Sully's Big Blog! Commentary on College Football, Weekly Games, And Strange Statistics!

2017 Power Five, Group of Five & FCS Rankings

Please note: SCFP ranks the Power Five teams (ACC, B-10, B-12, PAC 12, & SEC … Plus 2 Independents; ND & BYU) as one group of 66 teams into a Top 25. Next, we rank the Group of Five (AAC, CUSA, MAC, MWC, & SBC … Plus 2 Independents, Army & U-Mass, a group of 64 teams into a Top 15. Finally, we rank the 124 FCS teams into a Top Ten! Enjoy and let us know what you think!

Power Five: Top 25:

 

  1. Florida (SEC) 0-1: Lost to #15 Michigan, 33-17, Up Next: Northern Colorado (B-Sky) 1-0

 

  1. Nebraska (B-10) 1-0:Survived Arkansas State, 43-36; Up Next: @ #19 Oregon (P-12) 1-0

 

  1. Washington State (P-12) 1-0: Beat Montana St., 31-0; Up Next: #3 Boise State (MWC) @ H

 

  1. UCLA (P-12) 1-0: Beat Texas A&M (SEC) Up Next: Hawaii (MWC) @ Home

 

  1. Virginia Tech (ACC) 1-0: BeatW. Virginia (B12), 31-24; Up Next: Delaware (CAA) @ Home

 

  1. TCU (B-12) 1-0:Annihilated Jackson State (SWAC), 63-0; Up Next: @ Arkansas (SEC)

 

  1. Oregon (P-10) 1-0:Beat S. Utah (B-Sky), 77-21; Up Next:#24 Nebraska 1-0 (B10) @ H

 

  1. Louisville (ACC) 1-0Got pastPurdue, in Indianapolis, 35-28; Up Next: @ UNC 0-1 (ACC)

 

  1. Miami (ACC) 1-0: Picked on Bethune-Cookman (MEAC), 41-13; Up Next: Arkansas St. 0-1 @ H

 

  1. Notre Dame (IND) 1-0: Whipped Temple AAC), 49-16, Up Next: #7 Georgia 1-0 (SEC) @ H

 

  1. LSU (SEC) 1-0:Dominated BYU, 27-0; Up Next: Chattanooga 0-1 (SoCon) @ Home

 

  1. Stanford (P-12) 1-0: Beat Rice 62-7; Up Next: @ #3 USC 1-0 (P-12)

 

  1. Michigan (B-10) 1-0: Beat up#12 Florida, 33-17; Up Next: Cincinnati 1-0 (AAC) @ Home

 

  1. Oklahoma State (B-12) 1-0:Beat Tulsa 59-24; Up Next: @ South Alabama 0-1 (SBC)

 

  1. Auburn (SEC) 10-0: Toyed with Georgia Southern, 41-7 Up Next: @ #6 Clemson 1-0 (ACC)
  1. Florida State (ACC) 0-1: Lost to #1 Alabama (SEC), 24-7, Up Next: ULM 0-1 (SBC) @ Home

 

  1. Washington (P-12) 1-0: Beat Rutgers (B-10), 30-14, Up Next: Montana 1-0 (B-Sky) @ Home

 

  1. Wisconsin (B-10) 1-0:Beat Utah State (MWC), 59-10, Up Next: FAU 0-1 (CUSA) @ Home

 

  1. Georgia (SEC) 1-0:Beat Appalachian State (SBC), 31-10; Up Next: @ ND (IND)

 

  1. Clemson (ACC) 1-0: Hammered Kent State, 56-3; Up Next: @ Home vs #11 Auburn (SEC)

 

  1. Oklahoma (B-12) 1-0:The Sooners blasted UTEP, 56-7; Up Next: @ #2 OSU 1-0 (B10)

 

  1. Penn State (B-10) 1-0: Dismantled Akron, 52-0, Up Next: Pitt (ACC) @ Home

 

  1. USC (P-12) 1-0: Struggled @ Home with Western Michigan, 49-31; Up Next: Stanford @ Home

 

  1. Ohio State (B-10) 1-0: OutscoredIndiana, 49-21; Up Next: #5 Oklahoma (B12) @ Home

 

  1. Alabama (SEC) 1-0: Controlled #4 Florida State, 24-7; Up Next: Fresno State (MWC) @ Home

 

 

Group of Five:  Top 15

 

  1. Tulsa (AAC) 0-1: Lost to #16 Oklahoma State, 59-24; Up Next: @ Home vs Louisiana Lafayette 1-0 (SBC)

 

  1. Western Kentucky (CUSA) 1-0: Got by Eastern Kentucky (OVC), 31-17; Up Next: Bye Week

 

  1. Appalachian State (SBC) 0-1: Lost @ #8 Georgia (SEC), 31-10; Up Next: Savannah State 0-0 (MEAC)

 

  1. Air Force (MWC) 1-0: Blasted VMI (SoCon), 62-0; Up Next: @ Michigan 1-0 (B10)

 

  1. Toledo 1-0 (MAC): Whipped Elon (CAA), 47-13, Up Next: @ Nevada 0-1 (MWC)

 

  1. Army (IND) 1-0:Beat Fordham (CAA), 64-6; Up Next: Buffalo 0-1 (MAC) @ Home  

 

  1. Memphis (AAC) 1-0: Beat Louisiana Monroe (CUSA), 37-29; Up Next: @ #8 Central Florida 1-0 (AAC)

 

  1. Central Florida (AAC) 1-0: Ran past Florida International (CUSA), 61-17; Up Next: Memphis 1-0 (AAC)

 

  1. Temple (AAC) 0-0: Lost to #17 Notre Dame (IND) 49-16; Up Next: @ Home vs Villanova 1-0 (CAA)

 

  1. . Colorado State 1-1 (MWC): Lost to Colorado (p-12) 17-3; Up Next: Abilene Christian (SLC)

 

  1. San Diego State (MWC) 1-0: Beat UC Davis (B-Sky), 38-17; Up Next: @ Arizona State 1-0 (P-12)

 

  1. Navy (AAC) 1-0: Beat Florida Atlantic (CUSA), 42-19; Up Next: @ Home vs Tulane 1-0 (AAC)

 

  1. Boise State (MWC) 1-0: Beat Troy (SBC), 24-13; Up Next: @ Washington State, 1-0 (P-12)

 

  1. Houston (AAC) 0-0: Texas San Antonio (Game Canceled: Harvey) Up Next: @ Arizona 1-0 (P-12)

 

  1. South Florida (AAC) 2-0:Beat Stony Brook (CAA) 31-17; Up Next: @ U-Conn 1-0 (AAC)

 

