Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

Quick Lane Bowl

Bowl History: The Quick Lane Bowl is a post-season college football game certified by the NCAA that began play in the 2014 season Backed by the Detroit Lions of the NFL, the game features a bowl-eligible team from the B-10 competing against an opponent from the ACC. The Quick Lane Bowl is played at Ford Field in Detroit as a de facto replacement for the Little Caesar Pizza Bowl, and inherited its traditional December 26 scheduling. Unlike its predecessor, which placed the 8th place team in the Big Ten against the MAC champion, the competing teams are selected by conference representatives and not based on final rankings. The Fiord Motor Company serves as title sponsor of the game through its auto shop brand Quick Lane. The inaugural game between the Rutgers and UNC was played on December 26, 2014, marking the first time the two teams had ever played each other in a bowl game (Rutgers won 40-21).

Teams: BC 6-6 (ACC) & Maryland 6-6 (B-10)

Bowl Location: Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan

Day, Date & Time: Monday, December 26, 2016, 1:30 p.m. CST

Network: ESPN

Best Win(s): BC beat NC State (6-6), 21-14, beat Wake Forest, 17-14; Maryland best win beat UCF, 30-24 in OT.

Worst LossesBC lost to Va Tech 49-0, Louisville 52-7, FSU, 45-7, Maryland lost to OSU, 62-3 & Michigan, 59-3!

Common Opponents: None

Vegas Hotsheets Favorite: BC -1

Offensive Team Data: BC ; Total Yards,  288 YPG; Passing Yards,  141 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  147 YPG; Scoring Average,  19 PPG, Turnovers,  1.33 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 32.5%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 80% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 54%

Offensive Team Data: Maryland ; Total Yards,  379 YPG; Passing Yards, 174 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 205 YPG; Scoring Average  25 PPG, Turnovers,  1.25 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 35.4%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 86% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 64%

Defensive Team Data: BC ; Total Yards,  310 YPG; Passing Yards,  203 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  107 YPG; Scoring Average,  25 PPG, Turnovers, 1.83 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 31.7%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 82% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 70%

Defensive Team Data: Maryland ; Total Yards,  434 YPG; Passing Yards,  216 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  218 YPG; Scoring Average,  29 PPG, Turnovers,  0.83 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 40%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 77% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 65%

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Arizona’s total yards on offense, add it to what Nevada gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Nevada’s total offense, add it to what Arizona gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards Advantage: BC 361 to 344.5

Passing Yards Advantage: Maryland 188.5 to 178.5

Rushing Yard Advantage: BC 182.5 to 156

Scoring Advantage: Maryland 25 to 24

Turnovers Advantage: BC 1.08 to 1.54

3rd Down Conversions Advantage:  BC 36.25% to 33.55%

Red Zone All Scores Advantage: Maryland 84% to 78.5%

Red Zone TD’s Only Advantage: Maryland 67% to 59%

The Game Simulator Says: The statistical battle ended in a 4 to 4 tie, The site thinks its Maryland as they win by a statistical point

Individuals to Watch: BC QB Patrick Towles 10/6 Ratio, 1579 passing yards; Maryland QB Perry Hills 10/3 ratio and 1235 passing yards!

Sully Says: Boston College has the 8 best “Total Defense” and the 127 worst offense while Maryland is 82 0n D and 93 on O. Take Maryland and the point!

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