|4 year Team Composit||Conference||ESPN||247 Sports||Rivals||Total||Composit|
|3 Ohio St||B-10||6.3||5.5||7||18.8||6.3|
|5 Fl St.||ACC||9.5||9.5||8.8||27.8||9.3|
|25 Ms St||SEC||27||25.75||27.5||80.25||26.8|
|26 Mi st||B-10||29||28.75||27.3||85.05||28.4|
|36 Ariz st||P-12||34||30.8||49.25||114.05||38.0|
|37. Ok st||B-12||38.5||38.25||39||115.75||38.6|
|38. NC st||ACC||38.75||39.5||39.5||117.75||39.3|
|43 W Vir||B-12||43.25||45||42.3||130.55||43.5|
|53 W St.||P-12||51.5||52.3||52.75||156.55||52.2|
|58 Tx T||B-12||54.8||58||57||169.8||56.6|
|59 Ore st||P-12||56.5||61||54.5||172||57.3|
|63 K St||B-12||65||66.8||66.75||198.55||66.2|
Now that the Final Four champ is resolved … We begin College Football again … with a review of the 2018 season!
Please note: SCFP ranks the Power Five teams (ACC, B-10, B-12, PAC 12, & SEC … Plus 2 Independents; ND & BYU) as one group of 66 teams into a Top 25. Next, we rank the Group of Five (AAC, CUSA, MAC, MWC, & SBC … Plus 2 Independents, Army & U-Mass, a group of 64 teams into a Top 20. Finally, we rank the 124 FCS teams into a Top 10! Oh, and by the way, RR identifies a team’s Recruiting Rank! 3 sites (Rivals, ESPN, & 247) and a 4 year average were used to determine the P5 rankings, while a 4 year average from just 247 was used in ranking the G-5’s top 20! Enjoy and let us know what you think!
Sully’s Final Top 25 Power 5’s
- Clemson (ACC/RR 7) 15-0; Up Next: ; TV: / Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the numbers it’s:
- Alabama (SEC/RR 1) 14-1; Up Next: ; TV: / Favorite: SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Notre Dame (IND/RR 10) 12-1:; Up Next: TV: / Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Oklahoma (B-12/RR 11) 12-2: ; Up Next: ; TV: / Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the numbers it’s:
- Ohio St (B-10/RR 2) 13-1: Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the numbers it’s:
- Georgia (SEC/RR 3) 11-3: ; Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Texas (B-12/RR 9) 10-4: ; Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- LSU (SEC/RR 6) 10-3: ; Up Next: ; TV: Favorite: SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Kentucky (SEC/RR 32) 10-3: ; Up Next: ; TV: / Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers:
- Florida (SEC/RR 15) 10-3: ; Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Washington (P-12/RR 22) 10-4: ; Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers:
- Washington State (P-12/RR 47) 11-2: ; Up Next: ; TV: / Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Michigan (B-10/RR 18) 10-3: ; Up Next: ; TV: Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Syracuse (ACC RR 59) 10-3: ; Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Texas A&M (SEC/RR 13) 9-4; UP Next: TV: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Penn State (B-10/RR 12) 9-4: ; Up Next ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Northwestern (B-10/RR 47) 9-5 Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Utah (P-12/RR 37) 9-5: , Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Stanford (P-12/RR 21) 9-4; Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Oregon (P-12/RR 19) 9-4: ; Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Iowa (B-10 RR 43) 9-4: ; Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- NC State (ACC/RR 39) 9-4: ; Up Next:; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Wisconsin (B-10/RR 33) 8-5: ; UP Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Auburn SEC/RR 11) 8-5: Up Next:; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- West Virginia (B-12/RR 40) 8-5: ; Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
Sully’s Final Top 20 Group of 5’s
- Central Florida* (AAC/RR 65.3) 12-1: ; Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Fresno State* (MWC/RR 83.8) 12-2: ; Up Next: TV: ; Favorite: SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Cincinnati** (AAC/RR 63.0) 11-2: Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Appalachian State (SBC/RR 110.0) 11-2: ; Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Army (IND/RR 117.8) 11-2; ; Up Next: ; TV: Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Utah State* (MWC/RR 101.8) 11-2: ; Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Boise State (MWC/RR 61.5) 10-3: ; Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite:
- UAB (C-USA/RR 95) 11-3: ; Up Next: ; TV: / Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Troy* (SBC/RR 102.3) 11-3-2: BYE Week; Up Next: @ South Alabama 2-5 (Tuesday); TV: Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Georgia Southern (SBC/RR 89.3) 10-3: ; Up Next: TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Buffalo* (MAC/RR 121.5) 10-4: ; Up Next: ; TV; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Ohio (MAC/RR 108.3) 9-4: Up Next: ; TV:; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Marshall (C-USA/RR 71.8) 9-4: ; Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- North Texas* (C-USA/RR 103.3) 9-4: ; Up Next: ; TV: Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Florida International (C-USA/ RR 88.3) 9-4: ;Up Next: ; TV: Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Temple* (AAC/RR 84.5) 8-5: ; Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ;SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Memphis (AAC/RR 70.5) 8-5: ; Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ;SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Houston* (AAC/RR 66.5) 8-5: ; Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Nevada (MWC/RR 95.3) 8-5: ; Up Next: ; TV: ; Favorite: ; SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s:
- Northern Illinois (MAC/RR 71.8) 4-3: ; Up Next: ; TV: Favorite: SCFP Says by the Numbers it’s: * Indicates that the ranked team has beaten a Power 5 Opponent!
