Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

Big Ten’s Best Non-Conference (NC) Opponents in 2021

Illinois: The Illini’s best NC opponent in 2021 is a team out of the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC), the Virginia Cavaliers. In 2020, the Cavaliers were 5-5 in, with their best win being a 44-41, a shocker over North Carolina!

Indiana: The Hoosiers are hosting SCFP’s #1 ranked Group of 5 (G5) team, Cincinnati Bearcats, who were 9-1 in 2020, losing to Georgia, 24-21, in the 2020 Peach Bowl! This match up features the best QB’s in the B-10, IU’s Michael Penix & the best QB in the American Athletic Conference (AAC), Cincy’s Desmond Ridder!

Iowa: The Hawks annual in-state battle with Iowa State is heating up! ISU’s Coach, Matty Campbell, has the Cyclones widely regarded as the 2nd best team in the B-12, behind only the mighty Sooners (OU) (whom they split with in 2020, winning, 37-30, in the regular season & losing in the B-12 Championship Game, 27-21)! Iowa has beaten the Cyclones 5 straight! The game is in Ames this year and ISU means to get this one in the win column! Big game for the B-12!

Maryland: Opens their 2021 season against a B-12 opponent, the West Virginia Mountaineers, a team that has beaten the Terps 9 times in their last 10 meetings. WV is clearly their best NC game, as they play Kent State (1-20 vs the current B-10) and an FCS team, Howard University (MEAC), a team they have played and beaten twice (2), 52-13, in 1950 & 79-0 in 2019! Maryland is recruiting better, we’ll see how/if it translates into playing better?

Michigan: The Wolverines best NC tilt is @ home, in the Big House vs Washington (P-12), in 2021! UM hosts all three of their NC games, the other two (2) are against the Mid-American Conference’s (MAC), Northern Illinois & Western Michigan. UW is picked, by many, to win their division (P-12 North) and the P-12 championship vs USC (projected P-12 South Champ). Coach Harbaugh needs to win this game, for all kinds of reasons. In 2021, the Wolves play league games @ MSU, @ Wisconsin, @ IU, @ Nebraska ( Frost best team since his return) & @ PSU! Oh yeah, don’t forget that ‘Team down South”! Michigan can easily lose four (4) games in the B-10. They absolutely need this one!

Michigan State: The Spartans best NC game is @ Miami and I don’t mean the one in Ohio! Phil Steele has MSU finishing last in the B-10’s East Division, not a place where you find the Spartans, projected or finishing, in recent memory (2020 / Covid aside)! New Coach, Mel Tucker, will line up vs the Canes, with an MSU program that has not beaten Miami in any of the four (4) games the teams have played (last in 1989)! That said, the Spartans have lost the last 3 games to the Hurricane by a total of 14 points / 6 or less in each of those battles! For all intent and purpose, this is Mel Tucker, 1st season in East lancing; he did not have a spring practice in 2020 and in his first full recruiting season, the Spartans are ranked 22nd in the class of 2022 (17 recruits in the house)!

Minnesota: The Gophers schedule mimics the Wolverines, in that their best NC game is against a P-12 club, Colorado (4-2 in 2020) and then, they play two (2) MAC teams at home, Miami OH & Bowling Green. A significant difference is the Colorado game is in Boulder and the Buffalos are, put, simply, not the Huskies. The last time the Golden Gophers traveled to Bolder was in 1991, Goldy was annihilated, 58-0, however, the following year (Minnesota was a 20 point dog) the game was a fist fight with the Buffs escaping with a 1 point win, 21-2. Colorado leads the series 3-0!

Nebraska: The Huskers would like to have their 1971 team as they are traveling to Norman to take on the Sooners! In fact, the game was schedule to commemorate the 1971 battle in Norman (The Game of the Century, actually it was), #1 Nebraska and Johnny Rogers vs #2 OU & Greg Pruitt, a game won by the Huskers, 35-31! The Cornhusker’s other NC games are with Buffalo & Fordham, so pretty sure there is no argument about Nebraska’s toughest NC tilt! These teams last played in 2010 for the B-12 title, a game won by OU, 23-20 & the last time the Huskers were in Norman was 2008. Nebraska would like to forget that road trip, as they were hammered, 62-28, by the Sooners! OU leads the series, 45-38-3!

Northwestern: I, for one, think it is about time that we recognize that the best coaches in the B-10 are not in Columbus, Ann Arbor, or Happy Valley, but are actually roaming the sideline in two (2) other B-10 venues, Iowa City (Kirk Ferentz) & Evanston (Pat Fitzgerald). Ferentz is 168-106 while Fitz is 108-81 at schools that are clearly, no question about it, developmental programs. These guys recruit to a system, coach to a philosophy, and hold players to a standard! Impressive! This year NW’s best NC opponent is the ACC’s Duke University. The Wildcats other two (2) NC games are vs Ohio (MAC) & the Indiana State Sycamores (Larry Bird forever), a program that plays in the best conference in the Football Championship Subdivision (FCS) the Missouri Valley Football Conference (MVSC)!

Ohio State: The Bucks take on Oregon (P-12) @ the Horse Shoe, in week two (2) of the 2021 season. Brutus has ‘kicked it off’ to the Oregon Ducks 9 times and had duck for dinner 9 times! That’s right, as good as Oregon has been, they have never beaten OSU! The last time the teams played was in the 1st CFP Championship Game, a 42-20, Buckeye victory! The Bucks other NC games are vs Tulsa, an American Athletic Conference (AAC) team and Akron (MAC), a team out of the East Division of the Mid-American! This is a huge game for Oregon, win here coupled with a P-12 Championship and the PAC-12’s CFP drought is likely over!

Penn State: Anytime the B-10 has a shot at beating an SEC team, the game is BIG, BIG BIG, & that includes Vanderbilt (if nothing else but by SEC association)! The Lions & Tigers have played twice (2), the teams split the two (2) games, PSU won in 1995, 43-14, in the Outback Bowl & Auburn won in the 2002, 13-9, in the Capital One Bowl! Last SEC team to venture into happy Valley, was Alabama, in 2011, a 27-11 winner over the lions! The Nittany Lions other NC games are vs a MAC team, Ball State & an FCS opponent, Villanova, Colonial Athletic Association (CAA).

Purdue: No question about who the Boilers best NC game is with this year, an old rival, the Fighting Irish of Notre Dame. Purdue trails in the series, 26-56-2 The Irish have won nine of the last 10 and 7 in a row. The last time Purdue Pete’ (Boiler Mascot) wandered into South Bend was 2014, the Boilers trailed by only 3 at halftime, but were shutout in the 2nd half, losing, 30-14! The last time the Boilermakers were able to act on, the their Mantra “Boil up” @ Notre Dame Stadium, was in 2007, a 33-19, win. Purdue’s other NC games are against Oregon State (P-12) & U-Conn, an Independent (IND).

Rutgers: The Scarlet Knights are heading to New York for their best NC opponent, the Syracuse Orange from the ACC’s, the Atlantic Division! These teams are former Big East rivals, playing every year from 1980 through 2012! Syracuse leads the series, 30-12-1, however, the Knights have won 6 of the 8 games, including their last meeting in 2012, 23-15! Rutgers’ other two (2) NC games are with, Temple (AAC) & Delaware, an FCS team out of the CAA!

