Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

10 Best Games WeeK Ten

10. Air Force 2-5 @ Army 6-2:

  • The second leg of the C & C Trophy
  • Air Force has beaten Navy, 35-7
  • Last year, Army ended a 4 year losing streak to AF, 21-0
  • TV: 11:00 CBSSN Favorite: Army -7
  • SCFP Says: Army wins 5 to 3 by the numbers

9.  Iowa 6-2 / 3-2 @ Purdue 4-4 / 3-2:

  • Iowa has won 6 of the last 8 meetings
  • Last year the Boilers ended their 4 game losing streak, 24-15
  • An Iowa win sets up a showdown with NW in Iowa City for the West Division Championship
  • TV: 2:30 ESPN 2 Favorite: Purdue -1.5
  • SCFP Says: Iowa wins 7 to 1 by the numbers

8. Washington State 7-1 / 4-1 @ California 5-3 / 2-3:

  • Cal just beat Washington, 12-10 last Saturday
  • If Cal wins this game, the P-12 is out of the CFP
  • The Golden Bears have won 11 of the 13 games in the series
  • TV: 9:45 ESPN Favorite: WSU -11.5
  • SCFP Says: WSU wins 5 to 3 by the numbers

7. Michigan State 5-3 / 3-2 @ Maryland 5-3 / 3-2:

  • The Home team has won 3 of the 4 games played as B-10 opponents
  • The Spartans lead the series 3 to 1
  • The winning team becomes bowl eligible
  • TV: 11:00 ESPN 2 Favorite: MSU -3
  • SCFP Says: Maryland wins 7 to 1 by the numbers

6. Notre Dame 8-0 @ Northwestern 5-3:

  • This is their 49th meeting, but have played only once since 1995
  • ND leads the series, 37-9-2, the Irish had won 14 straight, but have lost the last 2 games
  • NW leads the West Division of the B-10 with a 5-1 record
  • TV: 6:15 ESPN Favorite: ND -7
  • SCFP Says: It’s the Irish, 7 to 1 by the numbers

5. Oklahoma 7-1 @ Texas Tech 5-3:

  • Last time in Lubbuck, the teams set an NCAA record with 1,708 yards of combined offense, OU won, 66-59
  • Ruffin McNeill, the new DC @ OU has a huge task this week, facing the high octane Red Raiders’ offense
  • Tech has lost 7 of the last 8 games, including 6 in a row
  • TV: 7:00 ABC Favorite: OU -10.5
  • SCFP Says: T-Tech wins 5 to 3 by the numbers

4. West Virginia 7-1 / 4-1 @ Texas 6-2 / 4-1:

  • The Horns have won 3 of the last 5 games
  • A win here will put Texas in the driver’s seat to reach the B-12 championship game, as they would have the tie-breaker with both OU & WV
  • Last time in Austin (2016), the Mountaineers won, 24-20
  • TV: 2:30 FOX Favorite: Texas -2.5
  • SCFP Says: It’s WV 6 to 3

3. Penn State 6-2 / 3-2 @ Michigan 7-1 / 5-0:

  • The Lions broke the Wolverines 3 game win streak last year, 42-13
  • PSU can knock the Wolves out of the CFP with a win in the ‘Big House’
  • If NW beats ND & a Michigan win … will go along way to getting MU to the CFP, as Michigan has beaten NW, 20-17, @ Ryan Field!
  • TV: 2:45 ESPN Favorite: Michigan -10
  • SCFP Says: Michigan by the numbers, 6 to 3

2. Georgia 7-1 /5-1 @ Kentucky 7-1 / 51:

  • Georgia has won 8 straight in the series
  • The Wildcats last beat the Dawgs in 2006, 24-20
  • The winner of this game wins the East Division
  • TV: 2:30 CBS Favorite: Georgia -10
  • SCFP Says: Georgia wins the Stat game, 5 to 3

1. Alabama 8-0 / 5-0 @ LSU 7-1 / 4-1:

  • Bama has won 7 in a row in this series
  • If LSU wins, it is likely the SEC will get 2 teams into the CFP
  • Bama has beaten only one ranked team, Texas A&M, 45-23, while LSU has beaten 6 teams with winning records (Miami, Auburn, Georgia, La Tech, Ole Miss, Mississippi State)
  • TV: 7:00 CBS Favorite: Bama -14
  • SCFP Says: It’s the Tide 6 to 2

 

Posted in #1 Uncategorized |

Ten Best Games in Week Nine

Segment 8: Ten Best Games in Week Nine

 

  1. Texas 6-1 / 4-0 @ Oklahoma State 4-3 / 1-3:
  • OSU is 8-24 in this series, but has won 6 of the last 8
  • OSU has won 3 straight, including the last time the ‘Horns’ were @ OSU, 49-31
  • Texas has to travel to Texas Tech on 11/10 & host WV on 11/3
  • TV:7:00 ABC;  Favorite: Texas -1.5
  • SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s OK State in 6 of the 8 assessed categories
  1. Texas Tech 5-2 / 3-1 @ Iowa State 3-3 / 2-2 :
  • Last Year ISU won for the 2nd straight year, 31-13, for the 1st time in 16 years
  • Texas Tech is 11-5 in the series and 3-3 in Ames
  • Tech has one B-12 loss to WV, 48-34, and still has OU & Texas to play both @ Home
  • TV:11:00 ESPN 2;  Favorite: ISU -4.5
  • SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s Texas Tech 7-to 2, a Tie in Red Zone Scores
  1. Navy  3-4 / 1-3 vs Notre Dame 7-0 (San Diego in SDCCU Stadium):
  • This begins ND’s travel odyssey, 740 00 miles in 5 weeks
  • These teams have played every year since 1927, ND leads 77-13-1
  • ND is in the middle of a CFP Hunt and Navy is the 1st of 5 hurtles
  • TV:7:00 CBS;  Favorite: ND -21.5
  • SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s the Irish in 5 of the 8 assessed categories
  1. South Florida 7-0 / 3-0 @ Houston 6-1 / 3-0:
  • USF won the 1st 2 meetings, but has now dropped 3 in a row
  • Last the Cougars ended USF nation leading win streak of 12 straight, 28-25
  • After Houston, USF still will have to play @ Temple & Cincy and @ Home vs UCF
  • TV:2:30 ABC;  Favorite: Houston -8.5
  • SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s Houston in 6 of the 8 assessed categories
  1. Iowa 6-1 / 3-1 @ Penn State 5-2 / 2-2:
  • PSU is still alive mathematically to win the East, but on life support
  • Iowa needs help with Wisconsin to win the West
  • Iowa is @ PSU, @ Purdue, and then host NW, the next 3 weeks are critical
  • TV:2:30 ESPN;  Favorite: Penn State -5.5
  • SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s Iowa in 5 of the 8 assessed categories
  1. Wisconsin 5-2 / 3-1 @ Northwestern 4-3 / 4-1:
  • Northwestern’s 1 loss in the B-10 is to Michigan, 20-17
  • Wisconsin’s lone loss in the B-10 is also to Michigan, 38-13
  • The Badgers have a difficult road to travel, @ MW, @ PSU, & @ Purdue
  • TV:11:00 Fox;  Favorite: Wisconsin  -6.5
  • SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s Wisconsin in 7 of the 8 assessed categories
  1. Kentucky 6-1 / 4-1 @ Missouri 4-3 /0-3: 
  • Last time in Columbia, Kentucky built a 35-7 lead & won 35-21
  • That said, Mizzou is 2-1 @ home vs the Wildcats
  • After Missouri Kentucky has Georgia @ Home and are @ Tennessee
  • If they win out they will represent the East in the SEC Championship
  • TV:3:00 SEC Network;  Favorite: Missouri -6.5
  • SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s Kentucky in 5 of the 8 assessed categories
  1. Clemson 7-0 / 4-0 @ Florida State 4-3 / 2-3:
  • The Seminoles are 20-11 all-time vs the Tigers
  • Clemson has won the last 3 games, 2 of the 3 were at Clemson Memorial Stadium
  • The Tigers have the tie breaker with NC State, only remaining threat is BC in the Atlantic Division (BC has 1 loss in conference play
  • TV:11:00 ABC;  Favorite: Clemson  -15.0
  • SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s Clemson 8 to 1, a statistical tie in Red Zone TD’s
  1. Washington State 6-1 / 3-1 @ Stanford 5-2 / 3-1:
  • Stanford is still very much alive for the North Division & PAC Title
  • Washington State is in a similar P-12 situation & has a slim shot at the CFP
  • Washington State is the only team in the P-12 with one loss, a controversial loss to USC, 39-36
  • TV:6:00 PAC 12 Network;  Favorite: Stanford  -3.0
  • SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s WSU 5 to 4 in the assessed categories
  1. Georgia 6-1 / 4-1 vs Florida 6-1 / 4-1 (Jacksonville FL):
  • Georgia ended a three-game skid last year, with a Gator stomp, 42-7
  • 23rd straight the game is being played in Jacksonville
  • Since both teams have a loss, they will need to win out to have a shot @ the CFP
  • TV:2:30 CBS;  Favorite: Georgia  -6.5
  • SCFP Says by the Numbers: it’s Georgia in 6 of the 8 assessed Categories
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SCFP Top 25 Week 8