Sully’s FCS’ Final Top 10
- North Dakota State (MVFC) 15-0; ; Up Next:
- Eastern Washington (B-Sky) 12-3: Up Next:
- South Dakota State (MVFC) 10-3: ; Up Next:
- Maine (CAA) 9-4: ; Up Next:
- Kennesaw State (BSC) 11-2: Up Next:
- Weber State (B-SKY) 10-2: Up Next:
- Wofford (SoCon) 9-4
- UC Davis (B-SKY) 10-2: ; Up Next: @ Montana 2-4
- Colgate (Patriot League) 10-2: Up Next:
- James Madison (CAA) 9-4; Up Next:
SCFP Week 19 Segment Three:
Wake Forest 37 Memphis 34
Rushing Yards: Memphis 207 to Wake’s 201
Passing Yards: Wake 328 to Memphis’ 171
Total Yards: Wake 529 to Memphis’ 378
Turnovers: Memphis & Wake 1 apiece
Third Down Conversions: Memphis 6/16 Wake 6/19
Army 70 Houston 14
Rushing Yards: Army 507 to Houston’s 87
Passing Yards: Houston 230 to Army’s 85
Total Yards: Army 592 to Houston’s 317
Turnovers: Army 1 Houston 2
Third Down Conversions: Army 7/7 Houston 3/13
The AAC lost both of their games
- Memphis, who won the West Division in the AAC, lost to the ACC’s, Wake Forest, 37-34, a 5th place finisher in the ACC’s Atlantic Division
- Memphis did what it is becoming known for, losing sizable leads, the Tigers led by 18, 28-10, in the 2nd Quarter.
- They built a 17-point lead vs UCF in the AAC Championship game, only to lose, 58-41, ironically by 17!
- Memphis scored to regain the lead, 34-30, with 1:15 to play, then allowed Wake to score & take a 37-34 lead with 34 seconds left to play.
- Memphis then drove the length of the field only to miss a 41-yard FG as time expired.
- Wake Finished 7-6 overall and tied for 5th with FSU in the Atlantic Division @ 3-5
- Houston, widely regard as one of the most talented teams in the American, was annihilated by Army, 70-14, an Independent
- Houston finished the 2018 campaign tied for 1st in the West Division of the AAC with Memphis @ 5-3, the Cougars (Houston) lost their head to head with the Tigers (Memphis), 52-31, allowing Memphis to represent the West in the AAC Championship game vs Central Florida (UCF)
- Army finished the season, a remarkable, 11-2, losing their opener to Duke, 34-14 and in overtime to OU, 28-21
- However, it should be noted, the Black Knight played only 2 P5’s teams and lost both times!
The MAC vs SBC & C-USA vs MWC
Troy 42 vs Buffalo 32
Rushing Yards: Troy 113 to Buffalo’s 102
Passing Yards: Troy 320 to Buffalo’s 274
Total Yards: Troy 433 to Buffalo’s 374
Turnovers: Troy 1 Buffalo 4
Third Down Conversions: Troy 9/16 Buffalo 5/12
Louisiana Tech 31 Hawaii 14
Rushing Yards: La Tech 168 to Hawaii’s 58
Passing Yards: La Tech 285 to Hawaii’s 168
Total Yards: La Tech’s 453 to Hawaii’s 226
Turnovers: Hawaii & La Tech had 3 apiece
Third Down Conversions: La Tech 6/13 Hawaii 2/14
Some Facts about these games
- Buffalo won the East Division of the Mid-American only to lose the Mac Championship by a single point, 30-29, to Northern Illinois
- The Bulls finished the season 10-4
- Troy finished tied for the East Division of the Sun Belt at 7-1, but lost the Head to Head to App. State, 21-10, in Boone, NC
- Troy finished the season @ 10-3
- Hawaii finished tied for 2nd in the Mountain West, West Division at 5-3, Yet it should be noted the Rainbow Warriors beat only 1 team w/ a winning record (San Diego State 31-30)
- Louisiana finished 2nd in the West Division of C-USA with a 5-3 record, tied with 2 other teams, North Texas (29-27 Win) & Southern Miss (21-20 Loss)
- La Tech played a very good Non-Conference schedule, losing to LSU, 38-21 & Mississippi State, 45-3, finishing 2018 season with an 8-5 record!
Use Sully’s College Football Page to predict the outcomes of the remaining games!