Wisconsin: A game that should be played a least twice (2) in a decade, has gone 56 years w/o the University of Wisconsin playing Notre Dame. The teams were scheduled to play in 2020 (Green Bay) but Covid forced the game’s cancellation! This year, the teams are scheduled to play on Sept. 25th in Chicago’s Soldier Field! The Badgers trail in the series, 6-8-2, with the last meeting in 1964, an Irish win, 31-7 (ND coach Ara Parseghian). The last time the teams played at a neutral site, was also @ Soldier Field, a 19-0 ND Win, Oct 19, 1929 (ND Coach Knute Rockne). The Stock Market would crash in a few days (Black Thursday, Oct. 24th & Black Thursday, Oct. 29th) These teams 1st played in 1990, UW destroyed ND 54-0, the teams played again in 1904, Bucky got nastier, winning 58-0, and again in 1905, the Badgers shutout the Irish, 21-0 (the 04 & 05 games were played in Milwaukee)! Then in 1917, the schools played to a, 0-0, tie in Madison( the U.S. entered WWI that same year! Then in 1924, the Irish finally were able to beat the Badgers, 38-3, this game was also played in Madison! Bucky won in 1928, 22-6, once again in Madison. Then the Irish won 6 in a row, three (3) in South Bend & three (3) in Mad Town! UW got it going again in 1962 & 63 winning, 17-9, @ Camp Randall & 14-9 (closest game) 14-9 @ Notre Dame Stadium! As mentioned, ND won the last time the schools met, 31-7!

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Power 5 Programs & their Recruiting Rankings thru 2021

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College Football Week Zero Games, Saturday 8/28/21

There are 7 games being played this year in/on week zero, 4 of the games find FBS teams locking horns: 1) UConn @ Fresno State, 2) Hawaii @ UCLA, 3) UTEP @ New Mexico State, & 4) the lone Power 5 (P5) match-up, has Nebraska traveling to Illinois.

Their is one game where an FCS (63 scholarship program) team takes on an FBS (85 scholarship program) opponent; Southern Utah @ San Jose State.

Finally their are 2 FCS vs FCS tilts; North Carolina Central @ Alcorn State & Eastern Illinois @ Indiana State!

We will begin with the FCS games!

North Carolina Central (MEAC) vs Alcorn State (SWAC): The MEAC (Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference) & SWAC (Southwestern Athletic Conference) are commonly referred to as the Historically Black Colleges & Universities (HBCU)! The MEAC has been dealing with teams leaving the conference for a better financial circumstance the past few years. Hampton left the league after the 2017 season for the Big South Conference. After the completion of the 2018 season, Savannah State announced that it would be leaving the FCS and returning to Division II for financial consideration. Then the bombshell hit, in 2019, Florida A&M & Bethune-Cookman announced they would be leaving the MEAC & joining the SWAC for geographic & travel reasons. Finally, North Carolina A&T revealed that they would also be leaving and were following Hampton to the Big South Conference. The migration has left the MEAC with six (6) teams for the 2021 season, down from eleven (11) during the 2017 campaign! This is the second meeting of these teams, their 1st and only meeting was Sept. 25, 1976, a game won by Alcorn State, 23-7! The game will be played on Georgia State home field, Center Parc Credit Union Stadium, located in Atlanta, GA. This game is 16th addition of the Cricket Wireless (new sponsor) MEAC SWAC Challenge and ESPN’s Game Day will open their 2021 road show at this game!

Eastern Illinois (Ohio Valley Conference / OVC) @ Indiana State (Missouri Valley Football Conference / MVFC): This is the 4th meeting since we began in 2009 and the 4th meeting all-time / the teams split the 4 games. In 2009, the Panthers (EIU) blasted the Sycamores (ISU), 31-0 & survived ISU in 2017, 22-20, both games were played in Terre Haute, IN. The teams met the following year (2018) in Charleston, IL and ISU got its first win in this 4 game set, 55-41, in a wild score-fest! Finally, the teams met in 2019, the Sycamores held the Panthers to 79 yards rushing, forced 4 turnovers (TO’s), and won the game, 16-6!

Southern Utah (Big Sky Conference / B-Sky) @ San Jose State (Mountain West Conference / MWC): Southern Utah is an FCS (63 scholarship program) member, while San Jose State is an FBS (85 scholarship program) member, will battle one another for the second time in their respective histories! The 1st meeting was in 2010, Sept. 10th, SJSU held off a determined SUSU, winning 16-11! San Jose State inadvertently helped the Thunderbird effort turning the ball over three (3) times, while forcing only one (1) TO! The Spartans (SJSU) had their best season in years’, in 2020 (7-1), winning the West Division, and then beating perennial champ, Boise State, 34-20, in the MWC Championship Game! Their only loss was to Ball State, 34-13, in the Offerpad Arizona Bowl. The outcome was decided just before kickoff, when Coach Brennen was informed that 6 players (5 starters) and both Coordinators, were unavailable for the day’s game! The reason why has never been stated, SJSU gave up 27 points in the 1at quarter, and yes, the coach was informed of this catastrophe just prior to taking the field for warm-ups! What a mess! Meanwhile, SUSU had a 2020 season from Hades! The Thunderbirds (Thor is their Mascot, got to love that) were 1-5 in 2020, losing to Northern Arizona, 34-33, Idaho State, 26-24, Idaho, 33-32, & Weber State, 19-16! They then played Northern Arizona for a 2nd time (Covid) and suffered their worst defeat, 28-20! The T-Birds return almost their entire starting line up on both sides of the ball & roster! They are a committed group, looking for redemption in close games!

U-Conn Independent (IND) @ Fresno State (MWC): This is the 1st meeting between the Huskies & the Bulldogs. Connecticut has not fared well against current members of the MWC, going winless in three (3) games. Of note, since U-Conn opted out of the 2020 season (Covid), this will be their 1st game as an Independent since the 2003 season! FSU is 9-4-1, since 2017, against current Independents & 7-5 in home openers since 2009, having lost the last two (2), to Hawaii, in 2020, 34-19 & Minnesota, in 2019, 38-35! Fresno State returns 19 starters (9* on offense & 10 on defense) while the Huskies bring back 14 starters (7* on O & 7 on D / * signifies QB is back)!

University of Texas El Paso UTEP Conference USA (C-USA) @ New Mexico State (IND): In recent times, the Miners & the Aggies have played every year since 2009, save 2020 (Covid)! UTEP holds a 8-3 edge in that time-frame, that said, the Aggies have won three (3) in a row. NMSU pounded UTEP in 2017, 41-14 and found-a-way in the other two (2) games, 27-20, in 2018 & 44-35, in 2019! The series is called the Battle of I-10! The 1st game in the series was played back in 1914, New Mexico State (@ the time, New Mexico A&M) 19 UTEP (@ the time, Texas M&M) 0. Since that 1st game, these teams have played every year, save 10 seasons (1917, 18, 19, 34, 43, 44, 45, 2001, 03, 20) where they did not lace em’ up & knock em’ loose!

Hawaii (MWC) @ the University of California @ Los Angles (UCLA/PAC 12). These teams have played only once since 2009, a Bruin victory over Hawaii, 56-23, in 2017, a game played in the Rose Bowl (stadium, not the Rose Bowl Game)! UCLA leads the series 3 wins to zero defeats! The UCLANS won the 1st meeting, in 1935, 19-3, in LA and won again, in Honolulu, Hawaii, in 1939, (just 2 years before the Japanese Empire launched its attack on Pearl Harbor) the 2nd of the three (3) bruin wins, 32-7! Hawaii has struggled in their season, road openers, going just 2-8 in their last 10 journeys off the Islands! The Bruins return 20 starters (10* on offense & 10 on defense) and Chip Kelley’s team is primed to make a bowl and more, in his fourth year at the helm!

Nebraska (Big Ten / B-10) @ Illinois (B-10): The day’s best game! The Huskers & the Illini are now B-10 & West Division rivals. They have met ever year since the Cornhuskers entered the B-10 Conference (2011), with the lone exceptions being 2011 & 2012 (B-10’s divisions were the Legends, Nebraska & Leaders, Illinois) when the teams were in different divisions! The Huskers won 6 of the 1st 7 meetings (Illinois’ only win in the 1st seven (7) meetings, came in 2015, 14-13 in Champaign. That said, Illinois broke a 4 game losing streak to the Huskers, in 2020, 41-23! While the Illini have lost 2 of the last three, they are running rough-shot over the famed Husker defense (Black Shirts), scoring an average of 38 points per game (PPG)! The Huskers are primed, in Frost 4th season, to make a bowl and a run at the West Division title. To that end, a win in Illinois’ Memorial Stadium is an absolute needed outcome; the Huskers play @ Oklahoma & Wisconsin, host Ohio State & Michigan, and face three (3) West Division teams (@ Minnesota, Northwestern & Iowa) that are all better than the Illini!

