Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

SCFP Top 25 P5; Top 20 G5; & Top 15 FCS!

  1. Alabama: Last Game: beat Ohio State, 52-24; Up Next: Miami
  2. Georgia: Last Game: beat Cincinnati, 24-21; Up Next: Clemson
  3. Oklahoma: Last Game: beat Florida, 55-20; Up Next: Tulane
  4. Clemson: Last Game: Lost to Ohio St., 49-28 ; Up Next: Georgia
  5. Ohio St: Last Game: Lost to Bama, 52-24; Up Next: @ Minn.
  6. TX A&M: Last Game: Beat UNC, 41-27; Up Next: Kent State
  7. Oregon: Last Game: Lost Iowa State, 43-17; Up Next: Fresno
  8. ND: Last Game: Lost to Bama, 31-14; Up Next: @ Florida State
  9. UNC: Last Game: Lost to Texas A&M, 41-27; Up Next: @ V-Tech
  10. Florida: Last Game: Lost to OU 55-20; Up Next: FAU 
  11. USC: Last Game: Lost to Oregon, 31-24; Up Next: San Jose State
  12. LSU: Last Game: Beat Old Miss, 53-48; Up Next: UCLA
  13. Penn State: Last Game: Beat Il, 56-21; Up Next: @ Wisconsin
  14. Miami: Last Game: Lost to Ok State, 37-34; Up Next: Alabama
  15. Wisconsin: Last Game: Beat WF, 42-28; Up Next: Penn State
  16. Texas: Last Game: Beat Colorado, 55-23; Up Next: Louisiana
  17. Michigan: Last Game: Lost to PSU, 27-17, Up Next: W Mich.
  18. Auburn: Last Game: Lost to N-western, 35-19; Up Next: Akron
  19. Iowa St.: Last Game: Beat Oregon, 43-17, Up Next: @ Utah
  20. Ole Miss: Last Game: Beat IU, 26-20; Up Next: vs Louisville
  21. Indiana: Last Game: Lost to Ole Miss. 26-20; Up Next: Iowa
  22. Wash.: Last Game: Lost to Stanford, 31-26; Up Next: Montana
  23. Florida St: Last Game: Beat Duke, 56-35; Up Next: ND
  24. Iowa: Last Game: Beat Wisconsin, 28-7, Up Next: Indiana
  25. Northwestern: Last Game: Beat Auburn 35-19; UP Next: MSU

SCFP Group of 5 (G5): Top 20 / 2021

  1. Cincinnati: Last Game: Lost to UGA, 24-21; Up Next: Miami Oh
  2. Boise State: Last Game: Lost to SJSU, 34-20 Up Next: @ UCF
  3. UCF: Last Game: Lost to BYU, 49-23 Up Next: Boise State
  4. Memphis: Last Game: Beat FAU, 25-10, Up Next: @ Nicholls St
  5. Louisiana: Last Game: Beat UTSA, 31-24 Up Next: @ Texas
  6. App St.: Last Game: Beat N. TX, 56-28; Up Next: ECU
  7. Liberty: Last Game: Beat CCU, 37-34 OT; Up Next: Campbell
  8. C Carolina: Last Game: Lost Liberty, 37-34 OT; Up Next: Citadel
  9. Houston: Last Game: Lost Hawaii, 28-14; Up Next: TX Tech
  10. Toledo: Last Game: Beat CMU, 24-23; Up Next: Norfolk State
  11. San Diego St: Last Game: Lost BYU, 28-14, Up Next: N Mexico St
  12. Hawaii: Last Game: Beat Houston, 28-14; Up Next: @ UCLA
  13. SMU: Last Game: Lost BYU, 28-14; Up Next: Abilene Christian
  14. W. Michigan: Last Game: Lost Ball St, 30-27; Up Next: Michigan
  15. Marshall: Last Game: Lost Buffalo, 17-10; Up Next: @ Navy
  16. GA Southern: Last Game: Beat L-Tech. 38-3: Up Next: GW
  17. UAB: Last Game: Beat Marshall 22-13; Up Next: Jacksonville St
  18. Buffalo: Last Game: Beat Marshall, 17-10; Up Next: Wagner
  19. L-Tech: Last Game: Lost GA Southern 38-3; Up Next: @ MS St
  20. Tulsa: Last Game: Lost Miss State, 28-26; Up Next: UC Davis

FCS Top 15

  1. SD St: Last Game: Lost S Houston, 23-21; Up Next: @ CO St
  2. ND St: Last Game: Lost S Houston, 24-20; Up Next: Albany
  3. J. Madison: L G: Lost S Houston, 38-35, Up Next: Morehead
  4. S Houston Last Game: Beat SD St, 23-21; Up Next: N. Arizona
  5. J-ville St: Last Game: Lost Delaware, 20-14; Up Next: @ UAB
  6. Weber St: Last Game: Lost S-ern Il, 34-31; Up Next: @ Utah
  7. E Washington: L G: Lost ND St. 42-20; Up Next: @ UNLV
  8. VMI: Last Game: Lost J. Madison, 31-24, Up Next: Davidson
  9. Delaware: Last Game: Lost SD St, 33-3; Up Next: @ Maine
  10. Monmouth: L G: Lost to S Houston, 21-15; Up Next: @ MTSU
  11. N Dakota: Last game: Lost J. Madison, 34-21; Up Next: Idaho St
  12. Sacred Heart: Last Game: Lost Delaware, 19-10; Up Next: TBD
  13. Holy Cross: Last Game: Lost SD State, 31-3; Up Next: @ U-Conn
  14. SIU Last Game: Lost SD State, 31-26; Up Next: SE Missouri
  15. Davidson: Last Game: Lost J-ville St. 49-14; Up Next: @ VMI
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Sam Houston State vs South Dakota State

South Dakota State, out of the Missouri Valley Football Conference (MVFC), 8-1 vs Sam Houston, from the Southland Conference (SLC), 9-0 meet today in Frisco, Texas’, Toyota Stadium, @ 1:00 p.m. CST!

