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Sully’s CFP: Six Pack of Winners; Week Three

TCU -3 Over / Under 62 @ Texas Texas (Thursday Game): The Last time TCU was in Lubock, they led 21-0 in the 2nd quarter and ended up on the low end of a 70-35 tail whipping; Tech outgained the Frogs 371-3 and scored 56 unanswered points in the 4th quarter. This marks the 56th time these two programs have met, but only the third since their days together in the old Southwest Conference! Texas Tech enters the game @ 2-0, with wins over SMU, 41-23 & Steven F. Austin, 61-13, while the Frogs are 1-1, falling to LSU, 37-27 & beating SE Louisiana, 38-17. TCU’s QB, Casey Pachall, is out for several weeks after injuring his arm in Saturday’s game. Trevone Boykin played QB for the Frogs most of last year when Pachall was out do to alcohol related issues The Red Raiders beat TCU, 56-53 in OT last year, in Fort Woth. The over under in this game is 62. Sully’s CFP says take the Over as both of these teams can & will score. 

UCLA @ Nebraska -5: This is a battle between two historic programs, one from the PAC 12 & one from the Big Ten. The Huskers are 6-2 vs the Bruins, in spite of falling in the Rose Bowl in last year’s game, 36-30. UCLA has played one game to date, beating Nevada, 58-20 @ home, while Nebraska is 2-0, surviving Wyoming, 37-34 & pounding Southern Miss, 56-13 both games were in Lincoln. At 5, this is really close to a pick ’em game, as the Huskers are getting at least three for being at home. Sully’s CFP says take UCLA and the points in Lincoln.

Bowling Green @ Indiana -2.5  .. Over/under 63.5: Bowling Green returned 19 straters from last year’s team and have hit the field at a sprint to start the 2013 season. The Falcons handled Tulsa, 24-6 and then outscored Kent state 41-22. Meanwhile, Indiana hammered Indiana State, 73-35 and was outscored by Navy, 41-35. The over /under is 63.5 ….. To this point, the Hoosiers seem interested in only playing offense and are doing so a high level. Defense is simply something they line up in…. Sully’s CFP says take the Over … as these teams can & will score & score often come Saturday!

Wisconsin @ Arizona State -6: Neither one of these teams have played a quality opponent in this very young season. The Badgers have shut out U-Mass, 45-0 & Tennessee Tech, 48-0, while ASU blanked Sacramento State, 55-0. Bucky & the Sun Devils have scored a combined 148 points and have given up a total of zero points in their first three games. This game pits strength against strength, Wisconsin’s offensive line, led by, Kyle Kostigan, Rob Havenstein, & Ryan Gory vs ASU’s Defensive line featuring, All-American, Will Sutton,  … and Jaxon Hood, & Davon Coleman. Sully’s CFP says: 6 is to many, take the Badgers and the points!

Tennessee @ Oregon -27.5 .. Over / Under 70: Tennessee is under new leadership … and it is showing. The Volunteers are getting back to national prominence under Butch Jones’ leadership …attendance was 97,169 in its first game and the Vols have scored 96 points in their first two games pounding Austin Peay, 45-0 & Western Kentucky, 52-20. Oregon is also off and running, scoring 125 points in their first two games, hammering both Nicholls State, 66-3 & Virginia, 59-10.. The weather in Eugene is 80 & Sunny … Both offenses will flurish in the sunshine…. Sully’s CFP says: take the Over!

Alabama @ Texas A&M -7.5: College Station will be rocking as the Tide rolls into town! The two time defending champs lost one game last year on their way to the repeat… @ home to the Aggies, 29-24. The question here is … do you like the “bad boy”,  Johnny Manziel and his ability to extend plays with his eyes down the field on receivers or Saban & Co. with their bye week to prepare for this year’s “game of the century”? Neither team looked like they belong in this game based on their performances thus far. While Alabama beat Virginia Tech, 35-10, they ran & passed for the grand total of 206 yards, while A&M gave up 31 points to Rice & 28 to Sam Houston. Not the numbers that you look for in your champions! Ok .. first game for Bama & A&M was playing in sure things (as always we’re talking …. on paper … anything can and will happen in the real world)  and both clubs are/have been focused on this game… but not what one would expect given their respective talent levels. That said, both teams lost significant players from their offensive lines to the NFL… the effect seems greater on the Tide … as they rushed for only 96 yards vs Va Tech, while the Aggiues rushed for over 200 yards in both of their games. Let’s say the problem for the Tide is/was more related to Va Tech’s defense … than Bama’s O-Line & A&M’s success was more about who they were playing (Rice & Sam Houston) as well. What about these teams ability to stop the run… Bama gave up 153 yards to the Hokies while A&M gave up 306 rushing yards to Rice & 240 on the ground to Sam Houston. The rushing numbers are a big concern for A&M… if the Aggies can’t stop the Owls on the ground, how in the world do they stop Bama’s running attack?  Look for Alabama to control the ball on the ground with RB, TJ Yeldon and a reved up offensive line … keeping Manziel in the one place he can’t hurt you … the bench. Sully’s CFP says take the Tide and give A&M the 7.5

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