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20 Best Games in Week One

Miami vs Alabama (Atlanta): Here are some Bama facts that are all bad news for the Canes! The Tide has won 19 straight season openers, their last 10 games at neutral sites they won by an average of 25 points, & are 5-0 at Mercedes Benz Stadium, which also is the site used for the SEC Championship Game! The Canes have not played Bama since 1993, when Alabama upset Miami, in the Sugar Bowl, 34-13, to win the 1992 National Championship! Miami’s last win over the Crimson Tide was in the 1990 Sugar Bowl, 33-25, earning Miami the 1989 National Championship! The Hurricanes have lost their last 2 Neutral Site Games, LSU, 33-18 (AT&T Stadium / Arlington), in 2018 & Florida, 24-20 (Camping World Stadium / Orlando), in 2019! This game has produced a national championship, for the winner, the last 2 times the Canes & Tide have laced ’em up on the same field!

LSU @ UCLA: This is the 1st meeting between the Tigers & Bruins! LSU has taken on a PAC 12 opponent 12 times since 1981 and won all 12 games! The last time a P-12 beat LSU was in 1979, USC 17 LSU 12! UCLA is 18-15-4 vs current SEC teams, the Bruins last win vs the SEC, was against Texas A&M, 45-44, in 2017! In that game, the Bruins were down, 44-10, in the 3rd quarter, before scoring 35 unanswered points to win the game by a single point! One of the great comebacks in Rose Bowl history (not the Rose Bowl Game, but rather, in the history of games played @ the Rose Bowl!

Louisville vs Ole Miss (Atlanta) Monday: This is the 1st meeting between the Cardinals & the Rebels. Ole Miss is 2-1 in neutral site games, winning their most recent game (@ NRG Stadium / Houston), vs Texas Tech (B-12), 47-27. The Rebels rarely open their season against a Power 5 opponent, only on 2 occasions since 2009, as mentioned, beating Tech & losing to FSU, 45-33, in 2016 (Camping World Stadium / Orlando)! L-Ville last played in a neutral site game vs Alabama, getting hammered, 51-14, in Orlando! Louisville did beat an SEC team, Mississippi State, 38-28, in the 2019 Music City Bowl!

Clemson vs UGA (Charlotte): No doubt, but that this is, far and away, the best game of week one, in fact, it may be the best regular season game played in 2021. UGA dominates the all-time series, 42-16-4, including winning the most recent meeting, 45-21, in 2014. The Dawgs’ have won 7 straight opening games & won their last neutral site game vs UNC (Georgia Dome), 33-24, in 2016! That said, the last lime the Dogs lost a season opener was @ Clemson’s Death Valley, 38-35, in 2013! This Game will be played @ the Bank of America Stadium (Charlotte), which was the site of the last 4 ACC Championship Games … All won by Clemson! The last time Clemson played a season opener at a neutral site, they took down Auburn (Georgia Dome), 26-19, in 2012!

Penn State @ Wisconsin: This is shaping up to be the day’s 2nd best game. These cross divisional rivals have met only 5 times since 2009, the Badgers won the 2011 encounter in Madison, 45-7, outgaining the Lions, 450 to 233, while winning the Turnover (TO) battle, 4 to 1. Since then, it has been all Nittany Lions; PSU won in 2012, 24-21, @ Happy Valley, again in 2013, @ Camp Randall, 31-24, & again, in 2016, 38-31 (B-10 Championship Game in Indy), & their last meeting, 2018, @ Beaver Stadium, the Lions won a physical encounter, 22-10! Based on those last 4 wins, Penn State now leads the series 10 victories to 9 defeats. This is a very difficult start of the season for both teams. PSU has UW, Auburn, & IU in the 1st 5 weeks of the 2021 season; luckily 2 of the 3 are at home, yet all three of these teams are quite capable of taking down the Lions! While Bucky may have it tougher, PSU @ home, ND in Chicago (Soldier Field), & then Michigan in Mad-town, all in the 1st 5 weeks of their 2021 season!

Indiana @ Iowa: Another B-10 cross over battle that challenges both teams divisional hopes as they enter the 2021 season. The Hawks & Hoosiers are thought to be contenders for their respective, West & East, Divisional Championships. IU, clearly, has the tougher row to hoe, with Ohio State coming to Bloomington on Oct. 23rd. Yet hope abounds, based on their 42-35 loss to the Bucks @ ‘The Shoe’ in 2020. That said, a loss to Iowa and another to the Bucks, would mean OSU has the tie breaker with the Hoosiers and that Buckeyes would have to lose 3 B-10 games for IU to win the East Division outright. That, put simply, will not/never happen (OSU losing 3 conference games is as likely that whoever is reading this & Sul will be struck simultaneously by a meteor on September 4th). IU needs to find a way in Iowa City, last time there (2014) the Hawkeyes rolled the Hoosiers, 45-29! In fact, Iowa has won 6 of the last 7 and 3 in a row!

Ohio State @ Minnesota: Before you consider having me committed to a acylium for listing this game as one of the best, consider these elements! Minnesota’s QB, Tanner Morgan, is widely considered the B-10 2nd best at that position, behind only IU’s, Michael Penix. RB, Mo Ibrahim is often considered to be the B-10’s best by many and is never listed outside of the conference’s top 3 ball carriers! The Gophers have one of the top 3 offensives lines in the B-10, led by RG, Conner Olson, LG, Blaise Andries , & RT, Danny Faalele (6’9” 400) … yeah! … he’s a big guy! Finally, the WR’s, Chris Autman Bell & Daniel Jackson are capable of making plays of the perimeter! The Gophers defense is the rub, they gave up 6.3 Yards Per Rush (YPR), 30.1 Points Per Game (PPG), & 411.6 Yards Per Game (YPG). That “D” is why you are considering an Acylium placement for Sul. However, please note: they do have 10 defensive starters back for 2021 season! (?)

West Virginia @ Maryland: Maryland has lost 9 of the last 10 meeting vs the Mountaineers! The Terrapins lone win came in 2013, a 37-0 blasting of WV @ a neutral site, Baltimore’s M&T Bank Stadium. The teams last played in 2015, a 45-6, humiliations of the Terps in Morgantown’s, Mountaineer Field. Their last meeting @ Maryland Stadium was in 2014, a 40-37 Mountaineer victory! These teams are former rivals, having played every year from 1976 thru 2007 with WVU leading the over-all series 28-22-2!

Texas Tech vs Houston (NRG Stadium): A neutral site battle between old Southwest Conference (SWC) teams and the pitting of 2 Texas teams, of the 12 DI teams playing college football in the great state of Texas, against one another! The Cougars & Red Raiders have played 32 times, with Houston holding the edge in wins, 18 to TT’s 13, ( for those of you doubting Sul’s math; they did play to a 10 to 10 tie in 1987)! That said, the Red Raiders have won the last 3, including a wild, no D, light up the scoreboard affair, in 2018, a 63-49 score fest! This game has a little of everything, P5 vs G5, a Texas showdown, B-12 turmoil (OU & UT, jumping ship), TT & Et Al supposedly reaching out to the PAC 12, & Houston wanting a seat at @ a P5 table! Everybody is going to bring it in this game!