  1. Alabama (SEC/RR 1) 8-0:Beat Tennessee 58-21 Up Next: BYE Week; TV:  / Favorite: 
  2. Clemson (ACC/RR 7) 7-0:Beat NC State, 41-7; Up Next: @ Florida State 4-3; TV:  11:00 ABC / Favorite: Clemson -15; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Clemson 8 to 1
  3. Notre Dame (IND/RR 10) 7-0:BYE Week; Up Next: vs Navy 2-5 @ San Diego CCU Stadium TV: 7:00 / CBS / Favorite: -21.5;SCFP Says by the Numbers: ND 5 to 3
  4. LSU (SEC/RR 6) 7-1:Beat Miss St., 19-3; Up Next: Bye Week; TV:  Favorite: 
  5. Michigan (B-10/RR 18) 7-1:Beat Michigan State, 21-7; Up Next: BYE Week; TV: Favorite: 
  6. Georgia (SEC/RR 3) 6-1: BYE Week; Up Next:vs Florida 6-1 @ Jacksonville; TV: 2:30 CBS Favorite: Georgia -6.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Georgia 6-2
  7. Texas (B-12/RR 9) 6-1:BYE Week; Up Next: @ Oklahoma State 4-3; TV: 7:00 ABC; Favorite: Texas -1.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Oklahoma State 6 to 2
  8. Oklahoma (B-12/RR 11) 6-1:Beat TCU, 52-27; Up Next: @ Home vs Kansas State, 3-4; TV: 1:30 Fox / Favorite: Oklahoma -22; SCFP Says by the Numbers: OU 7 to 1
  9. Kentucky (SEC/RR 32) 6-1:Beat Vanderbilt, 14-7; Up Next: @ Missouri 4-3; TV: 3:00 SEC Network / Favorite: Missouri -6.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Kentucky 5 to 3
  10. Washington State (P-12/RR 47) 6-1: Beat Oregon. 34-20; Up Next: @ Stanford 5-2; TV: 6:00 TBD / Favorite: Stanford -3; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Washington State 5-4
  11. Ohio St (B-10/RR 2)7-1: Lost to Purdue 49-20 Up Next: BYE Week; TV: Favorite:
  12. Florida (SEC/RR 15) 6-1:BYE Week; Up Next: vs Georgia 6-1 @ Jacksonville; TV: 2:30 CBS Favorite: Georgia -6.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Georgia 6-2
  13. Iowa (B-10/RR 43) 6-1:Beat Maryland, 23-0 Up Next: @ Penn State 5-2; TV: 2:30 ESPN; Favorite: PSU -5.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Iowa wins 5-3
  14. Texas A&M (SEC/RR 13) 5-2:BYE Week; UP Next:  @ Mississippi State 4-3; TV: 6:00 ESPN; Favorite: Mississippi State -2.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Texas A&M 5-3
  15. West Virginia (B-12/RR 40) 5-1:BYE Week; Up Next: # Home vs Baylor 4-3; TV: 6:00 FS1 (Thursday); Favorite: West Virginia -14; SCFP Says by the Numbers: A Statistical Tie 4 to 4
  16. Utah (P-12/RR 37) 5-2: Beat USC, 41-28, Up Next: @ UCLA 2-5;  TV: 9:30 ESPN (Friday); Favorite: Utah -10.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Utah 6-2
  17. Wisconsin (B-10/RR 36) 5-2: Beat Illinois, 49-20; UP Next:@ Northwestern 4-3; TV: 11:00 TBD; Favorite: Wisconsin -6.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Wisconsin 7-1
  18. Texas Tech (B-12/RR 48) 5-2: Beat Kansas, 48-16; Up Next: @ Iowa State, 3-3; TV: 11:00 ESPN 2; Favorite: Iowa State -4.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Texas Tech 7-2
  19. Miami (ACC/RR 17) 5-2:BYE Week; Up Next: @ Boston College 5-2; TV: 6:00 ESPN (Friday) Favorite: Miami -1.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Miami 5-3
  20. Oregon (P-12/RR 19) 5-2:Lost Washington State, 34-20; Up Next:@ Arizona 3-5; TV: 9:30 ESPN;  Favorite: Oregon -9.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Oregon 7-1
  21. Washington (P-12/RR 22) 6-2: Beat Colorado, 27-13 in OT; Up Next:@ California, 4-3; TV: 3:30 TBD; Favorite: Washington -10.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Washington 6-2
  22. NC State (ACC/RR 39) 5-1:Lost to Clemson, 41-7; Up Next:@ Syracuse 5-2; TV: 6:00 ESPN 2; Favorite: Syracuse -2.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: NC State 6-4
  23. Syracuse (ACC RR 59) 5-2: Beat UNC, 40-37 in OT; Up Next:@ Home vs NC State 5-1; TV:6:00 ESPN 2; Favorite: Syracuse -2.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: NC State 6-4
  24. Penn State (B-10 RR 12) 5-2: Beat Indiana 33-28; Up Next:@ Home vs Iowa 6-1; TV: 2:30 ESPN; Favorite: PSU -5.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Iowa wins 5-3;
  25. Boston College (B-12/RR 65) 5-2:BYE Week; Up Next: @ Home vs Miami 5-2; TV: 6:00 ESPN (Friday) Favorite: Miami -1.5; SCFP Says by the Numbers: Miami 5-3
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Which undefeated has the best chance to reach the CFP?

Current Undefeated Teams in the FBS

8. Cincinnati 6-0 (AAC):  Cincy is one of the best kept secrets in 2018 and their open day victory over UCLA, 26-17, has long ago been dismissed as the Bruins have struggled mightily this season!! The fact is they are the 2nd best recruiting program in the Group of 5. Only Boise State has recruited better than the Bearcats the past four years. This is a composite rank from three recruiting site ESPN, 247 Sports, & Rivals! Cincinnati could go down on Saturday as the lace em up vs Temple, as they are a three and a half point Dog to the Owls! It is unlikely that the Bearcats will finish unbeaten, if they survive Temple, they still have Navy & USF @ Home and UCF on the Road. Cincy is currently ranked 20th in the AP Poll & 21st by the Coaches Poll and there is simply no way for them to play themselves into the top 4, however, if the win out, they will have played themselves into a New Years 6 Bowl!

