Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

Fight Hunger Bowl BYU vs Washington 2013

Bowl History: This bowl was certified by the NCAA Bowl Committee in 2002 and has been played every year since that time. The game has had many different descriptors; San Francisco Bowl (2202), Diamond Walnut San Francisco Bowl (2002-03), Emerald Bowl (2004-09), & Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl (2010 to present). On November 20, 2012, the Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl & the San Francisco 49ers announced the event will be moved to the new Santa Clara Stadium in Silicon Valley in 2014! The first game in this bowl series was played on December 31, 2002, the contest pitted Va Tech against Air Force, a battle won by the Hokies, 20-13! Last year’s game featured the Naval Acadamy taking on the Sun Devils of ASU … Arizona State sunk the Midshipmen, 62-28! The current conference tie -ins are the PAC 12, Navy, BYU …. Alternates are the ACC, MAC & WAC…. Payouts are PAC 12 $900,000.00 … all others $750.000.00!

Teams: Washington: Conference Affiliation: PAC 12; Overall Record 8-4, Conference Record 5-4, Divisional Record 3-2 (North Division of the PAC 12)! ….  vs …. BYU:   Conference Affiliation: Independent; Overall Record 8-4; Conference Record: 0-0!

Bowl Location: San Francisco, California @ AT&T Park, the seating capacity @ the facility is 40,148. Last year’s game which featured Navy and Arizona State, was attended by 34,172..

Day, Date & Time: Friday, 12/27/2013 @ 8:30 p.m. CST

Network: ESPN

Best Win(s): BYU: Texas 40-21 & Boise State 37-20; Washington: Boise State 38-6 & Arizona 31-13.

Worst Losses:  BYU: Virginia 19 to 16 & Utah 20-13; Washington: ASU 53 to 24 & Oregon 45 to 24.

Common Opponents: Boise State: BYU 37-20 & Washington 38-6 & Idaho State: BYU 59-13 & Washington 56-0

Las Vegas Hotsheet Favorite: Washington -3

Offensive Team Data: Washington ; Total Yards,  511 YPG; Passing Yards,  271 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  240 YPG; Scoring Average,  39 PPG, Turnovers,  1.25 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 50.3%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 85% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 74%

Offensive Team Data: BYU; Total Yards,  495 YPG; Passing Yards, 221 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 275 YPG; Scoring Average  31 PPG, Turnovers,  1.67 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 38.4%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 77% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 41%

Defensive Team Data: ; Total Yards,  382 YPG; Passing Yards,  222 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  160 YPG; Scoring Average,  23 PPG, Turnovers,  1.92 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 38.1%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 81% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 60%

Defensive Team Data: ; Total Yards,  385 YPG; Passing Yards,  226 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  159 YPG; Scoring Average,  21 PPG, Turnovers,  1.83 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 36,7%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 81% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 51%

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take BYU’s total yards on offense, add it to what Washington gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Washington’s total offense, add it to what BYU gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards: Advantage, Washington …. 448 to 439

Passing Yards: AdvantageWashington… 249 to 222

Rushing Yards: Advantage, BYU …. 218 to 200

Scoring: AdvantageWashington…. 30 to 27

Turnovers: Advantage,Washington  … 1.55 to 1.80

3rd Down Conversions: Advantage, Washington … 43.5% to 38.3%

Red Zone All Scores: Advantage, Washington … 83% to 79%

Red Zone TD’s Only: Advantage, Washington … 63% to 51%

Individuals to Watch: BYU: QB Tayson Hill, 2695 passing yards , 19 TD’s & 13 INT’s & Tayson Hill BYU leading rusher, 211 caries, 1211 rushing yards, & 9 TD; Washington: QB Keith Price, 2843 passing yards, 28 TD’s & 5 INT’s & RB Bishop Sankey, 306 carries, 1775 rushing yards, & 18 TD’s.

Sully CFP Says: Washington wins & covers! 

This entry was posted in 2013/2014 Bowl Games, BYU, FBS Independents, PAC 12, Washington. Bookmark the permalink.

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