Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

FCS Championship: Second Round

Central Arkansas 9-2 / 6-1 @ Georgia Southern 8-3 / 6-2: Central Arkansas winner of the Southland Conference travel to Statesburo, Georgia to take on Georgia Southern, who finished in a three way tie atop the Southern Conference (SoCon). Sully’s CFP Game Simulator http://sullyscollegefootballpage.com/Football_Stats/Matchup.cfm likes Central Arkansas in this game in 5 of the 8 statistical categories assessed. That said … Georgia Southern is a triple option team which often means statistical data is irrelevant! The Eagles ran the ball effectively last year against Alabama, 302 yards and rushed for that exact amount of yardage vs Georgia this year! Central Arkansas challenged a BCS / SEC team as well, Ole Miss and played them fairly well … before losing 49-27. This is the  Bears second game of the play-off’s … having beat Eastern Illinois, Champion of the Ohio Valley, 48-30, in the first round!   

Coastal Carolina 8-4 / 5-1 @ Old Dominion 10-1 / 7-1: Coastal Carolina, which finished in a three way tie atop the Big South Conference, prepares to take on Old Dominion, winner’s of the Colonial Athletic Association! Sully’s CFP Game Simulator http://sullyscollegefootballpage.com/Football_Stats/Matchup.cfm likes the O D Monarchs in this game in 6 of the 8 data areas evaluated in comparing the teams. Old Dominion’s only loss of the season was to Villanova, 38-13, on October 13th! While Coastal Carolina took on one FBS opponent, Toledo, from the MAC, a 38-28 loss, they also lost two non-conference games to Eastern Kentucky, 35-17, from the Ohio Valley, & the SoCon’s Appalachian State, 55-14. CCU lost one conference game to Stony Brook, 27-21! For the Chanticleers to be competitive in this game they must be able to run the ball and keep the high-powered Monarch Offense on the sideline! This second round game is the 2nd game for the Chanticleers in the tourney, they beat MEAC Champ, Bethune-Cookman, 24-14, in tne first round!

Illionoi State 8-2 / 5-3 @ Applachian State 8-3 / 6-2: Illinois State finished tied for 3rd place in the Missouri Valley with two other teams, while Appalachian State finished in a three way tie for the SoCon (Southern Conference) Championship! Sully’s CFP Game Simulator says ….http://sullyscollegefootballpage.com/Football_Stats/Matchup.cfm the ISU Redbirds in a statistical rout, 8 to 1! While I did watch ISU beat Eastern Michigan, 31-14 (an FBS team from the MAC) and do they have a very good defense …. I have reservations about their ability to win this game … let alone dominate Appalachian State! AP State lost to an FBS team, East Carolina, 35-13, but won their other two non-conference games against the Big Sky’s, Montana, 35-27 & the Big South’s, Coastal Carolina, 55-14! This is both the ISU Redbirds & the Mountaineers of Appalachian State’s first game of the Tournament… as the recieved 1st round byes!

New Hanpshire 8-3 / 6-2 @ Wofford 8-3 / 6-2: New Hampshire ended their season in a four way tie for second place in the Colonial Athletic Association, while Wofford finished in a three way tie atop the SoCon! Sully’s Game Simulator http://sullyscollegefootballpage.com/Football_Stats/Matchup.cfm likes Wofford in 7 of the 8 statistical domains it assessed when comparing these teams. The conferences (Southern & Colonial) that are generally regarded as the two best in the FCS Football! New Hampshire won its two FCS non-conference games against the Patriot League’s Holy Cross, 38-17 & the Northest’s Central Connecticut, 43-10 …. but were hammered by their lone BCS / Big Ten opponent, Minnesota, 44-7! While Wofford played very well against, BCS / SEC South Carolina on November 24, before losing 24-7!  

South Dakota State 9-3 / 6-2 @ North Dakota State 10-1 / 7-1: North Dakota State is the defending FCS Champion and won the Missouri Valley this season, while South Dakota State finsihed alone in 2nd place in the MVC! These teams played on November 10, a 20 to 17 affair won by North Dakota State. The Game Simulator  http://sullyscollegefootballpage.com/Football_Stats/Matchup.cfmlike NDSU over SDSU in all 8 of the Statistical Categories. While I doubt that … the game is being played @ North Dakota State and I do like them to win and move on to Round Three of the Championship! South Dakota State did step up an play an BCS opponent, Kansas, the Jackrabits lost, 31-17 … while North Dakota State did not play a FBS team this season!

Cal Poly 9-2 / 7-1 @ Sam Houston 8-3 / 6-1: Cal Poly tied Eastern Washington & Montana State for the Big Sky Conference Championship in their first year in the League! Sam Houston State, who lost the FCS Championship Game a year ago to North Dakota State, 17-6, finished league play @ 6-1, but lost to Central Arkansas, 24-20, also 6-1, and thus lost the tie breaker for 1st place in the Southland Conference! The Simulator Says….  http://sullyscollegefootballpage.com/Football_Stats/Matchup.cfmSam Houston will outperform Cal Poly in 6 of the 8 statistical areas! These teams are both very athletic and this may be the most entertaining game of the day! Sam Houston lost to Baylor, 48-27, and Texas A&M, 47-28, both FBS, BCS, & Big 12 affiliates! Cal Poly… did not play any FBS teams in 2012!  

Wagner 9-3 / 7-1 @ Eastern Washington 9-2 / 7-1: Wagner won the Northeast Conference Championship by virtue of their win, 30-0, over Albany University, who was also 7-1 in conference play. While Eastern Washington finished the season in a three way tie for first place in the Big Sky! Sully’s CFP Game Simulator says http://sullyscollegefootballpage.com/Football_Stats/Matchup.cfm this game statistically is a draw … with both teams performing better than their counterpart in four of the eight categories! The Big Sky is generally considered to be one of the best FCS conferences while the Northeast Conference would  be considered to be in the mid to lower tier! Eastern Washington battled the PAC 12’s, Washington State to a 24-20 loss but beat the WAC’s Idaho, 23-3! While Wagner lost to the Sun Belt’s, Florida Atlantic, 7-3, they did win their first round game vs the Patriot League’s Champ, Colgate, 31-20!

Stony Brook 10-2 / 5-1 @ Montana State 10-1 / 7-1: Stony Brook tied Coastal Carolina & Liberty for the Big South Championship. While, Montana State finished its season in a three way tie for the Big Sky Championship with Cal Poly & Eastern Washington! The Simulator http://sullyscollegefootballpage.com/Football_Stats/Matchup.cfm likes Stony Brook in 7 of the 8 statistical domains when compared to Montana State. Stony Brook did beat an FBS team … Army, 23-3 and played a BCS team, Syracuse close, 28-17! While Montana State did not play an opponent from the FBS ranks!

 

This entry was posted in Alabama, Big Sky, Big South, Big Ten, Colonial Athletic Association, Georgia, Kansas, MAC, MEAC, Minnesota, Missouri Valley, Montana, Montana State, Mountain West, Northeast Conference, Ohio Valley, Ole Miss, Patriot League, Sam Houston State, South Carolina, Southern Conference, Southland Conference, Sun Belt, Syracuse, Toledo, Wyoming. Bookmark the permalink.

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