7. South Florida 6-0 (AAC): The Bulls have the toughest schedule of the three remaining AAC undefeated teams! They have road games vs Houston, Cincy, & Temple all capable of pulling the upset in their home arenas! If that is not enough of a gauntlet, in their season finale, the Bulls welcome in-state power & rival, UCF to Raymond James Stadium! South Florida has beaten 2 P5’s Georgia Tech, 49-38 & Illinois, 25-19. Neither of these teams (GT is 3-4 & Illini are 3-3) currently have a winning record and both will struggle to make a bowl game in 2018!

The Bulls are currently ranked 21st  in the AP Poll and 20th in the Coaches Poll! It is simply not possible for USF to play their way into the Top 4 in the remaining weeks of the 2018 season. Yet, like Cincy, they can play their way into a New Year’s 6 Bowl by winning out!

6. Central Florida 6-0 (AAC): The Knights are the best example why a G5 team will not get in to to the CFP. They are currently ranked 10th in the AP Poll in week 8, as they were in week 7! Four Top 10 teams lost, Georgia to LSU, 36-16, West Virginia to Iowa State, 30-14, Penn State to Michigan State, 21-17 & Washington to Oregon in OT, 30-27. So why is UCF still 10? Three one loss Power 5 teams, LSU, Michigan, & Texas moved right past the Knights into the Top Ten and Georgia, who lost, stayed in front of them!

The reality, the perception, the truth, or pick one, even for the AAC, which is widely regarded as the best G5 Conference, is that their schedules are not as good and therefore they are less deserving! The best any AAC team can hope for is a New Year’s 6 Bowl Game! Last year, UCF went undefeated (14-0) and beat Auburn (who beat both CFP finalist. Bama, 26-14 & Georgia, 40-17) in the Peach Bowl, 34-27.

SCFP has advocated for a few years now, that the G5 Conferences should have a play-off similar to the FCS Tournament. A Final Four would cost them, as they would lose access to the bowl revenue, a 16 to 20 teams play-off would be required! Either way, these 3 undefeated AAC teams are not getting in the CFP!

5. NC State 5-0 (ACC): The Wolfpack was scheduled to play West Virginia on Sept. 15, but weather forced the game’s cancellation. Had that game been played, NC State may not be appearing in this report! If you look at their wins, James Madison, 24-13, Georgia State, 41-7, @ Marshall, 37-20, Virginia, 35-21, & BC, 28-23, none of those teams are currently ranked by the AP or coaches polls! However, SCFP page has BC (5-2) ranked 24th after a sound pounding of Louisville, 38-20 this past week end!

That said, this can all change this week end as NC State heads south to South Carolina & Clemson. The last 3 games have been competitive,yet Clemson has won all three, 56-41 in 2015, 24-17 in OT, & 38-31 in 2017!  A loss here and NC State is out of the CFP, a win and they raise their stock, but even if they win and then win out, no guarantees! Even an undefeated NC State would be at risk if LSU beats Bama (would they get in in front of a one lost Alabama, undefeated, Big 10 Champ OSU and an Undefeated ND)? NC State needs to win out and have Bama lose a second game or OSU / ND lose a game. That scenario is more likely, then the Wolfpack beating the Tigers on Saturday in Death Valley. NC Stat’s loss on Saturday will knock them out of the CFP and New Year’s 6 Bowl games!

4. Notre Dame 7-0 (IND): As we lined up to start the 2018 season, I thought the Irish would win 9 games and 10 with a bowl win. Unlike others, who think the remaining teams on ND’s schedule are not up to the task of taking down the Irish, I look at rosters and form a completely different perspective. FSU and USC have better rosters than ND, SC is the 5th best recruiting program in the country and Florida State is 6th, while the Irish are 10th!. So… while the Trojans are young & the Seminoles have a weak O-line, neither team lacks talent. The ND game allows FSU an opportunity to regain some of their pride and however unlikely, SC is still in the hunt for a P-12 title and at least, getting in the CFP conversation. SC will see a win over ND as a step in restoring some of their & P-12 tarnished image!  These teams (FSU & USC) will line up and get after it vs ND!

That said, ND is quite capable of taking care of both the Seminoles & the Trojans, I think their biggest challenge is their own Athletic Director. Starting Oct. 27th, the Irish will begin a marathon of cross country (literally) travel. Playing Navy in San Diego, then head to Chicago to take on NW, back to South Bend for FSU, then head to Yankee Stadium to play Syracuse, and finally out to LA to play SC, all in a five week period! That much travel for a college football team is ridiculous and the Irish will lose at least one and maybe two before the end of the season!

The Irish will play their way into a New Year’s Six bowl, but sorry to predict, they will not make the CFP! You will hear a lot about this travel in the coming weeks and no; Notre Dame should not join a conference, how about scheduling with some common sense!

3. Ohio State 7-0 (B-10): The Bucks are the second most talented team in college football, behind only Alabama! So the question is why is a team this talented allowing so many big plays?

  • In the Oregon State game, Trevor Bradford had a 49 yard TD pass and Artavis Pierce ran 80 yards for a TD and the 76 yards for another TD! Where is the speed in OSU’s secondary?
  • In the TCU game, Darius Anderson ran 93 yards for a TD
  • In the PSU game, KJ Hamier caught a short pass over the middle and outran the OSU defenders for 93 yard scoring play!

OSU has a trap game this week vs Purdue in West Lafayette. The Boilers had a disappointing start to the season, losing 3 in a row @ home to start the season, but have righted the ship winning their last three outings. Purdue can sustain drives and has the most explosive player in the B-10 in Rondale Morris! They have also taking on Jeff Brahm’s no nonsense personality and play with an edge! The Bucks also travel to East Lancing to take on MSU and then have that Team from “up north” who will come a calling on 11/24/18! Nick Bosa announced today he will not be returning to his team and has left school to prepare himself for the NFL draft!

It is likely that OSU will lose 1 game along the way and so the question becomes, can a one loss B-10 champ get into the CFP? Remember, the B-10 Champ has been shut out of the CFP the past 2 years! Let the intrigue begin in West Lafayette!

2. Clemson 6-0 (ACC): Since the Texas a&m game, Clemson has recommitted to running the football. At College Station, the Tigers were held to 115 yards rushing. Since then a much different story, 309 rushing yards vs Georgia Southern, 248 rushing yards vs Georgia Tech, 293 against Syracuse, and 471 vs Wake Forest! They have determined the best way to support their freshman QB, Trevor Lawrence, is to run the ball! Clemson’s biggest challenge may be this week vs an undefeated NC State, although the do have rivalry games vs Florida State (an underachieving but very talented team) and against in-state foe, South Carolina!

Clemson has the best defensive line in the country, is currently ranked 3rd in the nation in rush defense, allowing 261.2 YPG, and 6th in the country in pass defense, @ 152.8 YPG! Their schedule is favorable as 4 of their remaining 6 games are at home, and the two road games are @ FSU and BC, two good opponents that could pull off the upset. That fact will likely help the coaches ensure a good week of practice and focus on game day! That said, because to their talent on defense, their new found commitment to their running game, and their schedule; Clemson is the 2nd most likely club to reach the CPF!

1. Alabama 7-0 (SEC): The Tide has left little doubt but that they are the best team in college football in 2018. However, they are not unbeatable and not guaranteed a spot in the CFP because of the jersey they wear on Saturday’s! Like everybody else they have to perform! Here are some of the facts as to why we say their the best team in 2018!