FCS: Top 10

 

  1. Howard (MEAC) 1-0: Beat UNLV, 43-40 (a 45 point Dog) Up Next: @ Kent State (MAC)

 

  1. Grambling State (SWAC) 0-1: Lost @ Tulane (AAC) 43-14; Up Next: @ Home vs Northwestern State (SLC)

 

  1. Villanova (CAA) 1-0: Won @ Lehigh, 38-35 (Patriot) Up Next: Temple (AAC)

 

  1. Illinois State (MVFC)1-0: Hammered Butler (Pioneer), 45-0 Up Next: @ Eastern Illinois (OVC)

 

  1. Liberty (BSC) 1-0: Beat Baylor (B12), 48-45; Up Next: Morehead State (Pioneer)

 

  1. Jacksonville State 1-0 (OVC):Beat Chattanooga, 27-13; Up Next: @ Georgia Tech (ACC)

 

  1. South Dakota State (MVFC) 1-0: Beat Duquesne (BSC), 51-13 up Next: @ Montana St. (B-SKY)

 

  1. North Dakota State (MVFC) 1-0: Beat Mississippi Valley (MEAC), 72-7, Up Next: @ Eastern Washington (B-Sky)

 

  1. Sam Houston State (SLC) 1-0: Beat #6 Richmond 48-34, Up Next: Prairie View A&M (SWAC)

 

  1. James Madison (CAA) 1-0: Won @ East Carolina (AAC), 34-14, Up Next: @ Home vs East Tennessee (SoCon)
Posted in #1 Uncategorized |

Athlon Sports Top 25 for 2017

Our second publication, Athlon Sports (A.S.), will have a slightly different look than Phil Steele’s line up. Eight teams recognized by Steele’s Staff stayed in Athlon’s Top Ten, with the top three being identical, Bama, OSU, & FSU. A.S. moved Florida & Wisconsin out of the Top 10 and Auburn & Michigan have been added at 9 & 10 respectively.

Comparing Athlon Sports Ranking with Steel’s 11 thru 20 (Steele’s rank is listed after the team, check below to compare Athlon’s rating): LSU (13), Wisconsin (10), Texas (21), Oklahoma State (15), Georgia (22), Florida (9)  Stanford (14), Louisville (17), Tennessee (NR), & Notre Dame (19). Athlon did not rank TCU (20)

The Publications also differed on 21 through 25: Oregon (23), Kansas State (24),  Miami FL (11), South Florida (18), & Virginia Tech (25)

How Athlon Ranked the Power 5 Conferences: SEC 6 Teams: #1 Alabama, #9 Auburn, #11 LSU, #15 Georgia, #16 Florida, & #19 Tennessee; ACC 5 Teams: #3 Florida State, #7 Clemson, #18 Louisville, #23 Miami FL, & #25 Virginia Tech.; Big 12 4 Teams: #8 Oklahoma, #13 Texas, #14 Oklahoma State, & #22 Kansas State; B-10 has 4 Teams:  #2 Ohio State, #6 Penn State, #10 Michigan, & #12 Wisconsin, PAC 12 4 Teams: #4 Washington, #5 USC, #17 Stanford, & # 21 Oregon; Independents 1 Team: #20 Notre Dame; AAC 1 Team: #24 South Florida

Athlon & Steele ranked only one Group of Five (G5) Team, South Florida was the choice in both cases. Interestingly, USF’s coach, Willie Taggart has departed for Oregon. Enter fired Texas Coach, Charlie Strong, this could give new meaning to the concept of the “Phoenix rising from the ashes”! I for one, hope so!

  1.  Alabama: Nation’s Best recruiting program / a few seconds from 15-0 in 2016
  2. Ohio State:  Meyer is 61-6 @ OSU, but only 1 B-10 Title! Bucks want more in 17
  3. Florida State: The Seminoles may begin and end their season against the Tide!
  4. Washington: A playoff team in 16, Peterson is a great coach, but is #4 a reach?
  5. USC: 9 straight wins to end 2016, The Bush Sanctions are over, Trojans are back!
  6. Penn State: The Lions have 10 starters back on O / D’s front 7 is the ? mark!
  7. Clemson: Watson (QB) & Williams (WR) gone! Talent yes / Experience not yet
  8. Oklahoma: Bobby Stoops is gone, Lincoln Riley is in, what’s next for OU?
  9. Auburn: Gus Malzahn’s D, not the O, will determine the height of success in 17.
  10. Michigan: The Wolves have 5 starters back/is the rank about Jim Harbaugh?
  11. LSU: Talent everywhere, QB Danny Etling & OC Matt Canada hold the keys!
  12. Wisconsin: Return 4 of 5 O linemen, LBs are great, & TE is an All American
  13. Texas: Horns have had 3 straight losing seasons, Herman is good, but this good?
  14. Oklahoma State: Gundy has won 10 or more games in 5 of the last 7 seasons
  15. Georgia: Best running combo in the country and 10 starters back on D
  16. Florida: QB is the ? mark, Feleipe Franks, Luke Del Rio, or ND’s Malik Zaire?
  17. Stanford: Shaw is outstanding, he has won 10 games +, 5 of the last 6 seasons
  18. Louisville: QB Lamar Jackson is back … enough said!
  19. Tennessee: Butch Jones has gone 9-4 the last 2 season, not good enough!
  20. Notre Dame: If Brian Kelly goes 4-8 again, well, Brian Kelly goes!!
  21. Oregon: Helfrich won 33 games in 3 years, 4-8, fired, Willie Taggart better win!
  22. Kansas State: Bill Snyder has won more games than any current FBS Coach
  23. Miami FL: Mark Richt is back … So is Miami!
  24. South Florida: Like Phil Steele, the only G5 Program ranked by Athlon.
  25. Virginia Tech: Fuente & Hokies won’t quit, comeback wins vs ND & Arkansas
Posted in #1 Uncategorized |

Pre-Season Publications Top 25: 1st up, Phil Steele

Phil Steele’s Top 25 vs his Top 25

 

The teams with the greatest challenges, at least in terms of quantity of opponent, are Oklahoma, Florida State & Texas, as they all take on 5 Top 25 Opponents … this according to Phil’s Steele’s  Top 25 rankings.

The Seminoles open the season in Atlanta vs the #1 team in the land, Alabama, then do battle with #8 Clemson & #9 Florida on the road, and finally, welcome #11 Miami FL & #17 Louisville to Tallahassee!