The outcome will determine the champion of the FCS (Football Championship Subdivision) in what has been the most challenging college football season since its being played during WWII!

South Dakota State enters the game as a 4 point favorite (opening line) which has now risen to 5.5 to 6.5 as we approach kick-off! The web-address listed below will take you to the Vegas Hot$heets for more information.

I have also provided a game simulation (head to head comparison) from Sully’s College Football Page. This is an analysis of what the team’s specific numbers, when contrasted with one another, suggest will happen in today’s championship battle!

The Simulator looks at 8 categories, { 1) Total Yards; 2) Rushing Yards; 3) Passing Yards; 4) Scoring, For & Allowed; 5) Turnovers, Lost & Obtained; 6) 3rd Down, Conversions / Stops; 7) Red Zone, All Scores, For & Against; 8) Red Zone Scores, TD’s only}

The process the site uses is designed to create competitive interaction between the teams numbers. For instances, in the Total Yards Category, SDS offense averaged 409 yards per game, while SHS defense has allowed 359 YPG. The Simulator adds the two numbers together, gets a total (768), then divides by 2 to get a mean. The Game Simulator has deduced the SDS offense will run & pass for 384 Total Yards in today game.

It then reverses the process, the Simulator will now take SHS Offense (456), add it to SDS Defense (281), establish a total (737), & then divide by 2 to determine a mean, SHS will run & pass for 368.5 Total Yards in today’s championship game.

The Game Simulator has determined that SDS will outgain (remember, by the numbers) SHS, 384 yards to 368.5 yards! As a result, South Dakota State is awarded the point in the Total Yards Category!

The same format is used in all 8 categories and the higher number gets the point, except, for obvious reasons, in the the Turnover Category, where the lower number is awarded the point!

While the Boys & Gals from Vegas like South Dakota State to win the game, the site boldly disagrees. In the 8 categories assessed, the SCFP’s Game Simulator ‘thinks’ SHS will outperform SDS in 5 of the 8 categories and win the game 27-25!

The web-address will take you to the Game Simulator. When you arrive, enter the respective teams (South Dakota State & Sam Houston), it does not matter which drop Box you enter a specific team in, either is fine! Make sure you use 2021 in the year box for both teams. While this is the 2020 season, the games were played in 2021 & must be entered in the correct calendar year!

I think the singular most significant number listed here, is SHS ability to stop SDS run game. The Bearkats have limited opponents to a mere 82 rushing YPG, if they are able to corral the Jackrabbits rush game, 230 YPG; then it is likely that they overcome the Vegas oddsmakers & win the FCS Championship.

This should be fun & as always: Enjoy the games!

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FCS Results from Sunday, 5/2/21

The FCS Tournament has battled its way down to four really good teams. Here are the results from Sunday’s games!

#2 Sam Houston State knocked off North Dakota State (who had won 8 championships in 9 years), 24-20.

#3 James Madison beat North Dakota in a hard fought contest, 34-21!

Delaware stopped the #4 seed, Jacksonville State, 20-14.

South Dakota State, the #1 seed, struggled to put away Southern Illinois, 31-26, a team that they blasted in the regular season, 44-3.

To see this past week’s FCS Tournament results in more detail, please click on the web-address provided below! It will take you to our Game List Page, simply put the cursor in the Game Date Box, click, and a calendar will drop. The date you want for FCS quarter final results is May 2, 2021! Also check out the View Match-up to see what the numbers say should have happened in the games. Make sure when you get to the Game Simulator, Head to Head you have 2021 in the year box, as it will bring up 2020 initially, change it to 2021!

The #1 seed South Dakota State (7-1) champions of Missouri Valley Football Conference (MVFC) takes on Delaware (7-0), the champions of the Colonial Athletic Association (CAA)! The Game is @ home game for South Dakota State played @ Coughlin Alumni Stadium in Brookings, SD.

The #2 seed, Sam Houston State (8-0), champions of Southland Conference (SLC) takes on the #3 seed, a 7-0 James Madison, from the CAA! The higher seed is awarded home field advantage, as a result, this game will be played in Huntsville, TX, @ Bowers Stadium!

Both Delaware & James Madison were/are undefeated thus far in the 2020 season (played in 2021), yet Delaware was declared the champion of the Colonial, based on the strength of having played one more conference game! The fighting Hens finished the regular season @ 4-0, while the Dukes ended their Colonial schedule @ 3-0! This in-balance was do to Covid 19 interruptions.

That said, the FCS selection committee thought that JM was the better team and seeded them 3rd of the 4 teams that they ranked. An unseeded Delaware, defeated the team that was rated 4th b the committee, Jacksonville State, this passed Sunday (5/2/21) 20-14!

I will have Sully’s College Football Page (SCFP) predictions on this weekend’s games, as well as what the ‘Wise guys in Vegas’ are thinking, later this week.

And as always: Enjoy the Games!