  1. 2nd best in the country on 3rd down conversions a, 57% chance they will convert!
  2. 4th in the nation is completion percentage, a 71% chance they will complete every pass they attempt!
  3. Tied for 2nd in Defensive Touchdowns, 4 INT’s returned for TD’s
  4. Passes Intercepted by Opponents, 2nd in the land, the Tide has thrown 1 INT!
  5. Passing Offense, 5th best in the country, 350.3 YPG!
  6. Scoring Defense, 7th in the nation, allowing 15.1 PPG!
  7. Scoring Offense, 1st in the nation, scoring 53. 6 PPG!
  8. Team Passing Efficiency, 1st in the country, a 27 to 1 ratio (TD’s to INT’s)
  9. Total Offense, 1st in the country, 567 YPG
  10. Turnover Margin, 4th in the land, a plus 11 or a 1.57 advantage in each game!
  11. Winning Percentage, Tied for 1st @ 1.000%

Their are several other statistical categories where Bama is in the top 25, put simply, they have the best players, the best coach in college football, and exhibit the best mental focus of any team in the country … meaning, when things go sideways, they step up … they do not point fingers! The biggest threat to the Tide is LSU and even if they lose that game, a one lost Alabama is likely to get in unless; ND, Ohio State, Clemson are all unbeaten. Even then, the debate would rage about ” Best Team” should get in over a conference champ or an undefeated Independent! Bama is the most likely of the current undefeated teams to get the CFP!

 

 

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Best 10 Games in Week Eight

10. Cincinnati 6-0 @ Temple 4-3:

  • The teams have split the last 6 games, each winning 3 in a row
  • That said Temple has won the last 3 games!
  • The Bearcats are the 10th best rush offense in the country @ 255.5 YPG
  • The Owls are 92nd in rush defense giving up 180.6 YPG
  • TV: 11:00 ESPNU / Favorite: Temple -3.5
  • SCFP Says: Cincy wins in 6 of the 8 assessed categories (30 to 22.5 Cincy)

9. North Texas 6-1 @ UAB 5-1:

  • These teams have split their last 2 meetings
  • UAB won in 2016, 56-21, while NT won last year, 46-43
  • UAB is 5th in the country in scoring defense allowing 14.2 PPG
  •  NT is 17th in scoring offense averaging 39.9 PPG
  • TV: 6:30 Local / Favorite: UAB -1
  • SCFP Says: NT wins 5 to 3 by the numbers (27 to 26 NT)

8. Mississippi State 4-2 @ LSU 6-1:

  • Last time Miss State @ LSU they trailed 23-3 @ Half
  • The Bulldogs battled back, losing 23-20
  • LSU had won 21 of 22 meeting prior to splitting the last 4
  • MSU has the 8th best Total Defense allowing 289.7 YPG
  • TV: 6:00 ESPN / Favorite: LSU -6.5
  • SCFP Says: MSU wins 6 to 2 by the numbers (24 to 22.5 MSU)

7. Oklahoma 5-1 @ TCU 3-3:

  • TCU is 1-6 as a B-12 member vs the Sooners
  • This includes 2 losses last year, 38-20 & 41-17 B-12 Championship
  • Last time in Forth Worth, OU led 49-24 and then had to hold on, 52-46
  • OU is 5th in the country in scoring offense averaging 48.0 PPG
  • TV: 11:00 ABC / Favorite: OU -7.5
  • SCFP Says:  TCU wins 5 to 3 by the numbers (34 to 28 OU)

6. Colorado 5-1 @ Washington 5-2:

  • The Huskies have won 9 straight vs the Buffs
  • The average win margin has been by 22 points
  • These teams met for the P-12 Championship in 2016, 41-10 Washington
  • Washington is 49/96 on 3rd down Conversions (8th)
  • TV: 2:30 Fox / Favorite: Washington -17
  • SCFP Says:  Washington wins 5 to 3 by the numbers (25.5 to 25  Colorado)

5. USC 4-2 @ Utah 4-2:

  • Last year the Utes lost a 21-7 HT lead, losing 28-21
  • SC is 11-5 vs Utah , yet the Home Team has won 5 straight
  • Utah has 2 losses in the P-12 but can still win the South Division
  • The Utes are the 4th best at stopping the run, allowing 87 YPG
  • TV: 7:00 P-12 Network / Favorite: Utah -6.5
  • SCFP Says:  Utah wins 7 to 1 by the numbers (27 to 21  Utah)

4. Maryland 4-2 @ Iowa 5-1:

  • The Home team has won the 2 prior meetings
  • The last meeting was in 2015an Iowa win, 31-15
  • One common opponent, Minnesota, Iowa won 48-31 & Maryland won 42-13
  • Iowa has the 5th best Total Defense, allowing 282 YPG
  • TV: 11:00 ESPN 2 / Favorite: Iowa -13.5
  • SCFP Says:  A Tie, 4 to 4 by the numbers (28 to 25  Iowa)

3. Oregon 5-1 @ Washington State 5-1:

  • Washington St has won the last three meeting, 45-38 2OT, 51-33, & 33-10
  • Prior to this WSU run, the Ducks had won 8 straight
  • The Cougars 5-1 start is one of the best stories in the 2018 season
  • Oregon is averaging 43 PPG (11) while WSU is @ 41.8 (15)
  • TV: 6:30 FOX / Favorite: WSU -2
  • SCFP Says:  WSU wins 5 to 4 by the numbers (33.5 to 33.5 Tie)

2. Michigan 6-1 @ Michigan State 4-2:

  • This is the 110th meeting between these teams
  • First played in 1898 and have played every year since
  • MSU has won 8 of the last 10 games
  • Michigan is 2nd in total defense (238) & 1st in Pass Defense (129.1)
  • TV: 11:00 FOX / Favorite: Michigan -6.5
  • SCFP Says:  Michigan wins 6 to 2 by the numbers (30 to 21.5)

1. NC State 5-0 @ Clemson 6-0:

  • Since 2016 the Tigers are 15-1 when hosting ACC opponents
  • Coach Swinney is 13-1 coming off a BYE Week since 2011
  • The Wolfpack have lost 13 of the last 14 to
  • Clemson is 6th in Pass D, 14th in Rush D, & 3rd in Total Defense
  • TV: 2:30 ESPN / Favorite: Clemson -17
  • SCFP Says:  a Statistical Tie 4 to 4 by the numbers (30 to 24.5 Clemson)
Posted in #1 Uncategorized |

Sully’s P5 Top 25 / G5 Top 20, & FCS Top 10

Please note: SCFP ranks the Power Five teams (ACC, B-10, B-12, PAC 12, & SEC … Plus 2 Independents; ND & BYU) as one group of 66 teams into a Top 25. Next, we rank the Group of Five (AAC, CUSA, MAC, MWC, & SBC … Plus 2 Independents, Army & U-Mass, a group of 64 teams into a Top 20. Finally, we rank the 124 FCS teams into a Top 15! Oh, and by the way, RR identifies a team’s Recruiting Rank! 3 sites (Rivals, ESPN, & 247) and a 4 year average were used to determine the P5 rankings, while a 4 year average from just 247 was used in ranking the G-5’s top 20!  Enjoy and let us know what you think!