The Sooners travel to Columbus to take on #2 OSU, then head for the other OSU, in Stillwater, #15 Ok State and finally land in Kansas to play #24 Kansas State. Their annual brawl vs #21 Texas is @ a Neutral site, Dallas? Then, at last, they get to play 1 of the 5 games vs Top 25 teams @ home, vs #20 TCU.

The ‘Horns’ host #15 Oklahoma State & #24 Kansas State!  In September, the Longhorns head west for California and a date with #4 USC and in November travel to Fort Worth to call out #20, TCU.  The Red River Shootout … oops … I mean the Red River Rivalry vs Oklahoma is played every year in early October at a neutral site, Dallas, which is about the same distance from Norman as it is from Austin!

The Badgers have only one T-25 opponent, #16 Michigan in Madison, on November 18th. Wisconsin has a legitimate chance to reach the B-10 Championship game this season w/o a blemish on their record. The real scary issue for Bucky is … the team waiting for them in Indy, may also be undefeated and it could be one of two teams … #2 OSU or #6 PSU. This will be decided in Columbus on Oct. 28th!

Conferences represented in Phil Steele’s Top 25 are: B-12 5 teams (#5 Oklahoma, #15 Oklahoma State, #20 TCU, #21 Texas, & #24 Kansas State). SEC has 5 teams (#1 Alabama, #9 Florida, #12 Auburn, #13 LSU, & #22 Georgia). The ACC has 5 teams (#3 Florida State, #8 Clemson, #11 Miami, #17 Louisville, & #25 Virginia Tech) The Big Ten has 4 teams (#2 Ohio State, #6 Penn State, #10 Wisconsin, & #16 Michigan). The PAC 12 has 4 teams (#4 USC, #7 Washington, #14 Stanford, & #22 Oregon) Independents (#19 ND & BYU, The Cougars not rated in the T-25; ND & BYU are counted by SCFP as P5 Teams … the other 2 Independents, Army & U Mass as G5’s) & The AAC has 1 team (#18 South Florida). USF is the only G5 team rated by Phil Steele and his staff!

Finally, as stated, Phil Steele rated only one team from the the Group of Five (G5), South Florida, they play only 1 Power 5 (P5) opponent, Illinois. Lovie Smith (Illini Coach) is at least another year out before he fields a quality team in Champaign. So, if USF were to go unbeaten, should they be consider for one of the play-off spots or have they scheduled themselves out of contention?

Check out the match-ups below and please share your thoughts  …

  1. Alabama: @ #12 Auburn; #3 FSU in Atlanta, & @ Home vs #13 LSU
  2. Ohio State: @ #16 Michigan & @ Home vs #5 Oklahoma & #6 PSU
  3. Florida State: vs #1 Bama, @ #9 FL, #8 Clem; @ H vs #11 The U & #17 L’ville
  4. USC: @ H vs #14 Stanford & #21 Texas in Sept. & #19 ND in South Bend
  5. Oklahoma: @ #2 OSU, #15 Ok St, & #24 K St; @ H #20 TCU, #21 TX in Dallas
  6. Penn State: At #2 Ohio State & Home vs #16 Michigan
  7. Washington: @ #14 Stanford and Home vs #23 Oregon
  8. Clemson: Home vs #3 FSU & #12 Auburn, @ #17 Louisville & #25 V-Tech
  9. Florida: #16 Michigan #22 Georgia Neutral Sites & @ H vs #3 FSU & #13 LSU 
  10. Wisconsin: Vs one Top 25 Opponent, #16 Michigan @ Home in October
  11. Miami FL: @ Home vs #19 ND & #25 V-Tech; @ #3 FSU
  12. Auburn: @ Home vs #1 Alabama; @ #8 Clemson & #13 LSU
  13. LSU: @ Home vs #12 Auburn and @ #1 Bama & #9 Florida
  14. Stanford: @ H #7 Washington & #23 Oregon, #19 ND; @ #4 USC
  15. Oklahoma St.: @ Home vs #20 TCU, #5 OU, & #24 K-St; @ #21 Texas
  16. Michigan: @ Home vs #2 OSU; @ #6 PSU, & #10 UW; and #9 FL @ Arlington
  17. Louisville: @ Home vs #8 Clemson and @ #3 FSU
  18. South Florida: Highest and only G5 in the T-25, USF does not play a T-25 
  19. Notre Dame: @ #14 Stanford & #11 Miami; @ Home vs #4 USC & #22 Georgia
  20. Texas Christian: @ #5 Oklahoma, #15 Ok St. & #24 K-St; @ H vs #21 Texas
  21. Texas: Home vs #15 Ok St. & #24 K-St; @ #4 USC & #20 TCU; #5 OU @ Dallas
  22. Georgia: @ #19 ND & #12 Auburn; & @ Jacksonville (Neutral Site) vs #9 FL
  23. Oregon: @ #7 Washington & @ #14 Stanford
  24. Kansas State: @ Home vs #5 OU, #20 TCU, @ #21 Tx & #15 Ok St.
  25. Virginia Tech: @ Home vs #8 Clemson & @ #11 Miami
Posted in #1 Uncategorized |

Big Ten vs Power 5, Group of 5 & FCS

The Big Ten Conference is made of of 14 teams, broken into two Divisions, East & West. As a conference, they battle each other in 9 league games, leaving each club with 3 non-conference tilts. As a result, the Big Ten takes on 42 non-conference opponents, here is the 2017 breakdown!

East Division: Ohio State, Indiana, Michigan State, Michigan, Penn State, Rutgers, & Maryland.

West Division: Wisconsin, Illinois, Northwestern, Nebraska, Iowa, Minnesota, & Purdue.

Big Ten vs Power 5 Conferences/Independents

Big Ten vs ACC (Atlantic Coast Conference): Indiana travels to Virginia on 9/9/17; Northwestern hits the road to battle Duke on 9/9/17; Penn State hosts’ in-state rival Pittsburgh on 9/9/17; Purdue heads south to take on Louisville on 9/2/17! The Big Ten takes on the ACC 4 times in 2017 … 3 of the 4 on the road!

Big Ten vs the B-12: Iowa visits Ames to challenge in-state rival Iowa State on 9/9/17; Maryland meanders south to The Lone Star State to battle Texas on 9/2/17; Ohio State welcomes Oklahoma on 9/9/17! B-Ten and the B-12 line up three times in 2017 … 2 of the 3 are played in B-12 Arenas!

Sully’s College Football Page (SCFP) breaks the four Independents into quasi P5’s ( ND & BYU) & G5’s (Massachusetts {U-Mass} & Army). Please do not waste your time agreeing or disagreeing with this breakdown, that argument will not effect how we disseminated the data. We mention it for your clarification only! That Said!