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FCS Tourney Results from 4/24/21

Sam Houston State (2 seed), the Southland Conference Football Champions, squeezed by Monmouth University, the Champions of the Big South Conference, 21-15 on Saturday (4/24/21)! Monmouth finished the amended season @ 5-1, while SHSU continues to the 2nd round with a record of 7-0!

Winners of the Ohio Valley Conference, Jacksonville State (4 seed) hammered Davidson, winners of the Pioneer Football League, 49-14! The Wildcats head for home finishing the 2020/2021 campaign @ 4-3, as the 7-1 Gamecocks reload for round II!

James Madison (3 seed), runner up in the Colonial Athletic Association, struggled with the Champion of the Southern Conference (SoCon), Virginia Military Institute (VMI), before winning a hard fought contest, 31-24! The Keydets head back to Lexington, VA with a record of 6-2 and will be watching, as the fellow Virginians (Harrisonburg), JMU @ 6-0, prepare for the next round!

Holy Cross, who won the Patriot League, took on the #1 seed, South Dakota State and were taken out back to the woodshed, falling 31-3! The Jackrabbits head to round II, with a record of 6-1, while the 3-1 Crusaders process back to Worcester, MA!

What many thought would be round 1’s best game, Eastern Washington vs North Dakota State was both interesting, yet not close! EWU jumped out to a 20 to 7 lead in the 1st half and then were stampeded by the Bison run game, allowing 422 rush yards! NDSU moves on with a 7-2 slate, as the wounded Eagles, losing 42-20, struggle to fly home to Cheney WA, with 5-2 record for the 20-21 season!

In the day’s one upset, Southern Illinois, who entered the tourney @ 4-3, the last team in, stunned Weber State (5-0) champions of the B-SKY, 34-31! The Saluki’s scored in the final minute and then held off a desperate attempt by the Wildcats to get within FG range in the final seconds of the game! A big win for the Missouri Valley Football Conference (MVFC)!

Missouri State (Bobby Petrino, Arkansas & Louisville) now serves as the Bears head coach, in fact, he was voted the MVFC’s Coach of the Year! MSU was 0-3 in the 2020 (Fall) part of their schedule and then went 5-2 in 2021 (Spring) component of their schedule. North Dakota, an after thought in their own state (North Dakota State; 8 national championships in 9 years) is making a whole lot of noise in 2021. They beat South Dakota State (#1 seed in the 2021 tourney) 28-14 and rolled into the tournament at 4-1. UND blasted Missouri State, 44-10, in the 1st round of the FCS Tournament! The now Fighting Hawks (old Fighting Sioux… retired in 2012, well … sort of) head to round II, sporting a 5-1 record!

The day’s final game, pitted Northeast Champion, Sacred Heart (3-1) vs Delaware (5-0) the Colonial Athletic Conference winners. The Fighting Hens were 5-0 in the CAA, while James Madison, another CAA member, was also 5-0, yet had one less conference win, as a result, Delaware was awarded the conference crown! In a highly competitive game, Delaware escaped the Pioneers 19-10, with the game’s outcome being decided by turnovers! A 6-0 Delaware advances to the 2nd round!

Round Two: Sunday, May 2nd

North Dakota State 7-2 (MVFC) @ #2 Sam Houston State (SLC) 7-0; Time: 2:00 Visual Access: streamed on ESPN 3!

North Dakota 5-1 (MVFC) @ #3 James Madison 6-0 (CAA); Time: 5:00, Visual Access: ESPN 3

Southern Illinois 6-3 (MVFC) @ #1 South Dakota State 6-1 (MVFC); Time: 8:00 / Visual Access: ESPN 3

Delaware 6-0 (CAA) @ 4 Jacksonville State 8-1; Time: 2:00 / Visual Access: ESPN 3

More on these games later this week!

The Web-address posted below will take you to a team page and provide more details. It will take you our Game Search Page. Click on the Game Date Box, a calendar will drop, & then identify, April 24th as the date you want to view. All 8 games will appear and you can proceed from that point!

If you want to visit, View Match-up, you must change the year from 2020 to 2021!

And as always, Enjoy the Games!

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FCS DI Football Tourney Kicks off Saturday, April 24th!

While the American sports community was focused on the NCAA Basketball Tournament & the beginning of baseball, much of the country was left oblivious to the fact, that division one college football was being played from February 7th through April 17th.

There are 13 conferences that play in the FCS (Football Championship Subdivision) and 10 of them are participating in the amended 16 (usually 24) team tourney.

The IVY League always opts out of the tournament do to academic considerations and the SWAC (Southwest Athletic Conference) & MEAC (Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference) champions play one another in the Celebration Bowl during the same time frame.

The MEAC would have played in this year’s tournament, but were unable to meet NCAA guidelines for conference participation. Five teams have or are leaving the MEAC.

Florida A&M (Tallassee) & Bethune-Cookman (Orlando) are joining the SWAC for the 2021 season.

Hampton University (Hampton Virginia) is already in its 2nd year in the Big South Conference (BSC) & North Carolina A&T (Greensboro) is moving to the BSC for the 2021 season.

Savannah State (GA) do to financial considerations has retreated to Division II.

Here are the champions of the other 10 conferences, who received automatic berths into the NCAA’s only DI tournament in football.