 

Power Five Top 25

 

  1. Alabama (SEC/RR 1) 7-0: Beat Missouri 39-10 Up Next: @ Tennessee 3-3; TV: 2:30 CBS / Favorite: Alabama -28.5
  2. Clemson (ACC/RR 7) 6-0: BYE Week; Up Next: @ Home vs NC State 5-0; TV: 2:30 ESPN / Favorite: Clemson -17
  3. Ohio St (B-10/RR 2) 7-0: Beat Beat Minnesota 30-14 Up Next: @ Purdue 3-3; TV: 6:30 ABC / Favorite: Ohio State -12
  4. Notre Dame (IND/RR 10) 7-0: Beat Pitt, 19-14; Up Next: BYE Week
  5. LSU (SEC/RR 6) 6-1: Beat Georgia, 36-16; Up Next: @ Home vs Mississippi State 4-2; TV: 6:00 ESPN / Favorite: LSU -6.5
  6. Michigan (B-10/RR 18) 6-1: Beat Wisconsin, 38-13; Up Next: @ Michigan State 4-2; TV: 11:00 FOX / Favorite: Michigan -6.5
  7. Georgia (SEC/RR 3) 6-1: Lost to LSU, 36-16; Up Next: BYE Week
  8. Texas (B-12/RR 9) 6-1: Beat Baylor 23-17; Up Next: BYE Week
  9. Oklahoma (B-12/RR 11) 5-1: BYE Week; Up Next: @ TCU 3-3; TV: 11:00 ABC / Favorite: Oklahoma -7.5
  10. Kentucky (SEC/RR 32) 6-1: BYE Week; Up Next: @ Home vs Vanderbilt 3-4; TV: 6:30 SEC Network / Favorite: Kentucky -11.5
  11. Florida (SEC/RR 15) 6-1: Beat Vanderbilt, 37-27; Up Next: BYE Week
  12. Oregon (P-12/RR 19) 5-1: Beat Washington, 30-27 OT; Up Next: @ Washington State 5-1; TV: 6:30 Fox / Favorite: Washington State -2
  13. NC State (ACC/RR 39) 5-0: BYE Week; Up Next: @ Clemson 6-0; TV: 2:30 ESPN / Favorite: Clemson -17
  14. Texas A&M (SEC/RR 13) 5-2: Beat South Carolina, 26-23 in OT; UP Next:  BYE Week
  15.  Iowa (B-10/RR 43) 5-1: Beat Indiana, 42-16 Up Next: @ Home (HC) vs Maryland 4-2; TV: 11:00 ESPN 2 / Favorite: Iowa -13.5
  16. West Virginia (B-12/RR 40) 5-1: Lost to Iowa State, 30-14; Up Next: BYE Week
  17.  Washington (P-12/RR 22) 5-2: Lost to Oregon, 30-27 in OT; Up Next: @ Colorado, 4-1; TV: 2:30 Fox / Favorite: Washington -17
  18. Miami (ACC/RR 17) 5-2: Lost to Virginia, 16-13; Up Next: BYE Week
  19. Washington State  (P-12/RR 47) 5-1: BYE Week; Up Next: @ Home vs Oregon 5-1; TV: 6:30 Fox / Favorite: Washington State -2
  20. Duke (ACC/RR 46) 5-1: Beat Georgia Tech, 28-14 ; Up Next: @ Home Virginia 4-2; TV: 11:30 ACC on ESPN / Favorite: Duke -8
  21. USC (P-12 RR 5) 4-2: Beat Colorado, 31-20; Up Next: @ Utah 4-2; TV: 7:00 P-12 Network / Favorite: Utah -6.5
  22. Wisconsin (B-10/RR 36) 4-2: Lost to Michigan, 38-13; UP Next: @ Home vs Illinios 3-3; TV: 11:00 FS1 / Favorite: Wisconsin 25.5
  23. Texas Tech (B-12/RR 48) 4-2: Beat TCU, 17-14; Up Next: @ Home vs Kansas 2-4; TV: 2:30 FS1 / Favorite: Texas Tech -18
  24. Boston College (B-12/RR 65) 5-2: Beat Louisville, 38-20; UP Next: BYE Week
  25. Utah (P-12/RR 37) 4-2: Beat Arizona, 42-10, Up Next: @ Home vs USC 4-2;  TV: 7:00 P-12 Network / Favorite: Utah -6.5

 

Group of Five Top 20

 

  1. Central Florida* (AAC/RR 65.3) 6-0: Beat Memphis, 31-30; Up Next: @ East Carolina 2-4
  2. South Florida** (AAC/RR 68.0) 6-0: Beat Tulsa, 25-24; Up Next: @ Home vs UConn 1-5
  3. Cincinnati* (AAC/RR 63.0) 6-0: BYE Week Up Next: @ Temple 4-3
  4. Appalachian State (SBC/RR 110.0) 4-1: Beat Arkansas State, 35-9; Up Next: @ Home vs Louisiana 3-3
  5. Houston* (AAC/RR 66.5) 5-1: Beat East Carolina, 42-20; Up Next: @ Navy  2-4
  6. San Diego St.* (MWC/RR 76.8) 5-1: Beat Air Force, 21-17; Up Next: @ Home vs San Jose State 0-6
  7. Fresno State* (MWC/RR 83.8) 5-1: Beat Wyoming, 27-3; Up Next: @ New Mexico 3-3
  8. Troy* (SBC/RR 102.3) 5-2: Lost to Liberty, 22-16; Up Next: BYE Week
  9. Georgia Southern (SBC/RR 89.3) 5-1: Beat Texas State. 15-13; Up Next: @ New Mexico State 2-5
  10. Army (IND/RR 117.8) 4-2; Beat San Jose, 52-3; Up Next: A Home vs Miami OH 3-4
  11. Hawaii (MWC/RR 103) 6-2: Lost to BYU, 49-23; Up Next: @ Home vs Nevada 3-4
  12. Buffalo* (MAC/RR 121.5) 6-1: Beat Akron, 24-6; Up Next: @ Toledo 3-3
  13. North Texas* (C-USA/RR 103.3) 6-1: Beat Southern Miss, 30-7, Up Next: @ UAB 5-1
  14. Boise State (MWC/RR 61.5) 3-2: Beat Nevada, 31-27; Up Next: @ Home vs Colorado State 3-4
  15. Utah St.ate* (MWC/RR 101.8) 5-1: Beat UNLV, 59-28; Up Next: @ Wyoming 2-5
  16. UAB (C-USA/RR 95) 5-1 Beat Rice, 42-0; Up Next: @ North Texas 6-1
  17. Memphis (AA0C/RR 70.5) 4-3: Lost to UCF, 30-31 ; Up Next: @ Missouri 3-3
  18. Western Michigan (MAC/RR 76.8) 4-2: Beat Bowling Green, 42-35, Up Next:
  19. Temple* (ACC/RR 84.5) 3-3 Beat Navy, 24-17; Up Next: @ Home vs Cincinnati 6-0
  20. Northern Illinois (MAC/RR 71.8) 3-3: Beat Ohio, 24-21 ; Up Next: BYE Week

* Indicates that the ranked team has beaten a Power 5 Opponent!

 

Football Championship Subdivision Top 10

 

  1. North Dakota State (MVFC) 6-0; Beat Western Illinois, 34-7; Up Next: @ Home vs Illinois State 5-1
  2. Colgate (Patriot League) 6-0: Beat Cornell, 31-0 Up Next: BYE Week
  3. South Dakota State (MVFC) 4-1: Beat Youngstown State 36-7; Up Next: @ Iowa State 3-3
  4. Kennesaw State (BSC) 6-1: Beat Gardner-Webb 56-17  Up Next: BYE Week
  5. Jacksonville State (OVC) 5-1: Beat Eastern Illinois, 49-22 Up Next: @ SE Missouri State 4-2
  6. Illinois State (MVFC) 5-1: Beat Southern Illinois, 51-3; Up Next: @ North Dakota State 6-0
  7. UC Davis (B-SKY) 5-1: Beat Idaho State, 44-37 in OT; Up Next: @ Cal Poly 2-4
  8. Towson (CAA) 5-1: Beat William & Mary, 29-13; Up Next: @ Albany 2-4
  9. East Tennessee (SoCon) 6-1: Beat The Citadel, 26-23  Up Next:@ Wofford 4-2
  10.  James Madison (CAA) 5-2; Beat Villanova, 37-0; Up Next: BYE Week
Posted in #1 Uncategorized |

Which one Loss team has the best shot @ making CFP

Week Seven: Segment Five, One loss P5 Teams by Conference

 