B-Ten vs Power 5 Independents: Michigan State opens the gates for Notre Dame on 9/23/17 & Wisconsin heads west to Provo, Utah to “get it on” with BYU on 9/16/17. The Big Ten laces em’ up twice against these quasi P5’s 

Big Ten vs P-12 (Pacific Athletic Conference): Minnesota hits the Oregon Trail to explore Oregon State on 9/9/17; Nebraska tracks Gophers to take on Oregon on 9/9/17, & Rutgers welcomes the defending P-12 champs, Washington on 9/1/17. The Big Ten and the PAC 12 play three, regular season, Rose Bowls,  fittingly, 2 of the 3 are on the ‘Left Coast’!

B-10 vs the SEC (Southeastern Conference): Michigan vs Florida @ AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX & Purdue battles Missouri in Columbia @ Memorial Stadium! The B-Ten challenges the Mighty SEC twice, once at a neutral site and once on the road!

The B-Ten has 42 non-conference games, they have scheduled 14 against P5 competition, as defined by SCFP!  Of these 14 games, 9 are road games, 1 is at a neutral site, and 4 are at home!

The Big Ten vs the Group of 5 conferences/Independents

The B-10 vs AAC (American Athletic Conference): Illinois travels to South Florida on 9/9/17; Maryland takes on Central Florida, @ home on 9/23/17; & Michigan has extended an invite to Cincinnati for 9/9/17! The B-10 kicks it off 3 times against the AAC in 2017, only once away from their home stadiums!

B-10 vs C-USA (Conference – United States of America): Illinois hosts Western Kentucky on 9/16/17; Indiana welcomes Florida International on 9/16/17; Iowa plays North Texas @ Iowa City on 9/16/17; Minnesota opens the stadium for Middle Tennessee on 9/16/17; & Wisconsin has extended an invitation to Florida Atlantic for 9/9/17. The B-10 takes on C-USA 5 times, all home encounters for the B-10, and 4 of the 5 are played on Sept. 16th!

B-10 vs G5 Independents (See above): Ohio State battles Army on 9/16/17. This is the only game the B-10 plays against G5 Independents, as the conference does not play U-Mass in 2017!

B-10 vs the MAC (Mid-American Conference): Illinois battles Ball State, @ home, on 9/2/17; Michigan State challenges the MAC twice, Bowling Green on 9/2/17 and Western Michigan on 9/9/17, both games are at Spartan Stadium; Minnesota welcome Buffalo to TCF Bank Stadium on 8/31/17, Nebraska hosts Northern Illinois on 9/16/17, Northwestern and the Windy City have sent an invite to Bowling Green for 9/16/17. Penn State plays Akron @ State College on 9/2/17; Purdue lines up against Ohio in West Lafayette on 9/9/17; Rutgers plays host to Eastern Michigan on 9/9/17!  The B-10 welcomes MAC teams to B-10 Arenas 9 times, in the 9 games they play in 2017!

B-10 vs MWC (Mountain West Conference): Iowa host Wyoming on 9/2/17, Michigan flies in Air Force on 9/16/17; Northwestern battles Nevada in Evanston on 9/2/17; Ohio State bets down vs UNLV @ the Shoe on 9/23/17; Wisconsin welcomes Utah State to Madtown on 9/1/17. The B-10 laces em’ up 5 times vs the Mountain West … all at home! 

B-10 vs SBC (Sun Belt Conference): Indiana welcomes Georgia Southern on 9/23/17; Nebraska lines up at home vs Arkansas State on 9/2/17; & Penn State hosts Georgia State on 9/16/17. The B-10 plays 3 games against the Sun Belt Conference and all three are at home!

The B-10 battles the Group of Five on 26 occasions in 2017, only one (Illinois @ South Florida) is on the road!

Big Ten vs FCS Teams: Maryland Hosts Towson from the CAA (Colonial Athletic Association)  on 9/2/17 & Rutgers takes on Morgan State out of the MEAC (Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference) on 9/16/17

As stated, The Big Ten plays 42 non-conference games in 2017, 14 are against Power Five’s (only 4 of the 14 are played in B-10 Stadiums) 26 games are schedules vs the Group of 5 Conferences/Independents (a whopping 25 of 26 are played in B-10 Arenas) and the Big Ten plays only two games against the FCS (Football Championship Subdivision or 63 scholarship programs) 

Up next the PAC 12

Posted in #1 Uncategorized |

Big 12 vs Power 5, Group of 5, & FCS

Big 12 Teams: Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, TCU, Texas, Texas Tech, & West Virginia

The Big 12 mysteriously has ten teams, that’s ok, the Big Ten has fourteen! This league is not broken into divisions and unlike other conferences, every team in the B-12 plays every other team. A true round robin and as Big 12 officials like to say, “we produce a true championship.”

Big 12 vs Power 5 Conferences/Independents

B-12 vs ACC: Baylor travels to Duke on 9/23/2017; Oklahoma State heads east, on 9/16/17, to take on Pitt, & West Virginia visits a neighboring state, Virginia, to battle Virginia Tech 9/2/17. The Big 12 plays the ACC 3 times in 2017, all on the road!

Big 12 vs Big Ten: Iowa State hosts Iowa on 9/9/17, Oklahoma visits the Shoe to take on Ohio State on 9/9/17, Texas entertains Maryland on 9/2/17. The Big 12 lines 3 times vs their neighbors to the north, the Big Ten.

Sully’s College Football Page (SCFP) breaks the four Independents into quasi P5’s ( ND & BYU) & G5’s (Massachusetts {U-Mass} & Army). Please do not waste your time agreeing or disagreeing with this breakdown, that argument will not effect how we disseminated the data. We mention it for your clarification only! That Said!

Big 12 vs Independent P5’s: B-12 does not Play ND or BYU!

Big 12 vs the PAC 12: Texas heads west to tangle with USC 0n 9/16/17 and Texas Tech opens the stadium gates for Arizona State on 9/16/17. The B-12 has 2 regular season games against the P-12.

Big 12 vs the SEC: TCU heads east to challenge Arkansas on 9/9/17 & Kansas State  journeys to Tennessee to take on Vanderbilt on 9/16/17. The B-12 calls out the Mighty SEC on two occasions!

The Big 12 will play 10 games against Power Five opponents in 2017! Kansas does not face a P5 this coming season (2017) and Texas plays two ( SC & Maryland)

Big 12 vs Group of Five: 

Big 12 vs AAC (American Athletic Conference): Oklahoma @ home vs Tulane 9/16/17; Oklahoma State @ Home vs Tulsa on 9/2/17; TCU @ Home vs SMU on 10/7/17, Texas Tech @ Houston 9/23/17; & West Virginia @ Home vs East Carolina on 10/7/17! The Big 12 takes on the AAC five times in 2017, only once on the road!