ND vs FSU: The Visiting team has lost 3 in a row, including the 2014 game when #5 Notre Dame lost to #2 FSU, 31-27! The Irish have won 4 straight season opening games. Their last lost to open a season was in 2016, to Texas, 50-47, in 2 OT’s. The Seminoles lead the all-time series 6 wins to 4 losses, yet have lost the last 2 games, 42-13, in 2018 & and 42-26 in 2020, both games were played @ Notre Dame Stadium. The Noles have lost 4 straight season opening games and 3 of the 4 were @ Doak S Campbell Stadium, FSU’s home field! The Irish & Noles have split their last 4 games, FSU won in 2011, 18-14 & as mentioned, in 2014! One subminimal, yet major factor in this game, is Cain Madden, an All-American offensive guard, who is a Graduate transfer to ND from Marshall. This gives the Irish, 2 All Americans on their O-Line (Jarrett Patterson), coupled with 6’7” 310 (RT) Josh Lugg, 6’6 330 (LT) Blake Fisher, & 6’3 295 (C) Zeke Correll, a different feel up front. I thought the FSU crowd noise (79,560 / chanting & chopping) would be a significant factor, with 4 new starters on the ND O-Line. The addition of Madden changes the math (from 80% to 60% inexperienced) and when one factors in that Correll started against Clemson & Alabama, that inexperience element is becoming a non factor! This is going to be one of the day’s best. FSU HC, Mike Norvell, is an excellent coach and the Noles will be back to national prominence as soon as he fixes the O-Line!

UNC @ V-Tech: This is the 1st time the Heels are opening a season away from Kenan Memorial Stadium since 2005. UNC has lost 7 straight when opening the season away from Tobacco Road, ugly! To make matters more challenging, the Hokes are 8-4 vs the Tar Heels in their last 12 meetings! The last 2 games played in Blacksburg (2017 & 2019) V-Tech scored 59 (59-7) & 43 (43-41, winning in 6 OT’s); UNC has to make sure their defense gets on the bus/train/plane/whatever & travels to Lane Stadium for this 2021 Coastal Division showdown! Especially, since they no longer have a pair of 1,000 yard rushers (Michael Carter & Javonte Williams) or a pair of 1,000 yard receivers (Dyami Brown & Dazz Newsome). UNC’s QB, Sam Howell, is really good/great and clearly, can make others on offense better, but he can not win big games w/o the D showing up and showing up big!!

Stanford vs Kansas State (Arlington): This will be only the 2nd meeting between the P-12’s Cardinal & B-12’s Wildcats. Stanford won the initial meeting in 2016, @ Palo Alto, 23-16, the season opener for both teams. K-State has not played a neutral site game since 2003, when they beat OU, to win the B-12 championship game @ Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO! The Wildcats regrouped after the loss to post a 9-4 record & beat Texas A&M, 33-28, in the Texas Bowl. Stanford finished with a 10-3 mark, beating UNC in the Sun Bowl, 25-23!

Arizona vs BYU (Las Vegas’ Allegiant Stadium): BYU has long stated that it wants to be the ‘Notre Dame of the West’! Well, good luck with that, yet never say never! What one can say, is the Cougars must play a better schedule to even get that idea on the runway. From 2016 thru 2019 the Cougars played 19 Power 5 opponents (an annual average of 4.75) contrasted with the Irish, who kicked it off against 37 P5 opponents (an annual average of 9.25), in that same time frame. This does not include 2020, which excluded BYU (thru no fault of their own) from having access to those conferences, while ND played 10 P5 teams & beat them all! In other words, BYU must play a better schedule & win the lion’s share of those contests. This year is a step in the right direction, as they are taking on 7 P5 teams (however, it needs to be a minimum of 8 / 9 would be better, as 8 is the number of conference games the SEC & ACC play/ plus they usually schedule, at least, 1 more NC P5 game), in 2021, the Cougars are playing 5 teams from the P-10, 1 from the ACC, & 1 from the B-12! To that end, BYU has beaten Arizona 5 of the last 7, including 3 straight! Yet, the Cougars have lost 9 straight to Utah & ASU has won 20 of their 25 meetings. BYU is coming off an 11-1 2020 season, yet, these numbers were earned against all G5 opponents. The time for BYU to step up & knock down P5 opponents is now!!

Miami OH @ Cincinnati: Miami leads the series 59-58-7, yet have lost the last 14 meetings by an average of 20 points. The Red Hawks last win in this series was @ home, in 2005, 44-16, at Yager Stadium. The teams 1st played in 1888 (a 0-0 Tie). The Bearcats & Red Hawks play for the Victory Bell, the oldest Non-Conference football rivalry in the United States. Cincy & Miami have played every year from 1945 thru 2019 (Covid-19 interrupted the series for the 2020 season)! If Cincinnati wins the 2021 meeting, it will be their 15 straight win and tie the series @ 59 wins apiece!

Boise State @ UCF (Thursday): Boise State & Central Florida (UCF) are two of the best G5 programs in the nation! This is the 1st meeting between these Universities. In fact, in the past 5 years, UCF has not played a single game vs a Mountain West Conference (MWC) opponent! The same is true for Boise State, they have not ‘kicked it off’ vs a single American Athletic Conference (AAC) team. That said, Boise is 8-1 all-time vs current AAC teams, however, none of these wins were earned while those teams were playing in the AAC (they were in different conferences at the time the game was played)! Boise State is 4-1 in road openers, beat Louisiana, 45-10, Troy 56-20, Florida State 36-31 & Air Force 59-30, their lone loss was to Washington State, 47-44, in 2017! UCF will be a formidable road opponent for the Broncos, the Knights are 23-2 in the Bounce House (the Knight’s home stadium & the fact that the stadium structure would move as the crowd bounced = the name of the venue … Sul will watch this one on TV!!!)! UCF has gone 4-1 in the last 5 home openers, their only home loss was to Tulsa, 34-26, in 2020!

Appalachian State vs East Carolina @ Charlotte’s B of A Stadium (Thursday) : The Sun Belt Conference is now the 3rd best conference in the Group of 5 (G5), Five Conferences are labeled as making up the G5 (AAC, C-USA, MAC, MWC, & SBC). Last year SBC members, Coastal Carolina went 11-1, Louisiana 10-1, Appalachian State 9-4, Georgia Southern 8-5, & Georgia State 6-4. Their 5 top teams went 44-15, better than any other G5 league’s top 5 teams! East Carolina is a member of the AAC (widely regarded as the G5’s best league, followed by the MWC) and has taken down App St 6 straight times (1976 thru 2012, yet these teams have not met in 9 years & App St leads the 31 game series, 19-12 (it should be noted these teams have never played as FBS programs (85 scholarships) all meetings occurred when @ least one team was in the FCS (63 scholarships)! Last time the Pirates played @ Bank of American Stadium, they lost to South Carolina, 56-37, in 2012! Last meeting between these programs was in 2012, ECU 36 Mountaineers 13!

17. South Dakota State @ Colorado State: Here is a name to remember, Mark Gronowski, QB @ South Dakota State! Listed here are awards Gronowski won as a freshmen in the 2020 season: 1) Hero Sports FCS Freshman: All-American Team 2020-21; 2) Missouri Valley Football Conference (MVFC): Offensive Player of the Year 2020-21; MVFC: Newcomer of the Year 2020-21, MVFC: freshmen of the Year 2020-21; All-MVFC: QB 1st Team; Stats Perform Jerry Rice Award: Finalist/Runner up; National FCS & MVFC Player of the Week: 3 times in 2020-21. Sadly Gronowski was injured in the 1st series of the FCS National Championship Game (Sam Houston 23 South Dakota State 21) and is not expected back for the 2021 season! Without Gronowski, Colorado State wins this game; with him, South Dakota State wins the game and it would not be an upset!

