Sully’s CFP is currently 25-16 against the Spread!
Oregon 6-0 -9 @ Arizona State 5-1: This Thursday’s showdown in the Arizona Desert is going to be more like sun down … as in “turn out the lights” for the Sun Devils. The last two trips the Ducks made to ASU resulted in 54-20 (2008) & 42-31 (201o) wins! This is the best defense that UO has fielded; Oregon’s closest game this year is 17 points and they have beaten Washington by 31 (The Huskies beat Stanford .. while the Cardinal stopped USC) and Arizona, 49-0 (Arizona was undefeated at the time and had scored 115 points in the two weeks prior to Oregon shutting them out) ! Sully says: Take the Ducks and give the 9!
Rutgers 6-0 -4.5 @ Temple 3-2: Temple has won two in a row at home (beat South Florida 37-28 & U-Conn in OT 17-14) as they prepare for their third straight game in Philadelphia! Rutgers is having its best start in years, 6-0, with an impressive win at @ Arkansas 35-26, and are currently 2-0 in the Big East. The Scarlet Knights have never won the Big East … so motivation & focus is high for this conference game! This Rutgers team is trying to prove something (a Big East Championship … for one) in the post Greg Schiano Era! Sully says: Give the Owls the 4.5 and take Rutgers!
Stanford 4-2 -2.5 @ California 3-4: Stanford is the best 2 lost team in college football and without question, one of the most physical teams in America! This game is about athleticism (Cal) vs power (Stanford) … Cal has won its last two games (UCLA 43-17 & Washington State 31-17) and this (The Game … as it is called) is a rivalry game … usually a game to be avoided when picking against a spread! That said … the game is earlier then usual (the Bears & Cardinal have played at the end of the season for the past 5 years) and Stanford’s division and conference hopes are on the line as both Oregon & Oregon State are waiting for them at the end of the season! Look for Stanford to play with less emotion and more focus in “The Game”! Sully Says: Give Cal the 2.5 and take Stanford!
South Florida 2-4 @ Louisville 6-0 -7: Charlie Strong has the Cardinals off to their best start in the past five years @ 6-0. Skip Holtz, on the other hand, is off to his worst start in the three years he has been @ USF. There is a ND connection here as both of these coaches had tenure for the Irish as assistants. While Louisville has won several games this year by a touchdown or less … they have found a way in each of these wins! While USF has lost 4 in a row, three by 2 scores or more! Sully’s says: Give the Bulls the 7 and lake Louisville!
Cincinnati 5-0 -7 @ Toledo 6-1: Cincinnati has played the superior schedule and is 4-2 all time vs Toledo. This is an opportunity for the MAC to continue a surprising run of success against AQ conference teams. That said; the surprise is over…. everyone is aware of how well the MAC has doine this year and as a result, Cincy’s focus is sure to be sharp! The Bearcats (Cincinnati) have 9 seniors starting on defense and have allowed 20 or more points only once this season (27-24 win vs Va Tech)! Sully says: Take Cincinnati and give Toledo the 7!
Iowa State 4-2 @ Oklahoma State 3-2 -14: Paul Rhodes has the Cyclones playing their best football in years. ISU’s two losses were hard fought contests vs Texas Tech, 24-13 & Kansas State, 27-21, and they have an impressive win, on the road, over TCU, 37-23! OSU has a bad loss @ Arizona, 59-38 and to a struggling Texas, 41-36! The Cowboys three wins are all against weak competition ( Savannah State, 84-0, Louisiana Lafayette, 65-24, & Kansas 20-14)! Sully says: Take ISU & the 14 points!
Check out Head to Head on the site for the Sully’s CFP Simulator to get a statistical analysis of these and other games!
http://sullyscollegefootballpage.com/Football_Stats/Matchup.cfm
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