Big 12 vs C-USA (Conference United States of America: Baylor takes on Texas San Antonio (UTSA) on 9/9/17; Kansas State welcomes UNC Charlotte on 9/23/17; & Oklahoma hosts Texas El Paso (UTEP) 9/2/17!  B-12 plays C-USA 3 times in 2017, all @ home!

B-12 vs Independent G5’s: The B-12 does not play Army or U-Mass (Massachusetts) in the 2017 season.

Big 12 vs MAC (Mid-American Conference): Kansas takes on Central Michigan at Home on 9/2/17 and travels to Ohio for 9/9/17 date; & Iowa State heads to Ohio to play Akron on the 9/16/17. B-12 has 3 games with the MAC  in 17′, two of them in Ohio!

Big 12 vs MWC (Mountain West Conference): Texas hosts San Jose State on 9/2/17. This is the only 2017 regular season game between the B-12 & the MWC!

Big 12 vs SBC (Sun Belt Conference): Oklahoma State travels to South Alabama! This is the only game between the B-12 & SBC in 17′

The B-12 challenges the Group of Five on 13 occasions in 2017, 9 of the 13 games will be played in B-12 arenas!

The Big 12 vs the FCS:

The Big 12 vs The Big South Conference: Baylor @ Home vs Liberty on 9/2/17

Big-12 vs the MVFC (Missouri Valley Football Conference): Iowa State @ Home vs Northern Iowa on 9/2/17

Big 12 vs OVC (Ohio Valley Conference): Kansas vs Northeast Missouri State 9/2/17

Big 12 vs SLC (Southland Conference): Kansas State @ Home vs Central Arkansas on 9/2/17

Big 12 vs SWAC (Southwestern Athletic Conference): TCU @ Home vs Jackson State on 9/2/17

B-12 vs Big Sky Conference: Texas Tech @ Home vs Eastern Washington on 9/2/17

B-12 vs MEAC (Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference): West Virginia @ Home vs Delaware State on 9/16/17

The Big 12 plays 30 Non-Conference games: 

10 Games vs P5 … 13 Games vs the Group of 5 … & 7 Games vs FCS Opponents …

Up Next: Big Ten Conference

Posted in #1 Uncategorized |

The ACC vs Power 5, Group of 5, & FCS Opponents in 2017

The Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) has 14 teams and 2 Divisions, the Atlantic and the Coastal

The Atlantic Division: Boston College (BC), Clemson, Florida State (FSU), Louisville, NC State, Syracuse, & Wake Forest (WF).

Coastal Division: Duke, Georgia Tech (GT), Miami, North Carolina (UNC), Pittsburgh (Pitt), Virginia, & Virginia Tech.

The ACC vs Power Five Conferences (P5)

ACC vs the Big 12: Duke takes on Baylor @ Home 9/23/17; Pitt welcomes Oklahoma State on 9/16/17; Virginia Tech plays host to West Virginia on 9/2/17;  ACC challenges the Big-12 in 3 games in 2017′

ACC vs the Big Ten: Duke hosts Northwestern on 9/9/17; Louisville welcomes Purdue on 9/2/1; Pitt travels to Penn State 9/9/17; Virginia has a Home date with Indiana on 9/9/17. ACC takes on the B-10 4 times in 2017

Sully’s College Football Page (SCFP) breaks the four Independents into quasi P5’s ( ND & BYU) & G5’s (Massachusetts {U-Mass} & Army). Please do not waste your time agreeing or disagreeing with this breakdown, that argument will not effect how we disseminated the data. We mention it for your clarifcation only! That Said!

ACC vs P5 Independents: BC takes on ND in Boston on 9/16/17; Miami Welcomes (well sort of welcomes) ND on 11/11/17; NC State travels to ND on 10/28/17; UNC battles ND @ Home on 10/7/17; WF Travels to ND on 11/4/17.  All 5 ACC games are against Norte Dame, the Conference does not play BYU in 2017!

ACC vs PAC 12 (Pacifis Athletic Conference): UNC plays California @ Chapel Hill. This is the only regular season game between the ACC and the P-12 in 2017!

ACC vs the SEC (Southeastern Conference): Clemson takes on 2 SEC clubs, Auburn @ Home on 9/9/17 & @ South Carolina on 11/25/17; FSU battles Alabama @ a neutral site, Mercedez-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia on 9/2/17 & @ Florida 11/25/17; GT hosts Tennessee on 9/4 (Memorial Day Monday)/17 & @ home vs Georgia 11/25/17; Louisville travels to Kentucky 11/25/17; NC State puts out the welcoming mat for South Carolina on 9/2/17; Syracuse @ home vs LSU on 9/23/17! The ACC and the SEC will battle 9 times in the 2017 regular season!

The ACC plays 8 Conference Games & 4 Non-Conference Games (14 teams x 4  = 56 NC Games) In 2017, the League will play 22 of the 56 (40% of their NC Schedule) contests against Power 5 Programs!

The ACC vs the Group of Five Conferences (G5)

ACC vs AAC (American Athletic Conference):  BC @ U-Conn 11/18/17; GT at Central Florida 9/16/17; Virginia @ Home vs U-Conn 9/16/17; Virginia Tech @ East Carolina 9/16/17; 4 Games between the ACC & the AAC!

ACC vs C-USA ( Conference – Unites States of America): NC State @ Home vs Marshall 9/9/17; UNC @ Home vs Old Dominion 9/16/17; Pitt @ Home vs Rice 9/30/17; Syracuse @ home vs Middle Tennessee 9/9/17; Virginia Tech @ Home vs Old Dominion 9/23/17. The ACC will battle C-USA 5 times during the 2017 regular season!

ACC vs the Independent Group of Five: Duke marches on West Point to battle Army on 11/11/17 (Armistices Day)? Maybe Duke should stand down … for at least a day! This is the only game the ACC has with the G5 Independents as the League does not play U-Mass!

ACC vs MAC (Mid-American Conference): BC Plays 2 MAC clubs, @ Northern Illinois on 9/1/17 & @ Home vs Central Michigan on 9/30/17; Clemson welcomes Kent State on 9/2/17; Louisville battles Kent State @ Home on 9/23/17; Miami FL takes on Toledo @ Home on 11/11/17; Syracuse is @ Home vs Central Michigan on 9/16/17. The ACC takes on the MAC 6 times in the 2017 regular season!