To review the remaining bowl games, simply right click on the address provided below and then add the teams you would like to compare. Iowa vs Wisconsin will come up … simply drop the menu bar and select the game or teams you would like to review.
The site looks at these matchups in 7 different categories and provides 8 results. It analyzes Red Zone in two ways, scores (TD’s & FG’s) and then just TD’s). Essentially, what the algorithm does is take Wisconsin total offense and adds it to Iowa’s total defense, gets a total, and then divides it by 2 to get a mean. It repeats the process by taking Iowa’s offense and adding it to Wisconsin defense , gets a second total, and then divides it by 2 to get a second mean. The higher number gets the point (except with Turnovers, there the lower number gets the point)! In the Wisconsin/Iowa game the site now predicts that Iowa would win the game (The Badgers beat the Hawks, 28-17, on 9/22/2018). Yet, based on the respective teams play since that game, the Site now predicts an Iowa win!
Check out out the remaining games or any match-up you would like to view. You can also go to Sullyscollegefootballpage.com and see many other features! Enjoy the games!
The 1st chart identifies conferences, games vs other conferences and the number of total games played through the 22nd of December.
The 2nd Chart depicts a conference’s record and how they did against a respective conference through the 22nd!
The 3rd Chart shows the best winning percentage among the 10 conferences & 3 Independants from the 15th through the 22nd of December!
The Conferences: AAC (American Athletic Conference); AAC (Atlantic Coast Conference); B10 (Big Ten Conference), B12 (Big-12); C-USA (Conference USA); IND (Independents); MAC (Mid-American Conference), MWC (Mountain West Conference), P12 (PAC 12); SEC (Southeastern Conference); SBC (Sun Belt Conference)!
Bowl History: The Cotton Bowl was first played in 1937 and has been played annually since its inaugural year! The Bowl was once one of the four major bowls (Sugar, Orange & Rose) today it is one of 6 bowls that house the CFP semi finals and the next best (arguably) 8 teams. The Cotton Bowl is paired with the Orange Bowl when housing a CFP Semi Final. The Rose Bowl is with the Sugar Bowl and the Peach Bowl is paired with the Fiesta Bowl. This year the Cotton Bowl will host a Semi Final! The first game played in this series took place on January 1, 1937, 16th ranked TCU beat a 20th ranked Marquette, 16-6! Last year’s game (2017 Season) was played between USC & Ohio State, the Bucks won 24-7!
Teams: Clemson; Conference Affiliation: ACC; Overall Record 13-0, Conference Record 9-0, vs Notre Dame: Conference Affiliation: Independent; Overall Record 12-0
Bowl Location: Arlington, Texas … played @ Cowboy Stadium , the seating capacity @ the facility is 80,000.
Day, Date & Time: Saturday, 12/29/2018 @ 3:00 p.m.
Best Win(s): Clemson beat Texas A&M 28-26, & Syracuse 27-23; ND beat Michigan 24-17 & Syracuse 36-3!
Worst Losses: Both Teams are undefeated
Common Opponents: Pitt, Wake Forest, Syracuse, & Florida State; Clemson beat Pitt, 42-10, Syracuse, 27-23, Wake, 63-3, & FSU, 59-10; The Irish beat Pitt 19-14, Syracuse 36-3; Wake 56-27, & FSU 42-13!
Vegas Hotsheets Favorite: Clemson -11 (Opening Line)
Offensive Team Data: Clemson; Total Yards, 528 YPG; Passing Yards, 276 YPG; Rushing Yards, 252 YPG; Scoring Average, 45 PPG, Turnovers, 1.46 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 41.4%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 92% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 77%
Offensive Team Data: Notre Dame; Total Yards, 456G; Passing Yards 266 YPG; Rushing Yards, 190 YPG; Scoring Average 34 PPG, Turnovers, 1.25 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 43.8%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 88% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 64%
Defensive Team Data: Clemson; Total Yards, 294 YPG; Passing Yards, 192 YPG; Rushing Yards, 101 YPG; Scoring Average, 14 PPG, Turnovers, 1.31 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Stop’s, 28.8%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 76% & Percentage of TD’s allowed in Red Zone, 44%
Defensive Team Data: Notre Dame ; Total Yards, 332 YPG; Passing Yards, 198 YPG; Rushing Yards, 134 YPG; Scoring Average, 17 PPG, Turnovers, 1.67 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Stop’s, 37.8%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 79% & Percentage of TD’s allowed in Red Zone, 57%
Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Clemson’s total yards on offense, add it to what ND gives up on defense, … get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking ND’s total offense, add it to what Clemson gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2 to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed! That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:
Total Yards Advantage: Clemson 430 to 375
Passing Yards Advantage: Clemson 237 to 229
Rushing Yard Advantage: Clemson 193 to 145.5
Scoring Advantage: Clemson 31 to 24
Turnovers Advantage: Notre Dame 1.28 to 1.57
3rd Down Conversions Advantage: Clemson 39.6% to 36.3%
Red Zone All Scores Advantage: Clemson 85.5% to 82%
Red Zone TD’s Only Advantage: Clemson 67% to 54%
The Game Simulator Says: Clemson wins 7 of the 8 categories evaluated
Individuals to Watch: Clemson: QB Trevor Lawrence, RB Travis Etienne, DE Clelin Ferrell, & DT Dexter Lawrence. ND QB Ian Book, RB Dexter Williams, TE Alize Mack; & LB Te’Von Coney
Sully Says: Clemson wins … Unless the Tigers turn the ball over. The Irish have one chance in this game; win the turnover battle. If they do, they are good enough to win the game! That Said: Clemson 31 ND 24!
