The Independence Bowl is a post-season National Collegiate Athletic Association-sanctioned Division I college football bowl game that is played annually each December at Independence Stadium in Shreveport, Louisiana.
Teams: Louisiana Tech (C-USA) 9-3 / Miami (ACC) 6-6
Bowl Location: Shreveport, LA
Day, Date & Time: Thursday, December, 26, 2019, 4:00 EST
Best Win(s): Louisiana Tech: beat Southern Miss (7-5) 45-30, Miami: beat Virginia (9-4), 17-9, Florida State (6-6) 27-10, Pitt (7-5) 16-12, & Louisville (7-5), 52-27!
Worst Loss(es): La Tech lost to Marshall (8-4), 31-10; Miami lost to Duke (5-7), 27-17 & FIU (6-6), 30-24!
Common Opponents: FIU: Miami lost to FIU, 30-24 Louisiana Tech beat FIU, 43-31!
Vegas Hot$heets Favorite: Miami -7.5 (All lines are opening lines & all recommend picks are based on opening lines)
Sully’s CFP Game Simulator is a statistical analysis / predictor of how these teams will preform, based solely on their numbers, when they face off on the gridiron! Keep in mind, these stats were established against different teams and conferences and these differences must be taken into account to get a complete picture when attempting to predetermine a winner. If you are interested in how the Simulator works … read this part … if not … skip it! The process used is, say Notre Dame is playing Wisconsin … we take ND’s total yards on offense, add it to the number the Badgers give up on defense, we get a total and then divide the total by 2 to get an average. We then invert the process, we now take Wisconsin’s total offense, add it to what the Irish give up on defense, get a 2nd total, and then divide that number by 2, to get the second average! The greater number (with the exception of Turnovers, lower # wins) is then determined to have the advantage ( please note …. statistical advantage). We repeat this process in each of the eight statistical categories assessed: 1) Total Yards, 2) Rushing, 3) Passing, 4) Scoring, 5) 3rd Down (Conversions /Stops), 6) Turnovers, 7) Red Zone Scores (TD’s & FG), & 8) Red Zone TD’s (only TD’s)! That said… here are the results of the Head to Head Analysis:
|Miami FL | Hurricanes||Louisiana Tech | Bulldogs|
|Offense VS Defense||385||+1||376.5|
|Passing Off VS Def||252.5||+1||237.5|
|Rushing Off VS Def||132.5||139||+1|
|Scoring Off VS Def||26||27.5||+1|
|Turnovers Off VS Def||1.545||1.54||+1|
|3rd Conv Off VS Def||30.4||39.2||+1|
|Red Zone Scores||68.5||85.5||+1|
|Red Zone TD’s||50.5||57.5||+1|
Louisiana Tech WINS
These teams have met four, with Miami winning all 4 of these games. The most recent is in 2004, a 48-0 pounding the Canes put on the Bulldogs!
Miami’s 2019 season was a mess, losing their 1st 2 games and then winning 4 of 5 (a loss to G-Tech, 28-21 in OT, that is hard to understand) beating Virginia, Pitt, Louisville & Florida State. Then on the verge of having an 8-4 season, lose to FIU & Duke (not Bowl Eligible)!
Meanwhile, La Tech loss its season opener to Texas (45-14) then won 8 in a row! With the season on the line vs Marshall & UAB, La Tech QB, J’Mar Smith & leading WR, Adrian Hardy were suspended and as a direct result, they lost both games & the division championship. Those players were reinstated & Louisiana won its final game vs UTSA, 27-17!
Sully Says: Take La Tech & 7.5