ACC vs the MWC (Mountain West Conference): Virginia Travels to Boise State on 9/23/17; WF @ Home vs Utah State on 9/16/17. The ACC lines up against the MWC twice during the 2017 regular season!

ACC vs the SBC (Sun Belt Conference): FSU @ Home vs Louisiana Monroe 9/9/17; Miami vs Arkansas State @ Home; Syracuse @ Home vs Coastal Carolina on 9/2/17; WF vs Appalachian State on 9/23/17. The ACC meets the SBC in 4 games in 2017

The ACC will do battle in 22 games vs the Group of 5, the exact number of games the ACC will play vs the P5! The ACC will play 80% of its NC Schedule against FBS opponents! 

ACC vs FCS

ACC outings against FCS Opponents: Clemson @ Home vs The Citadel Southern Conference (SoCon); Duke @ Home vs North Carolina Central Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference (MEAC); Florida State @ Home vs Delaware State (MEAC); Georgia Tech @ Home vs Jacksonville State Ohio Valley Conference (OVC); Louisville @ Home vs Murray State (OVC); Miami @ Home against Bethune-Cookman (MEAC); NC State @ Home will line up against Furman (SoCon); UNC @ Home vs Western Illinois Missouri Valley Football Conference (MVFC); Pitt @ Home vs Youngstown State (MVFC); Virginia @ Home vs Willian & Mary Colonial Athletic Association (CAA); Virginia Tech @ Home vs Delaware (CAA); WF @ Home vs Presbyterian Big South Conference (BSC). Only Boston College & Syracuse do not play a FCS (63 scholarship program) in 2017 regualar season!

The ACC schedule breaks down as follows: 56 NC Games, 22 vs P5 opponents, 22 vs G5 teams & 12 against FCS clubs!

Up Next: The Big 12

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American Athletic Conference VS Power 5, Group of 5, & FCS Opponents

The American Athletic Conference has 12 teams and is broken into two divisions, West Division: Houston, Memphis, Navy, Southern Methodist, Tulane, & Tulsa; East Division: Central Florida, Cincinnati, Connecticut, East Carolina, South Florida, & Temple.

Here is the breakdown of the AAC non-conference schedule for 2017. The American is widely regarded as the best league in the Group of 5. The G5’s are made of the AAC, Conference USA, Mid-American Conference, the Mountain West Conference, & The Sun Belt Conference! For more detailed info refer to the conference and team pages on the site!

AAC vs Power 5

American Athletic Conference (AAC): plays four games against the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC). Central Florida (UCF) faces Georgia Tech at Home on 9/16/17;  Connecticut (U-Conn) Travels to Virginia on 9/16/17 & Boston College on 11/18/17; and East Carolina welcomes Virginia Tech on 9/16/17

AAC vs Big 12: The American takes on the B-12 in 5 ballgames in 2017! East Carolina @ West Virginia on 9/9/17; Houston hosts Texas Tech on 9/23/17; SMU visits TCU on 9/16/17, Tulane heads for Oklahoma on 9/16/17; & Tulsa plays @ Oklahoma State on 9/9/17!

AAC vs Big Ten: UCF travels to Maryland for an encounter on 9/23/17, Cincinnati heads north for a date with Michigan 9/9/17, & South Florida (USF) host the Illini on 9/9/17.

AAC vs the PAC-12: These conferences meet only twice during the 2017 regular season. Houston heads west to take on Arizona on 9/9/17 & Memphis Welcomes UCLA to Tennessee on 9/16!

AAC vs the SEC: The American has only one game against the Mighty SEC;  U-Conn takes on Missouri, at home, on 10/28/17!

Sully’s College Football Page (SCFP) breaks the four Independents into quasi P5’s ( ND & BYU) & G5’s (Massachusetts {U-Mass} & Army). Please do not waste your time agreeing or disagreeing with this breakdown, that argument will not effect how we disseminated the data. We mention it for your clarifcation only! That Said!

AAC vs P5 Independents: Temple has a scheduled stop (9/2/17) at South Bend, to take on the Irish; while Navy sets sail for ND in November, arriving on 11/18/17. Meanwhile, East Carolina entertains BYU on 10/21/17.

The American Athletic Conference (12 teams, 8 conference games, & 4 non-conferences tilts per team) has 48 non-conference engagements to fill. The AAC meets P5’s in 18 of a possible 48 dates.

AAC vs Group of 5

AAC vs Conference USA (C-USA): UCF plays host to Florida International (FIU) 9/2/17; Cincinnati battles Marshall in Cincy on 9/30/17; Houston take on 2 C-USA opponents @ Texas San Antonio (UTSA) on 9/2/17 & Rice on 9/16/17 at Home; Navy visits Florida Atlantic (FAU) on 9/2/17; Southern Methodist (SMU) welcomes Nothh Texas on 9/9/17; & Tulane travels to FIU on 10/14/17!

AAC vs the Mid-American Conference (MAC): Cincinniti Plays at Miami Ohio on 9/16/17 & Tulsa heads north to take on Toledo on 9/16/17.

AAC vs Mountain West Conference (MWC): Navy challenges Air Force at Home on 10/7/17; USF travels to San Jose State on 8/26/17; & Tulsa welcomes New Mexico on 9/23/17.

ACC vs Sun Belt Conference (SBC): Memphis lines up against Louisiana Monroe (ULM) at home on 8/31/17 & plays @ Georgia State on 11/18/17; SMU plays Arkansas State at Home on 9/23/17; Tulsa welcomes Louisiana Lafayette on 9/9/17

AAC vs G5 Independents: Navy takes on Army in Philadelphia on 12/9/17; USF meets U-Mass in Florida on 10/14/17; Temple plays both G5 Independents, U-Mass at Home on 9/16/17 & @ Army on 10/21/17; and Tulane battles Army at Home on 9/23/17.

AAC plays 21 (vs C-USA 7, MAC 2, MWC 3, SBC 4, & G5 Independent 5) of its 48 non-conference against G5 opponents!

AAC vs Football Championship Subdivision (FCS): {Note: all games vs FCS are played in AAC Arenas} UCF vs Maine, Colonial Athletic Association (CAA) 9/30/17; Cincinnati vs Austin Peay, Ohio Valley Conference (OVC) 8/31/17; U-Conn vs Holy Cross, Patriot League (PL) 8/31/17; East Carolina vs James Madison (CAA), Defending FCS National Champions 9/2/17; Memphis vs Southern Illinois, Missouri Valley Football Concerence(MVFC) 9/23/17; SMU vs Stephen F. Austin, Southland Conference (SLC) 9/2/17; USF vs Stony Brook (CAA) 9/2/17; Temple vs Villanova, (CAA) 9/9/17; Tulane vs Grambling State, Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference (MEAC) 9/2/17

AAC lines up 9 times vs FCS Opponents

AAC 48 non-conference games break down as follows; VS P5’s, 18 Games, vs G5’s, 21 Games and vs FCS opponents, 9 games for a total of 48 NC Games!