10. Air Force 2-5 @ Army 6-2:
- The second leg of the C & C Trophy
- Air Force has beaten Navy, 35-7
- Last year, Army ended a 4 year losing streak to AF, 21-0
- TV: 11:00 CBSSN Favorite: Army -7
- SCFP Says: Army wins 5 to 3 by the numbers
9. Iowa 6-2 / 3-2 @ Purdue 4-4 / 3-2:
- Iowa has won 6 of the last 8 meetings
- Last year the Boilers ended their 4 game losing streak, 24-15
- An Iowa win sets up a showdown with NW in Iowa City for the West Division Championship
- TV: 2:30 ESPN 2 Favorite: Purdue -1.5
- SCFP Says: Iowa wins 7 to 1 by the numbers
8. Washington State 7-1 / 4-1 @ California 5-3 / 2-3:
- Cal just beat Washington, 12-10 last Saturday
- If Cal wins this game, the P-12 is out of the CFP
- The Golden Bears have won 11 of the 13 games in the series
- TV: 9:45 ESPN Favorite: WSU -11.5
- SCFP Says: WSU wins 5 to 3 by the numbers
7. Michigan State 5-3 / 3-2 @ Maryland 5-3 / 3-2:
- The Home team has won 3 of the 4 games played as B-10 opponents
- The Spartans lead the series 3 to 1
- The winning team becomes bowl eligible
- TV: 11:00 ESPN 2 Favorite: MSU -3
- SCFP Says: Maryland wins 7 to 1 by the numbers
6. Notre Dame 8-0 @ Northwestern 5-3:
- This is their 49th meeting, but have played only once since 1995
- ND leads the series, 37-9-2, the Irish had won 14 straight, but have lost the last 2 games
- NW leads the West Division of the B-10 with a 5-1 record
- TV: 6:15 ESPN Favorite: ND -7
- SCFP Says: It’s the Irish, 7 to 1 by the numbers
5. Oklahoma 7-1 @ Texas Tech 5-3:
- Last time in Lubbuck, the teams set an NCAA record with 1,708 yards of combined offense, OU won, 66-59
- Ruffin McNeill, the new DC @ OU has a huge task this week, facing the high octane Red Raiders’ offense
- Tech has lost 7 of the last 8 games, including 6 in a row
- TV: 7:00 ABC Favorite: OU -10.5
- SCFP Says: T-Tech wins 5 to 3 by the numbers
4. West Virginia 7-1 / 4-1 @ Texas 6-2 / 4-1:
- The Horns have won 3 of the last 5 games
- A win here will put Texas in the driver’s seat to reach the B-12 championship game, as they would have the tie-breaker with both OU & WV
- Last time in Austin (2016), the Mountaineers won, 24-20
- TV: 2:30 FOX Favorite: Texas -2.5
- SCFP Says: It’s WV 6 to 3
3. Penn State 6-2 / 3-2 @ Michigan 7-1 / 5-0:
- The Lions broke the Wolverines 3 game win streak last year, 42-13
- PSU can knock the Wolves out of the CFP with a win in the ‘Big House’
- If NW beats ND & a Michigan win … will go along way to getting MU to the CFP, as Michigan has beaten NW, 20-17, @ Ryan Field!