Big Ten

  • Penn State 4-1: Lost to Ohio State, 27-26, Remaining games of significance: Michigan State 3-2 at Home, @ Michigan 5-1, & @ Home vs Wisconsin, 4-1. PSU cannot make the B-10 Championship unless OSU loses 2 B-10 games … not likely!
  • Michigan 5-1: Lost to ND, 24-17, Remaining games of significance: Wisconsin 4-1 in the Big House, @ Michigan State 3-2, Penn State 4-1 @ Home, & @ OSU 6-0. The Wolverines can play their way into the B-10 Championship Game and possibly the CFP!
  • Wisconsin 4-1: The Badgers lost to BYU, 24-21; Remaining games of significance: @ Michigan 5-1; @ Penn State 4-1, & possibly Ohio State 6-0, if these teams play their way into the B-10 Championship game. The Badgers can battle their way into the B-10 Championship and then win it Bucky has a chance have a shot at making the CFP …. depending on other P5 Conference results. The BYU loss could haunt them!
  • Iowa 4-1: The Hawks lost to Wisconsin, 28-17; Remaining games of significance: @ Penn State 4-1, Iowa would need the Badgers to lose 2 games to make the B-10 Championship and it is unlikely that they would be selected by the committee for the CFP!
  • Best chance for a one loss team in the B-10 to make the CFP is Michigan

SEC

  • LSU 5-1: Loss to Florida 27-19, Remaining games of significance: Georgia 6-0, Alabama 6-0, Texas A&M 4-2 @ College Station, & SEC Championship if they win out!
  • Kentucky 5-1: Lost @ Texas A&M in OT, 20-14, Remaining games of significance: Georgia 6-0 & SEC Championship if they win out!
  • Florida 5-1: Loss to Kentucky, 26-17, Remaining games of significance: Georgia 6-0 (Jacksonville), & @ Florida State 3-3. Florida needs to win out and can only make the SEC Championship Game if Kentucky losses another Conference Game!
  • Best chance for a one loss team in the SEC to make the CFP is LSU

 

PAC 12

  • Washington 5-1: Lost to Auburn, 21-16, on opening weekend; Remaining games of significance, At Oregon 4-1, Colorado 5-0 @ Home, Stanford 4-2 @ Home, & @ Washington State 5-1. Washington’s loss was in a non-conference game and so if they win out they are the North Division Champion, in the P-12 Championship, and possibly in the CFP.
  • Oregon 4-1: The Ducks lost in a bizarre manner to Stanford, 38-30 in OT;  Remaining games of significance: @ Home vs Washington 5-1 and @ Washington State 5-1. The Ducks will be in the P-12 championship if they win out and if Stanford loses a 2nd game (one of their 2 losses was out of conference). Their Non-Conference schedule will hurt their CFP selection opportunity (Bowling Green, Portland State, & San Jose State)
  • Washington State 5-1: Lost to USC, 39-36, Remaining games of significance: Oregon 4-1 @ Home, @ Stanford 4-2, @ Colorado 5-0, & @ Washington 5-1. Remember one of Stanford’s losses is out of conference to ND, 38-17 and Colorado is in the South Division of the P-12. So if WSU beats Oregon, Stanford, & Washington they will own the tie-breaker in the North Division. The Cougars challenge to getting into the CFP is a lot like Oregon’s, their NC Schedule (Wyoming, San Jose, Eastern Washington) is a huge problem!
  • Best chance for a one loss team in the P-12 to make the CFP is Washington

Big 12

  • Oklahoma 5-1: Lost to Texas, 48-45; Remaining games of significance: @ TCU 3-2, @ Texas Tech 3-2, & @ West Virginia 5-0. It should be noted that TCU lost to Ohio State, 40-28 & T-Tech lost to Ole Miss, 47-27 NC games and as a result, both of these teams have only one conference loss. If Oklahoma wins out they will be in the B-12 Championship game!
  • Texas 5-1: Their lone loss is to Maryland, 34-29, in College Park. Remaining games of significance: West Virginia 5-0 @ Home & at T-Tech 3-2. If the Horns win out they will play their way into the B-12 Championship Game and possible rematch with the Sooners. So the question who gains the most ground in the rematch the Longhorns or OU?
  • Best chance for a one loss team in the B-12 to make the CFP is Oklahoma

ACC

  • Miami 5-1: Their lone loss is to LSU, 33-17; Remaining games of significance: Duke 4-1 @ Home, @ Virginia Tech 3-2 (VT has not lost in the ACC), & a possible showdown with Clemson 6-0 in the ACC Championship Game. If the Canes win out, an LSU championship in the SEC would go a long way to support Miami’s entry into the CFP!
  • Duke 4-1: Lost to Virginia Tech, 31-14; Remaining games of significance: @ Miami 5-1 & @ Clemson 6-0. Even if Duke wins out, they will need Virginia Tech to lose 2 games as the Hokies have the tie-breaker with Blue Devils having won the head to head game!
  • Best chance for a one loss team in the ACC to make the CFP is Miami

So what one loss team has the best overall chance to make the CFP? There is no question, it is the SEC’s LSU! If the Tigers win out, they will have beaten Georgia (probably twice) and Bama once and given the FACT that the SEC Champ is going into the Playoff’s; to that end, there is no question, that in this scenario, LSU, the SEC Champ is in! So answer this; what other one loss team, conference champ or not, would get in… in front of a one loss Alabama?

It would have to be an undefeated P5 champion (B-10’s Ohio State, ACC’s Clemson) or an undefeated ND to get to the CFP in front of a one loss Alabama, and even then, the debate would be raging! So for the current (heading into week seven) one loss teams, the one with the best shot @ the College Football Playoff’s… Is clearly LSU! 

Posted in #1 Uncategorized |

Top Ten Games of Week 7

10. Iowa 4-1 @ Indiana 4-2: 

  • Iowa has won six of the last 7 meetings, including 3 of the last 4 in Bloomington!
  • The Hawks head east after 48-31 victory over the Golden Gophers, while the Hoosiers will try to recover from a 49-26 drubbing by the Buckeyes!
  • TV: ESPN 2 11:00; Favorite: Iowa -6

9. Pitt 3-3 @ ND 6-0:

  • Last time the Panthers were @ Notre Dame Stadium, they were 4-4 and the Irish were ranked 4th, Pitt almost pulled the year’s (2012) biggest upset, falling 29-26!
  • These teams first met in 1909, ND has won 4 of the last 5 meetings, the Home team is 4-2, and the Irish won the most recent meeting (2015), 42-30!
  • TV: NBC 1:30; Favorite: ND -21

8. Texas A&M 4-2 @ South Carolina 3-2:

  • While the Aggies have lost 2 of their first 6 games, it should be noted, those losses were to 6-0 Clemson, 28-26 & 6-0 Alabama 45-23.
  • That said, the Gamecocks will have met the Aggies in each of the last 5 seasons, losing all four games they have played trough 2017. South Carolina’s losses this year were to 6-0 Georgia, 41-17 & 5-1 Kentucky, 24-10
  • TV: SEC Network 2:30 Favorite: Texas A&M-2

7. Hawaii 6-1 @ BYU 3-3:

  • Hawaii is the surprise team @ the mid-point of the 2018 season, no one predicted the type of success that have enjoyed in their 1st seven games.
  • BYU is 22-8 vs the Rainbow Warriors, including 4 straight wins, Hawaii is 1-10 since 1993 vs BYU!
  • TV: ESPN 2 9:15 Favorite: BYU -11.5

6. UCF 5-0 @ Memphis 4-2:

  • Memphis won the 1st meeting in 1990, but has now lost 11 straight to the Knights, including 2 games in 2017, 40-13 in the regular season and in the AAC Championship.
  • These teams met for the AAC Championship in 2017, one of the season’s best games with the Tigers falling, 62-55, in 2 overtimes!
  • TV: ABC/ESPN 2 2:30 Favorite: Central Florida -4

