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Beef ‘O’ Brady’s Bowl Ohio vs East Carolina 2013

Bowl History: This Bowl began in 2008 (formally known as the magicJack Saint Petersburg Bowl) today the official name of the bowl  is … St.Petersburg Bowl presented by Beef ‘O’ Brady. The first game was played between South Florida & Memphis on 12/20/2008, a game won by USF, 41-14! The defending champ, UCF, beat Ball State, 38-17 in last year’s (2012) game! The bowl tie-ins are … Big East & Conference-USA (with the MAC or SUN Belt as back ups) when teams from these respective leagues are available for selection. Bowl Payout …. $500,000.00 per team!

Teams: East Carolina; Conference-USA, Overall Record, 9-3, Conference Record, 6-2 , Divisional Record, East Division 5-1 …  vs …. Ohio; Mid-American Conference (MAC) Overall Record 7-5, Conference Overall Record, 4-4, Divisional Record; East Division 3-3

Bowl Location:  The game is played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. The stadium was originally designed for baseball and has housed the Tampa Bay Rays (Formally known as the Devil Rays) since their inaugural season of 1998! The highest attended game (28,793) was the second of four Beef ‘O’ Brady Bowls played thus far; in that game, UCF (Central Florida) was hammered by Rutgers, 41-24, on December 19, 2009! The capacity of Tropicana Field is 43,772 and last year’s (2012) attendance was 21,759!

Day, Date & Time: Monday, 12/23/2013 @ 1:00 p.m. CST

Network: ESPN

Best Win(s): East Carolina: Beat in state foes, UNC 55-31 & NC State 42-24; Ohio: Beat two teams that qualified for the post season…. North Texas 27-21 & Marshall 34-31.

Worst Losses: East Carolina: Marshall 59-28; Ohio: Buffalo 30-3 & Bowling Green 49-0

Common Opponents: Marshall … Ohio: beat Marshall 34-31; East Carolina: lost to Marshall 59-28

Las Vegas Hotsheet Favorite: East Carolina -14

Offensive Team Data: Ohio ; Total Yards,  375 YPG; Passing Yards,  239 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  136 YPG; Scoring Average,  28 PPG, Turnovers,  1.75 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 39.5%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 77% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 69%

Offensive Team Data: East Carolina ; Total Yards,  460 YPG; Passing Yards, 327 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 133 YPG; Scoring Average 40 PPG, Turnovers,  1.33 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 51.7%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 88% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 72%

Defensive Team Data: Ohio; Total Yards,  392 YPG; Passing Yards,  212 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  180 YPG; Scoring Average,  27 PPG, Turnovers,  1.83 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 44.3%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 76% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 57%

Defensive Team Data: ; Total Yards,  363 YPG; Passing Yards,  246 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  118 YPG; Scoring Average,  25 PPG, Turnovers,  1.75 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 46.6%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 74% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 60%

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take ECU’s total yards on offense, add it to what Ohio gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Ohio’s total offense, add it to what East Carolina gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards:  Advantage, East Carolina …. 426 to 369

Passing Yards: Advantage, East Carolina …. 270 to 243

Rushing Yards: AdvantageEast Carolina…. 157 to 127

Scoring: AdvantageEast Carolina …. 34 to 27

Turnovers: Advantage, East Carolina1.58 to 1.75

3rd Down Conversions: Advantage, East Carolina… 48% to 43.05%

Red Zone All Scores: Advantage, East Carolina 82% to 76%

Red Zone TD’s Only: AdvantageEast Carolina / Ohio 65% to 65%

Individuals to Watch: Ohio: QB Tyler Tettleton 2623 passing yards, 20 TD’s & 9 INT’s, WR Donte Foster 63 Receptions, 857 receiving yards, & 6 TD’s. East Carolina: QB Shane Carden 3866 passing yards, 32 TD’s & 10 INT’s, WR Justin Hardy 105 receptions, 1218 receiving yards, & & 8TD’s, & RB Vintavious Cooper, 205 carries, 995 rushing yards, & 11 TD’s.

Sully Says: East Carolina wins & covers!

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