- TV: 2:45 ESPN Favorite: Michigan -10
- SCFP Says: Michigan by the numbers, 6 to 3
2. Georgia 7-1 /5-1 @ Kentucky 7-1 / 51:
- Georgia has won 8 straight in the series
- The Wildcats last beat the Dawgs in 2006, 24-20
- The winner of this game wins the East Division
- TV: 2:30 CBS Favorite: Georgia -10
- SCFP Says: Georgia wins the Stat game, 5 to 3
1. Alabama 8-0 / 5-0 @ LSU 7-1 / 4-1:
- Bama has won 7 in a row in this series
- If LSU wins, it is likely the SEC will get 2 teams into the CFP
- Bama has beaten only one ranked team, Texas A&M, 45-23, while LSU has beaten 6 teams with winning records (Miami, Auburn, Georgia, La Tech, Ole Miss, Mississippi State)
- TV: 7:00 CBS Favorite: Bama -14
- SCFP Says: It’s the Tide 6 to 2
Segment 8: Ten Best Games in Week Nine
- Texas 6-1 / 4-0 @ Oklahoma State 4-3 / 1-3:
- OSU is 8-24 in this series, but has won 6 of the last 8
- OSU has won 3 straight, including the last time the ‘Horns’ were @ OSU, 49-31
- Texas has to travel to Texas Tech on 11/10 & host WV on 11/3
- TV:7:00 ABC; Favorite: Texas -1.5
- SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s OK State in 6 of the 8 assessed categories
- Texas Tech 5-2 / 3-1 @ Iowa State 3-3 / 2-2 :
- Last Year ISU won for the 2nd straight year, 31-13, for the 1st time in 16 years
- Texas Tech is 11-5 in the series and 3-3 in Ames
- Tech has one B-12 loss to WV, 48-34, and still has OU & Texas to play both @ Home
- TV:11:00 ESPN 2; Favorite: ISU -4.5
- SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s Texas Tech 7-to 2, a Tie in Red Zone Scores
- Navy 3-4 / 1-3 vs Notre Dame 7-0 (San Diego in SDCCU Stadium):
- This begins ND’s travel odyssey, 740 00 miles in 5 weeks
- These teams have played every year since 1927, ND leads 77-13-1
- ND is in the middle of a CFP Hunt and Navy is the 1st of 5 hurtles
- TV:7:00 CBS; Favorite: ND -21.5
- SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s the Irish in 5 of the 8 assessed categories
- South Florida 7-0 / 3-0 @ Houston 6-1 / 3-0:
- USF won the 1st 2 meetings, but has now dropped 3 in a row
- Last the Cougars ended USF nation leading win streak of 12 straight, 28-25
- After Houston, USF still will have to play @ Temple & Cincy and @ Home vs UCF
- TV:2:30 ABC; Favorite: Houston -8.5
- SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s Houston in 6 of the 8 assessed categories
- Iowa 6-1 / 3-1 @ Penn State 5-2 / 2-2:
- PSU is still alive mathematically to win the East, but on life support
- Iowa needs help with Wisconsin to win the West
- Iowa is @ PSU, @ Purdue, and then host NW, the next 3 weeks are critical
- TV:2:30 ESPN; Favorite: Penn State -5.5
- SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s Iowa in 5 of the 8 assessed categories
- Wisconsin 5-2 / 3-1 @ Northwestern 4-3 / 4-1:
- Northwestern’s 1 loss in the B-10 is to Michigan, 20-17
- Wisconsin’s lone loss in the B-10 is also to Michigan, 38-13
- The Badgers have a difficult road to travel, @ MW, @ PSU, & @ Purdue
- TV:11:00 Fox; Favorite: Wisconsin -6.5
- SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s Wisconsin in 7 of the 8 assessed categories
- Kentucky 6-1 / 4-1 @ Missouri 4-3 /0-3:
- Last time in Columbia, Kentucky built a 35-7 lead & won 35-21
- That said, Mizzou is 2-1 @ home vs the Wildcats
- After Missouri Kentucky has Georgia @ Home and are @ Tennessee
- If they win out they will represent the East in the SEC Championship
- TV:3:00 SEC Network; Favorite: Missouri -6.5
- SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s Kentucky in 5 of the 8 assessed categories
- Clemson 7-0 / 4-0 @ Florida State 4-3 / 2-3:
- The Seminoles are 20-11 all-time vs the Tigers
- Clemson has won the last 3 games, 2 of the 3 were at Clemson Memorial Stadium
- The Tigers have the tie breaker with NC State, only remaining threat is BC in the Atlantic Division (BC has 1 loss in conference play
- TV:11:00 ABC; Favorite: Clemson -15.0
- SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s Clemson 8 to 1, a statistical tie in Red Zone TD’s
- Washington State 6-1 / 3-1 @ Stanford 5-2 / 3-1:
- Stanford is still very much alive for the North Division & PAC Title
- Washington State is in a similar P-12 situation & has a slim shot at the CFP
- Washington State is the only team in the P-12 with one loss, a controversial loss to USC, 39-36
- TV:6:00 PAC 12 Network; Favorite: Stanford -3.0
- SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s WSU 5 to 4 in the assessed categories
- Georgia 6-1 / 4-1 vs Florida 6-1 / 4-1 (Jacksonville FL):
- Georgia ended a three-game skid last year, with a Gator stomp, 42-7
- 23rd straight the game is being played in Jacksonville
- Since both teams have a loss, they will need to win out to have a shot @ the CFP
- TV:2:30 CBS; Favorite: Georgia -6.5
- SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s Georgia in 6 of the 8 assessed Categories
- Alabama (SEC/RR 1) 8-0:Beat Tennessee 58-21 Up Next: BYE Week; TV: / Favorite:
- Clemson (ACC/RR 7) 7-0:Beat NC State, 41-7; Up Next: @ Florida State 4-3; TV: 11:00 ABC / Favorite: Clemson -15; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Clemson 8 to 1
- Notre Dame (IND/RR 10) 7-0:BYE Week; Up Next: vs Navy 2-5 @ San Diego CCU Stadium TV: 7:00 / CBS / Favorite: -21.5;SCFP Says by the Numbers: ND 5 to 3
- LSU (SEC/RR 6) 7-1:Beat Miss St., 19-3; Up Next: Bye Week; TV: Favorite:
- Michigan (B-10/RR 18) 7-1:Beat Michigan State, 21-7; Up Next: BYE Week; TV: Favorite:
- Georgia (SEC/RR 3) 6-1: BYE Week; Up Next:vs Florida 6-1 @ Jacksonville; TV: 2:30 CBS Favorite: Georgia -6.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Georgia 6-2
- Texas (B-12/RR 9) 6-1:BYE Week; Up Next: @ Oklahoma State 4-3; TV: 7:00 ABC; Favorite: Texas -1.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Oklahoma State 6 to 2
- Oklahoma (B-12/RR 11) 6-1:Beat TCU, 52-27; Up Next: @ Home vs Kansas State, 3-4; TV: 1:30 Fox / Favorite: Oklahoma -22; SCFP Says by the Numbers: OU 7 to 1
- Kentucky (SEC/RR 32) 6-1:Beat Vanderbilt, 14-7; Up Next: @ Missouri 4-3; TV: 3:00 SEC Network / Favorite: Missouri -6.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Kentucky 5 to 3
- Washington State (P-12/RR 47) 6-1: Beat Oregon. 34-20; Up Next: @ Stanford 5-2; TV: 6:00 TBD / Favorite: Stanford -3; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Washington State 5-4
- Ohio St (B-10/RR 2)7-1: Lost to Purdue 49-20 Up Next: BYE Week; TV: Favorite:
- Florida (SEC/RR 15) 6-1:BYE Week; Up Next: vs Georgia 6-1 @ Jacksonville; TV: 2:30 CBS Favorite: Georgia -6.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Georgia 6-2
- Iowa (B-10/RR 43) 6-1:Beat Maryland, 23-0 Up Next: @ Penn State 5-2; TV: 2:30 ESPN; Favorite: PSU -5.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Iowa wins 5-3
- Texas A&M (SEC/RR 13) 5-2:BYE Week; UP Next: @ Mississippi State 4-3; TV: 6:00 ESPN; Favorite: Mississippi State -2.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Texas A&M 5-3
- West Virginia (B-12/RR 40) 5-1:BYE Week; Up Next: # Home vs Baylor 4-3; TV: 6:00 FS1 (Thursday); Favorite: West Virginia -14; SCFP Says by the Numbers: A Statistical Tie 4 to 4
- Utah (P-12/RR 37) 5-2: Beat USC, 41-28, Up Next: @ UCLA 2-5; TV: 9:30 ESPN (Friday); Favorite: Utah -10.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Utah 6-2
- Wisconsin (B-10/RR 36) 5-2: Beat Illinois, 49-20; UP Next:@ Northwestern 4-3; TV: 11:00 TBD; Favorite: Wisconsin -6.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Wisconsin 7-1
- Texas Tech (B-12/RR 48) 5-2: Beat Kansas, 48-16; Up Next: @ Iowa State, 3-3; TV: 11:00 ESPN 2; Favorite: Iowa State -4.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Texas Tech 7-2
- Miami (ACC/RR 17) 5-2:BYE Week; Up Next: @ Boston College 5-2; TV: 6:00 ESPN (Friday) Favorite: Miami -1.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Miami 5-3
- Oregon (P-12/RR 19) 5-2:Lost Washington State, 34-20; Up Next:@ Arizona 3-5; TV: 9:30 ESPN; Favorite: Oregon -9.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Oregon 7-1
- Washington (P-12/RR 22) 6-2: Beat Colorado, 27-13 in OT; Up Next:@ California, 4-3; TV: 3:30 TBD; Favorite: Washington -10.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Washington 6-2
- NC State (ACC/RR 39) 5-1:Lost to Clemson, 41-7; Up Next:@ Syracuse 5-2; TV: 6:00 ESPN 2; Favorite: Syracuse -2.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: NC State 6-4
- Syracuse (ACC RR 59) 5-2: Beat UNC, 40-37 in OT; Up Next:@ Home vs NC State 5-1; TV:6:00 ESPN 2; Favorite: Syracuse -2.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: NC State 6-4
- Penn State (B-10 RR 12) 5-2: Beat Indiana 33-28; Up Next:@ Home vs Iowa 6-1; TV: 2:30 ESPN; Favorite: PSU -5.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Iowa wins 5-3;
- Boston College (B-12/RR 65) 5-2:BYE Week; Up Next: @ Home vs Miami 5-2; TV: 6:00 ESPN (Friday) Favorite: Miami -1.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Miami 5-3
Current Undefeated Teams in the FBS
8. Cincinnati 6-0 (AAC): Cincy is one of the best kept secrets in 2018 and their open day victory over UCLA, 26-17, has long ago been dismissed as the Bruins have struggled mightily this season!! The fact is they are the 2nd best recruiting program in the Group of 5. Only Boise State has recruited better than the Bearcats the past four years. This is a composite rank from three recruiting site ESPN, 247 Sports, & Rivals! Cincinnati could go down on Saturday as the lace em up vs Temple, as they are a three and a half point Dog to the Owls! It is unlikely that the Bearcats will finish unbeaten, if they survive Temple, they still have Navy & USF @ Home and UCF on the Road. Cincy is currently ranked 20th in the AP Poll & 21st by the Coaches Poll and there is simply no way for them to play themselves into the top 4, however, if the win out, they will have played themselves into a New Years 6 Bowl!