18. Louisiana @ Texas: Steve Sarkisian makes his Texas debut after breaking Alabama & NCAA offensive records as the Tide’s OC in 2 consecutive years. Louisiana went 10-1 last year, beating Iowa State, 31-14 (a 17 point win over ISU, a team who beat OU by 7 in the regular season & lost to Sooners by 6 in the B-12 Championship game), while losing to only Coastal Carolina (11-1), 30-27. Billy Napier, is one of the best coaches in the country, going 28-11, since his arrival in Lafayette in 2018! This is a game of interest, note: Iowa State beat Texas, 23-20 (in Austin’s Darrell K Royal / Texas Memorial Stadium) in 2020 & Oh yeah, as mentioned, the Cyclones beat OU, 37-30. The Horns better be ready, as the Ragin’ Cajuns are going to “bring it’!

19. Syracuse @ Ohio: Ohio ‘s legendary coach, Frank Solich, has announced his retirement after coaching at 2 schools for 55 years! Coach Solich went 58-19 in his 6 years as the head coach at Nebraska. Good, but not good enough for the Nebraska faithful! Prior to Coach Solich becoming the HC in Lincoln, the Huskers had won 3 national championships in 4 years, clearly a tuff act to follow (Tom Osborne: 255-49-3 .836 winning percentage / 1973-97)! Frank went 115-82 in his 16 years @ Ohio, who had only 2 winning seasons in the 22 years before Coach’s arrival in Athens. Solich was the oldest coach in the FBS @ 76 (the old guy is now Mack Brown, 70 in August), has an over-all record of 173-101 as a head coach, & retires as the winning coach in MAC history. Coach liked to say he served at only 2 schools in 55 years and was fired only once, in 5 plus decades! Quite a feat in today’s world! Watch this game and remember Frank’s great service!

20. Nebraska @ Illinois: Bret Bielema’s makes his debut @ Illinois as he returns to the B-10 coaching ranks! The Illini broke a 4 game losing slide to the Huskers last year (2020), winning 41-23! This was Illinois first win in Lincoln since 1924 (Chicagoans couldn’t have a drink to celebrate for nine (9) more years … Prohibition from 1920 thru 1933 …. or maybe not)! The Illini have been ‘scoring it up’ on Nebraska’s famed ‘Black Shirt’ defenders, putting up an average of 38 points in their last three meetings! While Nebraska’s ‘favorite son’, Scott Frost, has struggled in his 1st three years back @ Nebraska’s Memorial Stadium (12-20), since leading the Huskers to a split National Championship (Michigan) in 1997! The Huskers & Frost need a win here, they play @ Oklahoma & Wisconsin, host Ohio State & Michigan, and have difficult divisional games @ Minnesota and @ home vs Northwestern & Iowa! Frost needs a bowl game in year four!

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Who are the real Power 5 Teams?

As you may know, the terms Power 5/Group of 5 are not NCAA verbiage, the Association describes these 10 conferences and 7 independents as the Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS). That said, the FBS is often referred to as 2 constructs, used fluently by ESPN & others, as the Power 5 (P5) or the Group of 5 (G5).

The language P5 & G5 is used by the College Football Playoff (CFP) Committee and the P5 includes 5 conferences & 1 independent, ACC, B-12, Big Ten, Pac 10, SEC, & Notre Dame! ND is a full member of the ACC in every other sport, save football & Hockey. The ACC does not play Hockey & the Irish joined the B-10 as an affiliate in that sport!

While not a member of a so-called P5 Conference, no one disputes (or should dispute) that ND play’s a Power 5 schedule. In 2018, the Irish took on 10 Power 5 opponents (Navy & Ball State being the exceptions), in 2019, ND battled 9 P5’s, & in 2020, Notre Dame ‘kicked it off’ against 10 P5’s in the regular season and beat them all.

Further, it should be noted that Irish do not play a FCS opponent. While the SEC & ACC together, played a 63 scholarship program (FCS scholarship limit), 28 times in each of these years, 2018, 2019, & 2021, meaning every team in these respective leagues played, at least, 1 FCS team (Florida played 2 in 2018 & 2019 & Virginia 2 in 2019) in each of the 3 years identified (the SEC & ACC played 87 games vs the FCS in those 3 years)!

Finally, the CFP committee uses these five criteria as metrics as to who gets into the playoffs.

  1. Strength of schedule: ND fits, since 2000, they have averaged out as having the 16th best schedule in the country & 6 times in the top 10!
  2. P5 Conference Bias: While not in a P5 Conference, as mentioned, the Irish, clearly, play a Power 5 slate!
  3. Number of P5 programs on a CFP Candidates Schedule: As mentioned, ND will play 9 or 10 P5’s every year. The SEC & ACC play 8 conference games & usually 1 non-conference (NC) game vs a P5 opponent, for a total of 9. The B-10, P-12 & B-12 play 9 conference games & usually 1 NC P5 opponent for 10 games vs power 5 opponents, rarely will a P5 team play 11 Power 5 teams in the regular season!
  4. Conference Championship: 2 teams made the CFP before ND, who did not win their respective conference title, in fact, they did not win their division! Ohio State in 2016 & Alabama in 2017. ND made its first appearance in 2018!
  5. Benchmarks of Teams who made the 1st 4 CFP’s: a. Average Win total of FBS opponents; 6.7 wins; b. Average win total vs Selection Sunday’s Top 25’s; 3 wins! c. Average win total vs teams with 500 or better records; 7.8 wins. d. Average # of FBS opponents played in that year: 12 FBS teams * ND hit every benchmark in their 2 appearances (2018 & 2020)

The real fuss should not be about the Irish, but rather about teams like Cincinnati, Central Florida (2017 & 18), Memphis (2019), Boise State (2014), Houston (2015), & Western Michigan (2016)! These teams were the highest ranked G5 teams in the years’ from 2014 through 2020 and while awarded a seat at the table of ‘The New Year 6′ bowl games’, they were never seriously considered for a spot in the CFP!

So the first question one should want answered is; “how did they (G5) do in their New Year 6 appearance, against the big, bad, Power 5 programs? Well, here are the results of those 7 games:

  1. 2014: Boise State (11-2) 38 Arizona (10-3) 30 (W)
  2. 2015: Houston (12-1) 38 Florida State (10-2) 24 (W)
  3. 2016: Wisconsin (10-3) 24 Western Michigan (13-0) 16 (L)
  4. 2017: UCF (13-0) 34 Auburn (10-3) 27 (W)
  5. 2018: LSU (9-3) 40 UCF (12-0) 32 (L)
  6. 2019: Penn State (10-2) 53 Memphis (12-1) 39 (L)
  7. 2020: Georgia (7-2) 24 Cincinnati (9-0) 21 (L)

Unlike many of the 1st round CFP semi-final’s (Oregon 55 Florida State 20, Alabama 38 Michigan State 0, or Clemson 31 Ohio State 0), these P5 vs G5 games were all competitive; 5 of the 7 games were decided by a single score and in the other 2 games, the loser scored 24 & 39 points! All 7 games have been highly entertaining!

So if we were to take a hard look at the P5 and use the #65 as a guide (number of teams in the 5 conferences, SEC, ACC. & B-10 have 14 each, PAC 12 has 12 teams, B-12 has 10 members, plus Notre Dame = 65 teams). Then rank the 130 FBS teams, 1 to 130 and use 65 as our cut off, above we place in the Group of 5 and lower than 65, we place in the Power 5. An attempt to place teams where their actual talent & skill suggest they should be ranked, as opposed to the arbitrary (ok, at least more arbitrary) simple membership in a P5 conference!

Lindy Sports College Football Preview does exactly that, the magazine ranks all 130 teams without deference to which conference they play. So I’ve created a list of P5 teams who have fallen out of the Power 5 (not in Lindy’s Top 65) and Group of 5 teams, whose skill & talent levels say they are among the 65 best in the country!

Power 5 Teams Ranked Out of the Top 65    

#110 Kansas; #96, Vanderbilt; #91 Syracuse; #80 Duke; #79 Michigan State; # 78 Georgia Tech; #76 Illinois; #75 South Carolina; #74 Louisville; #73 Washington State; #72 Maryland; #70 Texas tech; & #69 Oregon State.

