Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

Military Bowl Marshall & Maryland 2013

Bowl History: This bowl was founded in 2008, previously known as the EagleBank Bowl (in its’ planning stages it was to be called the Congressional Bowl … played @ DC’s RFK). EagleBank is a Washington D.C. financial institution which sponsored the first two games (2008 & 2009) until Northrup Grumman, one of the worlds largest defense contractors, took over sponsorship in 2010. They renamed the event …. the Military Bowl presented by Northrup Grumman …. that same year! The conference tie-ins are the ACC vs C-USA, Navy or Army. The first game in this bowl was played on December 20, 2008 between Navy & Wake Forest …. Wake won 29-19! Last year’s (2012) winner San Jose State beatBowling Green, 29-20! …  Bowl Payout …. $ 1,000,000.00 per team

Teams: Marshall: Conference Affiliation: C-USA, Overall Record 9-4, Conference Record 7-2, & Divisional Play 5-1 … Won C-USA vs Maryland: Conference Affiliation: Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) Overall Record, 7-5, Conference Record, 3-5, and Divisional Record 1-5 (Atlantic Division of the ACC).

Bowl Location: Washington D.C. The Military Bowl is played at RFK Stadium  with a seating capacity of 56,692 for football (baseball 45,596)! Last year’s (2012) attendabce was 17,835

Day, Date & Time: Friday, 12/27/2013 @ 1:30 p.m. CST

Network: ESPN

Best Win(s): Marshall:  East Carolina 59-28; Maryland:West Virginia, 37-0 & Virginia Tech, 27-24 in OT … on the Road!

Worst Losses: Marshall: Ohio, 34-31  Maryland: FSU, 63-0

Common Opponents: Virginia Tech: Maryland beat in OT, 27-24 while Marshall lost in OT, 29-21 & FIU both Maryland, 43-10 & Marshall 48-10 beat Florida International

Las Vegas Hotsheet Favorite: Marshall -2.5

Offensive Team Data: Maryland ; Total Yards,  397 YPG; Passing Yards,  253 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  144 YPG; Scoring Average,  27 PPG, Turnovers,  2.25 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 32%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 81% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 49%

Offensive Team Data: Marshall ; Total Yards,  511 YPG; Passing Yards, 289 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 222 YPG; Scoring Average  43 PPG, Turnovers,  1.69 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 53.6%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 92% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 79%

Defensive Team Data: Maryland ; Total Yards,  367 YPG; Passing Yards,  216 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  151 YPG; Scoring Average,  25 PPG, Turnovers,  1.75 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 33.7%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 90% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 54%

Defensive Team Data: ; Total Yards,  358 YPG; Passing Yards,  211 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  147 YPG; Scoring Average,  23 PPG, Turnovers,  2 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 34%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 82% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 60%

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Marshall’s total yards on offense, add it to what Maryland gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Maryland’s total offense, add it to what Marshall gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards:  Advantage, Marshall …. 439 to 378

Passing Yards: Advantage, Marshall …. 253 to 232

Rushing Yards: Advantage,Marshall …. 187 to 146

Scoring: Advantage: Marshall… 34 to 25

Turnovers: Advantage, Marshall 1.75 to 2.125

3rd Down Conversions: AdvantageMarshall 43.65% to 33%

Red Zone All Scores: Advantage, Marshall … 91% to 82%

Red Zone TD’s Only: Advantage, Marshall… 67% to 55%

Individuals to Watch: Marshall: QB Rakeem Cato, 3579 passing yards, 36 TD’s & 9 INT’s, RB Essray Taliaferra, 202 attemps, 1059 rushing yards, & 9 TD’s, & WR Tommy Shuler 97 receptions, 1097 receiving yards, and 9 TD’s; Maryland: QB C J Brown, 2045 passing yards, 11 TD’s & 6 INT’s,

Sully Says: Stefon Diggs is down & out and so is Maryland … Marshall wins 10 games for the 1st time since 2002 … Take the Thundering Herd and give Maryland the 2.5

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