: Colorado 30.5 to 29.5

Turnovers Advantage: Oklahoma State 1.51 to 1.81

3rd Down Conversions Advantage: Oklahoma State  64.75 to 40.65

Red Zone All Scores Advantage: Colorado 82 to 78.5

Red Zone TD’s Only Advantage: Colorado 64 to 55

The Game Simulator Says: Colorado 5, Oklahoma State 3; GS thinks Colorado win the game, 31-30,but does not cover the 2 points. take OSU and the 2 points

Individuals to Watch: OSU QB Mason Rudolph 25/4 Ratio, Colorado Sefo Liufau 11/6 Ratio

Sully Says: Colorado wins ands covers