Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

New Mexico Bowl

The New Mexico Bowl is an NCAA-sanctioned post-season college football bowl game that has been played annually since 2006 at Dreamstyle stadium, on the campus of the University New Mexico in Albuquerque, New Mexico. Owned and operated by ESPN Events, it has typically been scheduled as one of the first games of the bowl season, and is currently played between teams from C-USA and the MWC.

Teams:  Central Michigan (MAC) 8-4 / San Diego State (MWC) 9-3 

Bowl Location: Albuquerque, NM

Day, Date & Time: Saturday, December, 21, 2019, 2:00 EST

Network: ESPN 

Best Win(s): C. Michigan: beat Toledo (6-6) 49-7; San Diego St.: beat UCLA (4-8), 30-13

Worst Loss(es): C. Michigan lost to Wis. (10-3) 61-0; SDSU lost Nevada (7-5), 17-13

Common Opponents: New Mexico St.: CM beat NM St. 42-28/SDSU beat NM St. 31-10

Vegas Hot$heets Favorite: San Diego State -4.5 (All lines are opening lines & all recommend picks are based on opening lines)

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is, say Notre Dame is playing Wisconsin … we take ND’s total yards on offense, add it to the number the Badgers give up on defense, we get a total and then divide the total by 2 to get an average. We then invert the process, we now take Wisconsin’s total offense, add it to what the Irish give up on defense, get a 2nd total, and then divide that number by 2, to get the second average! The greater number (with the exception of Turnovers, lower # wins) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed: 1) Total Yards, 2) Rushing, 3) Passing, 4) Scoring, 5) 3rd Down (Conversions /Stops), 6) Turnovers, 7) Red Zone Scores (TD’s & FG), & 8) Red Zone TD’s (only TD’s)!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

San Diego State | Aztecs Central Michigan | Chippewas
Offense VS Defense 340 365 +1
Passing Off VS Def 215 238 +1
Rushing Off VS Def 125.5 126.5 +1
Scoring Off VS Def 23 +1 22.5
Turnovers Off VS Def 0.98 +1 1.875
3rd Conv Off VS Def 35.55 38.15 +1
Red Zone Scores 85.5 +1 79.5
Red Zone TD’s 56.5 59 +1
Totals 3 5

Central Michigan WINS Trophy

Historic Football Matchups

1st Meeting on the Gridiron.

Sully Says: Rocky Long’s team plays in a better conference (MWC vs MAC) making the #’s somewhat skewed, and will win and significantly win the Turnover battle. Take SDSU & give CM the points!

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