The FBS (Football Bowl Subdivision) playoff is not a sanctioned NCAA tournament, but rather a creation of the College Football Playoff Committee, the so-called Power 5 (P5 & G5, {group of 5} are not part of NCAA terminology or alignment) & Notre Dame. That said, here we go…

The Big Sky Champion: Weber State, 5-0; 2. Big South Champion: Monmouth, 3-0; 3. Colonial Athletic Association (CAA) Champion: Delaware, 5-0; 4. Missouri Valley Football Conference (MVFC) Champion: South Dakota State, 5-1: 5. Northeast Conference (NEC): Sacred Heart University, 3-1; 6. Ohio Valley Conference (OVC) Champion: Jacksonville State, 6-1; 7. Patriot League Champion: Holy Cross, 3-0; 8. Pioneer Football League (PFL) Champion: Davidson, 4-2; 9. Southern Conference (SoCon) Champion: Virginia Military Institute (VMI): 6-1; 10. Southland Conference (SLC) Champion: Sam Houston State, 6-0.

* Records are based on games played in the spring of 2021 only, we did not factor in games played in the fall of 2020.

The 6 teams that received at large bids were as follows: 1) Southern Illinois, 4-3 (MVFC); 2. Missouri State, 5-1 (MVFC); 3. North Dakota State 6-2 (MVFC); 4. James Madison 5-0; (CAA); 5. North Dakota 4-1 (MVFC), & 6. Eastern Washington 5-1 (Big Sky)!

Interestingly, 4 of the 6 (67%) at-large selections are form the same conference, the Missouri Valley Football Conference! That fact translated to 5 of the 16 team field or 31% of the participants, hailing from one league, the MVFC!

I, for one, will be watching to see if they perform better than the B-10 basketball teams did in the NCAA B-Ball Tourney. The B-10 qualified 9 teams (for the best tournament in any sport) and had only one (Michigan) battle their way into the Sweet 16!

Four teams were seated for this year’s playoff and all play in the 1st round. In a typical year, 8 of the 24 teams are seated and awarded a 1st round bye.

The four teams that were ranked were: #4 Jacksonville State (OVC) #3 James Madison (CAA), #2 Sam Houston State (SLC) & #1 South Dakota State (MVFC)

James Madison did not win the CAA (Delaware won the conference), this was based on the Blue Hens being 4-0 in CAA play to JMU winning 3 league games! Yet, the committee saw the Dukes as the stronger squad, in fact, James Madison was ranked 1st for most of the season in the FCS polls.

Jacksonville State played 11 games when one considers the the fall of 2020, going 3-1 then and 6-1 in the spring of 2021!

Sam Houston was a scoring machine, putting up 27, 42, 43, 61, & 72 points, while holding opponents to 7, 13, 14, 16, & 17 in 5 of their 6 outings!

South Dakota State was a surprise #1 seed. Most thought Sam Houston or James Madison would be 1 & 2, with SDSU the 3rd or 4th seed. The Jackrabbits ranking is a reflection of the committees perspective of the MVFC and its relative strength.

Top Half of the Bracket (All games will be streamed on ESPN3 / all times are CST)

Holy Cross 3-0 @ #1 South Dakota State 6-1 / 1:00 p.m.

Southern Illinois 4-3 @ Weber State 5-0 / 3:00 p.m.

Sacred Heart 3-1 @ Delaware 5-0 / 7:00 p.m.

Davidson 4-2 @ #4 Jacksonville State 6-1, / 1:00 p.m.

Bottom Half of the Bracket

VMI 6-1 @ #3 James Madison 5-0 / 1:00 p.m.

Missouri State 5-1 @ North Dakota 4-1 / 3:00

Eastern Washington 5-1 @ North Dakota State 6-2 / 2:30 (Day’s best game)

Monmouth 3-0 @ #2 Sam Houston 6-0 / 11:00 a.m.

There is little question the bottom half of the bracket is much tougher than the top half!

Sam Houston will get either Eastern Washington or perennial champ, North Dakota State (8 championships in 9 years) in round II. If they win, than comes James Madison, the 2nd best program in the FCS the past 4 years!

This should be entertaining!

And as always, Enjoy the Games!

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The PAC 12 has released their 2021 Football Schedule

The Pac 12 consists of 12 teams (don’t laugh, the B-10 has 14 teams & the B-12 has 10) so it is a point that needs to be clarified! The 12 teams play in 2 divisions (North & South) each division has 6 teams!

The North Division is made up of Washington, Washington State, Oregon, Oregon State, California, & Stanford; while the South Division features, USC, UCLA, Utah, Colorado, Arizona & Arizona State

The League plays 9 conference games, like the B-10 & B-12 and unlike the ACC & SEC, who play 8 league games! The PAC 12 plays a total of 144 games (12 teams X 12 games) of which, 108 are conference games & 36 are non-conference games!

The P-12 will play 16 Power 5 (P5) Opponents, 4 from the B-10, 3 from the SEC, 2 from the B-12, & Notre Dame twice (2) for a total of 11 games. On Sully’s College Football Page, we count BYU as a P5 team, the PAC 12 is playing the Cougars 5 times in 2021 to reach 16 games vs P5 opponents..

Now before you get to critical of our counting BYU, you should know that:

The Mighty SEC counts Army, ND, & BYU, as a P5 opponent for NC scheduling purposes.

The B-10 is on record as recognizing Army, BYU, Cincinnati, Navy, ND, & U-Conn as meeting their requirements of scheduling @ least one (1) P5 program. The B-10 also discourages its membership from scheduling FCS opponents (63 scholarship programs).

The ACC, for scheduling purposes, says its membership is required to schedule at least one team from the B-12, B-10, PAC 12, SEC, ND or BYU!