It should be noted that both Power Five & Group of 5 Programs must award 85 full scholarships, while FCS Programs are allowed, but not required, to provide a maximum of 63 scholarships, which can be divided into many conbinations .. yet not more than 85 players can receive football dollars!

 

Up Next: Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC)

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College Football 2017 Week One’ best NC games or best NC opponents vs that Conference

The factors influencing the identified games are P5 vs P5 and a G5 playing a very good (defined as competitive with P5 programs) G5 team!

 

Best Games/Opponents in the ACC Week One (August 31st through September 4th)

  1. Alabama vs Florida State (Atlanta GA)***
  2. Tennessee vs Georgia Tech (@ Atlanta GA, 9/4/17)
  3. Virginia Tech @ West Virginia (@ Landover, MD)
  4. California @ North Carolina
  5. South Carolina @ NC State (@ Charleston, SC)
  6. Purdue vs Louisville(@ Indianapolis, IN)

Best Games/Opponents in the Big-12 Week One (August 31st through September 2nd)

  1. Maryland @ Texas
  2. Virginia Tech @ West Virginia (@ Landover, MD)

Best Games/Opponents in the Big Ten Week One (August 31st through September 2nd)

  1. Michigan vs Florida (Arlington TX)***
  2. Maryland @ Texas
  3. Purdue vs Louisville (@ Indianapolis, IN)
  4. Washington @ Rutgers

Best Games/Opponents in the PAC-12 Week One (August 31st through September 2nd)

  1. Texas A&M @ UCLA
  2. Cal @ Noth Carolina
  3. Washington @ Rutgers

Best Games/Opponents in the SEC Week One (August 31st through September 2nd)

  1. Alabama vs Florida State (Atlanta GA)***
  2. Michigan vs Florida (Arlington TX)***
  3. Tennessee @ Georgia Tech (@ Atlanta GA, 9/4/17)
  4. Texas A&M @ UCLA
  5. BYU @ LSU
  6. South Carolina @ NC State(@Charleston, SC)

Best Games/Opponents P5 Independents Week One (August 31st through September 2nd)

  1. Temple @ Notre Dame
  2. BYU @ LSU

Best Games/Opponents in the AAC Week One (August 31st through September 2nd)

  1. Tulsa @ Oklahoma State
  2. Temple @ ND

Best Games/Opponents in the C-USA Week One (August 31st through September 2nd)

  1. UTEP @ Oklahoma
  2. Stanford @ Rice
  3. Southern Miss @ Kentucky
  4. Vanderbilt @ Middle Tennessee

Best Games/Opponents in the MAC Week One (August 31st through September 2nd)

  1. Kent State @ Clemson
  2. Western Michigan @ USC
  3. Akron @ Penn State
  4. Buffalo @ Minnesota
  5. Northern Illinois @ Boston College
  6. Ball State @ Illinois
  7. Bowling Green @ Michigan State

Best Games/Opponents in the MWC Week One (August 31st through September 2nd)

  1. Utah State @ Wisconsin
  2. Colorado State @ Colorado
  3. Wyoming @ Iowa
  4. Nevada @ Northwestern
  5. South Florida vs San Jose State
  6. Boise State vs Troy

Best Games/Opponents in the SBC Week One (August 26st through September 2nd)

  1. Appalachian State @ Georgia
  2. Georgia Southern @ Auburn
  3. Arkansas State @ Nebraska
  4. Troy @ Boise State
  5. South Alabama @ Ole Miss
  6. Louisiana Monroe @ Memphis
  7. New Mexica State @ Arizona State

Best Games/Opponents in the G5 Independents Week One (August 31st through September 2nd)

  1. U-Mass @ Coastal Carolina

For more scheduling information go to Sully’s College Football Page  or to Kevin Kelly’s Site: FBSchedules… Stay tuned  … more to follow

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Allstate Sugar Bowl

Bowl History: The Sugar Bowl is an annual American college football bowl game played in the Mercedez-Benz Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. The Sugar Bowl has been played annually since January 1, 1935, and celebrated its 75th anniversary on January 2, 2009. The Sugar Bowl, along with the Orange Bowl and Sun Bowl, are the second-oldest bowl games in the country, behind the Rose Bowl Game. The Sugar Bowl is also a member of the College Football Playoff Presently, its official title is the Allstate Sugar Bowl after its current sponsor, the Allstate insurance company. The Sugar Bowl has had a longstanding — albeit not exclusive — relationship with the Southeastern Conference (SEC) (which once had a member institution based in New Orleans, Tulane University; another Louisiana school, Louisiana State University (LSU) in Baton Rouge, is still in the SEC today). From 1950 to 1995, only once did the Sugar Bowl not feature an SEC team. That relationship has been altered over the past twenty years due to conference realignmentsand the emergence of a series of colitions and alliences intending to produce an undisputed national championship in college football, but the ties between the Sugar Bowl and the SEC have persisted and have recently been strengthened. The SEC’s opponent has varied over the years, but was often the runner-up of the Big 8 or SWC, or a major independent. Since 2015, The Sugar Bowl, along with the Rose, Orange Cotton, Peach, and Fiesta bowls, is one of the “New Years Six” bowls in rotation for the College Football Playoff. It hosted a playoff semifinal following the 2014 season, and will next host one following the 2017 season. In other years, it will feature the best available teams from SEC the and Big 12 Conferences,[2] an arrangement nearly identical with the relationship between theRose Bowl and the champions of the B-10 and P-12. As a member of the BCS, the Sugar Bowl hosted the the BCS National Championshipe twice (2000 and 2004). However, from the 2006 season to the 2013 season, the BCS NCG had been a stand-alone event, following one week after the New Year’s Day bowl games. This means that, under the now-defunct BCS format, no traditional bowl game hosted the BCS National Championship Game, but that game was played at the venue of one of those traditional major bowls, rotating amongst the four sites, including the Superdome. The payout for the 2006 game was $14–17 million per participating team. According to Sports Illistrated, the 2007 salary for Sugar Bowl CEO Paul Hoolahan was $607,500.[3]

Teams: Oklahoma 10-2 (B-12) vs Auburn 8-4 (SEC)