5. Colorado 5-0 @ USC 3-2:

  • The Trojans are 7-0 vs Colorado in P-12 play & 12-0 all-time vs the Buffs
  • The average score in these 12 wins is/was 35-14 and while Colorado is 5-0 this season (2018), their only road win is vs 0-5 Nebraska, 33-28, and @ home vs UCLA, 38-16, who has not won a game this season (0-5), in-state rival, Colorado State (2-4), 45-13, and an FCS team, New Hampshire, 45-14. Their only quality win this season is vs Arizona State, 28-21.
  • TV: FS1 9:30 Favorite: USC -7

4. Michigan State 3-2 @ Penn State 4-1:

  • Last year PSU was winning 14-7, then came a 3.5 hour weather delay, and with the score tied at 24, a walk off FG by the Spartans settled the affair, 27-24.
  • Last time MSU was in Happy Valley (2016), the Spartans led 12-10 @ half time, were outscored 35 to nothing in the 2nd half, and experienced a 45-12 drubbing!
  • TV: BTN 2:30 Favorite: PSU -14.5

3. Washington 5-1 @ Oregon 4-1:

  • Last year Washington’s, Jake Browning set a school record with 6 TD passes leading the Huskies to a, 38-3, victory over the Ducks.
  • Oregon had won 12 straight games in this series before dropping the last 2 games.
  • TV: ABC 2:30 Favorite: Washington -3.5

2. Wisconsin 4-1 @ Michigan 4-1:

  • The Home team has won 8 of the last 9 games in this series.
  • UM is 6-2 vs UW when both teams are ranked
  • TV: ABC 6:30 Favorite: Michigan -6.5

1. Georgia 6-0 @ LSU 5-1:

  • Last time these teams met was in 2013, a 44-41, Georgia win in Athens, GA
  • 2009 was the last time the Tigers hosted the Bulldogs, a 20-13 win in Baton Rouge
  • TV: CBS 2:30 Favorite: Georgia -7

 

 

Posted in #1 Uncategorized |

Sully’s College Football Page Power 5 Top 25, Group of 5 Top 20 & FCS Top 10 Week 7

Please note: SCFP ranks the Power Five teams (ACC, B-10, B-12, PAC 12, & SEC … Plus 2 Independents; ND & BYU) as one group of 66 teams into a Top 25. Next, we rank the Group of Five (AAC, CUSA, MAC, MWC, & SBC … Plus 2 Independents, Army & U-Mass, a group of 64 teams into a Top 20. Finally, we rank the 124 FCS teams into a Top 15! Oh, and by the way, RR identifies a team’s Recruiting Rank! 3 sites (Rivals, ESPN, & 247) and a 4 year average were used to determine the P5 rankings, while a 4 year average from just 247 was used in ranking the G-5’s top 20!  Enjoy and let us know what you think!

 

Power Five Top 25

 

  1. Alabama (SEC/RR 1) 6-0: Beat Arkansas 65-31 Up Next: @ Home vs Missouri 3-2
  2. Clemson (ACC/RR 7) 6-0: Beat Wake Forest, 63-3; Up Next: BYE Week
  3. Ohio St (B-10/RR 2) 6-0: Beat Indiana 49-26 Up Next: @ Home vs Minnesota 3-2
  4. Georgia (SEC/RR 3) 6-0: Beat Vanderbilt, 41-13; Up Next: @ LSU 5-1
  5. Notre Dame (IND/RR 10) 6-0: Beat Virginia Tech, 45-23; Up Next: @ Home vs Pitt 3-3
  6. West Virginia (B-12/RR 40) 5-0: Beat Kansas, 38-22; Up Next: @ Iowa State 2-3
  7.  Penn State (B-10/ RR 12) 4-1: BYE Week; Up Next: @ Home vs Michigan State 3-2
  8. Colorado (P-12/RR 54) 5-0: Beat Arizona State, 28-21, Up Next: @ USC 3-2
  9. Texas (B-12/RR 9) 5-1: Beat Oklahoma 48-45 in OT; Up Next: @ Home vs Baylor 4-2
  10. Miami (ACC/RR 17) 5-1: Beat FSU, 28-27; Up Next: @ Virginia 3-2
  11. Oklahoma (B-12/RR 11) 5-1: Lost to Texas, 48-45 in OT; Up Next: BYE
  12. Kentucky (SEC/RR 32) 5-1: Lost to Texas A&M, 20-14 in OT; Up Next: BYE
  13. Michigan (B-10/RR 18) 5-1: Beat Maryland, 42-21; Up Next: @ Home vs Wisconsin 4-1
  14. Wisconsin (B-10/RR 36) 4-1: Beat Nebraska, 41-24; UP Next: @ Michigan 5-1
  15. Washington (P-12/RR 22) 5-1: Beat UCLA, 31-24; Up Next: @ Oregon, 4-1
  16. Florida (SEC/RR 15) 5-1: Beat LSU, 27-19; Up Next: @ Vanderbilt 3-3
  17. LSU (SEC/RR 6) 5-1: Lost to Florida, 27-19; Up Next: @ Home vs Georgia 6-0
  18. Texas A&M (SEC/RR 13) 4-2: Beat Kentucky, 20-14 in OT; UP Next: @ South Carolina 3-2
  19. Oregon (P-12/RR 19) 4-1: BYE Week; Up Next: @ Home vs Washington 5-1
  20. NC State (ACC/RR 39) 5-0: Beat Boston College, 28-23; Up Next: BYE Week
  21. Mississippi State (SEC/RR 24) 4-2: Beat Auburn, 23-9; Up Next: @ BYE
  22. Auburn (SEC/RR 8) 4-2: Lost to Mississippi State, 23-9; UP Next: @ Home vs Tennessee 3-2
  23. Iowa (B-10/RR 43) 4-1: Beat Minnesota, 48-31 Up Next: @ Indiana 4-2
  24. Duke (ACC/RR 46) 4-1: BYE Week; Up Next: @ G-Tech 3-3
  25. Washington State  (P-12/RR 47) 5-1: Beat Oregon State 56-37; Up Next: BYE Week

Group of Five Top 20

 

  1. Central Florida* (AAC/RR 65.3) 5-0: Beat Southern Methodist, 48-20; Up Next: @ Memphis 4-2
  2. South Florida** (AAC/RR 68.0) 5-0: Beat Massachusetts, 58-42; Up Next: @ Tulsa 1-4
  3. Cincinnati* (AAC/RR 63.0) 6-0: Beat Tulane, 37-21 Up Next: BYE Week
  4. Appalachian State (SBC/RR 110.0) 3-1: BYE Week; Up Next: @ Arkansas State 3-2 (Tuesday Night Game)
  5. Houston* (AAC/RR 66.5) 4-1: Beat Tulsa, 41-26; Up Next: @ East Carolina 2-3
  6. San Diego St.* (MWC/RR 76.8) 4-1: Beat Boise, 19-13; Up Next: @ Home vs Air Force 2-3
  7. Fresno State* (MWC/RR 83.8) 4-1: Beat Nevada, 21-3; Up Next: @ Wyoming 2-4
  8. Troy* (SBC/RR 102.3) 5-1: Beat Georgia State, 37-20; Up Next: @ Liberty 2-3
  9. Georgia Southern (SBC/RR 89.3) 4-1: Beat South Alabama. 48-13; Up Next: @ Texas State 1-4
  10. Army (IND/RR 117.8) 3-2; BYE Week; Up Next: @ San Jose State 0-5
  11. Hawaii (MWC/RR 103) 6-1: Beat Wyoming, 17-13; Up Next: @ BYU 3-3
  12. Buffalo* (MAC/RR 121.5) 5-1: Beat Central Michigan, 34-24; Up Next: @ Home vs Akron 2-2
  13. North Texas* (C-USA/RR 103.3) 5-1: Beat UTEP, 27-24, Up Next: @ Home vs Southern Mississippi 2-2
  14. Boise State (MWC/RR 61.5) 3-2: Lost to San Diego State, 19-13; Up Next: @ Nevada 3-3
  15. Utah St.ate* (MWC/RR 101.8) 4-1: Beat BYU, 45-20; Up Next: @ Home vs UNLV 2-3
  16. UAB (C-USA/RR 95) 4-1 Beat Louisiana Tech, 28-7; Up Next: @ Rice 1-5
  17. Middle Tennessee State (C-USA/RR 94.0) 3-2: Beat Marshall, 34-24 ; Up Next: @ FIU 1-5
  18. Western Michigan (MAC/RR 76.8) 4-2: Beat Eastern Michigan, 27-24, Up Next: @ Bowling Green 1-5
  19. Temple* (ACC/RR 84.5) 3-3 Beat East Carolina, 49-6; Up Next: @ Navy 2-3
  20. Northern Illinois (MAC/RR 71.8) 3-3: Lost to MTS, 34-24 ; Up Next: H vs Ohio 3-2