Of the 65 teams considered to be Power 5 squads simply by conference affiliation, 13 have have dropped out via Lindy’s Sports ranking & SCFP interpretation of the data! So whose in our P5 from the Group of 5?

Group of 5 Teams ranked in the Top 65

#8 Cincinnati; #23 Coastal Carolina; #29 Liberty; #31 Nevada; #32 Boise State; #33 Central Florida; # 36 Louisiana; # 38 Ball State; #49 SMU; #56 San Jose State; #61 Toledo; #62 Appalachian State; and #63 Memphis.

These 13 programs, according Lindy’s team evaluations, are among the 65 best for the 2021 season & according to SCFP interpretation of that data, are de facto Power 5 teams in 2021!

One last thought; what about strength of schedule? Cincinnati is the highest ranked G5 team and the Bearcats do play two (2) Preseason Top 25 teams, @ Indiana & @ Notre Dame! How about teams ranked above them vs Lindy’s T 25, Alabama plays 5 Top 25, Georgia 3, Clemson 1 (NC Georgia), Oklahoma 3, Ohio State 3, Texas A&M 3, & Iowa State 4! If Cincy can beat IU & ND, on the road, and they (IU & ND) win 9 or 10 games , can Cincinnati be the 1st G of 5 team to make the CFP?

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Pat Sullivan Discusses ‘It’s all About skills’ with Charlie Jett!

Take a few minutes to listen to Pat Sullivan & Charlie Jett, while they discuss critical skill development & its implementation.

Charlie is an international certified coach, who specializes in Career Management, Skill Development, & Career Crises. Pat is a Hall of Fame Coach & Educational Leader, whose career spanned 44 years!

If you are serving your community in any manner of leadership or aspire to such, I can guarantee you that the few minutes you spend listening, to Charlie & Pat, will assist you to that end. In fact, the limited minutes you take to ‘tune in’, can have a life long impact on how to help others learn critical skill development and how best to implement in their lives and the lives of those they serve!

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Lindy’s Sports Preseason Top 25 for the 2021

  1. Alabama: The Tide returns only 3 starters on offense, yet #1?
  2. Clemson: QB Uiagalelei, the new Watson, Lawrence? Not yet!
  3. Oklahoma: OU Led the Nation with 9 dropped TD passes
  4. Georgia: Have to replace 9 NFL draft picks from 2020 season
  5. Ohio State: QB Fields is gone / as are 7 of top 10 tacklers on D
  6. Texas A&M: Only 1 starter from the O-Line returns
  7. Iowa State: 3 fumbles & INT vs OU in B-12 championship
  8. Cincinnati: Play @ IU & ND, will they survive Indiana trips?
  9. North Carolina: 2 starting WR’s & RB’s have departed to NFL
  10. Oregon: Hammered in their bowl game, 34-17, by ISU
  11. Notre Dame: 2 starters return on offense, enough said!
  12. Florida: The Gator 2020 D was the worst since WWI! Say what?
  13. Wisconsin: Bucky averaged 25 PPG in 2020, worst in 12 years
  14. Miami: Will D’Eriq King’s ACL injury allow the same mobility?
  15. Ok St. QB Spencer Sanders has 27 TO in 20 games! Say again?
  16. LSU: The D allowed 34.9 PPG, worst in LSU history by a full TD!
  17. Washington: QB consistency & 2020 key losses on D are concerns!
  18. Iowa: QB play has to even out & the D loses key up-front personnel!
  19. Arizona State: P-12 schedule & ASU receivers are issues in 2021.
  20. Indiana: IU will not be overlooked in 2021, their game date circled!
  21. Penn State: Lion D allowed 27.7 PPG/QB Clifford needs to improve!
  22. USC: Air Raid? What happened to student body left & right?
  23. Coastal Carolina: Non-Conference schedule is really weak! Kansas?
  24. Texas: The Horns win recruiting battles, but lose on Saturdays’!!
  25. Auburn: Gus is gone & we will see?

Some insights to Lindy’s Top 25!

  1. How about the fact that the Tide loses 8 starters on offense (including QB, RB, & WR) and are still a preseason #1!
  2. How about the fact that OU receivers did not just drop 9 passes, they dropped 9 TD passes!!
  3. On SCFP, we like UGA (Georgia is ranked 2nd on SCFP’s T-25)! QB, TJ Daniels (USC transfer) can deliver the ball accurately; on the outs, over the middle, & down the field! RB Zamir White, leads a 4 headed monster @ RB (ranked as America’s 2nd best crew), their WR’s are rated as the 5th best unit nationally, the O-Line is 3rd, the D line is 3rd, & the LB room is considered to house the 2nd best group in the Land! UGA will take down Clemson in week one!
  4. How about ND, 2 starters back on O and yet ranked 11th by Lindy, 12th by Athlon and 8th on SCFP. Kelly and his staff are getting the right fit/personnel to fill their program’s positional philosophies.
  5. Wisconsin is finally starting to recruit as a top 25 program. They have been as good (perhaps the best) at developing their players into their system. The fact that they are now attracting better players to Madison is why they are ranked 13 coming off their weakest year in the past 10!
  6. Lindy ranked 2 G5 (Group of 5) teams in his Top 25, Cincy @ 8 & Coastal Carolina as the nation’s 23rd best squad. On SCFP, we rank the P5 & G5 in different polls. We have Cincinnati @ #1 in our Top 20 G5 grouping & CCU @ 8.
  7. IU has the best QB, Michael Penix, in the B-10! For reasons known but to God, Lindy has OSU’s QB, C.J. Stroud as the conference’s best! C’mon man, the guy hasn’t taken a meaningful snap yet! Penix battled Fields, 42-35, in what was the Bucks closest game until the CFP final!
  8. Is this the year that Hern Edwards slams the door on his doubting Thomas critics? Remember when he was hired and college folks ‘lost their minds’ about a ‘pro guy’ and being clueless about the college game. Hern simply said ‘pretty sure this is football and I get football’! Lindy has ASU picked to win the P-12 South and battle Oregon for the P-12 title. Herm’s time?
  9. Texas has a new coach, exit Tom Herman / enter Steve Sarkisian. The Horns remain among the greatest underachievers in all of college football. They are the 7th best recruiting program in the college game and yet, have averaged a mere 7 wins a year since 2015. While the main rival, OU, has averaged over 11 during that same time frame! Oh yeah, did I mention that the Longhorns recruit better than the Sooners? Texas 7th / OU 9th!
  10. Finally, Gus Malzahn was fired this past season by Auburn. Now not being on site, you can miss the whole side of the barn, as U don’t / may not have a critical element of/in the decision. That said, let’s give Auburn the benefit of the doubt; yet what in God’s name were Tennessee, South Carolina, & Vanderbilt thinking? Malzahn beat Saban 3 times in 8 years: 2013, 34-28; 2017, 26-14; & 2019, 48-45! Tennessee hired Josh Heupel from UCF, Vanderbilt hired a coordinator from ND, Clark Lea, & South Carolina hired Shane Beamer (Frank’s Beamer’s son). Beamer has never served as a coordinator and clearly, is a big reach. He has coached @ Georgia (Smart) & OU (Riley), and @ South Carolina with Spurrier (2010-13). I’m just confused how one of these three Universities didn’t gobble up Malzahn? Gus is now at Central Florida, he has replaced, Josh Heupel!

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Athlon’s Preseason Top 25 for the 2021!

Athlon’s magazine has hit the news stands and here is their preseason Top 25. Unlike Sully’s College Football Page (SCFP), they rank the FBS (Football Bowl Subdivision) as a whole. They do not break the Power 5 (P5) & Group 5 into different ranking categories! So you will find Cincinnati (8), Louisiana (23), & Coastal Carolina (24) listed below.