Bowl Location: Pasadena, California

Day, Date & Time: Monday, January 2, 2017

Network: ESPN

Best Win(s): Oklahoma beat Oklahoma State 10-3 (B-12), Auburn beat Arkansas, 56-3

Worst Losses: Oklahoma was destroyed by Ohio State, 45-23, Auburn, lost to Texas A&M, 29-16

Common Opponents: None

Vegas Hotsheets Favorite: Oklahoma -5.5

Offensive Team Data: Auburn ; Total Yards,  450 YPG; Passing Yards,  172 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  278 YPG; Scoring Average,  32 PPG, Turnovers,  1 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 43.6%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 87% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 56%

Offensive Team Data: Oklahoma ; Total Yards,  558 YPG; Passing Yards, 320 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 239 YPG; Scoring Average  45 PPG, Turnovers,  1.25 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 51.6%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 90% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 69%

Defensive Team Data: Auburn ; Total Yards,  342 YPG; Passing Yards,  221 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  121 YPG; Scoring Average,  16 PPG, Turnovers,  1.33 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 34.6%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 67% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 33%

Defensive Team Data: Oklahoma ; Total Yards,  438 YPG; Passing Yards,  278 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  161 YPG; Scoring Average,  30 PPG, Turnovers,  1.33 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 44.2%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 80% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 40%

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Arizona’s total yards on offense, add it to what Nevada gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Nevada’s total offense, add it to what Arizona gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards Advantage: Oklahoma 450 to 444

Passing Yards Advantage: Oklahoma 270.5 to 225

Rushing Yard Advantage: Auburn 219.5 to 180

Scoring Advantage: Auburn 31 to 30.5

Turnovers Advantage: Auburn 1.165 to 1.29

3rd Down Conversions Advantage: Auburn 43.9 to 43.1

Red Zone All Scores Advantage: Auburn 83.5 to 78.5

Red Zone TD’s Only Advantage: Oklahoma 51 to 48

The Game Simulator Says: Auburn 5, Oklahoma 3, Take Auburn and the 5.5 as the Tigers win outright, 31 to 30.5

Individuals to Watch: OU: QB Baker Mayfield & RB’s, Joe Mixon & Samaje Perine; WR Dede Westbrook; Auburn: K. Pettway 1123 yards rushing

Sully Says: Oklahoma wins and covers

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Rose Bowl Game Presented by Nortwestern Mutual

Bowl History: The Rose Bowl Game is an annual American college football bowl game usually played on January 1 New Years Day at the Rose Bowl stadium in Pasadena, California. When New Year’s Day falls on a Sunday, the game is played on Monday, January 2 (15 times now). The Rose Bowl is nicknamed “The Granddaddy of Them All” because it is the oldest bowl game. It was first played in 1902, and has been played annually since 1916. Since 1945, it has been the highest attended college football bowl game.[3] It is a part of the Pasaden’s Tournament of RoseAssociation’s “America’s New Year Celebration,” which also includes the historic Rose Parade.

Beginning with the 2015 game, the official name for sponsorship reasons is the “Rose Bowl Game presented by Noprthwestern Mutual”. Viziowas the previous sponsor from 2012; prior sponsors included AT&T, Sony, and Citi. In 2015, the game was also officially known as the “College Football Playoff semifinal at the Rose Bowl Game presented by Northwestern Mutual.”

The Rose Bowl Game has traditionally hosted the conference champions from the Big Ten and PAC-12 conferences (or their predecessors), but due to its past and present membership in two consortiums that seek to determine a national championship in the FBS, in 2002, the Rose Bowl began to infrequently deviate from its traditional match-up in order to facilitate championship games. In 2002 and 2006 (2001 and 2005 football seasons), under the Bowl Championship Series system, the Rose Bowl was designated as its championship game, and hosted the top two teams determined by the BCS system. Beginning in 2015, the Rose Bowl has been part of the Coillege Football Playoff system and hosts one of its semi-final games every three years. During non-Playoff years, the Rose Bowl reverts to a Pac-12/Big Ten matchup.

Teams: Penn State 11-2 (B-10) USC 9-3 (P-12)

Bowl Location: Pasadena, California

Day, Date & Time: Monday, January 2, 2017, 4:00 p.m. CST

Network: ESPN

Best Win(s): Penn State beat Ohio State, USC beat Washington

Worst Losses: Penn State lost to Pitt, SC lost to Alabama, 52-6

Common Opponents: None

Vegas Hotsheets Favorite: SC -6.5

Offensive Team Data: USC ; Total Yards,  468 YPG; Passing Yards,  262 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  207 YPG; Scoring Average,  33 PPG, Turnovers,  1.58 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 47.2%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 76% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 65%

Offensive Team Data: PSU ; Total Yards,  430 YPG; Passing Yards, 261 YPG;  Rushing Yards, 169 YPG; Scoring Average  37 PPG, Turnovers,  1.31 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 32.1%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 85% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 52%

Defensive Team Data: USC ; Total Yards,  359 YPG; Passing Yards,  225 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  134 YPG; Scoring Average,  22 PPG, Turnovers,  1.42 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 35.2%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 84% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 64%

Defensive Team Data: PSU ; Total Yards,  352 YPG; Passing Yards,  198 YPG;  Rushing Yards,  154 YPG; Scoring Average,  23 PPG, Turnovers,  1.54 TPG; Percent of 3rd Down Conversions, 37.3%; Percentage of all scores in Red Zone, 88% & Percentage of TD’s in Red Zone, 57%

Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is … we take Arizona’s total yards on offense, add it to what Nevada gives up on defense, …  get a total and then divide that number by 2 … to get the mean. We then invert the process by taking Nevada’s total offense, add it to what Arizona gives up on defense, get a total and divide that number by 2  to get the second mean… the greater number (with the exception of Turnovers) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed!  That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:

Total Yards Advantage: USC 410 to 394.5

Passing Yards Advantage: PSU 243 to 230

Rushing Yard Advantage: USC 180.5 to 151.5

Scoring Advantage: PSU 29.5 to 28

Turnovers Advantage: PSU 1.365 to 1.56

3rd Down Conversions Advantage: USC 42.25 to 33.65

Red Zone All Scores Advantage: PSU 84.5 to 82

Red Zone TD’s Only Advantage: USC 61 to 58

The Game Simulator Says:  Statistically USC 4, PSU 4, Site thinks PSU wins outright 30-28

Individuals to Watch: PSU QB Trace McSorley  & RB Saquan Barkley; USC QB Sam Darnold, WR JuJu Smith, & RB Ronald Jones

Sully Says: USC wins, but does not  cover

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