7. South Florida 6-0 (AAC): The Bulls have the toughest schedule of the three remaining AAC undefeated teams! They have road games vs Houston, Cincy, & Temple all capable of pulling the upset in their home arenas! If that is not enough of a gauntlet, in their season finale, the Bulls welcome in-state power & rival, UCF to Raymond James Stadium! South Florida has beaten 2 P5’s Georgia Tech, 49-38 & Illinois, 25-19. Neither of these teams (GT is 3-4 & Illini are 3-3) currently have a winning record and both will struggle to make a bowl game in 2018!
The Bulls are currently ranked 21st in the AP Poll and 20th in the Coaches Poll! It is simply not possible for USF to play their way into the Top 4 in the remaining weeks of the 2018 season. Yet, like Cincy, they can play their way into a New Year’s 6 Bowl by winning out!
6. Central Florida 6-0 (AAC): The Knights are the best example why a G5 team will not get in to to the CFP. They are currently ranked 10th in the AP Poll in week 8, as they were in week 7! Four Top 10 teams lost, Georgia to LSU, 36-16, West Virginia to Iowa State, 30-14, Penn State to Michigan State, 21-17 & Washington to Oregon in OT, 30-27. So why is UCF still 10? Three one loss Power 5 teams, LSU, Michigan, & Texas moved right past the Knights into the Top Ten and Georgia, who lost, stayed in front of them!
The reality, the perception, the truth, or pick one, even for the AAC, which is widely regarded as the best G5 Conference, is that their schedules are not as good and therefore they are less deserving! The best any AAC team can hope for is a New Year’s 6 Bowl Game! Last year, UCF went undefeated (14-0) and beat Auburn (who beat both CFP finalist. Bama, 26-14 & Georgia, 40-17) in the Peach Bowl, 34-27.
SCFP has advocated for a few years now, that the G5 Conferences should have a play-off similar to the FCS Tournament. A Final Four would cost them, as they would lose access to the bowl revenue, a 16 to 20 teams play-off would be required! Either way, these 3 undefeated AAC teams are not getting in the CFP!
5. NC State 5-0 (ACC): The Wolfpack was scheduled to play West Virginia on Sept. 15, but weather forced the game’s cancellation. Had that game been played, NC State may not be appearing in this report! If you look at their wins, James Madison, 24-13, Georgia State, 41-7, @ Marshall, 37-20, Virginia, 35-21, & BC, 28-23, none of those teams are currently ranked by the AP or coaches polls! However, SCFP page has BC (5-2) ranked 24th after a sound pounding of Louisville, 38-20 this past week end!
That said, this can all change this week end as NC State heads south to South Carolina & Clemson. The last 3 games have been competitive,yet Clemson has won all three, 56-41 in 2015, 24-17 in OT, & 38-31 in 2017! A loss here and NC State is out of the CFP, a win and they raise their stock, but even if they win and then win out, no guarantees! Even an undefeated NC State would be at risk if LSU beats Bama (would they get in in front of a one lost Alabama, undefeated, Big 10 Champ OSU and an Undefeated ND)? NC State needs to win out and have Bama lose a second game or OSU / ND lose a game. That scenario is more likely, then the Wolfpack beating the Tigers on Saturday in Death Valley. NC Stat’s loss on Saturday will knock them out of the CFP and New Year’s 6 Bowl games!
4. Notre Dame 7-0 (IND): As we lined up to start the 2018 season, I thought the Irish would win 9 games and 10 with a bowl win. Unlike others, who think the remaining teams on ND’s schedule are not up to the task of taking down the Irish, I look at rosters and form a completely different perspective. FSU and USC have better rosters than ND, SC is the 5th best recruiting program in the country and Florida State is 6th, while the Irish are 10th!. So… while the Trojans are young & the Seminoles have a weak O-line, neither team lacks talent. The ND game allows FSU an opportunity to regain some of their pride and however unlikely, SC is still in the hunt for a P-12 title and at least, getting in the CFP conversation. SC will see a win over ND as a step in restoring some of their & P-12 tarnished image! These teams (FSU & USC) will line up and get after it vs ND!