The B-12 & PAC 12 do not have guidelines that provide their members with any specific directives for NC scheduling!

So, we are not alone is counting BYU as a P5 equivalent for the scheduling of NC games within the ACC, B-12, B-10, PAC 12, & the SEC! In fact, if anything, we are conservative!

The PAC 12 is playing 11 teams from the Group of 5, who consist of: American Athletic Conference,(AAC), Conference USA (C-USA), Mid-American Conference (MAC), Mountain West Conference (MWC) & Sun Belt Conference (SBC). That said, Ten (10) of the eleven (11) games are against the MWC! Arkansas State from the SBC is the outlier.

Finally, the PAC 12 will line it up nine (9) times vs an FCS opponent, eight of these teams are members of the Big Sky Conference! The FCS outlier is Stony Brook, a team from the Colonial Athletic Association (CAA).

Please find the Web address for Sully’s College Football Page (SCFP), displaying the PAC 12’s 2021 schedule provided below.

As I have noted many times, we color code the schedule for your convivence: (Red = Conference Game; Yellow = P5 Opponent; Green = G5 Team; & Blue = FCS Program@!

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The Mid-American Conference (MAC) Released its 2021 Football schedule

The current version of the MAC has 12 teams divided into 2 division (East & West), each division has 6 teams.

The East Division consist of: Ohio, Kent State, Bowling Green, Akron, Miami (OH), & Buffalo. While the West Division is made up of: Northern Illinois, Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan, Western Michigan, Ball State, & Toledo.

The conference plays 8 league games and 4 Non-conference (NC) match-ups.

This year the MAC takes on 20 Power 5 (P5) teams. The B-10 is their most common P5 opponent, as the MAC will line it up 10 times in 2021 against a B-10 team!

The East Division plays 7 teams out of the Big Ten; Ohio State (Akron), Minnesota (Bowling Green), Nebraska (Buffalo), Iowa (Kent State), Maryland (Kent State), Minnesota (Miami), Northwestern (Ohio). The East will also play Syracuse (ACC) / Ohio, Texas A&M (SEC) / Kent State, Tennessee (SEC) / Bowling Green, & Auburn (SEC) Akron.

The East side of the MAC plays 11 of the 20 games vs P5 opponents. As mentioned, 7 games with the B-10, and of the remaining 4, 3 are vs the Mighty SEC, & 1 time against the ACC!

The West Division gets it on with, Penn State (B-10) / Ball State; Missouri (SEC) / Central Michigan, LSU (SEC) / Central Michigan, Wisconsin (B-10) / Eastern Michigan, Georgia Tech (ACC) / Northern Illinois, Michigan (B-10) / Northern Illinois, Notre Dame (IND) / Toledo, Michigan (B-10) / Western Michigan, & Pitt (ACC) Western Michigan.

The West battles the B-10 on 4 dates, the Mighty SEC twice, & the ACC on 2 occasions, aw well, in 2021.

It should be noted that of these 20 games, a grand total of zero are played in MAC Arenas. Maybe money can’t walk and/or talk, but it can absolutely determine MAC football game sites!

Please find below the link to Sully’s College Football Page web site and the MAC’s 2021 schedule. Be mindful that we color code opponents, Red is conference, Yellow is power 5, Green is the Group of 5, & Blue identifies an FCS opponent (63 scholarship programs) as opposed to an FBS (P5 & G5) teams that must award 85 scholarships.

After you review the MAC, we also have posted the American Athletic Conference & Conference-USA. You can get a sense of how these teams / conferences differ in how they schedule NC games. In particular, the # of AAC home games vs Power 5 opponents vs the Home games the MAC & C-USA have against the Power 5 programs!

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The American Athletic Conference (AAC) released its 2021 schedule.

The American Athletic Conference (AAC) released the fall football schedule for 2021. The AAC has 11 teams (U-Conn left the league after the 2019 season) and as a result of U-Conn departure, the AAC does not play in divisions.

Each of the 11 teams will will play 8 conference games, 4 @ home, 4 on the road, & take on 4 Non-Conference (NC) opponents to round out their 12 game schedule!

AAC is widely regarded as the best of the Group of 5 (G5) Conferences (C-USA, MAC, MWC, & SBC) and its champion has represented the Group of 5 Leagues in the New Year’s Six Bowl Series the past four (4) years.

In this game, the highest ranked group of 5 team takes on a Power 5 program that did not make the College Football Playoff (CFP). But did qualify for a high profile bowl game. This series began in 2014 with the evolution from the BCS to the CFP for the Power 5 members & 1 G5 team.

The G5 teams have been very competitive in these bowl games. In 2014, #20 Boise State (MWC) beat #10 Arizona 38-30 in the Fiesta Bowl, in 2015, #18 Houston (AAC) beat #9 Florida State, 38-24, in the Peach Bowl & in 2016, the P5 rep, #8 Wisconsin, finally beat the G5 invite, #15 Western Michigan (MAC), 24-16 in the Cotton Bowl!

From 2017 through 2020, the G5 representative has come from the AAC; 2017, #12 UCF (Central Florida) beat #7 Auburn, 34-27, in the Peach ; in 2018, #11 LSU beat #8 UCF, 40-32, in the Fiesta Bowl, In 2019, #10 Penn State beat #17 Memphis, 53-39 in the Cotton Bowl; & last year, 2020, #9 UGA (Georgia ) survived #8 Cincinnati in the Peach Bowl, 24-21 (UGA scoring a FG & safety in the closing seconds of the game).

