AudoCare V100 Texas Bowl

Bowl History: The Texas Bowl (officially known as the AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl for sponsorship reasons, and formerly known as the Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas) is a post-season NCAA-sanctioned Division I FBS college football boiwl game that was held for the first time in 2006 in Houston, Texas. The bowl replaced the now-defunct Houston Bowl, which was played annually from 2000 to 2005. The first bowl game in Houston was the Bluebonnet Bowl, played from 1959 through 1987

Teams: Texas A&M 8-4  (SEC) Kansas State 8-4 (B-12)

Bowl Location: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas

Day, Date & Time: Wednesday, December 28, 2016, 8:00 p.m. CST

Network: ESPS

Best Win(s): A&M beat Arkansas (7-5), 45-24 & Tennessee (8-4), 45-38 in OT; Kansas State Beat TCU (6-6), 30-6 & Baylor (6-6) 42-21

Worst Losses: A&M Lost to Ole Miss (5-7), 29-28 & LSU (7-4), 54-39; Kansas State lost to Oklahoma (10-2), 38-17

Common Opponents: None

Vegas Hotsheets Favorite: Texas A&M -2.5

Offensive Team Data: Texas A&M ; Total Yards,  468 YPG; Passing Yards,  251 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  218 YPG; Scoring Average,  35 PPG, Turnovers,  1.58 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 39.6%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 86% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 59%

Offensive Team Data: Kansas State ; Total Yards,  387 YPG; Passing Yards, 154 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 233 YPG; Scoring Average  32 PPG, Turnovers,  0.83 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 46%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 91% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 70%

Defensive Team Data: Texas A&M ; Total Yards,  444 YPG; Passing Yards,  255 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  190 YPG; Scoring Average,  24 PPG, Turnovers,  2 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 39.2%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 61% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 33%

Defensive Team Data: Kansas State ; Total Yards,  382 YPG; Passing Yards,  270 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  113 YPG; Scoring Average,  22 PPG, Turnovers,  1.75 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 37.7%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 100% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 100%

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Arizona’s total yards on offense, add it to what Nevada gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Nevada’s total offense, add it to what Arizona gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards Advantage: Texas A&M 425 to 415.5

Passing Yards Advantage: Texas A&M 260.5 to 204.5

Rushing Yard Advantage: Kansas State 211.5 to 165.5

Scoring Advantage: Texas A&M 28.5 to 28

Turnovers Advantage: Kansas State 1.415 to 1.665

3rd Down Conversions Advantage: Kansas State 42.5 to 38.65

Red Zone All Scores Advantage: Texas A&M 93 to 76

Red Zone TD’s Only Advantage: Texas A&M 79.5 to 51.5

The Game Simulator Says: Texas A&M 5, Kansas State 3, GS likes Kansas State and the points, as A&M wins a close game but does not cover the 3.5

Individuals to Watch: A&M QB, Trevor Knight is out (or is he?) as to why this game is so close!

Sully Says: A&M wins by a TD or more and covers!