Capital One Bowl

Bowl History: The Capital Bowl has been around since 1947, known as the Tangerine Bowl (1947 to 1982), the Florida Citrus Bowl (1983 to 2002) and the Capital One Bowl 2003 to present! The first game was played on January 1, 1947… in which Catawba beat Maryville, 31-0! Last year’s game was won by South Carolina over Nebraska, 30-13! The Conference tie-ins are the SEC & the Big Ten and the Bowl payout is $4,550,000.00!

Teams: Nebraska: Conference Affiliation: Big 10; Overall Record 10-3, Conference Record 7-2, Divisional Record 5-0 (Big Ten’s Legends Division) vs Georgia Conference Affiliation: SEC; Overall Record 11-2, Conference Record: 7-2, Divisional Record 5-1 (SEC’s East Division)  

Bowl Location: Orlando, Florida … played @ the Citrus Bowl, the seating capacity @ the facility is 65,538. Last year’s game which featured Nebraska and South Carolina, was attended by 61,351 or 93.75% of the Citrus Bowl’s capacity.

Day, Date, & Time: Tuesday, 1/1/13 @ 12 p.m. CST

Network: ABC

Best Wins: Nebraska: Wisconsin 30-27, Northwestern 29-28, Michigan 23-9, Michigan State 28-24, & Minnesota 38-14 … Georgia beat Florida 17-9, Vanderbilt, 48-3, & Georgia Tech, 42-10 …. All eight teams listed here are Bowl eligible!

Worst Losses: Nebraska: Wisconsin, 70-31 (Big Ten Championship Game) & Ohio State, 63-38! Georgia: lost to South Carolina 35-7

Common Opponents: None

Las Vegas Hotsheet: Game opened @ Georgia -8.5 ….  has moved to the Bulldogs @ -10

Offensive Team Data: Nebraska: Total Yards, 462 YPG; Passing Yards, 208 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 255 YPG; Scoring Average 35 PPG, Turnovers, 2.23 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 42.8%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 84% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 62%

Offensive Team Data: Georgia:  Total Yards, 457 YPG; Passing Yards, 276 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 180 YPG; Scoring Average 37 PPG, Turnovers, 1.54 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 47%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 86% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 76%

Defensive Team Data: Nebraska: Total Yards, 343 YPG; Passing Yards, 148 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 195 YPG; Scoring Average 26 PPG, Turnovers, 1.85 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 34.2%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 80% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 55%

Defensive Team Data: Georgia:  Total Yards, 352 YPG; Passing Yards, 170 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 182 YPG; Scoring Average 19 PPG, Turnovers, 1.85 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 32.2%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 71% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 48%

Sully’s Game Simulator: is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will perform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Georgia’s total yards on offense, add it to what Nebraska gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Nebraska’s total offense, add it to what Georgia gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards:  Advantage Nebraska 407 to 400

Passing Yards: Advantage Georgia 212 to 189

Rushing Yards: Advantage Nebraska 219 to 188

Scoring: Advantage Georgia 32 to 27

Turnovers: Advantage Georgia 1.7 to 2.0

3rd Down Conversions: Advantage Georgia 41% to 38%

Red Zone All Scores: Advantage Georgia 83% to 78%

Red Zone TD’s Only: Advantage Georgia 66% to 55%

Individuals to Watch: Nebraska: QB, Taylor Martinez passed for 2.667 yards (21 TD’s to 10 INT’s) while rushing for 927 yards (10 TD’s & 5.6 yards per carry). Georgia: QB, Aaron Murray passed for 3,466 yards, 31 TD’s, 6 INT’s & completed 65% of his attempts! LB, Jarvis Jones, the SEC’s Defensive Player of the Year … will be getting to know Martinez & Co. up close and personal as this game progresses!

Sully Says: Neither of these teams are coming into this game with much to smile about … regarding on how their respective season’s ended! Georgia was a tipped pass away from possibly playing in the BCS National Championship Game. Not only that, but Florida, a team Georgia beat (17-9) was selected over them to play in the Sugar Bowl! Dawgs … Not happy campers!! Meanwhile, Nebraska was annihilated by the Wisconsin Badgers in the Big Ten Championship game, 70-31! So these teams roll into the Capital One Bowl  …. in these respective emotional states: Georgia comes in heartbroken while the Huskers stumble in embarrassed! Sully Says … Georgia is the better team … Coach Richt is from Nebraska  he will fire up the troops … the Dawgs win & cover the 10 spot!