Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

Championship Week: ACC & Pac 12

ACC Florida State 10-2 / 7-1 vs Georgia Tech 6-6 / 5-2: These teams did not play in the regular season, in fact, the last time they met was October 10, 2009, a wild affair won by the Rambling Wreck, 49-44! In that game, FSU was unable to contain Tech’s triple option as the Yellow Jackets rushed for 401 yards! In looking at this year’s game, the Noles seem to have the clear advantage … Florida State’s name was being tossed around as a possible candidate for the BCS National Championship Game (if they beat Florida … the Seminoles lost …  37-26 & other things happened … they did not) while G-Tech stumbled into the post season with a 6-6 record! Sully’s CFP Game Simulator says … Florida State will out distance Georgia Tech in 6 of the 8 categories assessed … 1) Total Offense: 435 to 349; 2) Passing Offense: 261 to 145; 3) Scoring: 37 to 26; 4) 3rd Down Conversion Percentage: 44% to 38%; 5) Red Zone Scoring 86% to 83%; & 6) Red Zone TD’s Percentage: 64% to 61%! While G-Tech will out-perform FSU in two areas: 1) Rushing offense: 204 to 174 & 2) Turnover Margin: 1.42 to 1.75! On paper… this game appears to be a mismatch … but … you never really know … that’s why we play the game! The site for the ACC Championship Contest will be … Bank of America Stadium …. in Charlotte, North Carolina

UCLA 9-3 / 6-3 @ Stanford 10-2 / 8-1: The PAC 12 team with the best conference record or that wins the tie-breaker gets to host the championship game. As a result, this year’s site will be Stanford Stadium … as they clearly have the better record! These teams just played last week, Stanford won the game with relative ease, 35-17, at the Rose Bowl (UCLA’s home field)! Sully’s CFP Game Simulator says …  Stanford will win the statistical battle 5 to 3 in the Eight Categories Assessed (1. Total Yards, 2. Passing Yards, 3. Rushing Yards, 4. Scoring, 5. Turnovers, 6. 3rd Down Conversions, 7. Red Zone All Scores; 8. Red Zone Touchdowns only) : 1) Rushing Yards: 163 to 134; 2) Scoring 28 to 27; 3) Turnovers: 1.96 to 2.04; 4) Red Zone Scoring Percentage: 85% to 81%, & 5) Red Zone TD Percentage: 62% to 53%. While UCLA will prevail in 3 categories: 1) Total Yards: 401 to 399; 2) Passing Yards: 267 to 237; & 3) Turnovers: 1.96 to 2.04! While Stanford has the statistical edge and won last week, 35-17 … don’t be surprised if this game is a one score affair in the 4th Quarter!

 

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