The AAC has played in 5 of the 7 games and has compiled a 2-3 record in these high profile games. All five (5) of the games have been competitive, with only 2 being decided by more than one score (Houston win over FSU, 38-24 & PSU outscoring Memphis, 53-39)!

In the 2021 season, the AAC will play 44 NC games. The break down of who they will play & where is always interesting. In ’21, the AAC will play seventeen (17) P5 teams with, surprisingly, Five (5) of the games in AAC stadiums and one (1) game at a neutral site (Houston vs Texas Tech @ NRG Stadium). It is rare to see more that 2 or 3 of these games played outside of the P5 arenas.

AAC will line it up against 10 Football Championship Subdivision (FCS) opponents. Navy is the only American team that will not play an FCS opponent in 2021.

These programs (FCS) may only award up to 63 scholarships, yet are allowed to offer fewer, if they make that economic or academic determination.

While, the Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS), which include both the Power 5 & the Group of 5, must award 85 scholarships to maintain the FBS standing. It should be noted, that the terms P5 & G5 are not NCAA descriptors; in fact, the NCAA would only use FBS & FCS to describe its Division One membership.

Finally, for FBS programs to become bowl eligible, they must win 6 games. An FBS team may count one FCS win towards that total (6), a second FCS win would not count towards the 6 win total and this fact, explains why you rarely see an FBS program schedule 2 FCS programs in the same year.

The remaining 17 NC games (ACC vs P5 17 games & vs FCS 10 games = 27 of the 44 allowed) will be played against G5 Conferences & Independents to reach the total of 44.

Here is the G5 breakdown, 7 games vs C-USA, 3 vs Sun Belt (SBC), 2 vs the MAC, 2 vs the MWC, & 3 games against IND’s!

Remember, or if new, we color code the schedule for your convivence, Red is conference, Yellow is P5, Green is G5, & Blue is FCS.

Independents are counted differently, ND & BYU are counted as P5 programs, while the other 5 independents are considered to be part of the Group of 5.

As a result, Yellow, ND & BYU, while Green is used for NM State, Liberty, Army, U-Conn & U-Mass.

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Big 12 Releases 2021 Schedule

The B-12 2021 schedule came out this week, with some new, some old, and some traditional match-ups!

The New:

Baylor welcoming BYU to Waco, TX. These teams have played twice in their long histories, Baylor won in 1983, 40-36 & BYU won in 1984, 47-13. Baylor is coming off a difficult year, 2-7, in Dave Aranda’s 1st season, while BYU experienced its best & strangest year, perhaps ever. The Cougars did not play one game on a major network, lost all 6 of the Power 5 opponents to Covid rescheduling & then scheduled a game (Coastal Carolina beat BYU, 22-17) and played it 56 hours later! BYU went 11-1 in 2020, however, they enter the 2021 season w/o Mr. All-Everything, QB, Zach Wilson.

TCU battles California on Sept. 11th in Fort Worth, TX. The Horned Frogs & Golden Bears have played only once, in the 2018 Cheez-It Bowl. TCU won the game, 10-7. This will be one of two match-ups between the B-12 & the PAC-12 in 2021!

Kansas State vs Stanford in the Allstate Kickoff Classic @ AT&T Stadium, in Arlington, TX. This will be the 2nd meeting between the schools. Stanford won the 1st ever meeting between the universities, in 2016, 26-13!

The Old:

West Virginia takes on 2 old rivals, Maryland (B-10) Sept. 4th & Virginia Tech (ACC) Sept. 10th. The Mountaineers have battled the Terrapins 52 times. The 1st meeting was played on Oct. 18th, 1919, a game won by WV, 27-0! The most recent meeting was Sept. 26th, 2015, a game also won by WV, 45-6. West Virginia leads the all time series, 28-22-2!

WV has kicked it off, vs VT, 52 times, the exact number of games the Mountaineers have played against the Terps. The teams first met on Nov. 16, 1912, VT won the game 41-0 (the largest winning margin by either team) while their most recent game was Sept. 3rd 2017, a game that was also won by V-Tech, 31-24! The teams play for the Black Diamond Trophy with WV leading the series, 28-23-1.

Texas vs Arkansas an old SWC (Southwest Conference) game. These teams in the 60’s & 70’s would play on the season’s final weekend with the conference championship regularly going to the winner. The Hogs vs Horns have played 78 times, with Texas leading the series 56-22! The teams’ first meeting was on Nov. 29th, 1894, the Longhorns won, 54-0 with their last game being played on December 29, 2014, the Razorbacks won in the Texas Bowl, 31-7! Their most famous meeting (my opinion) was on Dec. 6th, 1969 with Texas scoring late to win 15-14 and the Horns then beat ND, 21-17, in the Cotton Bowl to win the National Championship! This was the last segregated team to win a college football championship.

Nebraska @ Oklahoma in the 1970’s this was one of, if not, the biggest game of the college football season. During those years, both teams were part of the Big 8 Conference, later the Big-8 merged with the disbanding SWC. The Sooners & Huskers have duked it out 86 times. Their 1st meeting was on Nov. 23, 1912, Nebraska won, 13-9 and their last meeting was on December 4th, 2010. It was to be Nebraska’s final game in the Big-12; (Began play in the B-10 in 2011) fittingly against OU, for the Big 12 Championship! Oklahoma won a great game & the B-12 championship, 23-20!