Cincy is from the American Athletic Conference (AAC), while Louisiana & Coastal Carolina are both out of the Sun Belt Conference (SBC), On SCFP, Cincinnati is the #1 ranked team in our G5 Poll, Louisiana holds down the #5 spot, & Coastal Carolina comes in at #8!

You can compare & contrast Athlon’s preseason poll with Sully’s rankings provided below; You will note, we agree on the top teams, but not in the same order. Take a moment to see other similarities and distinctions and let me what you think!

We will provide Lindy’s Sports Top 25 tomorrow!

  1. Alabama Last Game: Beat Ohio St. 52-24; Up Next: Vs Miami
  2. Clemson: Last Game: Lost Ohio St. 49-28; Up Next: vs Georgia
  3. Oklahoma: Last Game: Beat Florida, 55-20; Up Next: Tulane
  4. Ohio State: Last Game: Lost Alabama, 52-24; Up Next: @ Minn.
  5. Georgia: Last Game: Beat Cincinnati, 24-21; Up Next: Clemson
  6. Texas A&M: Last Game: Beat UNC, 41-27; Up Next: Kent State
  7. Iowa State: Last Game: Beat Oregon 43-17; Up Next: @ Utah
  8. Cincinnati: Last Game: Lost UGA, 24-21; Up Next: Miami, OH
  9. Oregon: Last Game: Lost ISU, 43-17; Up Next: Fresno State
  10. N. Carolina: Last Game: lost T A&M, 41-27, Up Next: @ V-Tech
  11. Florida: Last Game: Lost OU, 55-20; Up Next: FAU
  12. ND: Last Game: Lost Alabama, 31-14; Up Next: @ Florida St.
  13. Wisconsin: Last Game: Beat WF, 42-28; Up Next: Penn State
  14. Miami: Last Game: Lost Ok St, 37-34; Up Next: vs Alabama
  15. Arizona St. Last Game: Beat OR St, 46-33; Up Next: S. Utah
  16. Iowa, Last Game: Beat UW, 28-7; Up Next: Indiana
  17. LSU: Last Game: Beat Ole Miss, 53-48; Up Next: vs Louisville
  18. USC: Last Game: Lost Oregon, 24-17; Up Next: San Jose St.
  19. Penn State: Last Game: Beat IL, 56-21, Up Next: @ UW
  20. Texas: Last Game: Beat Colorado, 55-23; Up Next: Louisiana
  21. Indiana: Last Game: Lost Ole Miss, 26-20, Up Next: @ Iowa
  22. Washington: Last Game: Lost Stan, 31-26; Up Next: Montana
  23. Louisiana: Last Game: Beat UTSA, 31-24; Up Next: @ Texas
  24. Coastal Carolina: LG: Lost Liberty, 37-34 OT, Up Next: Citadel
  25. TCU: Last Game: Beat La-Tech, 52-10; Up Next: Duquesne
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Four Teams from the SEC & B-10 that are perceived to be weak; while actually being really good!



Wildcat coach, Mark Stoops has quietly done one of the best coaching jobs in college football, yet, no one seems to know the work! When I started the site in 2009, there were four teams in the SEC East (Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, & Tennessee) that were national powers. Let’s see how the ‘Cats’ have done against two of these divisional rivals, Tennessee & South Carolina, in recent years! In their last four meetings with the Volunteers, the Cats have won twice, including the 2020, 34-7, pounding of the Vols. It also should be noted that one of the losses (2019) was by 4 points, 17-13! That said, Kentucky has beaten South Carolina 5 times in the their last 6 meetings, including the Cats blasting of the Gamecocks, last year (2020), 41-18! The Cats beat Penn State, 27-24 in the Citrus Bowl, Virginia Tech in the Belk Bowl, 37-30, & NC State, 23-21 in last year’s Gator Bowl. Kentucky has won their last three bowl games, all against quality programs. Yet, the national perspective remains that Kentucky is a ‘Basketball School’ and one of the weakest teams in the SEC East, instead of what the really are, the division 3rd best team behind Georgia & Florida!

Mississippi State:

The Bulldogs were in a similar situation in 2012 to Kentucky’s 2009 predicament. There were four teams (Alabama, Auburn, LSU, & Texas A&M) that were considered to be among the Nation’s top 15 programs and Ole Miss & Arkansas hovering near or in the top 25. MSU is considered, at best, an also run in the SEC West Division! While that belief continues to thrive into 2021, the facts suggest something quite different. The Bulldogs have taken down Auburn 3 times in the past 7 games; beaten LSU twice in the past four meetings, & have stopped Texas A&M 3 times in their past 5 tilts. MSU has won the Egg Bowl vs Ole Miss, in three of the last five and beaten Arkansas in three of their past four games! In Cross-Divisional Games, the Bulldogs have split their last 6 meetings with the Gators, Volunteers, & Gamecocks! Hardly the stuff of a ‘weak program!’

Big Ten


The Big Ten’s “Basketball School” has long been consider the game you can mark down as a win in mid-July! While the team’s in the B-10 East know better, that belief still permeates within the college football world. Yet, what is the reality? Let’s take a peek! Ohio State is one of 5 elite programs (Alabama, Clemson, Oklahoma , & Georgia) while Penn State & Michigan are considered top 15 teams. Michigan State has fallen on hard times in recent years, yet are the only other B-10 team (OSU) to make the college football play-offs. Maryland & Rutgers are often considered (still) outliers in B-10 football circles. Here are the facts! Indiana has spilt the last 2 meetings with Michigan, Penn State, & Michigan State. Have won 3 in a row vs Maryland and prevailed against Rutgers, five straight times! In the Hoosiers crossover divisional games, they have split with Northwestern, handled the Illini 3 in a row, and have taken down arch-rival Purdue in 3 of their last 5 meetings! Time to rethink Indiana football!


The Cats are often referred to as a “Developmental Program” and their accomplishments summarily dismissed as a group of players that lack talent and skill, a team that wins because they are often overlooked or not taken seriously! Let’s take a hard look @ what the Wildcats have done the past few years, both in their division & conference! NW has beaten Purdue in 6 of their last 7 meetings, the Cats have beat up rival, Illinois six straight times, & humbled Nebraska in 3 of their last 4 meetings. They have taken down Iowa in 4 of their last five games and stopped Minnesota in 2 of their last 3 cross state line battles. Only powerhouse Wisconsin, in the B-10’s West Division, has managed to play the Cats even in the past four years, splitting two games apiece! NW has prevailed against Penn State in 2 of the last 3 games and won 3 of 5 vs MSU! In last year’s bowl game, the Wildcats blasted Auburn, 35-19, from the Mighty SEC for their fourth straight postseason win! Is it not time that we recognize Northwestern as one of the B-10’s best and stop dismissing them as a ‘Development Program’?

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Top 25 Ranked Teams / Top 25 Recruiting Programs

  1. Alabama / 1. Georgia
  2. Georgia / 2. Alabama
  3. Oklahoma / 3. Clemson
  4. Clemson / 4. Ohio State
  5. Ohio State / 5. LSU
  6. Texas A&M 6. Texas A&M
  7. Oregon / 7. Texas
  8. Notre Dame / 8. Oregon
  9. North Carolina / 9. Oklahoma
  10. Florida / 10. Florida
  11. USC / 11. Notre Dame
  12. LSU / 12. Michigan
  13. Penn State / 13. Penn State
  14. Miami / 14. Auburn
  15. Wisconsin / 15. Miami
  16. Texas / 16. Tennessee
  17. Michigan / 17. Florida State
  18. Auburn / 18. Washington
  19. Iowa State / 19. Nebraska
  20. Ole Miss / 20. North Carolina
  21. Indiana / 21. USC
  22. Washington / 22. Ole Miss
  23. Florida State 23. Mississippi State
  24. Iowa / 24. Wisconsin
  25. Northwestern/ 25. Kentucky

The highest rated recruiting program not ranked in Sully’s Top 25, is Tennessee at 16.