That said, ND is quite capable of taking care of both the Seminoles & the Trojans, I think their biggest challenge is their own Athletic Director. Starting Oct. 27th, the Irish will begin a marathon of cross country (literally) travel. Playing Navy in San Diego, then head to Chicago to take on NW, back to South Bend for FSU, then head to Yankee Stadium to play Syracuse, and finally out to LA to play SC, all in a five week period! That much travel for a college football team is ridiculous and the Irish will lose at least one and maybe two before the end of the season!
The Irish will play their way into a New Year’s Six bowl, but sorry to predict, they will not make the CFP! You will hear a lot about this travel in the coming weeks and no; Notre Dame should not join a conference, how about scheduling with some common sense!
3. Ohio State 7-0 (B-10): The Bucks are the second most talented team in college football, behind only Alabama! So the question is why is a team this talented allowing so many big plays?
- In the Oregon State game, Trevor Bradford had a 49 yard TD pass and Artavis Pierce ran 80 yards for a TD and the 76 yards for another TD! Where is the speed in OSU’s secondary?
- In the TCU game, Darius Anderson ran 93 yards for a TD
- In the PSU game, KJ Hamier caught a short pass over the middle and outran the OSU defenders for 93 yard scoring play!
OSU has a trap game this week vs Purdue in West Lafayette. The Boilers had a disappointing start to the season, losing 3 in a row @ home to start the season, but have righted the ship winning their last three outings. Purdue can sustain drives and has the most explosive player in the B-10 in Rondale Morris! They have also taking on Jeff Brahm’s no nonsense personality and play with an edge! The Bucks also travel to East Lancing to take on MSU and then have that Team from “up north” who will come a calling on 11/24/18! Nick Bosa announced today he will not be returning to his team and has left school to prepare himself for the NFL draft!
It is likely that OSU will lose 1 game along the way and so the question becomes, can a one loss B-10 champ get into the CFP? Remember, the B-10 Champ has been shut out of the CFP the past 2 years! Let the intrigue begin in West Lafayette!
2. Clemson 6-0 (ACC): Since the Texas a&m game, Clemson has recommitted to running the football. At College Station, the Tigers were held to 115 yards rushing. Since then a much different story, 309 rushing yards vs Georgia Southern, 248 rushing yards vs Georgia Tech, 293 against Syracuse, and 471 vs Wake Forest! They have determined the best way to support their freshman QB, Trevor Lawrence, is to run the ball! Clemson’s biggest challenge may be this week vs an undefeated NC State, although the do have rivalry games vs Florida State (an underachieving but very talented team) and against in-state foe, South Carolina!
Clemson has the best defensive line in the country, is currently ranked 3rd in the nation in rush defense, allowing 261.2 YPG, and 6th in the country in pass defense, @ 152.8 YPG! Their schedule is favorable as 4 of their remaining 6 games are at home, and the two road games are @ FSU and BC, two good opponents that could pull off the upset. That fact will likely help the coaches ensure a good week of practice and focus on game day! That said, because to their talent on defense, their new found commitment to their running game, and their schedule; Clemson is the 2nd most likely club to reach the CPF!
1. Alabama 7-0 (SEC): The Tide has left little doubt but that they are the best team in college football in 2018. However, they are not unbeatable and not guaranteed a spot in the CFP because of the jersey they wear on Saturday’s! Like everybody else they have to perform! Here are some of the facts as to why we say their the best team in 2018!
- 2nd best in the country on 3rd down conversions a, 57% chance they will convert!
- 4th in the nation is completion percentage, a 71% chance they will complete every pass they attempt!
- Tied for 2nd in Defensive Touchdowns, 4 INT’s returned for TD’s
- Passes Intercepted by Opponents, 2nd in the land, the Tide has thrown 1 INT!
- Passing Offense, 5th best in the country, 350.3 YPG!
- Scoring Defense, 7th in the nation, allowing 15.1 PPG!
- Scoring Offense, 1st in the nation, scoring 53. 6 PPG!
- Team Passing Efficiency, 1st in the country, a 27 to 1 ratio (TD’s to INT’s)
- Total Offense, 1st in the country, 567 YPG
- Turnover Margin, 4th in the land, a plus 11 or a 1.57 advantage in each game!
- Winning Percentage, Tied for 1st @ 1.000%
Their are several other statistical categories where Bama is in the top 25, put simply, they have the best players, the best coach in college football, and exhibit the best mental focus of any team in the country … meaning, when things go sideways, they step up … they do not point fingers! The biggest threat to the Tide is LSU and even if they lose that game, a one lost Alabama is likely to get in unless; ND, Ohio State, Clemson are all unbeaten. Even then, the debate would rage about ” Best Team” should get in over a conference champ or an undefeated Independent! Bama is the most likely of the current undefeated teams to get the CFP!