* Indicates that the ranked team has beaten a Power 5 Opponent!

Football Championship Subdivision Top 10

 

  1. North Dakota State (MVFC) 5-0; Beat Northern Iowa, 56-31; Up Next: @ Western Illinois 2-3
  2. Colgate (Patriot League) 5-0: Beat Bucknell, 27-3 Up Next: @ Home vs Cornell 2-2
  3. South Dakota State (MVFC) 3-1: Beat Indiana State 54-51 in OT; Up Next: @ Home vs Youngstown State 2-3
  4. Kennesaw State (BSC) 5-1: Beat Presbyterian 56-0  Up Next: @ Gardner-Webb 1-5
  5. Jacksonville State (OVC) 4-1: Beat Eastern Kentucky, 56-7 Up Next: @ Home Eastern Illinois 1-5
  6. Eastern Washington (B-SKY) 5-1: Beat Southern Utah, 55-17; Up Next: @  Weber State 3-2
  7. UC Davis (B-SKY) 4-1: Beat Northern Colorado, 49-36; Up Next: @ H0me vs Idaho State 4-1
  8. Rhode Island (CAA) 4-1: Beat Brown, 48-0; Up Next: @ H vs Maine 3-2
  9. East Tennessee (SoCon) 5-1: Beat Gardner-Webb, 45-0  Up Next: @ The Citadel 1-3
  10.  James Madison (CAA) 4-2; Lost to Elon, 27-24; Up Next: @ Villanova 3-2
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Big 12 Non-Conference vs P5, G5, & FCS

The Big 12 is the only P5 Conference that has not divided into divisions and, in fact, is the only conference that plays a round robin (every team plays ever other conference team). The Big 12, like the Big Ten & PAC 12, play 9 conference games (The ACC & SEC play 8) and therefore have the where-with-all to play 3 Non-Conference (NC) opponents. The NCAA allows FBS teams to schedule 12 games in the regular season, as a result, the B-12 ten (10) teams play 30 Non-Conference (NC) games!

The B-12 clubs are free to schedule 3 P5’s (Power 5 which includes, B-10, P-12, SEC, ACC and themselves) or 3 G5 (AAC, American Athletic Conference; C-USA, Conference USA: MAC, Mid-American Conference; MWC, Mountain West Conference; and the SBC, Sun Belt Conference) or a combination of P5 / G5 that equal 3. These 10 conferences, plus 6 independents, make up the FBS (Football Bowl Subdivision) or 85 scholarship programs. It should be furthered noted, on SCFP (sully’s College Football Page) we divide the 6 Independents (IND) into P5’s (ND & BYU) and G5’s (Army, U-Mass, Liberty, & New Mexico State).

Finally, the B-12 may schedule 3 FCS (Football Championship Subdivision, this subdivision can offer only 63 scholarships as compared to the 85 the FBS programs can offer), but they will schedule only 1 FCS opponent, because they can count only 1 win vs an FCS team toward the 6 wins they need to become bowl eligible!

So as we consider the strength of B-12’s NC schedule, we will take notice of the number of P5 teams, (stronger opponent), G5’s (85 scholarship programs, yet, at least perceptually, a step down from a P5 opponent), or an FCS team, which has fewer scholarships!

Let’s take a look see …

Baylor plays 1 P5, Duke (ACC) @ home, 1 G5, Texas San Antonio (C-USA) on the road, and 1 FCS team, Abilene Christian SLC (Southland Conference) @ McLane Stadium, the Baylor Bears home field!

Iowa State takes on 1 P5 Iowa (Big Ten) @ Iowa, 1 G5, Akron (MAC) @ Jack Trice Stadium ISU home field, and the Cyclones play 1 FCS opponent, South Dakota State a team from the MVFC (Missouri Valley Football Conference) on their home turf in Ames, Iowa!

Kansas lines it up against 1 P5, Rutgers (B-10) @ home in Lawrence, Kansas, 1 G5, Central Michigan, in Kalamazoo, Michigan, and 1 FCS team, Nicholls State (SLC) @ home in Memorial Stadium!

Kansas State kicks it off against 1 P5 opponent, Mississippi State (SEC) in Bill Snyder Family Stadium, 1 G5 Texas San Antonio (C-USA), and 1 FCS Opponent, South Dakota (MVFC). It should be noted, the Kansas State plays all 3 of their NC games on their home field!

Oklahoma battles 1 P5, UCLA (P-12) @ Oklahoma Memorial Stadium and 2 G5’5 Florida Atlantic (C-USA) & Army (IND), both of these games are in Norman! OU has not played an FCS team since 2012, Florida A&M (MEAC – Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference), a 69-13 win over the Rattlers!

Oklahoma State is the only B-12 team that did not schedule a P5 opponent in 2018! The Cowboys round up 2 G5’s South Alabama (SBC) and Boise State (MWC) and 1 FCS squad, Missouri State (MVFC). While it is true that not playing a NC P5 team will hurt their chances to get into the College Football Playoff (CFP) it is equally true the Boise is as good or better than most FCS teams!

TCU steps up against 1 P5, The Ohio State (B-10) in Arlington, Texas, 1 G5 SMU (AAC) away, and 1 FCS club, Southern University (SWAC Southwestern Athletic Conference) at home, in Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas. The Horned Frogs never leave the Great State of Texas in their NC season!

Texas challenges 2 P5 opponents in 2018, Maryland (B-10) away in College Park, Maryland and USC (P-12) @ home in Darrell K. Royal – Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, TX and 1 G5 Tulsa (AAC) at home! Texas, similar to USC, ND, and some others does not schedule FCS opponents!

Texas Tech gets it on with 1 P5 team, Ole Miss (SEC) @ a neutral site, Houston Texas, 1 G5, Houston (AAC) @ home in Jones AT&T Stadium, and 1 FCS team, Lamar (SLC) also at home in Lubbock, Texas. Like TCU, the Red Raiders do not leave the Great State of Texas for their NC schedule!

West Virginia is looking for trouble, scheduling 2 P5’s, Tennessee (SEC) @ a neutral site Charlotte, NC & NC State (ACC) @ home, Mountaineer Field – Milan Puskar Stadium. WV plays 1 FCS, Youngstown State (MVFC) at home in Morgantown, WV!

The Big 12 takes on 11 Power 5 Opponents ( ACC two (2), B-10 four (4), SEC three (3), P-12 two (2), they play 11 G5 Teams ( C-USA three (3), MAC two (2), IND One (1), SBC One (1), MWC one (1), & AAC three (3) & the FCS 0n 8 occasions (SLC three (3), MVFC four (4), & SWAC one (1)!

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