The Sooners lead the series 45-38-3, Nebraska has the largest MOV (margin of victory) 69-7 in 1969. OU counters with the longest winning streak in the series, 16 straight from 1943 thru 1958! This rivalry has been/was/can be again/ intense! OU has given the Cornhuskers their only loss in 5 different seasons (1964, 1966, 1975, 1979, & 1987) while the Huskers returned the insult twice, 1971 (voted as the best regular season game ever) and in 1978!

The Traditional

Iowa @ Iowa State the annual, in-state, battle between the B-10’s rep Iowa & ISU, out of the B-12! The teams play for the CY/Hawk Trophy! They first played on Oct. 1st 1894, with the Cyclones winning, 16-8 and their most recent game, Sept. 11th, 2019, with the Hawks getting it done, 18-17.

These teams have met on the gridiron 67 times with Iowa leading the series, 45-22! The Hawks have the largest MOV, 57-3 in 1985, the longest winning streak, 15 straight (1983-1997) and have won the last 5 games.

TCU vs SMU a rare rivalry played between a Power 5 (P5) program and a Group of 5 (G5) team. In fact, the only other such rivalry (P5 vs G5) that comes to mind, is the ND/Navy annual battle.

These teams have played 99 games with the Horned Frogs (TCU) leading the series against the Mustangs, 51-41-7. Texas Christian holds the largest MOV, 56-0, in 2014, the longest winning streak (15) from 1972 thru 1986, while SMU holds the current win streak of one game!

The teams play for the Iron Skillet Trophy, several stories of why a skillet are out there, with no clear consensus! The teams first played on Oct. 18th, 1915, TCU won 43-0 while SMU won the most recent game, Sept. 21st, 2019, 41-38!

Please note, on Sully’s College Football Page (SCFP) we color code games for your quick review (red is conference, Yellow is a P5 opponent, Green in a G5 team, and Blue is an FCS Program (63 Scholarships as opposed to an FBS team which awards 85 scholarships).

We do this so that at a glance, you can see WV is playing (2 yellow dots on their schedule profile) Maryland (B-10) & VT (ACC), while Texas Tech & Oklahoma State are not playing a Non-Conference, P5 opponent (No Yellow). This is, at least on the surface, an indicator that WV is playing the strongest NC schedule in the B-12 in 2021! And given that the B-12 plays a round robin schedule (play every team in the league), one can/could argue that West Virginia has the B-12 most challenging line-up of opponents in 2021!

Check out the B-12 and then compare it to the B-10’s, SEC’s & ACC’s NC schedules! The PAC 12 has yet to release their 2021 schedule!

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ALL 130 FBS Coaches Winning Percentage Through the 2020 Season

