Rose Bowl Presented By Vizio

Bowl History: “The Granddaddy of them all” as Keith Jackson used to say every January 1 @ the Rose Bowl! This is the oldest and most prestigious of all the Bowl Games! The game was first played in 1902 (Michigan hammered Stanford, 49-0)  and has been played annually since 1916! The 1916 game featured Washington State & the IVY League’s Brown University, a game won by WSU, 14-0! Last year’s game was won by Oregon, 45-38, over an outstanding Wisconsin team … in one of the most entertaining Rose Bowl’s …. Ever! The tradition rich Bowl has refused to move off its January 1st date and continues to be played in the afternoon! The Conference tie-ins are the PAC 12 & the Big 10! The payout for this BCS Bowl Game is $18,000,000.00

Teams:   Wisconsin: Conference Affiliation: Big 10; Overall Record 8-5, Conference Record 5-4, Divisional Record 3-2 (Big Ten’s Leaders Division) vs Stanford Conference Affiliation: PAC 12; Overall Record 11-2, Conference Record: 9-1, Divisional Record 4-1 (PAC 12’s North Division)

Bowl Location: Pasadena, California … played @ the Rose Bowl, the seating capacity @ the facility is 91,136. Last year’s game which featured Oregon and Wisconsin, was attended by 91,245 or 100.12% of the Rose Bowl’s capacity.

Day, Date, & Time: Tuesday,  1/1/13 @ 4:00 p.m. CST

Network: ESPN

Best Wins: Wisconsin: beat Utah State, 16-14, Purdue, 38-14, Minnesota, 38-13, & Nebraska, 70-31; Stanford: beat Duke, 50-10, USC, 21-14, Arizona, 54-48 in OT, Oregon State, 27-23, & Oregon, 17-14, & UCLA twice 35-17 & 27-24 (PAC 12 Championship Game) All 10 of these teams are playing or have played in the 2012 /13 post season!

Worst Losses:: Wisconsin: Michigan State, 16-13, Ohio State, 21-14, & Penn State, 24-21 … all three of these games were lost in OT! Finally, Oregon State, 10-7 … Nebraska, 30-27  ……  meaning the Badgers lost 6 games by 19 points or worse … 5 games by 12 points! Stanford: lost to ND 20-13 in OT ( the Cardinal need to stop whinnying ,,, Stepfon’s (Taylor) elbow was down ….Check it out on the site  …  on the blog  Page …   Right below ….. Sully’s Big Blog ,,, you will see Categories on red background … use the scroll bar … go to Stanford (18) articles … go to College Football wrap up Week Seven …click on it ….  then scroll down the article and you can clearly see his left elbow hit the ground before he extends the ball)! & … back to Stanford’s other loss …. Washington, 17-13!

Common Opponents: (1) Oregon State: Stanford beat OSU 27-23 while Wisconsin lost to OSU, 10-7!

Las Vegas Hotsheet: Game opened @ Stanford -6.5 and has moved to Stanford -7!

Offensive Team Data:Wisconsin: Total Yards, 400 YPG; Passing Yards, 163 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 238 YPG; Scoring Average 31 PPG, Turnovers, 0.85 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 34.6%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 82% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 65%

Offensive Team Data: Stanford: Total Yards, 377 YPG; Passing Yards, 203 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 173 YPG; Scoring Average 28 PPG, Turnovers, 1.38 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 38.7%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 85% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 60%

Defensive Team Data: Wisconsin: Total Yards, 320 YPG; Passing Yards, 196 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 124 YPG; Scoring Average 19 PPG, Turnovers, 1.15 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 32.5%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 93% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 66%

Defensive Team Data: Stanford: Total Yards, 339 YPG; Passing Yards, 251 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 88 YPG; Scoring Average 17 PPG, Turnovers, 1.38 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 31.4%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 79% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 47%

Sully’s Game Simulator: is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will perform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Wisconsin’s total yards on offense, add it to what Stanford gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Stanford’s total offense, add it to what Wisconsin gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2 to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards:  Advantage Wisconsin 370 to 349

Passing Yards: Advantage Wisconsin 207 to 200

Rushing Yards: Advantage Wisconsin 163 to 149

Scoring: Advantage Wisconsin 24 to 23.5

Turnovers: Advantage Stanford 1.27 to 1.43

3rd Down Conversions: Advantage Stanford 35.6% to 33%

Red Zone All Scores: Advantage Stanford 89% to 81%

Red Zone TD’s Only: Advantage Stanford 63% to 56%

Individuals to Watch: Wisconsin: RB, Monte Ball 1,730 yards, 21 TD’s & 5.2 yards per carry for the touchdown King! Stanford: RB, Stepfan Taylor, 1,442 yards, 8 TD’s & 4.8 yards per carry! The real interesting battles here will be waged on the line(s) of scrimmage …. between the O & D fronts of the respective teams. The physical nature of this game should be the best of the 2012-13 Bowl season!

Sully Says: Stanford won back to back Rose Bowl’s in 1971 beating Ohio State, 27-17 & in 1972, they stopped Michigan, 13-12 (Stanford was/were the Indians back then).  The last time in the Rose Bowl …  Stanford (the Cardinal … not Cardinals) lost to, none other than …. Wisconsin, 17-9 in 2000! Stanford is, without question, the most physical team in the PAC 12. That said, there is also little question this is a better opponent for Wisconsin … than the speed demons from Oregon! The way Stanford likes to play the game … is a perfect fit for the mind set of any Wisconsin team since Barry arrived in the early 1990’s!  Sully’s CFP Says: Barry Alvarez is the X factor in this game … as a result of his presence on the sideline ……  take the Wisconsin and the 7 points!