Nebraska is the 19th best recruiting program, yet the B-10 West Division program has not qualified for a bowl (6 wins) let alone broke into the Top 25. This, since home town hero (QB on the 1997 Co- National Champ), Scott Frost, has returned from a very successful run at Central Florida.

Mississippi State, the 23 best recruiting program, is also unranked. Their new coach, Mike Leach, took a few years @ Washington State to get the right personnel in place to begin to challenging for division & conference championships. However, the SEC West is a long way (in more than just miles) from the PAC 12 North!

The final unranked Top 25 Recruiting Program, a 3rd SEC program, is Kentucky. While they are likely to be the 3rd best team in the East Division of the SEC, behind Georgia & Florida and better than Missouri, South Carolina, Tennessee. & Vandy, They are just outside our Top 25 and likely, at some point in the 2021 season, to break into the Top 25!

The weakest recruiting, Top 25 Team, is Northwestern. They are the 52nd best recruiting program, yet won the B-10 West Division and manhandled the 14th best recruiting program, Auburn, 35-19, in the Citrus Bowl.

Iowa, finished the 2020 season, by winning their final 6 games, including a blowout victory over Wisconsin, 28-7! The Hawks are overachievers (sometimes called a developmental program) as they are rated as the 32nd best recruiting program, 8 places higher (lower) then where they are ranked.

Three teams are ranked & recruiting at the exact same level, Texas A&M #6, Florida @ 10, & Penn State even up at 13!

QB’s can elevate recruiting team ranks! This is evidenced by North Carolina’s (Sam Howell) & USC’s (Kedon Slovis). UNC is the 20 ranked recruiting Program, yet considered to be the 9th best team in the country; While the Trojans are ranked as the 11th best team in the land, 10 spots better than where they recruit.

Sully’s College Football Page Power 5 (P5): Top 25 for 2021

The web-addresses above will take you our Recruiting Ratings (an explanation will be provided on how we determine recruiting ranks; who is ranked where & how they are/were ranked on the Recruiting Page) & Top 25 pages. Take a few minutes to compare & contrast these lists as they have some obvious connections, yet confusing disconnects!

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SCFP Top 25 P5; Top 20 G5; & Top 15 FCS!

  1. Alabama 1-0: Last Game: Beat Miami, 44-13; Up Next: Mercer
  2. Georgia 1-0: Last Game: Beat Clemson, 10-3; Up Next: UAB
  3. Ohio St 1-0: Last Game: Beat Minnesota, 45-31; Up Next: Oregon
  4. Oklahoma 1-0: Last Game: Beat Tulane, 40-35; Up Next: W Carolina
  5. Clemson 0-1: Last Game: Lost UGA, 10-3 ; Up Next: S. Carolina St
  6. TX A&M 1-0: Last Game: Beat Kent State, 41-10; Up Next: vs Colorado
  7. Oregon 1-0: Last Game: Beat Fresno, 31-24; Up Next: Ohio State
  8. ND 1-0: Last Game: Beat FSU, 41-38 OT; Up Next: Toledo
  9. Ole Miss: Last Game: Beat Louisville, 43-24; Up Next: Austin Peay
  10. Florida: Last Game: Lost to OU 55-20; Up Next: FAU 
  11. USC: Last Game: Lost to Oregon, 31-24; Up Next: San Jose State
  12. LSU: Last Game: Beat Old Miss, 53-48; Up Next: UCLA
  13. Penn State: Last Game: Beat Il, 56-21; Up Next: @ Wisconsin
  14. Miami: Last Game: Lost to Ok State, 37-34; Up Next: Alabama
  15. Texas: Last Game: Beat Colorado, 55-23; Up Next: Louisiana
  16. Michigan: Last Game: Lost to PSU, 27-17, Up Next: W Mich.
  17. Auburn: Last Game: Lost to N-western, 35-19; Up Next: Akron
  18. Iowa St.: Last Game: Beat Oregon, 43-17, Up Next: @ Utah
  19. Indiana: Last Game: Lost to Ole Miss. 26-20; Up Next: Iowa
  20. Iowa: Last Game: Beat Wisconsin, 28-7, Up Next: Indiana
  21. UNC: Last Game: Lost to V-Tech, 17-10; Up Next: Georgia State
  22. Wisconsin: Last Game: Lost PSU, 16-10; Up Next: E Michigan
  23. FSU: Last Game: Lost to ND, 41-38 OT; Up Next: Jacksonville St

SCFP Group of 5 (G5): Top 20 / 2021

  1. Cincinnati: Last Game: Lost to UGA, 24-21; Up Next: Miami Oh
  2. Boise State: Last Game: Lost to SJSU, 34-20 Up Next: @ UCF
  3. UCF: Last Game: Lost to BYU, 49-23 Up Next: Boise State
  4. Memphis: Last Game: Beat FAU, 25-10, Up Next: @ Nicholls St
  5. Louisiana: Last Game: Beat UTSA, 31-24 Up Next: @ Texas
  6. App St.: Last Game: Beat N. TX, 56-28; Up Next: ECU
  7. Liberty: Last Game: Beat CCU, 37-34 OT; Up Next: Campbell
  8. C Carolina: Last Game: Lost Liberty, 37-34 OT; Up Next: Citadel
  9. Houston: Last Game: Lost Hawaii, 28-14; Up Next: TX Tech
  10. Toledo: Last Game: Beat CMU, 24-23; Up Next: Norfolk State
  11. San Diego St: Last Game: Lost BYU, 28-14, Up Next: N Mexico St
  12. Hawaii: Last Game: Beat Houston, 28-14; Up Next: @ UCLA
  13. SMU: Last Game: Lost BYU, 28-14; Up Next: Abilene Christian
  14. W. Michigan: Last Game: Lost Ball St, 30-27; Up Next: Michigan
  15. Marshall: Last Game: Lost Buffalo, 17-10; Up Next: @ Navy
  16. GA Southern: Last Game: Beat L-Tech. 38-3: Up Next: GW
  17. UAB: Last Game: Beat Marshall 22-13; Up Next: Jacksonville St
  18. Buffalo: Last Game: Beat Marshall, 17-10; Up Next: Wagner
  19. L-Tech: Last Game: Lost GA Southern 38-3; Up Next: @ MS St
  20. Tulsa: Last Game: Lost Miss State, 28-26; Up Next: UC Davis

FCS Top 15

  1. SD St: Last Game: Lost S Houston, 23-21; Up Next: @ CO St
  2. ND St: Last Game: Lost S Houston, 24-20; Up Next: Albany
  3. J. Madison: L G: Lost S Houston, 38-35, Up Next: Morehead
  4. S Houston Last Game: Beat SD St, 23-21; Up Next: N. Arizona
  5. J-ville St: Last Game: Lost Delaware, 20-14; Up Next: @ UAB
  6. Weber St: Last Game: Lost S-ern Il, 34-31; Up Next: @ Utah
  7. E Washington: L G: Lost ND St. 42-20; Up Next: @ UNLV
  8. VMI: Last Game: Lost J. Madison, 31-24, Up Next: Davidson
  9. Delaware: Last Game: Lost SD St, 33-3; Up Next: @ Maine
  10. Monmouth: L G: Lost to S Houston, 21-15; Up Next: @ MTSU
  11. N Dakota: Last game: Lost J. Madison, 34-21; Up Next: Idaho St
  12. Sacred Heart: Last Game: Lost Delaware, 19-10; Up Next: TBD
  13. Holy Cross: Last Game: Lost SD State, 31-3; Up Next: @ U-Conn
  14. SIU Last Game: Lost SD State, 31-26; Up Next: SE Missouri
  15. Davidson: Last Game: Lost J-ville St. 49-14; Up Next: @ VMI
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