Coach School Conf. Win Loss Games W%
1. Ryan Day Ohio St B-10 20 2 22 90.9%
Nick Saban Bama SEC 170 23 193 88.9%
Lincoln Riley OU B-12 45 8 53 84.9%
Dabo Sweeney Clem. ACC 140 33 173 80.9%
5. Kirby Smart Georgia SEC 52 14 66 78.8%
Bryan Harsin Boise St MW 69 19 88 78.4%
Josh Heupel UCF AAC 28 8 36 77.8%
Danny Mullen Florida SEC 29 9 38 76.3%
Ed Orgeron LSU SEC 45 14 59 76.3%
10. S. Clark App St SBC 9 3 12 75.0%
Hugh Freeze Liberty IND 18 6 24 75.0%
Paul Chryst UW B-10 56 19 75 74.7%
R. Silverfield Memphis AAC 8 3 11 72.7%
David Shaw Stanford P-12 90 34 124 72.6%
15. Brian Kelly ND IND 102 39 141 72.3%
Jimbo Fischer T A&M SEC 26 10 36 72.2%
Bill Napier LU SBC 28 11 39 71.8%
M. Cristobal Oregon P-12 25 10 35 71.4%
Luke Fickell Cincinnati AAC 35 14 49 71.4%
20. G Patterson TCU B-12 178 74 252 70.6%
Jim Harbaugh Michigan B-10 49 22 71 69.0%
James Franklin Penn St B-10 60 28 88 68.2%
K. Whittingham Utah P-12 135 66 201 67.2%
Mike Gundy Ok State B-12 137 67 204 67.2%
25. Clay Helton USC P-12 45 23 68 66.2%
Gus Melzahn Auburn SEC 68 36 104 65.4%
Bill Clark UAB USA 40 22 62 64.5%
Jason Candle Toledo MAC 38 21 59 64.4%
Tom Herman Texas B-12 32 18 50 64.0%
30. S. Dykes SMU AAC 22 13 35 62.9%
Doc Holiday Marshall USA 85 52 137 62.0%
Kirt Ferenz Iowa B-10 168 106 274 61.3%
K. Niumatalolo Navy AAC 102 67 169 60.4%
Mac Brown UNC ACC 15 10 25 60.0%
35. C. Lunsford GSU SBC 27 18 45 60.0%
Skip Holtz L-Tech USA 61 41 102 59.8%
Justin Fuente V-Tech ACC 38 26 64 59.4%
Troy Calhoun Air Force MW 102 72 174 58.6%
Frank Solish Ohio MAC 115 82 197 58.4%
40. Jeff Traylor UTSA USA 7 5 12 58.3%
Manny Diaz Miami ACC 14 10 24 58.3%
B. Anderson Ark St SBC 51 37 88 58.0%
PJ Fleck Minnesota B-10 26 19 45 57.8%
Jimmy Lake UW P-12 4 3 7 57.1%
45. Karl Dorrell Colorado P-12 4 3 7 57.1%
Pat Fitzgerald N-western B-10 106 81 187 56.7%
H. Edwards ASU P-12 17 13 30 56.7%
Tyson Helton WKU USA 14 11 25 56.0%
Jeff Monken Army IND 35 28 63 55.6%
50. M Campbell ISU B-12 35 28 63 55.6%
Todd Graham Hawaii MW 5 4 9 55.6%
Pat Narduzi Pitt ACC 42 34 76 55.3%
Jim McElwain CMU MAC 11 9 20 55.0%
Tim Lester WMU MAC 24 20 44 54.6%
55. D. Doeren NC State ACC 55 46 101 54.5%
J. Chadwell CCU SBC 20 17 37 54.1%
Butch Davis FIU USA 23 20 43 53.5%
Ton Allen Indiana B-10 24 21 45 53.3%
Lance Leipold Buffalo MAC 37 33 70 52.9%
60. C. Klieman KSU B-12 12 11 23 52.2%
Jay Hopson S-ern Miss USA 31 29 60 51.7%
Kalani Sitake BYU IND 20 19 39 51.2%
Rick Stockstill M-Tenn. USA 93 92 185 50.2%
Kalen DeBoer Fresno St MW 3 3 6 50.0%
65. Brady Hoek SDSU MW 4 4 8 50.0%
Lane Kiffin Ole Miss SEC 5 5 10 50.0%
Eli Drinkwitz Missouri SEC 5 5 10 50.0%
Jeff Hafley BC ACC 5 5 10 50.0%
Justin Wilcox Cal P-12 21 21 42 50.0%
70 S Satterfield UL ACC 12 12 24 50.0%
Neal Brown WVU B-12 11 11 22 50.0%
G. Anderson Utah St. MW 33 33 66 50.0%
Willie Taggart FAU USA 5 5 10 50.0%
Seth Littrell North TX USA 31 31 62 50.0%
75 Mark Stoops Kentucky SEC 49 50 99 49.5%
B. Mendenhall Virginia ACC 30 32 62 48.4%
Jay Norvell Nevada MW 21 23 44 47.7%
Will Healy Charlotte USA 9 10 19 47.4%
Dave Clawson WF ACC 40 45 85 47.1%
80. Willie Fritz Tulane AAC 29 33 62 46.8%
Chris Bohl Wyoming MW 38 44 82 46.3%
W Muschamp USC SEC 28 33 61 45.9%
Jeremy Pruitt UT SEC 16 19 35 45.7%
Dave Cutcliffe Duke ACC 74 88 162 45.7%
85 C. Lindsey Troy SBC 10 12 22 45.5%
Rob Carey Temple AAC 9 11 20 45.0%
Randy Edsall U-Conn IND 76 93 169 45.0%
P Montgomery Tulsa AAC 31 40 71 43.7%
Jeff Brohm Purdue B-10 19 25 44 43.3%
90. Sean Lewis Kent St. MAC 12 17 29 41.4%
Chuck Martin Miami OH MAC 32 46 78 41.0%
Matt Wells T-Tech B-12 9 13 22 40.9%
Dino Babers Syracuse ACC 24 36 60 40.0%
Mike Neu Ball State MAC 22 34 56 39.3%
95. Sean Elliott Georgia St. SBC 18 28 46 39.1%
Scott Frost Nebraska B-10 12 20 32 37.5%
C. Creighton EMU MAC 30 51 81 37.0%
Mike Leach MSU SEC 4 7 11 36.4%
D. Holgorsen Houston AAC 7 13 20 35.0%
100. G Schiano Rutgers B-10 3 6 9 33.3%
Mike Norvell FSU ACC 3 6 9 33.3%
Brent Brennan SJSU MW 15 30 45 33.3%
Mike Houston ECU AAC 7 14 21 33.3%
Matt Viator ULM SBC 19 39 58 32.8%
105. Chip Kelly UCLA P-12 10 21 31 32.3%
Kevin Sumlin Arizona P-12 9 20 29 31.0%
Derek Mason Vandy SEC 24 56 80 30.0%
Sam Pittman Arkansas SEC 3 7 10 30.0%
Lovie Smith Illinois B-10 17 40 57 29.8%
110. M Locksley Maryland B-10 5 12 17 29.4%
J. Smith OR St. P-12 9 22 31 29.0%
D. Gonzales N. Mexico MW 2 5 7 28.6%
Mal Tucker MSU B-10 2 5 7 28.6%
T.  Hammock N. Illinois MAC 5 13 18 27.8%
115. D. Martin NM State IND 20 53 73 27.4%
Geoff Collins G-Tech ACC 6 16 22 27.3%
S. Campbell USA SBC 9 26 35 25.7%
Steve Addazio CSU MW 1 3 4 25.0%
Nick Rolovich WSU P-12 1 3 4 25.0%
120 M Bloomgren Rice USA 7 23 30 23.3%
Dave Aranda Baylor B-12 2 7 9 22.2%
Jake Spavital Texas St. SBC 5 19 24 20.8%
Scott Loeffler BGU MAC 3 14 17 17.7%
Dana Dimel UTEP USA 5 27 32 15.6%
125. Les Miles Kansas B-12 3 18 21 14.3%
Jeff Scott USF AAC 1 8 9 11.1%
Walt Bell U-Mass IND 1 15 16 6.25%
Tom Arth Akron MAC 1 17 18 5.56%
M. Arroyo UNLV MW 0 6 6 0.00%
130. Ricky Rahne ODU USA 0 0 0 0.00%
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